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I've heard a rumor about where those 800,000 arty shells Petyr Pavel reckons he can get his mitts on may be coming from.

I don't want to say on here as it's pure hearsay at this point, but if it is true and he pulls it off it will be glorious.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 4:46 pm
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America now saying long range Actams are being considered and they have artillery ready to go if & when the *@$!s in the GOP pass it


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 4:53 pm
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https://english.radio.cz/president-pavel-czechia-has-found-possible-sources-ammunition-ukraine-8808818

Don't know anything of the source but it's what came up when I googled Petr Pavel and ammunition.

The Brussels-based Politico reported in early February that Czechia was looking into the possibility of acquiring ammunition from arms companies in countries such as South Korea, Turkey and South Africa.

So maybe one of those?


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 4:58 pm
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South Africa.

Tell me they are ancient Russian supplied shells...


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 5:30 pm
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Nope, none of those 3. All of those would be legit options if they had the shells available but that's not the rumour I've heard.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 5:38 pm
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Spit it out!


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 5:55 pm
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Tell me they are ancient Russian supplied shells…

I assume anything is welcome and they have guns to fire it, but presumably old Soviet/Russian stocks would only work in old Russian/Soviet guns?

What's the difference in efficacy between old Russian guns Vs modern NATO kit with better aiming systems, guided shells etc.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 5:57 pm
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Spit it out!

O.K. O.K.

Looks like a few of the OSINT accounts and NCD have picked up on it now so it's a bit more public now... so.....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cobasna_ammunition_depot

As I said, this is seriously sketchy info, hence my reticence. I have zero clue of the situation on the ground or of how Pavel reckons he can lay his hands on this kit..but it's there and it's tantalizingly close to the Ukrainian border.

A few bribes here, a few promises of EU passports there.....

Explains why he needs money to make it happen but is promising almost immediate delivery if he can get the funding lined up.

Ukraine still has huge numbers of Soviet era artillery pieces, they've largely fallen silent in the last year due to lack of ammo and were moved back into reserve as Western systems arrived. However; if they can get 800,000 152mm shells for them....


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 6:21 pm
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How is Russia keeping control and supplying Transnistria given it is isolated between Ukraine and Moldova?


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 6:31 pm
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That'll be some stunt if he pulls it off. This stood out from the Wiki link though:

Currently, it is guarded by around 1,500 Russian soldiers.

Transnistria is already a tinderbox without someone trying to loot a shit load of Russian hardware!


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 8:03 pm
 Andy
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Cobasna will be ex Soviet 152mm shells.
Pavel is talking about obtaining half a million rounds of 155-millimeter caliber ammunition and 300,000 rounds of 122-millimeter caliber ammunition.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 8:08 pm
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I go out of my way to say it was tenuous.

Would be a hell of a wheeze to pull off though.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 8:22 pm
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Currently, it is guarded by around 1,500 Russian soldiers.

It's believed that the force is mainly Transnistrian locals who have been given Russian passports and only around 100 officers are Russians. The force is split into "peacekeepers" and the Operational Group of Russian Forces (OGRF)

OGRF are there illegally and get away with it by guarding the former-Soviet, now Russian stores. Access is either via Ukraine (closed) or via Chisinau (Moldova) airport, which only allows limited movements of the "peacekeepers". Consequently their military resources are old and in short supply.

I can only imagine that a part of the stores belong to the former-Czechoslovakia in one of its several identities, I'm not sure how viable they'll be though


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 8:39 pm
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What is wrong with the GOP? Why are they so obsessed with appeasing Putin? Has Putin really managed to buy them all?


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 8:41 pm
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How is Russia keeping control and supplying Transnistria given it is isolated between Ukraine and Moldova?

Energy supplies traded for other supplies. Moldova doesn't have any fossil fuels and produces only 1/4 of the necessary electricity. Energy needs are met by Ukraine (liable to disruption), Romania and Transnistria (Russian fossil fuels and power station). The Russian supply is deliberate divide and conquer from decades ago, as is the 500,000 mostly Russian-speaking population of Transnistria


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 8:54 pm
 Andy
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Has Putin really managed to buy them all?

Putin has some kind of influence on Trump, the rest of the GOP are falling into line behind Trump and following his line.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 8:55 pm
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What is wrong with the GOP? Why are they so obsessed with appeasing Putin? Has Putin really managed to buy them all?

I don't think that's the case. The US Senate voted overwhelmingly for aid to Ukraine, including 22-ish Republicans (aka GOP).

The MAGA-group, heavily influenced by Donald Trump, is the minority causing problems. The US Speaker Mike Johnson (Rep) has broken the House of Representatives up until the end of Feb without voting on Ukraine aid, following foot-dragging such as the Russian nukes in space saga


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 9:03 pm
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I don't know why it hasn't been done but Presidential Drawdown Authority is an option...

https://www.state.gov/use-of-presidential-drawdown-authority-for-military-assistance-for-ukraine/

Assuming this is up to date then $6.2bn is lawfully available now. The problem is that funding isn't available to top stocks back up, but a bit of creative thought should be possible


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 9:11 pm
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oldnpastit
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What is wrong with the GOP? Why are they so obsessed with appeasing Putin? Has Putin really managed to buy them all?

As Andy said, they are just standing behind Trump as he *is* the GOP now. They are just asking for the ride/ grift.

I personally don't think Putin has dirt on Trump. I think it's simply that Trump genuinely likes Putin's hard man persona and absolutely would like to impose an Americanised version of his rule in America. They both have a history of only liking elections when they go their way...

The fact that Trump's supporters in the land of the free would actively like it too, I find stunning. However, you can tell what the appeal is to the MAGA lot. Gays, blacks "socialists", the "woke mob"... They would absolutely like them all locked up or worse. Putin's their guy basically.

America Greatest Generation must be spinning in their graves.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 9:12 pm
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Currently, it is guarded by around 1,500 Russian soldiers

Mate, insurgents in Iraq used to breach the COB all the time and pilfer the ammo compound, sometimes all you need is the enemies incompetence for you to succeed, not your skill. An ole RU has show it has a lot of that to go around.

America Greatest Generation must be spinning in their graves.

The amount of my generation of friends and acquaintances from the US have very severe misgivings about the current hold-ups. We already felt like we abandoned the Afghans to an oppressive fate, now many veterans and active duty feel that some in the senate are doing it again.

It doesn't sit well at all.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 9:18 pm
Murray, twistedpencil, twistedpencil and 1 people reacted
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We already felt like we abandoned the Afghans to an oppressive fate, now many veterans and active duty feel that some in the senate are doing it again.

It doesn’t sit well at all.

It's a nightmare.  I desperately hope the orange shit-gibbon doesn't get back in.  A previous generation, but I also have a fair few US mil acquaintances and they are all despairing of the current situation.

On a different subject, what's your take on the news today about UKSF being given a veto over which ANA SF could resettle in UK?


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 9:43 pm
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On a different subject, what’s your take on the news today about UKSF being given a veto over which ANA SF could resettle in UK?

Just catching up on this, let me ruminate and do a little more reading before I commit to comment.


 
Posted : 19/02/2024 10:02 pm
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ITV now

Sean Langan on the Russian side of the front line.... depressing

Ukraine's War: The Other Side


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 12:22 am
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A salient reminder that even if we throw in the towel and throw Ukraine to wolves, this won't be 'over' an emboldened Russia will be seeking vengance and any Public figure who ever assisted Ukraine will be in the crosshairs, wherever they are.


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 12:33 pm
Poopscoop and Poopscoop reacted
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What is wrong with the GOP? Why are they so obsessed with appeasing Putin?

Amongst the right wing "mainstream" Alternative Media landscape which many Republican voters are tuned into (Tucker Carlson, Info Wars, Daily Wire and so on) Putin is portrayed as the sort of autocratic Christian supporting tough-man that the US needs. In their telling, he (Putin) does what he wants, has clear goals, and doesn't care what other think about that, supports traditional families, enacts laws against gay or trans-rights, and promotes Christianity over other religions (especially Judaism and Islam) and is currently fighting the corrupt  "Nazis" that Hunter Biden tried to do a deal with.

The GOP needs those folks to come out to vote for them, so parrots their views back to them, especially Trump, who additionally needs their money


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 12:37 pm
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^^ It's a ****** mafia state isn't it?


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 12:38 pm
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The USA is a nation established by religious fundamentalists and extremists.

So their current position on the world stage tracks; when under stress people revert to type and the true nature of their values and beliefs.


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 1:10 pm
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The USA is a nation established by religious fundamentalists and extremists.

Only partly.  It was religious extremists, zealots, libertarians, arch-capitalists, spivs and rapacious conquerors.  So.. yeah.


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 1:45 pm
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This is just sad.

https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1759902757601914989


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 2:22 pm
 Keva
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should've done some research I guess.

A bit weird anyhow 'cause mostly it's, or was, Russians moving to Canada for some strange reason.


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 3:35 pm
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Sad but hopefully the right people see it and perhaps engage their brains.


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 3:35 pm
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Nah he’s definitely a libtard shill / extreme crisis actor. Duh 🙄


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 4:54 pm
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Those poor kids.

Culture wars rot brains.


 
Posted : 20/02/2024 5:00 pm
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This makes it 7 this week.

https://twitter.com/revishvilig/status/1760189367929188751


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 7:31 am
blokeuptheroad, ready, matt_outandabout and 3 people reacted
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Ukraine only has two Patriot systems. Imagine what they could do with 10 🤷‍♂️


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 9:39 am
thols2, ready, thols2 and 1 people reacted
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Russia is taking more risks with its airforce, and paying the price.


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 9:57 am
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is this related to the loss of radar sights and awacs planes

Also the patriots seem to be very different beasts to the anti-missile systems they once were!


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 10:12 am
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Russia is taking more risks with its airforce, and paying the price.

Russia is taking more risks all round, they've already announced that they've taken Krynky which is at odds with ISW's assessment. Election next month, innit.
Russia seems to be reducing its advance now although it has personnel and materiel advantages; Ukraine is making them pay a heavy price.

 
Posted : 21/02/2024 10:15 am
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This has appeared in the Observer. It begins with Alexei Navalny's murder, moves to the supply of ammunition from the US and Europe, sanctions, etc.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/feb/17/observer-view-on-alexei-navalny-murder-putin-cant-kill-with-impunity

Yulia Navalnaya has asked the EU to not recognise the forthcoming election result in Russia

Three of the biggest Chinese banks have bowed to increased US and EU sanction pressure that started in January. India had already started to comply. Ukraine needs a boost in materiel to keep the pressure on


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 10:33 am
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Also the patriots seem to be very different beasts to the anti-missile systems they once were!

They started as anti aircraft but got upgraded to anti missile as well.
I think the reason they are thought of as anti missile first is they came to prominence during the first Gulf war where the Iraqi airforce was quickly destroyed and hence they were only needed in the anti scud role.


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 10:54 am
Murray, ChrisL, ChrisL and 1 people reacted
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Suicide eh?

https://twitter.com/RFERL/status/1760264826205458553


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 12:52 pm
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Navalny's murder certainly seems to have reminded everyone just what's at stake and sharpened efforts to accelerate aid to Ukraine.


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 2:56 pm
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    <li style="text-align: left;">youd hope the GOP would get that message

 
Posted : 21/02/2024 3:01 pm
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I think some of the GOP would wish Trump could similarly eliminate his opponents.


 
Posted : 21/02/2024 3:42 pm
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