Please may someone explain to me why this no fly zone would be a bad thing for Gudaffi and such a positive thing for the world?
Does it basically mean no planes can fly over Libya? Why is this met with opposition in the USA?
Many thanks
Chris
It would mean that he couldn't use his airforce to attack civilians (or anyone) as they'd be legitimately engaged and likely shot down by UN sanctioned aircraft (probably US ones but under the mandate of the UN rather than off their own backs as in Iraq).
The US are very wary of getting involved without explicit UN backing because of Iraq/etc and don't want to risk (more) negative feeling against themselves as the region is in a period of change which could well lead to them having less control in the area.
It's a military no fly zone, meaning he can't use his air force, any military aircraft would be at risk of being shot down be whoever polices the no fly zone.
That combined with the fact that to patrol it, you'd need to take out any of Libya's air defences, means you are pretty much attacking Libya with military force, which is a big step.
I thought they were the lower-class parts of town, where everyone wears tracksuit bottoms.
Yep, any aircraft would be shot out of the sky.
I worry that Gadaffi would break out the field guns and mortars which are even more indiscriminate.
Unless he leaves of his own accord this will be a very messy and difficult civil war.
What Andituk said.
It essentially breaks down that no aircraft whatsoever can fly over libyan airspace apart from UN sanctioned patrols. Any aircraft in violation of this is either escorted to a UN base or shot down if not responsive.
To set it up would require the disabling of libyan air defences and also close monitoring on the ground of any mobile air defences.
And the unintended consequence will be that we suspect he's filled a commercial airliner with mercenaries (because he will plant intelligence to lead us to that conclusion) we shoot it down, only to find it full of foreign workers trying to get home.
And that will leave the score at one-all.
Replay to be held back at Lockerbie.
Lockerbie was nothing to do with Libya tho.
Lockerbie was nothing to do with Libya tho.
Think that will need some further explanation!
Nothing to do with Abdelbaset al-Megrahi, maybe. But try telling that to Yvonne Fletcher.
It was Iran in revenge for the shooting down of one of their airliners shortly before. Or more specifically the Iranian-based Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command
No credible evidence linking it to Libya, no motive. Plenty of credible evidence for it being this bunch of loonies.
Lots of unanswered questions. The whole thing was a massive stitch up by the UK and US authorities.
http://lockerbiecase.blogspot.com/2009/08/by-tam-dalyell-former-labour-mp-for.html
http://www.lockerbietruth.com/
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article2009603.ece
It was Iran in revenge for the shooting down of one of their airliners shortly before. Or more specifically the Iranian-based Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General CommandNo credible evidence linking it to Libya, no motive. Plenty of credible evidence for it being this bunch of loonies.
Lots of unanswered questions. The whole thing was a massive stitch up by the UK and US authorities.
One of the MANY conspiracy theories being banded about.
LHS - I am no conspiracy theorist but having followed this closely from the beginning I am certain that is the truth.
You're entitled to believe what you want. But to say that Libya had nothing to do with it is IMPO incorrect when there is evidence linking the sale of the micro-switch detonator to libyan "officials" and evidence that a libyan was paid $10m to design and build the bomb. There are links through to Iran certainly, especially on the funding side, but to say Libya was not involved is incorrect IMPO.
LHS - those are two of the non credible pieces of evidence - read the Jim Swires site.
It's my understanding that what a "no fly zone" actually means, is destroying the "enemies" means to fly, so planes, airbases, anti-aircraft placements etc would all be targetted first, to allow our planes to patrol.
EDIT: So the reluctance is because it is basically a miltary attack on a (another) foreign power. The US are reluctant to lead, not reluctant to be involved however.
I am familiar with Dr Swires site and beliefs.
Still got 3 months to live it seems..... 😯
so when a 'no fly zone' is put into place then Libya will be looking to destroy the enemy planes...
Kev
"No Fly Zone" is the new name for the RAF & Navy.
A ban on bluebottles, tetse etc midges and gnats are allowed.
While reading up on Wikipedia, I've just noticed that Disney World, Florida has a no fly zone round it. 😀
No flies - ace. Now they just need no wasps and they'll be sorted.
While reading up on Wikipedia, I've just noticed that Disney World, Florida has a no fly zone round it.
Wonder if they were attacked and had any aircraft destroyed beforehand?
we suspect he's filled a commercial airliner with mercenaries (because he will plant intelligence to lead us to that conclusion) we shoot it down, only to find it full of foreign workers trying to get home.
The crafty ****er plans to fool our intelligence service ...........have you told MI6 ?
After the recent cockups, the last thing our boys need is another embarrassing situation which needs explaining.
Watch out LHS - TJ is about to state categorically that he's right, you're wrong and that you don't understand. You mark my words 😉
......because he read it on the interweb
(you missed that bit out)
I think its absolutely discusting that a 'No Fly Zone' is being talked about.
Basically its tountermount to declaring war on Libya. However because we in the west are civilised we get legal permission to do it through the UN. Does Libya currently have representation at the UN, will they want to sanction a war on themselves?
What a load of b@llocks.
Also what were the SAS doing in Libya. Escorting a diplomat, obviously not they are not going to tell the public the truth why they were there. I would have thought the real reason would be to blow a few bits and bats of Colonel Gaddafi stuff up and help the up rising.
All very western and civilised ay.
I am familiar with Dr Swires site and beliefs.Still got 3 months to live it seems.....
How long does this guy have to live? Quite a while probably
I think its absolutely discusting [i](sic)[/i] that a 'No Fly Zone' is being talked about.
You're right of course the civilised nations of the world should stand idly by while Gaddafi use strike aircraft and helicopter gunships against civilians.
Visualise a situation where during the Northern Ireland troubles the UN/States/Libya or anyone for that matter imposed no fly zone on us. Whats the difference?
Of course the real crime that Gaddafi has committed is causing instability in a country where we have significant commercial interests by refusing to go quietly - we don't normally give much of a shit about people bombing their own citizens.
its pointless really
gaddaffi has mostly been using tanks and mortars anyway
just a way of keeping tubthumping hawks happy, did anyone see john mcains interview on newsnight yesterday- ****t
arguably the no fly zone thing can work when his holiness tony blair pushed for air intervention against serbia it probably stopped further genocide
i suspect the cia are trying to find proxy intermediaries to pass weapons on to the rebels to fight a proxy war against poxy gaddafi
-lets hope they have better intelligence than the sas
the danger is that politicians instigating unpopular domestic policies want to be seen to be 'doing something' on the international stage
The imposition of a fly zone over amother country means you are seeking to control that country. A subtle way of saying you are going to invade.
Should we be getting involved with Libya?
The Middle East is going to be an even more brutal place to live in the coming years.
Culturally, they tell us we don't understand them, but there's 20% unemployment and half the 50 million population of Lybia is under 18. One could argue that the culture is the problem!
In the West, the overwhelming majority don't replicate so frequently. We simply can't afford too many children. Western population is in decline.
Pan over to developing countries, due to fears of high mortality rates in youngsters and the cultural behavior of having as many babies as you can to secure your wellbeing in old age, in Libya you end up with most of the 10 million unemployed rioting on the streets.
Dictatorship regimes rule in the Middle East. How many of the 21 coutries have democracy? Name one Arab country other than Egypt? Gadaffi is a tyrant who is happy to kncok people off if he feels they are dissenting in any way. People are intimidated by him, but deep down want him gone.
Western democracy is far from perfect, but at least the leaders have a little bit of accountability to the people.
Religion is a big issue there too and this is a whole subject in itself.
Personally, I think we should butt out and not get involved in anymore conflicts in the Middle East. All Britain is doing is wasting money it doesn't have and storing up trouble for us normal people further down the line. With people like Tony Blair being involved, we no longer have any moral credibility in these regions (if we ever did have any).
It's the oil that is the problem and dictators like Gadaffi aren't known for sharing the wealth. Even though Libya only produce a small percentage of total output, the western world's dependency on oil gives us a strong motivation to remain involved
With all that black gold spilling out of the ground, imagine what the Arab World would be like if they had a more modern outlook on how to build an economy.
is it all part of a plan to buy back the weaponry that the west has provided Lybia with, in an unused state at a bargain price ?
"want to be seen to be 'doing something' on the international stage"
Yep waisting even more money we have got.
I think its absolutely disgusting that a 'No Fly Zone' is being talked about.
It's unlikely to receive UN backing because of opposition from countries such as Russia, which know that the claims Libyan fighters are targeting civilians are just false Western/rebel propaganda.
Russian does not support Gaddafi - they have called for his departure and condemned him :
[url= http://en.rian.ru/world/20110225/162759106.html ]Russia condemns Libya over use of force against civilians[/url]
But Russia also claims that there is no evidence the Libyan air force has been targeting civilians :
The claims that Gaddafi has been using foreign mercenaries are also false propaganda. Which probably explains why it is rarely mentioned now - compared to when the "story" first broke.
In essence, the Western media/rebels can make any claim they wish concerning Gaddafi, and most people will believe the bollox along with the truth. It doesn't make it all true however.
Visualise a situation where during the Northern Ireland troubles the UN/States/Libya or anyone for that matter imposed no fly zone on us. Whats the difference?
I must have missed the bit where we used harriers and tornados to bomb innocent protesting civilians.
🙄
I must have missed the bit where we used harriers and tornados to bomb innocent protesting civilians.
Maybe the Chinese population heard about those incidents ?
Russian does not support Gaddafi
Russia also claims that there is no evidence the Libyan air force has been targeting civilians
Given that they're happy to supply tanks, anti aircraft systems and aircraft, the Russians are hardly opposing the regime (the same position as the EU ) and at the same time, I can see why they might not want to imagine their jets being used against civillians.
Russian does not support Gaddafi
Hmmm, I must have mis-read that $1.8billion arms deal that they signed last year!
Hmmm, I must have missed that $1.8billion arms deal that they signed last year!
So that means we support him too then? 🙄
Not convinced by ernie's conspiracy theory tbh but really....
Given that they're happy to supply tanks, anti aircraft systems and aircraft, the Russians are hardly opposing the regime
Why would the Russians not oppose a leader on his way out ? Why would they not throw their weight behind the rebels in the hope of currying favour with the future leaders of Libya ?
It is an indisputable fact that Russia has condemned Gaddafi and called for his departure.
However, I suspect that the Russian are fully aware that the West is up to no good in Libya, and don't intend to help them with false propaganda. The battle ground appears to be oil installations - how strange.
I can see why they might not want to imagine their jets being used against civillians.
😕 I thought the accusation centred heavily on French supplied Mirage F1s ?
We've pretty much now committed to get rid of Gadaffi with all of our condemnation. If he stays now, and that's not beyond channce, we're going to look very silly trying to negotiate with this madman now. If he takes back control of enough of the country are we gonna roll in for 'regime change'?
I must have missed the bit where we used harriers and tornados to bomb innocent protesting civilians.
We didn't, but then what evidence do you have the Gadaffi has? They aren't actually that effective in a counter insurgency role anyway. What he has been doing however is taking out his own arms dumps to stop them being used by the rebels. That apart, we did use helicopters in NI (they fly too you know) and did you miss the bit about bloody Sunday when we shot innocent protestors? The irony being that those actions exacerbated the conflict and eventually drove the IRA to seek external support from the likes of Gaddafi, who apparently saw them as freedom fighters against an oppressive colonial government.
The overall point being that one mans freedom fighter is anothers terrorist, and its not for us to decide which is which were it doesn't concern us directly. Personally, I think we should keep our noses well out of it, except insomuch that we might chose to contribute in a humanitarian sense.
I thought the accusation centred heavily on French supplied Mirage F1s ?
Lybia has ordered Russian replacements
we might chose to contribute in a humanitarian sense
To stop people being killed you mean?
LHS - MemberRussian does not support Gaddafi
Hmmm, I must have mis-read that $1.8billion arms deal that they signed last year!
What a stupid comment - why would Russia be unable to sell arms to a "non-Gaddafi" Libya ?
And as already suggested :
[url= http://www.indiatalkies.com/2011/02/libyan-forces-western-arms-deal-anti-gaddafi-protestors-eu.html ]Libyan forces using western arms to deal with anti- Gaddafi protestors: EU[/url]
[url= http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/mar/01/eu-arms-exports-libya ]EU arms exports to Libya: who armed Gaddafi?[/url]
So using the same logic, does the EU support Gaddafi ?
Or doesn't it work like that ?
why would Russia be unable to sell arms to a "non-Gaddafi" Libya ?
Hmmm, maybe, just maybe Gaddafi's successor might not be a lunatic who is willing to spend so much on arms. Just a thought.
So using the same logic, does the EU support Gaddafi ?
Yes, until he stops giving them what they want, OR, he murders his own people live on CNN which would mean that the international community has no choice but to call him a lunatic and call for him to stand down.
maybe Gaddafi's successor might not be a lunatic who is willing to spend so much on arms.
So its only "lunatics" who are willing to spend so much on arms ?
And how much do you think Libya spends on arms ?
According to the CIA it's 3.90 of GDP, which is less than the US.
And the top military spending countries in the world are :
1 Oman 11.40 GDP
2 Qatar 10.00 GDP
3 Saudi Arabia 10.00 GDP
4 Iraq 8.60 GDP
5 Jordan 8.60 GDP
6 Israel 7.30 GDP
7 Yemen 6.60 GDP
All pro US/Western regimes.
Try not to make things up LHS 💡
Man you're up tight.
Try providing arms spending against GDP / record of human rights people living below the poverty line etc etc
We didn't, but then what evidence do you have the Gadaffi has? They aren't actually that effective in a counter insurgency role anyway.
LOL. I don't think the goos colonels methods of dealing with an "insurgency" are the same as ours.
bloody Sunday when we shot innocent protestors?
LOL again. I take it that you were there?
Man you're up tight.
Is that how you refer to someone who prefers to rely on silly "facts" rather than made up stuff ?
Try providing arms spending against GDP / record of human rights people living below the poverty line etc etc
Well I did compare "arms spending against GDP" ...... so what are you on about ?
Of course we could talk about Libyans having one of the highest GDPs per capita in Africa. The highest literacy rate in Africa - 90% (10% when Gaddifi first came to power) The lowest infant mortality rate in Africa. The highest Human Development in Africa according to the United Nations. How the average Libyan now lives 20 years older than when Gaddifi first came to power......that's sort of thing - is that what you meant ?
Yep waisting even more money we have got.
I agree - we should be spending it closer to home - the education system perhaps.
That apart, we did use helicopters in NI (they fly too you know) and did you miss the bit about bloody Sunday when we shot innocent protestors?
We used helicopters to fly the NI police around - support to civil forces. Are you saying that we can't learn and have grown up since the 70s? Really - try and move on.
Not really silly facts though are they.
You just listed a whole load of war mongering countries with poor human rights records for comparison.
Do you even know what your point is?
You just listed a whole load of war mongering countries with poor human rights records for comparison.
So who were you comparing Libya with then ?
[b][i]Do you even know what your point is? [/i][/b]
BTW, I had no idea that Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Jordan, were "warmongers". Nor did I know that Israel and Iraq were officially regarded as having "poor human rights records".
Although I did know that all those countries are best mates with the US and Britain. But not Russia btw.
Repeating the question. Genius.
I'll take that as a no!
Well I did ask you "So who were you comparing Libya with then ?"
Which you clearly haven't answered.
So yeah, it seems pretty obvious to me that you didn't know what you were talking about or what you were trying to say.
BTW [u]my point[/u] was that Libya doesn't particularly spend a lot of money on defence - specially for a country in that region. Something which you appeared to be presenting as a fact. Even though it's false.
Wow, thanks for the info guys, I'm going to take a step back now as it's all gone a bit out of my depth! Interesting reading though.
Cheers
[i]Wow, thanks for the info guys, I'm going to take a step back now as it's all gone a bit out of my depth! Interesting reading though.
Cheers [/i]
dont worry everyone here is out of their depth but any excuse for some righteous laying down of the law in stw land
LOL again. I take it that you were there?
No, and I'm kind of sad that you weren't either. 😉
And why might that be?
The big benefit of a no-fly zone is we get to destroy the expensive military assets of a country.
Then the 'grateful' rebels get into power and buy new aircraft from us.
The likely reason we haven't tried to create a no-fly zone so far is probably because the 'grateful' rebels aren't toeing our line yet.
Or is that too cynical? 🙂
Ugly Charlesbronsonalike use planes that are noisey at both ends, rather than just the back, on people who cant run away quick enough or make noiseyness back
NFZ stop ugly man from using planes.
he sounds like a bit of a ****, but then so do all politicians.
all was MUCH more civilised when 'er majesty owned everybody (honest ;-))
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