EU Referendum - are...
 

[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

Posts: 812
Free Member
 

"Polling shows a majority for remain now does it not?"

My concern would be there is a difference between those who say and those who can be bothered to vote.

Unless it is like the first referendum (>60%) it might just flip to the Leavers campaigning for a 4th ref.

Maybe.

(Adjusts lifebelt)....


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 3:49 pm
Posts: 31075
Free Member
 

Polling shows a majority for remain now does it not?

It’s still very slim I think.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 3:50 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

It’s not remain or leave on the table for the vote..

its deal or no deal... a whole new level of confusion to be fought about but hey at least it is all over by the end of the year....


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 3:57 pm
Posts: 812
Free Member
 

“watch the pound soar”

Looks like it's gathering speed downwards, probably so it can WHOOSH back up.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:05 pm
Posts: 812
Free Member
 

For those that know about these things, if the UK goes all Rees Mogg and doesn't cough the divorce bill, will that effectively mean lenders will see the UK as unfit for credit, demand higher return on bonds etc. and effectively cripple the government from borrowing for day to day stuff OR is it likely just to be a shrug and new friends from the far east lending us the Wonga ?

I was under the (mis)understanding that you could shut steelworks, take bribes and burn villages without as much as a raised eyebrow but if you don't pay your creditors then the sky falls and they come for you like a pack of hyenas.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:20 pm
Posts: 5763
Full Member
 

So it’s either BRINO and some civil unrest immediately

I reckon this this would solve it ,tbh,before the whole vote other than the whole Boris writing articles on bananas I dont think I heard anyone ever really mention the EU or WTO or anything vaguely related and blue passports bollocks (we always thought they were black due to the fading effect.)

(No ECHR For these unresters thou full force of new U.K. sovereignty and 20 years for protesting)

will of the people has been respected job done everyone up the pub and the whole mess will be forgotten by the next World Cup.

gotta be better than crushing our manufacturing,farming,Phama industries and possibly starting a fracture of the U.K on a Tory whim.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:20 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

If we don't pay the money we owe then I very much doubt anyone will trust us to abide by any international agreements.  Certainly we will get nothing from the EU.  A very stupid idea not to pay the money we owe and have agreed to pay.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:23 pm
 igm
Posts: 11869
Full Member
 

European Court to rule whether MPs can unilaterally cancel Brexit

interesting


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:26 pm
Posts: 7502
Free Member
 

Of course they can but the govt didn't want people to speak of it openly.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:29 pm
Posts: 5763
Full Member
 

I was under the (mis)understanding that you could shut steelworks, take bribes and burn villages without as much as a raised eyebrow but if you don’t pay your creditors then the sky falls and they come for you like a pack of hyenas.

yep it’s all legal contracts,with small print and as said think of a civil divorce all this stuff has to be sorted the banks appeased the kiddy money sorted etc , walking away doesn’t really fly well when you want another mortgage or they catch up for the back kiddy payments.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:33 pm
Posts: 17981
Full Member
 

if the two options are

crap deal

no deal

The third option is the government admitting it isn't possible to deliver what was voted on without irrevocably damaging the country and advising (as a responsible administration surely would) that they could not in all conscience follow such a destructive path.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:33 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Hopefully yesterdays fiasco will convince even the most ignorant Remoaner that the EU have no respect for the UK and there is no reversing Brexit.

I am not sure if TM has been totally incompetent in her negotiating with the EU to get us to a no deal  - or if she has played a blinder to get the deal most of her party wanted.

Best withdraw immediately; sure it will be messy for us ... but it will be messier for the majority in the EU who rely on handouts to prop their economies up.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:50 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13381
Full Member
 

If we don't pay up then who the **** knows where we'll end up. Wars have been fought over less. Maybe that's the plan?


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:52 pm
Posts: 5763
Full Member
 

@slowoldman

It’s back to the old in/out, thou and a majority said out so out you have to go.

There were no caveats attached to any of it.

They took 2 years to come up with an unacceptable plan which they refused to accept was unacceptable although they knew this well before yesterdays drinks an nibbles.

Politicians lap up this stuff,a no hoper ended up PM for two years and Brexit gives a good excuse not to sort out the social issues,infrastructure anything that they aren’t interested in.

Meanwhile the Brexit gravy train could roll for years. First as Brexit then later as Breturn.

I don’t disagree with you btw 🙂

and if I’m Ranty  today it’s coz I got flu.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:54 pm
Posts: 3188
Full Member
 

And in the middle of it all have the opposition parties gone on holiday ?


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:55 pm
Posts: 812
Free Member
 

"Best withdraw immediately" - the withdrawal method is the best, you say? I think we're ****ed, regardless (IGMC).

Cant see how burning down your own house, basking in the knowledge everyone else's has caught fire due to the sparks is a great idea.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:55 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45603192

In a statement at Downing Street she said for EU leaders to reject her plan with no alternative at this "late stage of negotiations" was "not acceptable".

FML


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 4:59 pm
 igm
Posts: 11869
Full Member
 

New definitions

ambush - example “Mrs May was ambushed by the EU27”

definition - a cunning ploy whereby you tell someone exactly what you are going to do and your very sensible reasons for doing it, and then do that which you said you were going to do, thereby confusing the life out of dimwitted types who assumed you were bluffing.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:01 pm
Posts: 5763
Full Member
 

If we don’t pay up then who the **** knows where we’ll end up. Wars have been fought over less. Maybe that’s the plan?

Not trading with one of our biggest markets and they could put sanctions on us so no more Audi’s/BMWs.

Not sure they’d want to blockade our ports thou as we may already had done that.

Or the other side thou a bit more Audi tax to cover our defaulting ways and it’s carry on as usual, they need us more t...

Won’t happen thou we’ll pay something.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:05 pm
Posts: 7502
Free Member
 

mooman - TNUMTWNT is alive and well! But even if that ridiculous nonsense was true, how does that solve the border problem?


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:06 pm
Posts: 5763
Full Member
 

Cant see how burning down your own house, basking in the knowledge everyone else’s has caught fire due to the sparks is a great idea.

well you could be first to start toasting marshmallows over the flaming remains of your life’s achievements.

so it’s not all bad.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:10 pm
Posts: 4496
Full Member
 

Hopefully yesterdays fiasco will convince even the most ignorant Remoaner that the EU have no respect for the UK and there is no reversing Brexit.

Only an unimaginably cretinous Brexshitter snowflake could possibly interpret what happened yesterday in this fashion.

Right, having got the childish insults out of the way, all that happened yesterday was the the various EU representatives pointed out what should have been obvious to everyone for a long time. Enough people have already pointed it out that it really shouldn't have surprised May, unless she's been living in a cave since Chequers. See @igm's definition of 'ambush' above.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:12 pm
Posts: 7502
Free Member
 

It's hard to see how "No deal" could be simultaneously just peachy for the UK while being a serious problem for the EU. Even if we reneged on all promises regarding money, it's only a few billion and they'd probably think it was cheap at the price for getting rid of the obstructionist behaviour.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:12 pm
Posts: 4496
Full Member
 

If we don’t pay up then who the **** knows where we’ll end up. Wars have been fought over less. Maybe that’s the plan?

If we don't pay up and Western banks no longer lend to us, there's always the Russians. It worked for Trump, although the deal comes with a few strings...


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:14 pm
Posts: 5763
Full Member
 

Just noticed old new so binned


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 5:57 pm
 AD
Posts: 1577
Full Member
 

Deleted - makes no sense 🙂


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 6:01 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Hopefully yesterdays fiasco will convince even the most ignorant Remoaner that the EU have no respect for the UK and there is no reversing Brexit.

The options were clear two years ago. We rejected these and decided we could have all the benefits with non of the cost. This could have been an easy deal but we chose to scream and stamp and fight with ourselves. When you tell someone to F off don’t be surprised when you then ask them for something they are not receptive.

so no more Audi’s/BMWs.

Or renaults, Peugeot, Skoda, seat, vw, Opel, Fiat, Alfa, Ferrari...

personally I would be more worried about medicine and how the UK was a massively declining food producer until the eastern expansion brought in cheap labour...


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 6:02 pm
Posts: 30992
Full Member
 

I'm going to repeat my first two contributions to this thread, posted many years ago…

?

&

Edit: deleted my post, as this thread is full of dead ends.

I should have stopped at that.

As a country, we haven't yet progressed on any of the issues at stake here… May's DUP style speech today could have been made at any point in the last two years. No compromise on Ireland, we don't care about whole Ireland trade or communities… we demand the EU gives the whole of the UK benefits of SM without any of the responsibilities. Oh, and to repeat, f@@k Ireland. And f@@k Scotland. Utterly depressing.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 6:09 pm
Posts: 66083
Full Member
 

<div class="bbp-reply-author">deadlydarcy
<div class="bbp-author-role">
<div class="">Member</div>
</div>
</div>

<div class="bbp-reply-content">

It’s still very slim I think.

Sure but like I keep saying, we're still in fantasy brexit land. A second referendum would help brexiteers in some ways as they could kindle more righteous indignation, but hinder them in that they couldn't promise 50 different incompatible brexits any more and take a vote for any of them as a vote for whichever one happens, which is what we had last time.

</div>


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 6:31 pm
Posts: 45993
Free Member
Topic starter
 

A general election is becoming more likely by the day IMO, that has to be the platform to stand on.

I feel like May has the bottle to call one.

What level of political mayhem and process would trigger one outside of Conservatives views?

I'm also feeling that it's much more likely to get an election than second referendum..


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 6:47 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Ha ha ha ha haaaaaaa!

The whole ‘two-bit mobsters’ and ‘ambushed’ narrative is basically making the UK look even less grown up than Serena Williams or Cristiano Ronaldo!

We were the laughing stock of the world in June 2016, now we keep doubling down on the idiocy!

At least Idi Amin isn’t still around to take the mickey.

Or if Macron chose to be really cruel he could say:

“Ne pleurez pas mi’lady”

Brexit quiz - why would that comment be particularly apt?


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 6:49 pm
Posts: 31075
Free Member
 

Non, je ne regrette rien.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 7:05 pm
Posts: 34454
Full Member
 

Hopefully yesterdays fiasco will convince even the most ignorant Remoaner that the EU have no respect for the UK and there is no reversing Brexit.

???? It convinced me that May is an absolute idiot for repeatedly saying that she could go round Barnier & repeating the Brexiter fantasy that the EU will split the 4 freedoms just for us coz were so special, of course they don't respect us wevew behaved like spoilt children !

I am not sure if TM has been totally incompetent in her negotiating with the EU to get us to a no deal  – or if she has played a blinder to get the deal most of her party wanted.

If you can't see she's incompetent, you may be blind

Best withdraw immediately; sure it will be messy for us … but it will be messier for the majority in the EU who rely on handouts to prop their economies up.

Yeah because who needs medicines, jit supply lines or aircraft flight certification....

... short term hit to UK from no deal -1.5% of GDP, France Germany -0.3% of GDP.

^^^^^^ It's ignorance<span style="font-size: 0.8rem;"> like this that's got us into this pickle</span>


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 7:07 pm
 AD
Posts: 1577
Full Member
 

Could almost go in the Corbyn thread but I like this:

"Corbyn’s level of excitement for a second Referendum is so small it can’t even be measured by the Large Hadron Collider." 🙂

https://www.thedailymash.co.uk/features/are-you-suffering-from-corbynism-try-our-symptom-checker-20180921177592


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 9:40 pm
 Del
Posts: 8273
Full Member
 

Campbell on form on 4 news earlier. It's amazing that this is giving even somone like him an aura of respectability after everything.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 9:54 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

@deadlydarcy.

Is disappoint.

You are correct that ”ne pleurez pas, mi’lord” is Edith Piaf, but it was De Gaulle who taunted MacMillan when he was begging to be allowed INTO the forming European Community by using that phrase after saying ‘non’. The irony is simply delicious.

Now, after over forty years of the EU bending over backwards to accommodate us, we kick them in the balls and expect them to come up with ideas to mitigate the damage.

Hopefully at some point Barnier will say “I’d like to use some lovely French prose to tell you my opinion, but I know you lot prefer your ancestral tongue, so instead I say **** off”.

It is all we deserve.


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 10:09 pm
Posts: 1752
Free Member
 

edit


 
Posted : 21/09/2018 10:12 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

<div
<div class="bbp-reply-author">thecaptain
<div class="bbp-author-role">
<div class="">Member</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bbp-reply-content">

mooman – TNUMTWNT is alive and well! But even if that ridiculous nonsense was true, how does that solve the border problem

</div>
</div>
</div>

Children and their txt talk!

no idea what that collection of capital letters mean sorry. So I have no idea how that jumble of letters would have an affect on the border problem .. which I am assuming is the Northern Ireland issue you prob heard grown ups talking about??

This is why giving the vote to 16 year olds, as being pushed by Remoaners, is a bad idea; as thecaptain has demonstrated perfectly .. they simply don’t have an idea about what’s happening outside of their own little bubble.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:10 am
Posts: 34454
Full Member
 

Mooman is stands for...

They

Need

Us

More

Than

We

Need

Them

...amazing that some leavers still cling to that old trope

The EU have stayed impressively unified throughout.

Despite their desperate need for us 🙄 we've conceded to every single point in the talks so far.

Even as May was appeasing the brexit nutters, so they don't eviscerate her at the conference next week,. With her carefully scripted fake outrage, she was secretly caviing in to the EUs demands....

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7318775/brexit-chequers-pm-northern-ireland/amp/?


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:18 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:29 am
 Drac
Posts: 50558
 

Hopefully yesterdays fiasco will convince even the most ignorant Remoaner that the EU have no respect for the UK and there is no reversing Brexit.

That has to be a joke, please tell me you were joking?


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:31 am
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

Pure Pish Mooman.  16 yr olds were given the vote in the scottish referendum and they added a lot to the debate and looked into the issues at least as much as the average voter.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:32 am
Posts: 12648
Free Member
 

Careful, don't imply they are stupid (or racist)


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:33 am
Posts: 7120
Full Member
 

Pure Pish Mooman. 16 yr olds were given the vote in the scottish referendum and they added a lot to the debate and looked into the issues at least as much as the average voter.

16 years olds are going to be living with these choices a lot longer than old duffers like us.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:40 am
 igm
Posts: 11869
Full Member
 

This mornings Sun front page is priceless.

Yesterday May is warbling on about always treating the EU with respect and not receiving respect in return, and today the Sun publish that.

Now personally I’ve always felt the EU have treated us with respect (Tusk’s joke was pretty gentle, affectionate even), but if they feel they need a reason not to our press is always happy to supply one.

Idiot right wing media.

Mind you, front pages like that are what we need to stop Brexit dead I suppose, so...


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 10:42 am
Posts: 6783
Full Member
 

So it seems that May went to the same leadership training as the managers at my spot and think the solution to a problem is to try exactly the same thing again, even though it didn't work before, then look confused when it doesn't work the next time. Whoever runs those training programs must be minted by now.

I find myself wondering if there is some great master plan and that repeatedly suggesting options that the EU have told you will not be acceptable is luring them in to some sort of trap. I almost hope this is the case as the alternative option of May thinking they are as weak as her and don't really mean it when they say her proposals won't work (even though they have never shifted from this position) and really doesn't have any other plan other than to ask them to come up with one for her is too depressing to contemplate.

I now what to remain simply because it seems the people leading the EU have at least some ability to run things where as our lot are proving to be absolutely clueless. Giving the current mob of Tories the power to run everything for us is a terrifying thought.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 11:16 am
Posts: 31075
Free Member
 

I liked this. I don’t subscribe but was able to watch:

https://www.ft.com/video/33264c1e-c744-4b24-bdb7-b89b09716517


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 11:31 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

So it seems that May went to the same leadership training as the managers at my spot

May is just the schmuck meant to be delivering the impossible... like those managers too weak and concerned with keeping her management position to actually turn round and tell the hard truth.

Like the managers that step into the role with the KPI's of driver of say delivering 200% growth whilst cutting investment to 25% in the next year...  who squeeze some figures out from previous investment to give some paltry growth they explain will take off next quarter... right until Q4 when they magically leave that position for another.

Whatever the training is called it should be "The Art of the Impossible: How to not deliver anything for as long as possible whilst keeping your management job"


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:01 pm
Posts: 57274
Full Member
 

I was also clinging on to the slim hope that there was some long game masterplan, but after the debacle of the last couple of days it appears she’s actually genuinely as clueless and flailing as she appears.

i think the only the only conclusion here is that the lunatics are going to get their wish. A no deal Brexit.

It doesn’t bear thinking about. I can’t be the only person who’s now seriously thinking about planning what the hell i’m going to do when the inevitable financial meltdown occurs. It’s not going to be pretty. Do I really want my kids growing up in this petty, nasty, small-minded, backward-gazing island

The deluded fanatics have won. We’re all ****ed!

This kind of slipped under the radar in midweek, but shows that Corbyn and his blinkered cabal are as keen for Brexit as Rees Mogg and IDS.

How the hell did we end up here?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/18/keir-starmer-clashed-corbyn-brexit-brink-of-resignation-customs-union


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:04 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

How the hell did we end up here?

Short version ???  Populist politics - driven by social media and exploited by those with the money and interest to manipulate the masses....

Too much respect for the electorate by Cameron ... too little understanding of how modern social media can create a single virtual movement by people fundamentally divided by serving them content tailored to what they want to hear... but presenting the same solution.

Then May 'stepping in' with how she is going to deliver something that delivers what the social media tailored ads created... roll back immigration and globalisation ... create magical trade deals that actually benefit the UK... with a one way no border - border to the Irish Republic (to keep the DUP happy)...

Until finally the only way forwards is to come away with what those finding the lies of Farage wanted in the first place.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:18 pm
Posts: 66083
Full Member
 

Everything you need to know about gaining respect:

1) do stuff that's worthy of respect

2) don't do stuff that's worthy of disrespect

3) don't go around stamping your feet and demanding respect

And that's it. Pretty sure most people figure this out some time in primary school.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:25 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

Binners - apart from that report is rubbish from the anti corbyn grauniad.  Starmer flatly denied it.

Corbyn and co are not the deluded idiots of the ERG.  Try actually reading what they have to say rather than what the anti corbyn propaganda disseminates as myths.  Yes corbyn is lukewarm on the EU.  But he is no rabid hard brexiteer idiot.

When you actually read his and McDonnells stuff on the EU / second referendum its a very different tone from the editorials in the papers and remember Corbyn has reintroduced a bit of democracy into the party - one outcome of which is thatthere will be a debate on brexit and a second referendum at conference despite his wishes.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:29 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I find myself wondering if there is some great master plan and that repeatedly suggesting options that the EU have told you will not be acceptable is luring them in to some sort of trap.

Well boris may have been right about the suicide vest. May has run into the middle of the EU threatening to take us as well as them down.

As they have spent two years protecting themselves and we still down have any plan A B or C... she is gambling on them blinking because she only has two cards left thanks to the red lines and bad politics. Capitulation or suicide.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:29 pm
Posts: 726
Full Member
 

My thinking is very much in line with Binners. Salzburg, and indeed the strop at No 10 yesterday really laid bare that the Brexiteers really do not understand the balance of power in these negotiations.

There is no plan and a bizarre belief that the EU is going to agree to an arrangement which makes the very existence of the EU pointless ie all the benefits without membership.

Beautiful Stephen Rea piece Deadlydarcy.

The customs posts will be burned. Police will be sent in to protect them. They will be shot at. The army will then be sent in to protect the police and customs officers then off we go again. My kids get to endure what I endured 1971 - 1998. Thanks Boris and Jacob.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:37 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

My kids get to endure what I endured 1971 – 1998.

Well according to JRM it won’t be so bad. Perhaps like if one of your servants forgets to pack the foie gras for the picnic.

i hope a border in the sea can allow Ireland to flourish. Dublin can take the English speaking banks and Belfast can be the gateway to Europe for the UK...


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:52 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

I really think people want this sorted. That means negotiating a deal that will meet people’s objectives. So you don’t get hung up on the semantics; you do the deal that will protect their jobs, and address some of the concerns that they had during the referendum.”

He underlined his scepticism about the idea of a vote on the final deal, which will be discussed in Liverpool after more than a hundred constituency Labour parties, and the Labour-supporting unions, called for it to be put on the agenda.

“The debate around the next manifesto will go on, but I really worry about another referendum,” he said.

“I’m desperately trying to avoid any rise of xenophobia that happened last time around; I’m desperately trying to avoid giving any opportunity to Ukip or the far right. I think there’s the real risk of that. We’re not ruling out a people’s vote, but there’s a real risk, and I think people need to take that into account when we’re arguing for one.”

McDonnell - does that really sound like the ERG?  Or a thoughtfaul man with a principled position?


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 12:59 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

<div class="bbp-reply-author">tjagain
<div class="bbp-author-role">
<div class="">Member</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bbp-reply-content">

Pure Pish Mooman.  16 yr olds were given the vote in the Scottish referendum and they added a lot to the debate and looked into the issues at least as much as the average voter.

</div>

I dont doubt there are some very informed 16 year olds - but judging by some of the comments that children are posting on this thread to argue for Remain - it would seem the majority are delusional and have an over inflated sense of entitlement that what they want should happen regardless to how the majority have voted ... and I guess that is typical of children in general; they stamp their feet .. they cry .. and start calling those disagreeing with them names.

A consequence of becoming an adult is the knowledge of experience that you dont always get what you want - that sometimes you have got to accept that the world does not revolve around you ... and no matter how many names you call those that disagree with you - you wont get your own way.

I watched a TV program lastnight; Stacey Dooley meeting a group of wacko people in USA preparing for the end of the world. One family on there were obsessed with stories in the media of impending doom .. North Korea, nuclear war etc ... it consumed them, and pretty much pickled their brains to getting on with their lives instead of stressing about the imagined big catastrophe that was gonna turn their world upside down .. they were pretty much seen as loons; but because they were within small communities who all felt the same, they merely fed off each others wacky take on things ... and that program has a lot of similarities with the people who are obsessing and contributing so much on this thread.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:18 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

In Scotland you are an adult at 16 and once again you show your cant and ignorance.  the scottish referendum showed exactly how well 16 and 17 year old young adults can engage in a political process.

and that program has a lot of similarities with the people who are obsessing and contributing so much on this thread.

Only on the brexshitters side.  Living in a small bubble reinforcing their predjudices and all agreeing with each other.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:21 pm
Posts: 17263
Full Member
 

I'm spending my last few minutes on the mainland. I have a RIGHT to be here.

To those who have taken that away from me.

**** you.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:22 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Where have I mentioned Scotland? it seems you not paying attention kiddo


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:24 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

We should be obsessed with politics, with industry, education and growth of our society.

This thread has shown people have different approaches. Some are inward looking and others outward.

Neither approach really mattered in the past but one group of people are now stopping another group from moving and experiencing on outward looking life.

The highly skilled few will not be impacted severely but the masses will lose out.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:33 pm
 DrJ
Posts: 13900
Full Member
 

Probably I am lacking imagination, but what COULD a NI "backstop" look like? It seems to me that the possibilities all cross some red lines:

No border at all? Obviously the EU can't accept that US-origin chlorinated chicken can enter via Ireland

Border at the Irish Sea - the Unionists will not accept that and probably a lot of the rest of us wouldn't either.

Technological unicorns - don't exist.

What alternative is there? That we say we'll check stuff at the factory, whatever, and the rest don't matter? Hard to see a way forward.  And this would apply equally to Corbyn/Starmer etc, no matter what they say now about negotiating better. We dealt ourselves a shit hand of cards when we voted to leave, and that can't change whoever plays the game.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:34 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

There are two answers.  All of the UK stays in " full regulatory alignment" ie Norway option or an administrative border in the irish sea. ( or a united ireland)

May painted herself into this position.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:39 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

There was talk about creating free trade areas like Jebal Ali to boost trade with the rest of the world.

You could designate NI as one of these. It would have a unique type of border with RoI and the UK which although it might not be soft could be different enough from the past that could be workable.

I don’t think there is an option to satisfy the EU, WTO and the DUP. I know which one of those three I would be prepared to dump...


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:40 pm
 DrJ
Posts: 13900
Full Member
 

There are two answers.  All of the UK stays in ” full regulatory alignment” ie Norway option or an administrative border in the irish sea. ( or a united ireland)

May painted herself into this position.

This is the way I see it, and both are unacceptable. To be fair, I don't think it was May who painted herself into this, it was the Brexit voters.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 1:50 pm
Posts: 34454
Full Member
 

 I don’t think there is an option to satisfy the EU, WTO and the DUP. I know which one of those three I would be prepared to dump…

It all comes back to May's disastrous early election call.

The Brexiters were so convinced that it would increase their mandate they'd walk it.

Funnily enough I think Corbyn has lost momentum 😂, as it were & if the Tories called one now they might well have a chance.

It may be the only way to fix the mess that brexit has got the country into.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 2:13 pm
Posts: 78232
Full Member
 

A second referendum is a terrible idea IMO. Why would we compound the original cluster* of having a referendum in the first place by repeating it? I’m convinced a new referendum will be even more pro-brexit than the last. Does anyone think the nutters will somehow not lie and misrepresent like they did last time? And next time they’ll have the whole ‘we told you they’d try and reverse it’ argument. I see absolutely no evidence that the outcome would be any different.

This is my concern also.

I believe that Remain is now the majority view.  Even ignoring those who have changed their mind (and there is surely considerably more Leave -> Remain than the other way around), the shift in electorate demographics due to people coming of age or dying off would probably be sufficient to secure a Remain victory in a fair vote.

But.  We've already demonstrated that it's trivial to build a campaign on lies and then get away with it scott free.  We've proven that appeals to the heart are more effective than appeals to the head.  "The people" aren't interested in facts, they want empty promises of impossible ideals with a side order of xenophobia.  They have a vastly over-inflated sense of the UK's importance and power rather than seeing us for what we are: a small, arrogant, rainy archipelago at the end of a French cul-de-sac.  Two world wars and one world cup doo-dah.

I have no faith at all that another referendum wouldn't go the same way as the last one.  Aaron Banks gets out his chequebook, Russia unleashes its social media botnet, The Express and Mail go into overdrive about bureaucrats, foreigners and bendy bananas, and it's 2016 all over again.  And if we were to lose another referendum we are properly, catastrophically, irrevocably *ed.

What worries me greatly is that the way this is playing out another referendum might be inevitable, and may the only choice we have in putting a stop to this insanity.  And even if if that were to happen and Remain were to secure a landslide victory it wouldn't be over, not by a long chalk.  Aside from the fact that we've annihilated our international reputation and influence which will take decades to repair, the gammons have now had a taste of blood and they're not gonna just do a Cameron and walk off into the sunset humming a jaunty tune.

I grew up in the 80s.  We had Ronald Regan sabre-rattling with Russia, a washed-up actor with his finger on the nuclear button at an age where most men can't be trusted with the TV remote; Thatcher decimating swathes of industry; adverts on TV showing tombstones reading "AIDS" and warning us not to die of ignorance; wars going on over the ownership of islands; I could go on.  And for all the Leavers may cry "project fear!" I have never, ever been as scared for my future and the future of my country as I am right now.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 3:11 pm
Posts: 17
Free Member
 

But. We’ve already demonstrated that it’s trivial to build a campaign on lies and then get away with it scott free.

At this point to government has to set out its leave plan and explain it. Writing on the wall no cop outs no bullshit.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 3:53 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

The thing with a second referendum is that now the lies of leave are exposed for what they are.  Surely enough good political operators on remain side to make that stick


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 4:02 pm
Posts: 7502
Free Member
 

Both tory and labour plans are unicorn fantasies.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 4:03 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

Its either a second referendum, someone has the political ability to say - this is a clusterflip ad revoke article 50 ( leading to cries of death of democracy) or a no deal cliff edge brexit in march with no transition.
Those are the choices


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 4:05 pm
 igm
Posts: 11869
Full Member
 

delusional and have an over inflated sense of entitlement that what they want should happen

a description of May or Brexies in general?


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 4:48 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

At this point to government has to set out its leave plan and explain it. Writing on the wall no cop outs no bullshit.

They will not set out the plan until it is “agreed” with the EU. By which time it will be this plan or nothing. This seemed to be the plan all along. Do not formalise anything, do not publish anything, do not have reasonable debates then people will have to take what they are given because the timeline is fixed and the cliff edge is coming.

It will be voted through on the “promise” that certain clauses can be renegotiated or refined later. It will take years to unpick the monumental f ups and even more to fix them.

No one will be happy with the deal...,


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 4:51 pm
Posts: 78232
Full Member
 

No one will be happy with the deal…,

I've said this before. The least-worst case Leave scenario is one that literally no-one wants. It gives us all the downsides of leaving but with none of the perceived benefits that the quitlings want so badly. The only viable options both from a practical point of view and cowtowing to "the will of the people" is either remaining or a no-deal leave. If we're going to end up with BINO then we'd be better off remaining, it'll give us no more "freedoms" than we already have and it'll mean that we will no longer have any control or influence within the EU. As counter-intuitive as it sounds, BINO makes even less sense than hard brexit (though of course it's considerably less destructive at least), it's a compromise which pleases nobody.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 5:02 pm
Posts: 8088
Free Member
 

Yes corbyn is lukewarm on the EU.  But he is no rabid hard brexiteer idiot.

You are raving.

Corbyn has failed to even come close to adequately challenging the Tories over their incompetence. Labour has not presented any meaningful alternative to the current plans or even daring to suggest that it's a bad idea to leave in the first place.

It's pretty obvious that he's hoping for a hard Brexit along with Rees-Mogg etc.  Remember that London will *probably* be all right as their local funding won't be cut, but the rest of the country will suffer the consequences.  While I'd be delighted if every person who voted Brexit on ignorant and racist grounds lost their jobs and their homes, the wasteland that would be the UK afterward is a pretty big negative.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 5:11 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

Utter pish.  corbyn is not hoping for a hard brexit.  Do you actually read what he says or just rely on the anti Corbyn propaganda?  If you actually listen to what he says it is a very different thing to what the media report.

Remember the party is as split as the Tories with rightwingers like hoey voting with the tories.  His only option was to take the line he has done.  If Labour had taken either a second referendum line or a remain line after the referendum it would have given the tories an open goal to aim at. " Anti democrats"  Obstructing the will of the people"

I would much rather he was a lot more pro Europe - but to say he wants a hard brexit is just wrong.  Read what he actually has to say and learn something


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 5:17 pm
Posts: 78232
Full Member
 

It’s pretty obvious that he’s hoping for a hard Brexit along with Rees-Mogg etc.

I think what you have there is what's known as a non-sequitur.

You may be right that Corbyn is hoping for a hard brexit, but I don't see it as "pretty obvious" at all.  You can't infer that simply because he's not putting up a decent fight.  There could be any number of motivations for Labour's (in)actions.

Partisan thinking isn't helpful to the discussion.  As much as anyone may love / hate Corbyn or love / hate Labour, it's best to at least try and be impartial here I feel.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 5:18 pm
Posts: 91157
Free Member
 

Some bloke on R4 yesterday saying that amongst non-voters last time remainers outnumber leaves by two to one.  So it will depend heavily on turnout  And in 2 years a lot of old people have died and a lot of young people turned 18.

The Labour conference will be interesting.  Even if Corbyn is a leaver he's set himself up as a democrat so if the party votes on pro- 2nd ref lines he'll have to listen.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 5:22 pm
Posts: 78232
Full Member
 

While I’d be delighted if every person who voted Brexit on ignorant and racist grounds lost their jobs and their homes

I'm happy to blame people for being racist, less so for being ignorant.  Asking big questions of ignorant people, the mistake here is the fault of those doing the asking.

People who are wilfully ignorant or refuse to allow themselves to become better informed however, **** those guys.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 5:24 pm
Posts: 44680
Full Member
 

Molgrips - I wouldn't be at all suprised if thats policy after the conference.  Its now time to get off that fence

And yes - Corbyn has restored a lot of democracy to the party  even knowing that means he will not get everything his way.


 
Posted : 22/09/2018 5:30 pm
Page 636 / 964