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[Closed] 2019 General Election

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What are you on about @Kelvin?

- The Brexit Party is full of old Tories.

- The Conservatives are, well, Tories.

- The Lib Dems are led by an MP who stuck more to the Tory whip whilst in coalition than Gove and Hunt, have a number of ex-Conservative MPs (including a particularly nasty homophobic and xenophobic one) and a number of ex-Blairites who veer to the right of centre, in-line with the way the politics on this country has generally swung.

That is perhaps the sadest thing about current politics. Lib Dem supporters still believe they follow a centrist party, despite their party being the happy resting place for Tory enablers, actual bigoted Tories and hard-line pro-corporate neo-liberals. Against this swing to the right accusations are then thrown at Labour, calling their progressive socialist policies "hard left".

We're now being told to "vote tactically" and work with others, yet it is the Lib Dems who, through their campaigns of negativity towards other opposition parties and history of supporting the Tories, who have emboldened Boris Johnson and his ilk.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 6:15 pm
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We’re now being told to “vote tactically” and work with others, yet it is the Lib Dems who, through their campaigns of negativity towards other opposition parties

...as opposed to the open-armed, welcoming inclusivity of the present labour party?

They're both as bad as each other. Given that the chances are pretty remote of an overall majority for anyone, pre-emptive slagging off of who will be potential allies is puerile and self-defeating and is exactly what everyone sane is sick of in UK politics.

Coalitions are standard on the continent, and I suspect we'll have to get used to them here too. So people neeed to start being less knee-jerk tribal

Some chance. Pragmatism seeems to have left the building quite some time ago, but the pre-emptive slagging off by all parties is utterly depressing


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 6:19 pm
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kerley

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Not really. Democracy is working well, it is just the results that are causing problems combined with the fact the being in or out of the EU is now seen as much more important to people than it actually is or was ever before. When a 50/50 split occurs democracy becomes harder to deal with as the losers are pretty much the same number of people as the winners. When the winners have 80% is all seems a bit fairer and easier to swallow.

I agree - when a 50/50 split occurs democracy becomes harder to deal with ... but at the referendum there was over a 50% winner ... democracy doesnt say a winner needs 51% or 81% to win; its just a majority which can be as little as 51%.
To dress it up differently is just trying to muddy the waters.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 6:19 pm
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We’re now being told to “vote tactically” and work with others, yet it is the Lib Dems who, through their campaigns of negativity towards other opposition parties and history of supporting the Tories, who have emboldened Boris Johnson and his ilk.

You are funny. You haven’t seen any “campaigns of negativity towards other opposition parties” by any of the other opposition parties? Not even the ever so slightly tribal Labour Party?


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 6:22 pm
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At least the tories and the brexit party are consistent. The libdems are the worst kind of weather-vane politicians, chasing power simply for the sake of it, and then doing nothing with it if they get it.

Libdems already sense the power is within their grasp once they have their numbers. They slept with Tories so they will sleep with whoever offer them power next.

Out of interest, anyone have a rough guess on how many Scottish remainers are unionist?

The want out regardless ...


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 6:22 pm
 rone
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McDonnell has said he will. Jezza’s said nowt. Seamas probably hasn’t given him permission

Christ, at least let us have the campaign and the election first.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 6:39 pm
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Why, exactly, would Corbyn say "If I lose I'll resign"? Exactly how many votes do you think that'd win, and exactly how much time would you like him to spend in this election campaign talking about defeat?

scotroutes

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Of course folk are already voting tactically. Time and again we see, hear and read of folk saying “I’d vote LibDem/Green/AN Other if only they had a chance of winning”. It’s been going on as long as I’ve been aware of politics (at least 50 years) and probably precedes that.

I think in Scotland we're more used to it, having had a 3 party westminster system in the past and then a one party system and now a two but a weird different two in which Labour voters will vote Tory to beat the SNP... 2005 was the first election in my life that I didn't feel I had to vote tactically for Labour to try and get the Tories out of my seat.

And we also witnessed the tipping point thing so clearly recently, when a party that "there's no point voting for" suddenly shrugs that off, increases its votes by 300% and becomes the party with essentially all the seats, and 6 becomes 56, because FPTP is ridiculous.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 7:09 pm
 AD
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Oh great the ****ing Tories (or specifically some numb right wing think tank) have been to my hometown...

They're probably right about the rugby though 🙂
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cumbria-50239341

I'm particularly impressed that the BBC found the local idiot who thinks Boris is a fruitcake and who wants Farage instead...


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 7:18 pm
 dazh
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Well this is going to be a bit of a dent to Jo's ego 🙂

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/30/liberal-democrats-face-being-frozen-out-of-live-tv-debates-general-election

Coalitions are standard on the continent

You mean like Italy which elects a new govt every year? Or perhaps Belgium which went 541 days without a functioning government whilst they 'negotiated'? it goes without saying that we need a fairer system than FPTP, but if you think we can suddenly adopt the German model then you have more faith in our politicians then I have. We're about as far from that as it's possible to be.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 9:04 pm
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We’ve definitely gone over the edge into Swinson obsession.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 9:13 pm
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Andrew Neil program tonight was good. I'd like all parties leaders to face him in a prolonged exchange.

Can't see any of them coming out great, but at least it would put them to the test.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 9:17 pm
 dazh
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We’ve definitely gone over the edge into Swinson obsession.

You're absolutely right. I haven't felt this level of antipathy towards a politician since Michael Howard. It feels like a long time since Charlie Kennedy was the acceptable 3rd option.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 9:20 pm
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And we also witnessed the tipping point thing so clearly recently, when a party that “there’s no point voting for” suddenly shrugs that off, increases its votes by 300% and becomes the party with essentially all the seats, and 6 becomes 56, because FPTP is ridiculous.

That's my point. The tipping point never comes if enough folk don't look more than a couple of years down the line.

You mean like Italy which elects a new govt every year? Or perhaps Belgium which went 541 days without a functioning government whilst they ‘negotiated’? it goes without saying that we need a fairer system than FPTP, but if you think we can suddenly adopt the German model then you have more faith in our politicians then I have. We’re about as far from that as it’s possible to be.

Is there something particularly dense about the English electorate that they can't look a few miles north and see how coalition and minority government works in practice?


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 9:26 pm
 dazh
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Is there something particularly dense about the English electorate that they can’t look a few miles north and see how coalition and minority government works in practice?

I presume that's a rhetorical question? 🙂


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 9:42 pm
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Now more than 50 MPs not standing for re-election.
What impact will that have - any indication of voting intentions in their constituencies? Summary of how marginal the seats were last time?
Will they be active in supporting their party's candidate?


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 10:11 pm
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@Scotroutes is making some very good points (rather than just making pointed comments, like others). Making me think, anyway.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 10:23 pm
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I haven’t felt this level of antipathy towards a politician since Michael Howard.

Sounds like animosity to me.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 10:24 pm
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Pragmatism seeems to have left the building quite some time ago, but the pre-emptive slagging off by all parties is utterly depressing

Does that include the Labour centrists facilitating hard Brexit?


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 10:48 pm
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Its not about Corbyn its the policies stupid.
Your choice is do you want to live in a Socialist society where your contribution is valued and supported or as a neo con serf? Unfortunately its a binary choice voting LD or yellow tory wont save you.
Leaders come and go and unless you live in his constituency the name Corbyn will not appear on your ballot paper. Its only the values and policies that you have to chose between everything else is froth designed to divert you away from that.

I see the tories have a fracking advocate drawing up their manifesto.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 11:00 pm
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Now more than 50 MPs not standing for re-election.
What impact will that have – any indication of voting intentions in their constituencies?

The average number of MPs retiring between 1979 and 2015 at each election was 86. 30 odd retired in 2017 so 50 odd now would bring the numbers into line with a typical parliamentary cycle.

A small positive effect from incumbency has been observed in the UK historically.


 
Posted : 30/10/2019 11:22 pm
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Looks like the Brexit Party will be pulling lots of candidates to improve the chances of the Conservative Brexit Party winning seats. Scottish Greens have done the same with the opposite intention.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 12:24 am
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Your choice is do you want to live in a Socialist society where your contribution is valued and supported as a politburo serf or as a neo con serf?

FTFY.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 12:27 am
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I was feeling far too much sympathy for the MPs stepping down… many have worked hard and tried to be fair to their opponents, while getting their points across. So… good to see a clip that reminds us that some MPs are… well… you judge…

https://twitter.com/matthaig1/status/1189557172922966016?s=21


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 12:36 am
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^^
What a ****ing lunatic!


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 2:09 am
 ctk
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Hopefully Labour do go after the green vote hard. Positive, ambitious green policies please.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 7:39 am
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That'll be an extra 26 votes per constituency. 🙂

Labour need to be more central to get into power. They can't chase even more marginal policy


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 8:42 am
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That’ll be an extra 26 votes per constituency.

Exactly what I was thinking and I support the Green party. Any left wing person who puts environmental polices higher on agenda than other parties is already voting Green yet the numbers are so low as not to matter which suggests people are generally not that concerned about environmental policies as they don't directly impact them in the same way as other stuff (yet).

When the Green party start to get a serious number of votes we will start to see teh bigger parties mirror those policies. I estimate that will be around 2045.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 8:51 am
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Just hang on a second... Am I missing something here? Is the Brexit Party Ltd now an official political party, or still just a limited company?


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 9:02 am
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That’ll be an extra 26 votes per constituency. 🙂

Labour need to be more central to get into power. They can’t chase even more marginal policy

Agree, but they've alienated centrists so scavenging for votes in the margins is all they're left with. No doubt they'll start shouting "Green Tory" abuse at them to turn them away as well.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 9:56 am
 dazh
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If anyone needs any more evidence that the Libdems are not working in the interests of remain, here they are helping Jacob Rees Mogg.

(clue: read the small print)

https://twitter.com/bathnesld/status/1189648562080112640?s=21


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 10:27 am
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it goes without saying that we need a fairer system than FPTP, but if you think we can suddenly adopt the German model then you have more faith in our politicians then I have. We’re about as far from that as it’s possible to be.

Thats my point.

Politicians in this country need to grow up and stop acting like children. Unfortunately we're heading in the oppsoite direction as both main parties become more entrenched in their idealogical bumkers, and just hurl abuse at anyone that they label 'the enemy' which now seems to include pretty much everyone.

Thats why the likes of Amber Rudd and Nicky Morgan are leaving the Tory party and Owen Smith is calling enough on the labour party. 'Good riddence!' the hardliners will (somewhat predictably) cry after them, but unfortunately we're all the poorer for it as both parties hunker down in their echo chambers and are wilfully blind to how unappealing they're becoming to the vast majority of the electorate


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 10:29 am
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If anyone needs any more evidence that the Libdems are not working in the interests of remain, here they are helping Jacob Rees Mogg.

They are not 'helping Jacob Rees Mogg', they are just being more appealing to that particular electorate than the labour party, in this instance, in a bid to win the seat from the Tories.

That is entirely the fault of the labour party. And what you're saying is the perfect illustration of the paranoid bunker mentality that now seems to be completely entrenched within the Corbynite/Momentum cult, where eevryone is 'the enemy'


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 10:33 am
 dazh
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Thats why the likes of Amber Rudd and Nicky Morgan

And I was with you right up until you used the worst possible examples to support your point.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 10:34 am
 dazh
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They are not ‘helping Jacob Rees Mogg’,

Have you read the small print?

https://twitter.com/ameliar029/status/1189735522979237888?s=21


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 10:35 am
 dazh
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And for those with poor eyesight. what’s funny is that even after they have removed the opposition with their fantasies, they still lose!

https://twitter.com/inductivestep/status/1189829037256007680?s=21


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 10:48 am
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worth a read:

https://chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2019/10/the-coming-election.html


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 11:04 am
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but unfortunately we’re all the poorer for it as both parties hunker down in their echo chambers and are wilfully blind to how unappealing they’re becoming to the vast majority of the electorate

The flaw there is the the vapid "centrist" model with its curious mix of hard right economics with a quick veneer of more social policies is unappealing to a large proportion of the electorate.
It just suited a very small subset of swing voters whilst telling the majority of the voters to piss off since their votes were being taken for granted.
Just look at the complaints about the professional political class and those who voted for a change, any change because of the centrist model had completely and utterly failed them.
Whilst admittedly the tories seem to have gone a bit far just now we do need a clear left wing and a clear right wing party to represent the different offerings. Replace it with a bunch of centrists and lots of people will feel discontent and thats leaving aside the minor detail the centre doesnt hold but drifts. Without pressure it will go one way or another as, indeed, it did under new labour.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 11:32 am
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we do need a clear left wing and a clear right wing party to represent the different offerings

Nah. All you get are lurches from one extreme to the other over a long enough period (assuming each extreme actually makes itself electable). That's no way to run a country/economy.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 11:37 am
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That’s no way to run a country/economy.

Your use of "extreme" is interesting.
It is also badly flawed since the two countries which really pushed the centrist model have ended up with extreme leaders. Whereas before we had this push for "centrists" we had a far more balanced system.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 11:43 am
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As I understand BXP ltd they've been told to prove their donations came from UK (They can't) or pay them back.

I'm sure the money is safely offshore now though, as are the fees of all those MPs farage got them to pay him, but he's now saying wont stand I. Tory seats


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 11:47 am
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Corbynite Labour MP Lloyd Russell-Moyle is trailing the Labour Manifesto in front of Jezza's speech today. He's on Five Live, Emma Barnett now.

Its frankly embaressing. He sounds like a ranty sixth-former, preaching to everyone, banging on about Rupert Murdoch and all the other lefty bogeymen. If this is the level of 'debate' that we can look forward to from labour, then Joris Bohnson must be counting how big his majority is going to be already. This kind of thing is just gifting this election to the Tory's. Its absolutely pathetic!

An interesting point was, when he was railing against 'the elite', in his juevenile-level tirade, Emma Barnett asked:

"When you say 'elite', would that include Seamas Milne, the privately-educated son of the director general of the BBC, and Jeremy Corbyns chief advisor?"

Apparently Labour isn't against that kind of 'the elite' but some vague other sort of 'the elite'

God help us! We've got 6 weeks of this shit.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 11:48 am
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The thing is @binners, all this “Elites, boo, yah, sucks” nonsense WORKS, and Labour would be foolish not to try and use it.

You need to fight populism by combining real policies with a dash of populism. Labour can only beat the techniques Johnson is going to use by having a full and realistically costed manifesto, sold using the language of populism that has been swinging elections and referendums in the second half of this decade. I’m watching and hoping…


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 12:36 pm
 dazh
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in his juevenile-level tirade

Not a hint of irony there 🙂

Do you spend all day waiting for some labour MP to say something you can have a rant on here about?

Also, on a point of order, can people (Kelvin mostly), stop using the @ sign before names? I'm getting deluged with email notifications. I'm on here most of the time, I don't need my email telling me to spend more time here.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 12:42 pm
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@ dazh - about that smallprint - that is EXACTLY the technique we need to use in Calderdale to get a Labour MP instead of a Tory MP. Lots of people are currently looking to vote LibDem here, and we have to persuade them it is a two horse race and back Labour. I hope the LibDems can unseat Rees-Mogg, as do most people who can think beyond their tribal bubble.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 12:44 pm
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Corbynite Labour MP Lloyd Russell-Moyle is trailing the Labour Manifesto in front of Jezza’s speech today. He’s on Five Live, Emma Barnett now.

Its frankly embaressing. He sounds like a ranty sixth-former, preaching to everyone, banging on about Rupert Murdoch and all the other lefty bogeymen. If this is the level of ‘debate’ that we can look forward to from labour, then Joris Bohnson must be counting how big his majority is going to be already. This kind of thing is just gifting this election to the Tory’s. Its absolutely pathetic!

He's my MP and I'm really wondering whether I can face voting for him as it would appear possibly the best way of stopping the seat reverting to the Tories. Not going to be easy but probably the best long term option.


 
Posted : 31/10/2019 12:51 pm
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