Should I forgive th...
 

[Closed] Should I forgive the Conservatives?

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punishing the poor for being poor

The political right, I think, believe that anyone can be rich and successful if they work hard and apply themselves. However the logical inverse of this is that if you aren't rich and successful, it's your own fault....


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 5:29 pm
 jimw
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Yes and it's been pointed out to binners before but that doesn't stop him blaming IDS and the Tories

It was when the tories decided to [i]reassess[/i] incapacity benefit to the people already on it rather than to new WCA claimants in 2011 that the problems really started, so both outlooks have merit-Labour introduced it, IDS made it a lot, lot worse for people.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 5:39 pm
 DrJ
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well that's a relief, why would you want them to ruin the country?

Look ma, a typo flame!


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 5:53 pm
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There are various figures bandied around to quantify the loss to the exchequer from tax avoidance. The Guardian reckon £35bn a year

they should know all about offshoring profits after they did it for Autotrader sale proceeds

It was when the tories decided to reassess incapacity benefit to the people already on it rather than to new WCA claimants in 2011 that the problems really started, so both outlooks have merit-Labour introduced it, IDS made it a lot, lot worse for people.

if ATOS is so toxic why is Alan Johnson briefing them about Labours policies?

http://order-order.com/2015/03/30/labour-give-hated-atos-special-accesst-to-plans-for-government/


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 5:55 pm
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When labour introduced different testing for the disabled , it was a revised test for new claims, that effected a small number of people. It was IDS and the Tories that decided to force every claiment, no matter how ill, to be reapraised. Putting them on a random conveyor belt of spurious tests, on an industrial scale.

Mrs Binners was working with a disabled charity at the time, and it was ridiculous. They were telling people with severe disabilities, who struggle to cope in their own homes unaided, to show up for random assessments in towns miles away, then stopping their benefits when they failed to show up. And we're not talking about the odd case either.

IDS is a cold-hearted, callous and uncaring ****!!!

A typical Tory really


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 6:09 pm
 jimw
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Yeah, I take everything Paul Staines says at face value. Oh, just remembered, his blog is hosted offshore isn't it?


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 6:10 pm
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Michael Portillo went to South Wales on one of his Railway Journeys. He was talking to an ex-miner about the strike, and said something like 'Gosh, I didn't realise it meant that much to you'.

FFS.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 6:13 pm
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aracer - Member

Well there are 50 times as many people in the bottom 50% as in the top 1%

I was working with average individual incomes so I'm not sure what your point is?

My point's fairly simple; the richest people in society do pay more than average earnings, but nothing like in proportion to the disparity in wealth. They're not paying more income tax today because we're putting "more weight on the broadest shoulders"- they're paying more income tax because we're putting more money in the biggest pockets.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 6:36 pm
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jimw - Member

Yeah, I take everything Paul Staines says at face value. Oh, just remembered, his blog is hosted offshore isn't it?

I think he is internet troll and can be OTT, as I understand it his blog is hosted overseas to keep it out of the reach of UK litigation

howvever on some issues he is more than happy to go to court, just ask property multimillionaire Emily Thornberry

http://www.cityam.com/212117/labour-mp-emily-thornberry-threatens-guido-fawkes-legal-action-after-buy-let-bust

so are you saying that Alan Johnson isn't meeting ATOS?


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 7:45 pm
 dazh
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I can't forgive the tories for making me feel sorry for Ed Miliband. It would appear the tories are going to fight this election by telling bare-faced lies and launching ever more vicious personal attacks against Miliband. They should be careful, as it could force a lot of ex-labour voters back in to the fold.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 8:29 pm
 jimw
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so are you saying that Alan Johnson isn't meeting ATOS?

No, I don't know either way, but from what I have read Guido is not as independent of the establishment as he would like you to think.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/peteroborne/100289720/revealed-the-guest-list-that-proves-that-guido-fawkes-is-a-certified-member-of-the-tory-establishment/

If, of course you believe all that is written in the established media


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 9:30 pm
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When labour introduced different testing for the disabled , it was a revised test for new claims, that effected a small number of people. It was IDS and the Tories that decided to force every claiment, no matter how ill, to be reapraised. Putting them on a random conveyor belt of spurious tests, on an industrial scale.

Mrs Binners was working with a disabled charity at the time, and it was ridiculous. They were telling people with severe disabilities, who struggle to cope in their own homes unaided, to show up for random assessments in towns miles away, then stopping their benefits when they failed to show up. And we're not talking about the odd case either.


Read [url= http://www.shu.ac.uk/research/cresr/sites/shu.ac.uk/files/incapacity-benefit-reform.pdf ]this[/url] binners ,hardly a sympathetic study but shows again that your assertion is incorrect,bit like your Islington rants 😉 It was a Labour programme,hence the reason why you didn't hear Labour trying to score political points by berating the Tories in the various headline grabbing stories on the subject.ATOS are no longer the provider btw.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 9:44 pm
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I like Ruth Davidson - she seems a generally decent person. God knows what she's doing in the Tory party.

And that's the fundamental problem - no matter what the Tories do to reinvent themselves, they're still the Tories, they can't be forgiven for what they've done. Labour are very, very close to going down the same road.

There's a saying that every political career ends in failure. I wonder if political parties have the same story arc, founded on idealism and for the needs of the common man, but over time taken over by a party machinery that slowly forgets where it came from, until the heart dies and all you have left is a shell of spin and soundbites.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 9:51 pm
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no matter what the Tories do to reinvent themselves, they're still the Tories, they can't be forgiven for what they've done.

Not even that. It's not about holding grudges, it's that they are Tories, and I am not. They believe things that I don't think are very nice. If they didn't, they wouldn't be Tories by definition.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 10:04 pm
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Yes, which is kind-of my thing with Ruth Davidson - she joined the party so must agree with most of it's views.

Though there is the cuckoo-in-the-nest thing, the perfect example of which was Tony Blair.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 10:07 pm
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Based on the plethora of "red princes" in line for cushy seats this general election it looks like Labour are planning an alternative labour version of the house of lords before they disappear into their shell of spin and soundbites


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 10:14 pm
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surroundedbyhills - Member
I'm Scottish too, what's a Tory?

Plenty of them in scotland.

What, Scots?


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 11:17 pm
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bencooper - Member
.......no matter what the Tories do to reinvent themselves, they're still the Tories, they can't be forgiven for what they've done. Labour are very, very close to going down the same road.

So if the tories came back and tried to deliver things you agreed with you would still never vote for them? At times we need to remember that past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

If you go too far down that route then you might run out of people to vote for.


 
Posted : 30/03/2015 11:46 pm
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[quote=Northwind ]I was working with average individual incomes so I'm not sure what your point is?

Not for the "So the top 1% pays proportionally 3 times more income tax on average" bit you weren't. All of them put together pay 3 times more than all of the bottom 50% put together. You can't do one bit on their combined contribution and one bit on their average income and expect to make a useful comparison.

If you want to do it that way, then on average the top 1% pay 150 times as much income tax as the bottom 50%. Whilst earning 14.5 times as much on average. So on average they pay 10 times as high a proportion of their income in income tax.

My point's fairly simple; the richest people in society do pay more than average earnings, but nothing like in proportion to the disparity in wealth.

Well yes they do, far more so, as I just showed. The only reason I can see for your assertion is that you're doing earnings as an average and income tax contribution as cumulative, which makes no sense at all. Whether 10 times as high a proportion of income in tax is a high enough proportion is another question, but your assertion is basically incorrect.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:04 am
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The argument here seems to be "look at all this money rich people pay. It's A LOT." Yes, it is.

But they can afford it. Poor people can't.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 5:46 am
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My argument? It's that Northwind is comparing apples with oranges. I'm not saying anything about whether the amount high earners pay is enough.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:25 am
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So if the tories came back and tried to deliver things you agreed with you would still never vote for them? At times we need to remember that past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

No, because they're Tories - can't trust them farther than you can throw them.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:32 am
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And I know this means might run out of parties to vote for - that's no reason to vote for a party you don't believe in or trust.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:33 am
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The gobshite was just on the today program, if I hear the sound bite [i]hard working families[/i] much more I'm likely to spontaneously combust.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:39 am
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Yes, that's seriously annoying too - I aim to avoid hard work as much as possible, who's going to represent me?


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:42 am
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I had to switch it off when he was asked about his welfare cuts [ IFS have asked them to explain where 12 billion of cuts are coming from and they have declined] and he just talked about labours plans instead

Its a special talent to talk without either saying anything or answering the question. I am not sure whey we dont just shout at them ANSWER THE ****ING QUESTION WILL YOU

All politicians do it is was just Daves turn today.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:44 am
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Yep, I work the bare minimum to pay the bills/living expenses then spend the rest of the time doing stuff that makes me happy.

I'm a [i]work shy singleton[/i], who's representing me? 😀


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:47 am
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bencooper - Member
...And that's the fundamental problem - no matter what the Tories do to reinvent themselves, they're still the Tories, they can't be forgiven for what they've done. Labour are very, very close to going down the same road...

I don't dislike the real Tories, they do what they say on the tin and basically stick to party principles.

I do dislike the Red Tories and the Yellow Tories though. Their ingredients aren't what they say they are and they have long forgotten what a principle is.

As for taxing the rich, they are like grass and benefit from a mowing every now and then. Just spread a bit of fertiliser and a new crop pops up. 🙂


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:50 am
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Yes, there's that - you know what you're getting with the Tories.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 7:53 am
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Not true - lot of examples of Tories being quite the opposite of how they are painted - check out their history of government spending etc.

But this is why IMO the whole party labels are unhelpful and I refer back to comments on Rachel Reeves and Ed Balls - very bright capable people who are constrained by the nonsense of party politics.

While Wallace continues to misdiagnose the reasons why we had a crisis and why we have a cost-of-living issue, some of the Labour team gets it but are constrained from addressing the issues by party dogma. Great article in FT today on this very point.

The cost-of-living issue as an example is solved by addressing the underlying cause - our terrible productivity record. Wallace's instinct is to address this through intervention and artificial wages. In contrast, Balls recognises that we need genuine supply side reforms which is why business can work with him. Of course, this gets labelled red tory etc which is tosh.

Interestingly, the main supply-side reform proponent in Europe right now is Hollande, not that it is getting him far.

But if it takes red tories to address the real issues then so be it. I am agnostic to the parties, its the policies that matter. And at the end of day, the requirements to address UK challenges transcend politics anyway


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 8:30 am
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Tax and stuff ...

As tmh, myself and others have pointed out numerous times higher rates of tax frequently result in reduced tax collections as people change their behaviour (ie how they work, how they are paid, where they are based). There is a significant tipping point around 50% as its phycologically very significant if you receive half or less of the amount you earn. Again as I have posted before the rise in UK taxes to 50% was a big part of me relocating abroad for 2 years.

The argument, "they can afford it", is not the correct way to think about it. The high earners are generally the most able to change the way they are paid (eg the ones who run their own businesses) or where they are located (they have the financial rescources and flexibility to move abroad)

As for the 1% vs 50% stuff above think about it like this

Someone on 250k (bottom of 1%) will pay around £150k in employee and employer taxes plus (guestimate) 15k in VAT = total tax take about 165k or 66%

Someone on 17k (Northwind's figure) will pay around 2.5k in employee and employer taxes plus 1k in VAT = total tax take around 3.5k or 21%

Also someone on 17k probably has access to welfare payments and in any case benefits from NHS services which are paid for by others, lots of significant side benefits.

So in my example the higher earner pays 47 times more tax and a rate of treble that of the lower earner

Tax Avoidance - the problem with this its legal and actively encouraged by Ireland and Luxembourg etc etc. Under Junker Luxembourg has become one of the wealthiest countries in the EU by actively encouraging abuse of EU tax legislation by encouraging businesses to be based there and cutting special deals on corporate taxes. Anyway my point is if this mythical £35bn was realistically collectable one of the prior governments would have done something about it.

JY - The Tories have given far more detail about where their cuts will come from than have Labour (who will also make cuts just not as large). The fact is in an election the parties are very vague about spending details.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 8:33 am
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I am agnostic to the parties

The SNP breathes a huge sigh of relief at this breaking news 😉

As tmh, myself and others have pointed out numerous times higher rates of tax frequently result in reduced tax collections

So it not always then...so we can tax more and get more..Its good to know that lets hope we get it right eh. Its also fair to say you are amongst the more right wing business Tory orientated posters on here [ lets take it as a given you and THM will dispute this]

As for cuts take that up with the impartial IFS rather than me as they are the ones asking. FWIW your answer was the same as Daves - deflect to Labour and say they are worse. Whether this is true or false is irrelevant as it does not answer the question of where a Tory govt will make the cuts. Given I did it in caps lock I am not sure why you missed this point that this does not answer the question 😕

The tax cuts one is an interesting point as there is some truth that raising tax leads to avoidance [ needs to be massively high IMHO] However if we say increased speeding to 85 on the Mway and 40 in towns we would get less folk speeding. I cannot think of another policy area where we do policy based on avoidance rather than what is correct.Perhaps there is one?

I also think you overstate how flexible folk are in relocating. IMHO not everyone is like you.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 8:36 am
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[quote=Junkyard ]So it not always then.

The trick is knowing when 😉


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 8:42 am
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Thankfully we have economist to let us know these truth eh 😉
This thread needs TJ and the laffer curve IMHO


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 8:45 am
 MSP
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This thread needs TJ and the laffer curve IMHO

Only after THM has claimed to be a left winger.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 8:48 am
 Solo
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[i] molgrips - Member

But they can afford it.[/i]

Since experiencing a mild sense of amusement after reading that statement. I do find myself questioning the moral integrity of those who think they are entitled to judge what others can "afford".
While also remarking upon the slight whiff of hypocrisy regarding that statement, on this occasion.

Something that still surprizes me is the obsession of the left to continue to strive to make [i]rich[/i] folk poorer in order to hand out fresh fish to the poor.
It's the answer of the myopic simpleton.

Forgive the Conservatives? On the basis of what makes a Conservative, possibly. On the basis that regardless of the colour of the tie they wear, they are all politicians. Certainly not!
There are good people working in Government and there are bad people working in Government.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 8:55 am
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[quote=Solo ]Something that still surprizes me is the obsession of the left to continue to strive to make rich folk [b]poorer[/b] in order to hand out [b]fresh fish[/b] to the poor.

I prefer the terms "slightly less rich" and "enough to survive" (and I'm not a lefty).


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:01 am
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according to that 4x4 matrix I am a LW libertarian!!

the last thing we need is a false debate on a laffer curve


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:02 am
 dazh
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Also someone on 17k probably has access to welfare payments and in any case benefits from NHS services which are paid for by others, lots of significant side benefits.

Wow! Lucky them. Your attempt to paint a picture of the downtrodden, persecuted high achiever is worthy of Cameron himself. You do realise NHS 'benefits' are available to the rich as well as poor?


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:05 am
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the obsession of the left to continue to strive to make rich folk poorer in order to hand out fresh fish to the poor.

Even the myopic simpletons in the bleeding heart left that is the republican party [ or UKIP] agree with redistributive taxes or taxing the rich at a higher rate than the poor.
I assume its something we all basically agree on [ bar a tiny minority] and all we are really doing is discussing at what % and where rich starts


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:08 am
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[quote=Junkyard ]where rich starts

Well that definition is usually an easy one...


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:13 am
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So if the tories came back and tried to deliver things you agreed with you would still never vote for them? At times we need to remember that past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

Have you had a look at the present Tory party? Are you seriously saying that theres even the remotest likelihood that Dave and chums are suddenly going to discover some previously unknown social conscience, and a burning desire to create a genuinely meritocratic and fair society?

Do you remember Dave 'detoxifying the Tory Brand' - hugging hoodies, and staring into the middle distance, with a dog, , while claiming to be the greenest government ever. It was all really really believable, wasn't it?

[img] [/img]

They are what they are.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:17 am
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Party politics seems to be choosing the colour and some of the spec of your political vehicle without actually being able to change make or model, basically same car slightly altered. There doesn't seem to be any credible alternative to the main parties on paper and in practice even less so. They promise much but when elected simply blame their inaction and failure to deliver promises on the mess left by the previous encumbents. If the booths at my local election hall reached the floor I'd wipe my arse with my ballot.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:26 am
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If the booths at my local election hall reached the floor I'd wipe my arse with my ballot.

Joolsburger wins the internet today!


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:34 am
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Do you remember Dave 'detoxifying the Tory Brand' - hugging hoodies, and staring into the middle distance, with a dog, , while claiming to be the greenest government ever. It was all really really believable, wasn't it?

He may well have meant it, but the party is still run by the 1922 committee who still haven't got over the abolishment of slavery and giving women the vote!


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 9:45 am
 Solo
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I didn't intend to post again, however, seeing as most folk appear to be playing nice.

Someone posted about teaching a Man to fish. Continuing that point, I feel it's offensive to anyone in FTE, to hand them Gov financed "top-up" benefit in addition to their wage.

I see this mechanism as Gov subsidizing share holder dividend/ROI. I dislike the fact that folk might work a 40hr week and still not manage to pay for an [b]acceptable[/b] lifestyle from their own, hard earned, income, free from Gov assistance in the form of state benefits.

Were I in a position to do so, then rather than select the lazy option, just sit back and elevate taxation to fund handing out top-up benefits to the FTE. I'd like to explore the effect of somehow trying to address the apparent flaw in pay structures so as to enable those in FTE to realize their total income, through their "pay packet" alone.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 10:23 am
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I feel it's offensive to anyone in FTE, to hand them Gov financed "top-up" benefit in addition to their wage.

It's all part of increasing inequality. Subsidise share holders by allowing them to pay below living wage and then tax the middle classes to pay for tax credit subsidies to be given to the lowest paid so they can afford to eat / have families.

Would be much more sensible to just up the minimum wage, but that would cost shareholders, which is a big no no as they fund the establishment (to maintain / increase inequality).


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 10:32 am
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The tax credit system has just pushed wages down and decreased mobility at the bottom, whilst effectively creating a massively expensive to administer system by which literally of £tens of billions of fraud and overpayments have taken place - the cumulative total of these is more than the cost of the NHS for a whole year.

This shouldn't really come as a surprise though - the 2 lead contractors on the project to design / implement it repeatedly raised these risks as the design was being finalised- Gordon Brown and John Prescott (in his role of ODPM) ploughed on though and a decade down the line the effects are clear for all to see.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 10:51 am
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by which literally of £tens of billions of fraud and overpayments have taken place - the cumulative total of these is more than the cost of the NHS for a whole year.

You sure?

UK government figures for 2012 estimate benefits overpaid due to fraud is £1.2 billion and tax credit fraud is £380 million. So just under £1.6 billion in total; less than 1% of the overall benefits and tax credits expenditure and less than benefits underpaid and overpaid due to error.

http://www.cas.org.uk/features/myth-busting-real-figures-benefit-fraud


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:10 am
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a massively expensive to administer system by which literally of £tens of billions of fraud and overpayments have taken place - the cumulative total of these is more than the cost of the NHS for a whole year.

Credible source for this claim please

NHS budget is £150 billion iirc
Tax credits entire budget was only £30 billion for 2010-11

That seems a most unlikely claim

EDIT: Must type faster as footflaps was there first.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:17 am
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I see this mechanism as Gov subsidizing share holder dividend/ROI. I dislike the fact that folk might work a 40hr week and still not manage to pay for an acceptable lifestyle from their own, hard earned, income, free from Gov assistance in the form of state benefits.

I'm in total agreement.

Tax Credits do seem like a method to socialise the hidden cost of a low wage economy

The problem is elasticity of supply in the labour market though, which dare i mention it is driven by immigration as well as local labour markets.

While there are people willing to stack Tesco's shelves for minimum wage there is no upward pressure on wages for this type of low skilled work.

It then falls to government to enforce minimum pay and it would seem given the amount of in-work benefits being paid that this should be higher.

£6.50 an hour - which is roughly £13k for a full time year seems pretty poor

Upping the minimum wage puts money in the pocket of people more likely to spend it too, helping to drive consumption


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:18 am
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Upping the minimum wage puts money in the pocket of people more likely to spend it too, helping to drive consumption

Ahh but have you not heard of trickle down economics?

Rather than give the poor a living wage you give the multi-millionaires all the money in the entire economy and it trickles down to the poor...

It's the basis of the Tory economic plan.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:22 am
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This lot aren't really tories, they're just a bunch of middle managers with an aristocracy jealousy complex.

They want to be rich, and they want their friends to be rich, and that's the start middle and finish of their lives narrative. They and the people like them measure their self worth [u]solely[/u] by their bank balances, they think that's what makes them happy, the hoarding and spending (Only ever in competition with their friends) of money. They don't really care about anything else, because they "understand" that money brings with it the need NOT to stand in line, or to free themselves from mixing with "the other" (anyone without money, or that doesn't share their attitudes to money)

Politically they cannot abide the fact that some people should be helped, because despite all the benefits they themselves have had that has come from society, they cannot and will not see that truth. They are simply blind to it. They have a narrative that they share amongst themselves they THEY alone are the creators of their own success, and believe wholeheartedly that they alone should benefit from that.

selfish, narrow minded, and reactive.

No one with an ounce of social consciousness should tolerate them, let alone vote for them.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:39 am
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JY today must be that day where we agree with each other.

Yes agreed higher taxes don't always mean less tax is collected, I phrased my post deliberately that way. I would agree I am one of the more right of center, pro business posters here.

On the employment / location flexibility yes you are probably right a lot of people couldn't move countries but as we are talking about the 1% or 2% who might be impacted by a top rate tax change you don't need many to move to have an impact. With the example I used above one 250k earner pays the same tax as 47 people on 17k. Plus then you have all the behavioral changes for people running their own businesses, investing less, moving money around rather than paying it to themselves.

Tax Avoidance ..

I feel compelled to mention the case of Dale Vince a Labour donor and wind farm entrepreneur who was unable to explain his tax status / avoidance techniques on Newsnight (he outright denied he was a tax avoider). He paid himself via a £3m loan, that's taxed as a benefit in kind depending on the interest rate (which he conveniently couldn't recall as he's not a financial expert 😉 ). If we assume the rate is 2% below market then tax due is roughly £30k pa. That compares with about £1.5m-£2m tax due if he'd been paid normally. Now eventually the full amount of tax will be due on the loan but you can keep deferring that year after year whilst enjoying the use of the money.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:47 am
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Tax Credits do seem like a method to socialise the hidden cost of a low wage economy

The problem is elasticity of supply in the labour market though, which dare i mention it is driven by immigration as well as local labour markets.

Indeed. And thats why the labour party won't have an EU referendum, why the Tory's won't either, no matter what they say at present, and why even UKIP wouldn't actually do anything about it, if it came down to it either.

All the main parties corporate funders demand a constant supply of cheap labour to keep wage costs down to an absolute minimum. And open door immigration supplies this in droves.

With the Tory's, you just expect them to represent corporate interests. Its what they do. But labour? Uppity northern labour MP's like Simon Danzuk have tried repeatedly to point out to the party leadership that the reality of immigration in their core constituencies, is wages being driven relentlessly down for their traditional voters . But Ed (as on a lot of subjects) doesn't want to engage with the reality of the situation, and just parrots the same thing. That immigration is a 'positive' thing as it provides cheap Lithuanian nannies, and Polish builders who can do a good cheap job of your new extension, as there a 15 of them living in a 3 bedroom house.

As a result of this, labour are going to hemorrhage massive amounts of votes to UKIP in their previously 'safe' seats (as they did in the Middleton by-election) as Nigel is shrewdly targeting exactly these disillusioned voters, who are still being ignored by - as Simon Danzuk refers to them - Hampstead Heath Labour


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:48 am
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Upping the minimum wage puts money in the pocket of people more likely to spend it too, helping to drive consumption

So does consumption go up? Or does it stay the same because the cost base is now higher and everything they bought previously is now more expensive?


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:49 am
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So does consumption go up? Or does it stay the same because the cost base is now higher and everything they bought previously is now more expensive?

Things would only be more expensive if you maintained dividends at the same rate. If you made the wage increase neutral, prices wouldn't need to rise.

Plus, employers tend to look at staff as an asset more when they pay them higher wages and so they might invest in increasing productivity, so prices could actually fall.

It's not a simple linear relationship.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:56 am
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@richmtb, there are indeed along line of students who are prepared to stack shelves for £6.50 an hour. There are also a whole range of cash in hand jobs you can do for double that rate. You can start your own business and work all hours and make far less. However my point is that within the EU there are a large number of countries with much lower wages, so those people will either travel here to do the work (and live more simply than the Brits will tolerate) of they will do the work in their home country and export the goods to the UK.

I am in favour of higher min wage and wider enforcement of a living wage which co-incidentally neither should be uniform across the country and a significant reduction in the use of zero hour contracts. However, the impact of such changes are material on employment levels.

@nickc - you need to get your head round the fact that without a vibrant economy social programmes, NHS etc are unaffordable. I have always found it interesting that a country like the US which is made up of economic migrants most who arrived with nothing is materially more right wing than the UK and the rest of Europe.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 11:57 am
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I wish both the media and politicians stopped pushing the myth that we the electorate are voting for who is in government and the Prime Minister. WE DONT

We vote for a single local MP. Once elected that MP can sit with any party or non they choose and vote however they see fit. It is each parties machine to decide who is the Prime Minister by whatever means it chooses. It is possible, though unlikely, that the Party Leader doesnt get elected as the local MP so cant be prime minister even if their party forms the next government.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:02 pm
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Plus, employers tend to look at staff as an asset more when they pay them higher wages and so they might invest in increasing productivity, so prices could actually fall.

Though the law of unintended consequences also applies, especially in this age of technology - pushing the wage cost up may draw it nearer to the break point where it becomes economically sensible to replace staff with automation, they quite literally price themselves out of a job.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:06 pm
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[i]I have always found it interesting that a country like the US which is made up of economic migrants most who arrived with nothing is materially more right wing than the UK and the rest of Europe.[/i]

because they worship at the feet of money, you only have to spend a small length of time to see what happens to a country that's being run by and on behalf of the wealthy white middle class folk....That's only ever been run by the white wealthy middle class white folk...You can hardly blame people for seeing only one way out of their predicament.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:09 pm
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All the main parties corporate funders demand a constant supply of cheap labour to keep wage costs down to an absolute minimum. And open door immigration supplies this in droves.

@binners but controlled immigration could do exactly the same thing, there would still be droves of potential immigrants applying to come into the country.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:11 pm
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@nickc - Indeed I worked there for 3 years but its the world's most successful economy, they must be doing something right ?


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:12 pm
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Depends on your criteria.. Making filthy amounts of cash for a minority isn't high on my list of national aims.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:14 pm
 Solo
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I believe I've seen two suggestions to my earlier point. Increase the MW or enhance/permit "trickle down".

The more I look at it, the more complex it becomes. I'm not convinced with TDE, but I wouldn't discount it if I could see that it would really work. Raising the MW will send ripples through the economy, not least it would have an impact on inflation. My concern with MW is it appears to have the potential to turn whichever state/economy that introduces it. Into a less attractive place to build a business, when considered in comparison with alternative places where there may be no MW at all. Even if the person who starts/owns the business has a sufficient sense of social responsibility to ensure the employees are paid correctly. Who's to say that company may not suffer from not being able to attract investment?

I'll engage with the immigration comments as far as, I don't care about where you move to. If you decide to go somewhere to participate and to contribute, why shouldn't you be welcome?
However, from an economic perspective, the law of supply and demand would appear to be in operation. So, where it might be philosophically attractive to invite the world to come live next door. Common sense would appear to dictate that your new neighbours will have the same obligation as you, to contribute on all levels, ecomonically and socially.

Not sure how we got onto the subject of MW, specifically, something to do with free fish, maybe.

Frankly there's loads to either agree with or hold against any of the political parties, besides the inescapable truth... Haters gonna hate.

[i] Junkyard - lazarus

I assume its something we all basically agree on [ bar a tiny minority] and all we are really doing is discussing at what % and where rich starts [/i]
Yes and maybe.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:24 pm
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I worked there for 3 years but its the world's most successful economy, they must be doing something right ?

When china inevitably overtakes them will the same thing apply?


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:28 pm
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[i]but its the world's most successful economy[/i]

If by successful you mean "forcing every other country at gunpoint to use it's currency as reserve and then getting rich by printing money..." then yeah, I see what you mean...


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:28 pm
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[i]wealthy white middle class folk[/i]
Oh, ok then, I've no time for distinction based on skin colour, so I'm out.

Have fun.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:29 pm
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Yes agreed higher taxes don't always mean less tax is collected

oh heck, we will get on to laffer curves - or taxable income elasticity as it should be called.

Raising the MW without increasing productivity increases inequality - labour markets 101 - that's the (lack-of-joined up) thinking where Miliband excels. Great soundbite, crap policy.

Oh heck 2 - migration alerts. Thank good ness there isn't a shall I forgive UKIP thread for allowing such BS to become part of the accepted narrative!!


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:48 pm
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When china inevitably overtakes them will the same thing apply?

They are both doing something right, different things in different ways. China has 1.2 billion people and low wage costs. Strictly speaking it had low wages costs, its now more expensive than many in the region.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:51 pm
 DrJ
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Laffer curve - typical economist thinking - take two fixed points at 0 and 100% tax rates, and pretend you know how the complex non linear system behaves between them


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:55 pm
 DrJ
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What is the US doing right? Well, starting off in a huge resource-rich country with only a few poorly armed residents is a good start.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 12:57 pm
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Laffer curve - typical economist thinking - take two fixed points at 0 and 100% tax rates, and pretend you know how the complex non linear system behaves between them

No they don't, that's the point. But don't let that stop you dismissing the concept and missing the crux of the issue....


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:00 pm
 DrJ
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Yeah, right.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:07 pm
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So doc, please enlighten those of us in the wilderness, how do you decide where to set the marginal rate of tax?

what things need to be taken into account?


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:13 pm
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Many of ??????’s business-related proposals focus on changing the supply side of the UK economy — how its labour market, education and training system, and financial framework operate. They also emphasise the importance of increasing the level of competition within industries.

Guess which party?

And guess what comes next?


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:22 pm
 grum
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@nickc - Indeed I worked there for 3 years but its the world's most successful economy, they must be doing something right ?

That must be of great comfort to those who have no healthcare or basic welfare.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:27 pm
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No offence THM, but given the total failure of economists (or just about anyone) to spot the 2008 crash before it happened, you're reputation for understanding how economies really work isn't looking that shiny....


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:47 pm
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Non taken, since the premise is flawed. Many (including the BOE) saw what was coming and the bright ones made a lot of money out of it.

Indeed the Deputy Chancellor was also schooled in a way which told him exactly what was happening. He, like the Gov of BOE, chose to ignore the laws of economics

Ditto, the economic destruction of S Europe is/was utterly predictable.

Politicians can overrule economics in the ST but economics wins in the end (every time).


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 1:53 pm
 DrJ
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So doc, please enlighten those of us in the wilderness, how do you decide where to set the marginal rate of tax?

what things need to be taken into account?

Err .. after you Claude - you are the one claiming that economists have got the economy all figured out.

However, to get the ball rolling - the notion that there is a tax rate at which the revenue is highest is, well, self evident, but the idea that the curve defining the revenue as a function of rate can be predicted, and is a simple curve is naive at best. There is no reason why this curve should be constant over time, between countries, or have only one maximum, and indeed there is no empirical evidence that it is so.


 
Posted : 31/03/2015 2:00 pm
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