and unless you're privy to the teams' tyre strategies
TBH, I'm not entirely sure they have much more than a very basic strategy until well into the race. They're continually re-evaluating and reacting to conditions and track position.
As we know what tyres they have available and the rules governing what they use first [for the top 10], it's not too difficult to figure out.
On most circuits the front runners will have 2 basic strategies, they'll usually decide which one after the first few laps

