I am definitely not a doctor, but i do look after someone who has virtually no immune system, chronic asthma, and diabetes….. ie firmly in the "at risk" category.
I have been following this pandemic very closely and my semi intelligent input to this debate is as follows:
There seem to be two extremes of reaction to this pandemic, from the panic stricken "preppers" mainly in the states who are gaffer taping up their doors and windows and bedding in for the next 6 months…..
to the "if you can walk its not flu" and "I dont care I am going to work its all a media hyped non event", which appear to be mainly the underinformed.
I think a more balanced reaction is needed, and I do think the media are over emphasising the worst case scenario to sell papers, get hits etc.
But it is a potetially serious business, the government are probably doing the right thing, and yes people socialising/working whilst even potentially ill are acting irresponsibly.
Hopefully it doesnt mutate in a bad way, hopefully it doesnt kill a large number of people, but some perspective is needed when looking at inflamatory headlines.
20000 people died in 1999/2000 of influenza, this was quite a lot, and didnt cause this much media/public reaction.
65000 is a worst case scenario.
The questions i would like answered though are as follows, any doctors able to answer them?
1) Of the reported dead, how many ACTUALLY died of swine flu (ie Viral Pneumonia, or an inflammatory immune response or Sepsis?).
2) The deaths in previously healthy individuals, is this caused by an over excited immune system response, ie a cytokine storm? If not, is there any explanation for why some healthy people die then, could it be Viral Load, ie how much Virus (snot etc) they take on initially, or a lack of immunity or genetic weakness to pneumonia?