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EU Referendum - are...
 

[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

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As I recall, UK spends half what the US does as a percentage of GDP, but it is the UK that enjoys better health.

The quality of US healthcare is streets ahead [b]if[/b] the UK if you have the money. In practical terms they don't have the equivalent of universal healthcare. You can't compare spending oer head and national healthcare as that's not how their sustem works they don't spend equally. Also US is unhealthy not least due to a nationally unhealthy diet and excessive consumption.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:18 pm
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@el-bent Ford moved their Transit factory from Southampton to Turkey our EU membership made zero difference. Jaguar/Landrover would have to think about brand impact of being made in the Czech Republic.

They already have a factory in Brazil, so I would say zero impact on their brand.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:22 pm
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More nonsense Jamba - in some ways its ahead - in others its well behind. And as you say only if you have the money. The US spends twice as much on healthcare but 1/3 of the population do not have full access to healthcare. Try having Diabetes for example - most diabetics in the states use treatments that were outdated her 20 years ago

child mortality rates are awful.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:28 pm
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Jaguar/Landrover would have to think about brand impact of being made in the Czech Republic.

I have to chime in.

Anyone here own an Audi TT? It was made in Gyor, Hungary. Brand impact? what brand impact?

Your VW Polo was made in Spain, your Mondeo/Focus in Belgium and there are a number of South African and US made BMWs around too. Your Merc M class was made in Alabama, your Honda Civic in Swindon and your Toyota Yaris in France.

Added to this, your Rolls Royce has a German built chassis, engine and running gear and is [i]assembled[/i] in the UK. Your Bentley has VW/Audi running gear (again, imported from Europe) and is assembled at Crewe.

To simply state that the potential brand impact for Tata building Land Rovers and Jags overseas might put off customers is to express wilful ignorance about the globalised nature of the car industry. LR have been here before, back in the 1970s when it was confidently stated that Australian British Leyland customers wouldn't bother with Japanese imports and within five years a ninety percent market share was wiped out.

If we go into trade negotiations with the EU armed with blinkers and a false sense of superiority fuelled by some anti-Johnny Foreigner sentiment then we're going to come off worse. We don't own our own manufacturing base anymore, plus our financial institutions are already looking at moving to Europe if we lose our access to the market. What's left? A smattering of low-headcount high tech manufacturers, selling to whom? Or will we simply become a giant call centre farm with low wages and zero skills, staffed by graduates struggling to afford homes priced out of reach of everyone but corporate investors?


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:34 pm
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child mortality rates are awful.

Doesn't the UK have one of the worst child mortality rates in Europe?


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:35 pm
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Marginally worse than the average IIRC - whereas the states is more like a third world country


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:36 pm
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My Prius was made in Japan. It's got Japanese writing on various bits done by the workers assembling it. This is of no value to the discussion, but I thought it was cool.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:40 pm
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[url= https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_infant_mortality_rate ]US is relatively poor compared to other OECD countries[/url] but it's far from a "3rd World Level"


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:41 pm
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Rest of the World see's Britain more positively after Brexit vote (admires is the word used) whilst EU inc France and Germany see us more negatively and IMO certainly will do so when they realise they'll have to plug the €12bn EU budget black hole. However a whopping 64% of those in the EU think the Referendum result is either positive or makes no difference to how they see the UK.

Strong results globally, in the Commonwealth and in the G20. Get in. 8) 8) 8)

Story in the left of centre/centrist Huffington Post

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/brexit-uk-reputation-eu-commonwealth_uk_58517127e4b00f3fd28c541f?utm_hp_ref=uk

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:42 pm
 mrmo
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[url] http://www.wsj.com/articles/life-expectancy-for-white-americans-declines-1461124861 [/url]
US life expectancy going down, granted complicated but many of the reasons rely on a heathcare system that functions to fix.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:44 pm
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Is that survey of the general public or people who actually make decisions, Jam? If the former, then it's a bit pointless no?


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:47 pm
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@Jamba

So what are we going to export then? Do we know anything about the poll respondents? Can we export "attractiveness" and make money out of it?

What factors improve "attractiveness" for respondents? Low wages and reduced corporation taxes, perhaps? Who pays for this subsidy? What's in it for people who voted Leave?


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:50 pm
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Jam the rest of the world aren't the poor sods that have to live here with an unopposed tory government and no countries that we can move away to anymore.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 1:59 pm
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As in mrmo's (broken) link, we definitely can't export pink wafer biscuits any more... 🙁


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 2:05 pm
 mrmo
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@jamba, in a post truth world where many people are sick and tired of politicians wouldn't you agree that those who are remote from the storm might look on and think, see the people sticking it to the elites?

Whilst those who acutually are in the storm might think f***ing idiots???


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 2:09 pm
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@jambayla...can you (or someone else) post links to non UK reports/journalism that coherently explains/demonstrates that Brexit is a good thing for the UK.

I don't want a persoal ideological bit of writing..I want a non UK impartial (if that exists) economical and political discussion proving it's a good thing.

Has to be non UK. If you're in the UK you're not impartial as far as I'm concerned.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 2:09 pm
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So Europeans see a divided Europe as a bad thing and the rest of the isn't really bothered. Now consider why they responded as they did. Was it that they see Europe as weaker and less of a force in global trade so think they'll benefit? Did they see it as Taiwan-China type separation? Do they think Europe will be weaker militarily. Ask people outside what they think and their reasoning for being positive is quite likely because they think it will have a negative impact and they will benefit.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 2:15 pm
 br
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WTO you say, just sign up with them?

Hmm, I hadn't realised this, wonder how many others haven't either...

Even the nuclear option – a hard Brexit followed by reliance on existing World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules – could take years to achieve. The first, and more surmountable, problem is that Britain is a signatory to WTO deals through its membership of the EU.

Assuming other WTO members agree to overlook this and transfer existing rights to Britain without seeking to unpick unpopular elements, there is an even bigger problem though. This relates to the import and export quotas shared among EU member states. In the case of lamb, for example, the WTO schedule permits 283,825 tonnes of sheep and goat meat to be imported duty-free into the EU from 14 countries, ranging down to just 100 tonnes from Greenland.
British farmers would need to fight to secure their share of this existing schedule to export into EU and non-EU markets, a fiendishly complicated prospect just in one small agricultural category.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/15/reality-check-will-it-take-10-years-to-do-a-uk-eu-trade-deal-post-brexit


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 2:21 pm
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Assuming other WTO members agree to overlook this and transfer existing rights to Britain without seeking to unpick unpopular elements

Why would they do that, and don't forget who we have just told to do one, the EU, who as one of the WTO Quad Nations would again have no interest in giving us an easy time.

Although the WTO is ostensibly democratic, the big boys from the US, Canada, Japan and the EU - known as "the Quad" - rule the roost. One developing country delegate at the 2001 Doha ministerial conference said: "If I speak out too strongly the US will phone my minister. They will twist the story and say I am embarrassing the US. My government will not even ask: "What did he say?" They would just send me a ticket home tomorrow." The Quad meets several times a year to decide policy behind closed doors. Its decisions are then sold to less powerful governments

Welcome to the club of the less powerful governments'.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 2:34 pm
 mrmo
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Welcome to the club of the less powerful governments'.

which then comes down to how badly does spain want Gibraltor or Argentina the Falklands as examples of where politics meets trade.

Consider how close CETAS came to be thrown out because some Belgians weren't happy.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 2:42 pm
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[url= http://http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/brexit-unlikely-disrupt-uk-trade-says-wto-director-general-1588422 ]Brexit unlikely to disrupt UK trade, says WTO director-general[/url]


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 3:08 pm
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theresa-no-mates 😳

Aside from Britain's diminishing presence in the world
I think this will take quite a toll on May personally and professionally


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 3:09 pm
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p04ldbrj?ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=thetodayprogramme&ns_source=facebook

In the wake of the Brexit vote the level of recorded hate crime rose by 41%. Home Office figures showed a rise in racist or religious abuse incidents recorded by police in England and Wales.

Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe, the Metropolitan Police Commissioner, says he thinks the rise in recorded hate crime is "quite shocking". He says "most of us thought this kind of attack didn't happen in the way we are seeing it".


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 3:13 pm
 igm
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Mefty - that was almost 2 months ago. Views may have changed


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 3:31 pm
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more recently he said

The WTO chief said it' was hard to know the outcome of Britain's path to exit the EU but negotiating trade deals will be tough.

"The first thing we need to do is define what a hard Brexit is...I think that the less turbulence you have in this process the better. So if we can maintain the kind of relationship that exists today, so much the better. But that's much easier said than done. It will be a tough negotiation," Azevedo said.

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/08/brexit-eu-uk-trade-negotiations-will-be-very-tough-wto-chief.html


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 3:37 pm
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Which is making an entirely different point, one is about trade deals, the other WTO membership - one day you will break your duck.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 3:43 pm
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I think this will take quite a toll on May personally and professionally

I'm sure she wouldn't want to have Brexit on her plate but losing the referendum was probably the only was she was ever going to make leader. So, professionally, Brexit has turned May from career also ran to career top dog.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 4:25 pm
 mrmo
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mefty - Member
Which is making an entirely different point, one is about trade deals, the other WTO membership - one day you will break your duck.

"As far as the WTO is concerned, we don't come into the picture until those two have decided what the commitments they will have with the other WTO members will be and with each other. Until then, when they come to the WTO and say, 'this is my new list of commitments'…at that point in time we then step in."

sounds like our WTO position is very much dependent on the deals we negotiate to me, youd be a fool to consider them unrelated 😀


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 5:21 pm
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I quoted the UK study as that's what was published today. Many foreign countries have spoken of their desire to do trade deals with the UK the US included. They know we are a leader in free trade and a million times easier and more pragmatic to deal with than the EU.

Mefty - that was almost 2 months ago. Views may have changed

I think the truth is that during the Referendum international organisations where queueing up to say bad stuff, since the vote they have been steadily back-pedalling. I predict that will continue so views and public statements are changing to be more and more positive.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:01 pm
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"Many foreign countries have spoken of their desire to do trade deals with the UK the US included. They know we are a [s]leader in free trade[/s] [b]desperate[/b]"


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:28 pm
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Once again Jambalaya it is IMO and I predict.

Is that the government position or just yours?


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:36 pm
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Chris everything I post is in my opinion and everything in the future is a prediction. What I would say is David Davies said many of the same things I have been saying in his Select Committe testimony

As I was saying earlier (from Indy) ... Dogs Breakfast

Guy Verhofstadt, the European Parliament’s chosen lead for talks over Britain’s exit, attacked the Council for unilaterally pushing ahead with the talks.

Speaking in a plenary meeting on Wednesday, the former Belgian Prime Minister accused heads of state of trying to sideline Parliament’s role in Brexit, and even threatened to launch “parallel negotiations” with Britain.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:50 pm
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So is that Remoaner click bait or is it Brexiteer click bait?


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:53 pm
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I would imagine that RoW views us with a combined sense of bewilderment, incredulity, indifference and concern over the not-so-latent xenophobia.

Oh and sympathy, as anyone would to those who self-harm


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:57 pm
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🙂


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:57 pm
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Yeah saw that EU parliament vs commission thing, is like May vs the high court.

It's going to drag things on ever longer making it impossible to secure a trade deal in the short term, our ambassador to the EU was being optimistic at 10 years IMHO 😉


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 7:57 pm
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Davies was more like :
No transition or maybe yes.
No plans, or maybe yes in February.
No payment to access single market or maybe yes.
No going back on article 50 or maybe yes.

IMO he hasn't got a clue.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 8:01 pm
 br
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IME he hasn't a clue


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 8:08 pm
 igm
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I think the truth is that during the Referendum international organisations where queueing up to say bad stuff, since the vote they have been steadily back-pedalling. I predict that will continue so views and public statements are changing to be more and more positive.

Except the direction of travel has been less positive for the UK. Initially we were going to drop straight into the WTO, then it was it will be smooth, now it's wait until your EU exit discussions are over.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 8:21 pm
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And I predict that Davies views are his own and do not represent the government.


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 8:29 pm
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Man she just looks so forlorn, I'm sure that brexit probably was the only way she'd have made it to PM, but you can tell she'd rather be there as an influential member of the team, rather than an unwanted hanger on.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/15/lonely-theresa-may-video-at-eu-summit-is-brexit-in-a-nutshell?CMP=share_btn_tw


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 8:51 pm
 igm
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IMO cchris2lou may be correct


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 9:00 pm
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Davies didn't rule anything in or out Chris. He did say we would not try and stop A50 but he imagined the EU might try not least as there where a number of EU countries who thought we could be persuaded to stay. He said there would be a paper (not likely to be a white paper) published before A50 with enough time for a Parliamentary debate and not before end of January. He also reiterated A50 by the end of March at the latest. We are going to have full access to the single market at a minimum in the same way say the US does. We may have tariff free access to some or most of it - we won't have full access to everything as thats THE single market (very precious politically) and in any case we don't want the fisheries policy and other bits of the agricultural markets (as per Davies)

Kimbers the quicker we and May are out of that sh.t the better. Junker p.ssed again


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 10:05 pm
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Kimbers the quicker we and May are out of that sh.t the better

yeah coz international politics is best conducted from an isolationist standpoint, especially with your closest neighbours

we are indeed
[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 15/12/2016 10:09 pm
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