It’s all about selling bikes…
My own belief is that the UCi listen more to the marketers within the cycle industry than anyone else, and are trying to deliver the types of marketing spectacle that they think Specialized, Giant, Trek, etc want…
If you want to flog 29ers and 650b bikes then an exciting to view version of XC racing is required and XCE is the result…
Clearly sales of 26″ wheeled, 4″ forked, small framed HT, 1xn geared bikes had hit a plateau and so 4x was no longer of any real interest to the industry as a promotional tool and UCi dropped it. Bike companies have got some different gimmicks to sell us now, so they need a format to suit…
4x is making a good go of things without the UCi so far. I’m sure people within other MTB disciplines will be keeping an eye on the fortunes of the 4x pro tour over the next couple of years as an indicator of what happens when you fall out of favour with the governing body (you never know DH)…
To survive XCE needs to improve as a viewing spectacle, if it’s shite to watch then it won’t be shifting units, and sponsors will walk even if it is a relatively cheap format.
I really don’t think XCE would be able to count on enough external support to go it alone without the UCi, so another poor showing for 2013 could well see it gone by 2014…