Forum menu
The Coronavirus Dis...
 

The Coronavirus Discussion Thread.

Posts: 2003
Full Member
 

Interesting the Andy Burnham’s request to re-impose shielding requirements has been dismissed by downing street.

The irony is people shielding in busy tourist towns were probably at less risk during lockdown as there weren't really many people about. Now the tourists are here it's pretty much baton down the hatches.

I think the government has been watching too many movies during lockdown.

I thought Dom got some of his best ideas by miss understanding fiction. That Christmas job advert being a case in point. Unfortunately he hadn't grasped that the person he used as an example would be totally allergic to his spun up world not want to work in it.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 10:14 am
Posts: 33079
Full Member
 

Playing Devils Advocate slightly but...

If the data was correct showing that these northern areas had worryingly high numbers of infection (and they've been talked about since Leicester lockdown and some had other measures) and if there is a high population of Muslim/BAME in parts of those areas, and if they had allowed unlimited travel for extended families from around the country for Eid, leading to the infection being spread around the country amongst the BAME communities that we know are worst affected by the virus....

Would we be all up in arms about the government allowing big meetings among the community most at risk and allowing the spread?

A whole lot of "ifs" in there, and I'm not intending to defend poor decision making and woeful communication, but it occurred to me that not banning travel and meetings may have proved an equally bad policy.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 10:26 am
 DrJ
Posts: 13939
Full Member
 

Mrs Gove

I know they are doing it for effect, but imagine being this much of a ****.

https://twitter.com/TheMendozaWoman/status/1290028631876501504


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 10:49 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Sarah Vine is vile and ugly.

On the inside and the outside.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 11:04 am
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

I’m not intending to defend poor decision making and woeful communication

When did they have the data, how long have they know when the event is, why did they announce the changes 3 hours before they were due to kick in, and before they'd written them or passed legislation for them? It's all very kafkaesque, and "imagine if they did nothing" is no good excuse for doing something in such a poor manner. Arse and elbow come to mind.

The thing that gets me most is that there is no extension to the support for people shielding in these areas... don't meet family and friends... but get out there and back to the workplace... how does that work?


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 11:16 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

why did they announce the changes 3 hours before they were due to kick in, and before they’d written them or passed legislation for them?

Because they are incompetent. We all know that.

“imagine if they did nothing” is no good excuse for doing something in such a poor manner.

So they should have done nothing and caused a big spike in BAME deaths rather than try to prevent it, no matter how half-arsed their actions were?


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 12:41 pm
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

They are destroying trust in their advice with their actions... that in itself will have a death count. They should have acted in a timely, legal and clear way. That would have saved lives. Last week's panicky rule changes, that still haven't been legislated for, were and are counter productive... for everyone... including practising Muslims.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 12:49 pm
Posts: 9577
Full Member
 

Thanks to the idiots, my Mrs can't even see her mother in the Nursing Home - by seeing, I mean standing in the car park, whilst her mum is wheeled to a window and they 'talk' over skype. Can't even do that now. FFS.

We've been doing all we need to, not been out to the pub or shopping, just out for essentials. Working from home etc. The Govt need local measures not just a whole area, as infections are low where I live, and from general observation's everyone is behaving. I've three colleagues who live in and around Oldham, and they stay away as no-one is following any rules there.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 1:17 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13385
Full Member
Topic starter
 

I’ve three colleagues who live in and around Oldham, and they stay away as no-one is following any rules there.

As Kelvin said, no one is going to follow the rules if the rules themselves are not clearly communicated and have a clear and rational justification. Publishing rules via twiter late at night or via leaks to Peston and Kuensberg, based on data that no one can see with precious little explanation is going to get the reaction and response it deserves.

At the moment the UKs covid response planning is at the level of a banana republic dictator issuing random and self-serving dictats to cover up for the fact that he hasn't got a f****** clue what he's doing.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 1:50 pm
Posts: 11602
Full Member
 

nickjb :

In my local co-op they had a message on the tannoy

Congratulations....you must have a reasonable sized co-op, like i said my town is tiny, and you can walk from one side of our co-op to the other in 4 large strides, doubt they've got a tannoy either, same goes for our small tesco express but folk are thankfully still following the one in/one out routine otherwise they get asked to leave, other shops around the town are exercising their right as shop owners to refuse entry if no mask. We have not had anyone testing positive for covid in our town yet and want it to stay that way.

Tourists are very welcome here as Dumfries And Galloway relies on the tourist industry as there is **** all else in this area for employment, come, enjoy the area but dont be an entitled dick


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 2:04 pm
Posts: 57302
Full Member
 

At the moment the UKs covid response planning is at the level of a banana republic dictator issuing random and self-serving dictats to cover up for the fact that he hasn’t got a f*** clue what he’s doing.

Indeed

At this point on proceedings, I don't think I'm alone in weighing up the government 'advice' and asking a couple of simple questions

Q) Do I think they are genuinelly prioritising mine and other citizens' best interests?
A) No. Of course not. Just look at their track record. They couldn't give a flying *

Q) Do I think they know what they're doing?
A) Definitely not. Don't be ridiculous! Again... just look at their record

So I'll be making my own rules up, thanks. Seems like an awful lot of other people have decided the same. In our case, as we've both got parents who are shielding, this will involve being extra cautious, but I'm sure that many, having asked themselves the same couple of questions will conclude '**** it! I'm going to the pub with all my mates'

Whats coming out of government has always been dubious and IMHO self-serving/arse-covering, but after witnessing the shambles of the Greater Manchester lockdown over the weekend, what they now say has absolutely zero credibility. They're a bunch of clowns, flailing around in a ballpool


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 2:08 pm
 Chew
Posts: 1338
Free Member
 

It would have been useful if they had published this on Thursday:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51768274

And then say anything over x cases per 100,000 get conditions attached. I think Germany use a 50 cases per 100,000 measure.

Its all about grown up conversations


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 2:16 pm
Posts: 33079
Full Member
 

Publishing rules via twiter late at night or via leaks to Peston and Kuensberg, based on data that no one can see with precious little explanation is going to get the reaction and response it deserves.

I totally agree. I'll just make sure I give it the response that vulnerable people in my local area deserve, rather than being an arse.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 2:23 pm
Posts: 57302
Full Member
 

Its all about grown up conversations

Talking of grown-ups:

Tony Blair has just been on Radio 4 (regarding John Hulmes sad death) and was immediately followed by an interview with Matt Hancock. The contrast couldn't have been more glaring.

Whatever your political allegiances and your opinion of him personally, I just wish we had a government that appeared vaguely like they knew what they were doing. It seems an awful long time since we've had that.

This lot are a bunch of complete imbeciles who are totally ill-equipped to deal with something of this magnitude and are just winging it, as Boris has done his entire 'career'.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 2:23 pm
Posts: 11602
Full Member
 

Sounds like Hancock has his finger on the pulse

Here's the health secretary, Matt Hancock, speaking about the up to half a million coronavirus tests that could be carried out daily by the end of October.

"could be carried out" ??????????, shouldnt that read "will be carried out"?

Just when i think the level of contempt i hold for the government couldn't sink any lower


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 2:29 pm
Posts: 57302
Full Member
 

Here’s the health secretary, Matt Hancock, speaking about the up to half a million coronavirus tests that could be carried out daily by the end of October.

I think we can file that alongside the 'world-beating' track and trace app which we were assured would be in place at the beginning of June, yet here we are two months later with no sign of it and the whole privately-contracted, multi-billion track and trace system a complete shambles

They are utterly and completely incompetent


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 2:33 pm
Posts: 11602
Full Member
 

Perhaps we need Pritti "vacant" Patel to play the numberwang game

Priti Patel: 'there have been 300,034 974,000 tests carried out


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 3:28 pm
Posts: 57302
Full Member
 

In the meantime, yet more millions of taxpayers money being dished out to Dom's mates without any tendering process

Tory-linked PR firm granted £3m Covid-19 contract without tender

These are the lot who were responsible for renaming the official Conservative party Twitter account “factcheckUK” on the run-up to the election and setting up a false Labour party website peddling misinformation.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 3:50 pm
Posts: 17326
Full Member
 

Very low probability or reporting zero deaths... Expect to see a slight upturn this month


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 5:17 pm
Posts: 17326
Full Member
 

15000


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 5:17 pm
Posts: 26875
Full Member
 

Deaths going up presumes the case increase isnt due to an increase in testing effort does it not. I'm totally out of the loop but is this the case?

So I’ll be making my own rules up, thanks. Seems like an awful lot of other people have decided the same.

I realise that you know this but some are not lucky enough to be able to afford to folliw their own rules. A majority cannot afford to and some like me will be back at school regardless. Even, or indeed because of, an offside ruling from Starmer schools will reopen regardless.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 7:46 pm
Posts: 17326
Full Member
 

Cases are rising after adjusting for increased testing. This is a consequence of the unlocking. It just takes a couple of weeks to feed into the system and deaths follow. It is surprisingly slow actually. The curvature on the plot below (same analysis for CASES not deaths) is obvious. I think the daily fluctuations may be over-predicted. Ignore the last couple of days due to reporting lags. This analysis does not adjust for testing (deaths does not have to of course). You can see the nadir for cases is much earlier than deaths.

You can also see why @thecaptain and I keep banging on about exponential rather than linear plots.

PS if you like stats, the upturn in cases and deaths are statistically significant (P < 0.001). So that's depressing!


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 8:45 pm
Posts: 26875
Full Member
 

Cases are rising after adjusting for increased testing.

You would think that mainstream news would be able to say such things but then I am still waiting for them to talk about deaths per 100 000 to compare countries!!


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 9:03 pm
Posts: 18590
Free Member
 

This is a consequence of the unlocking.

It' more than just unlocking, it's the holiday season with all that implies. I've had contact with family and friends all over Europe in the last month and so have many people I know. They've put me up in their houses, we've eaten together, travelled in cars together... .

It's not quite life as normal, the handshakes and bises have gone, eveyone is washing their hands, car windows are left open as are house doors and windows. It's a long way from confinement though and inevitably there will be transmission, an increase in cases and a few tragedies.

Being objective the Covid risk we took was lower than driving those crazy unlimited sections of German autobahns where we got stuck in accident jams and watched the air ambulances flying people out, probably lower than crashing my bike down one of the cols I rode and definitely lower than the risk Madame took on her horse today when he decided he didn't want her sitting on him.

The majority of people catching the virus in France are in age groups with a very high chance of survival with few after effects. They are behaving rationally taking reasonable risks and I'm not going to criticise in that the system will cope, we won't swamp the hospitals.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 9:19 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13385
Full Member
Topic starter
 

So they're going to ban people from meeting each other in their homes/gardens but allow them to continue going down the pub? I have friends who work in the pub industry who I have massive sympathy for and anyone who knows me will confirm that I like a pint more than most, but this just seems utterly perverse on a number of levels. And do they really think anyone is obeying or enforcing the rule of only going down the pub with members of your household?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/03/english-pubs-likely-to-be-spared-new-covid-19-restrictions-no-10-says


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 10:08 pm
 DrJ
Posts: 13939
Full Member
 

Once again it seems that ideology trumps saving lives, with private firms being prioritised over publc bodies and testing being used as a propoganda tool

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/03/uk-virologists-criticise-handling-coronavirus-testing-contracts


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 10:20 pm
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

From Daz’s link (and agree with all his post, including loving pubs, obvs)…

"No 10 is adamant to English schools will reopen fully after the summer. “You’ve heard from the prime minister on many occasions his absolute commitment to getting out children back into school in September,” the Downing Street spokesman said. “That’s vital for their education and their development. We are planning for all pupils in all year groups to return to school full time from the beginning of the autumn term."

Wishing it won’t make it so… if the government doesn’t take the actions now to reduce community transmission in the next few weeks, schools will have to reduce on site learning, or risk whole years, or even the whole school, closing.


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 10:36 pm
Posts: 27603
Free Member
 

It’ more than just unlocking, it’s the holiday season with all that implies. I’ve had contact with family and friends all over Europe in the last month and so have many people I know. They’ve put me up in their houses, we’ve eaten together, travelled in cars together… .

And you thought this was a good idea... why?


 
Posted : 03/08/2020 11:22 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13385
Full Member
Topic starter
 

And you thought this was a good idea… why?

Because the urge to socialise and be around friends and family is one that is hardwired into us. To go against that requires a huge effort on the part of everyone and and confidence that those efforts will not be in vain. Like it or not, and I say this as someone who has very little respect or deference to politicians or leaders, people need leadership to give them the motivation to go against their instincts. If there are any cracks or failures in that leadership, people will lose trust and fall back on their normal behaviour. it's not because they are stupid or evil, they're just being human. If our leaders want people to change their behaviour for the greater good, it can only be done if people trust them, and that trust is generated by transparency, competence, clear communication and a complete absence of any ulterior motives. Boris is failing on all these fronts, and the results are there to see in the statistics.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 1:04 am
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

Boris is failing on all these fronts, and the results are there to see in the statistics.

I thought the French and German governments had been doing a far better job as regards all that, but that is viewing it from a distance.

The majority of people catching the virus in France are in age groups with a very high chance of survival with few after effects. They are behaving rationally taking reasonable risks and I’m not going to criticise in that the system will cope, we won’t swamp the hospitals.

The risks they are taking are with other people’s lives and long term health, not their own.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 1:16 am
 DrJ
Posts: 13939
Full Member
 

This is a long and damning account of the US response to Cv. Unfortunately a lot of the criticisms apply equally to us 🙁

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/09/coronavirus-american-failure/614191/?fbclid=IwAR0szpR_VCyS3GbxNZznfetNIZ0T00E8rOVmOPE4MhoIusZN5K11WW1vQmo


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 8:25 am
Posts: 14529
Free Member
 

@dazh - Edukator is in SW France so the actions of Cummings' govt are irrelevant


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 9:11 am
Posts: 14529
Free Member
 

Bradford council seem to be suggesting that the local restrictions could be eased on 15th August if possible.

https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/council-confirms-earliest-date-bradford-18709232

Has anyone else seen any other info on this?

I'd like to leave Calderdale to visit my parents in Wales (not seen them since January ☹️)


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 9:14 am
Posts: 2003
Full Member
 

Tourists are very welcome here as Dumfries And Galloway relies on the tourist industry as there is **** all else in this area for employment...

There was something in the news this morning about rural areas being hit harder by the economic fall out from Covid. This could leave us with a bit of an economic cleansing of the countryside where those on lower income or without employment have to move to the towns / cities to try and get work. Going the other way is the more affluent home working population.

No 10 is adamant to English schools will reopen fully after the summer. “You’ve heard from the prime minister on many occasions his absolute commitment to getting out children back into school in September"

They aren't going to be able to hide behind the oh it's new everyone is having difficulty excuse on this one. Wasn't it May when they started with the Schools are going back in June. Three months further on and there still doesn't seem to be anything in terms of a coherent strategy. It this is following the form book September should see a switch to the usual bold re-imagining of the truth.

Cases are rising after adjusting for increased testing. This is a consequence of the unlocking. It just takes a couple of weeks to feed into the system and deaths follow. It is surprisingly slow actually.

Oh it's just the testing does seem to be one of the favourite Covid denial lines. It's slightly amusing when they are using to to argue against numbers compared to June - when testing had been ramped up.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 9:17 am
Posts: 27603
Free Member
 

If there are any cracks or failures in that leadership, people will lose trust and fall back on their normal behaviour. it’s not because they are stupid or evil, they’re just being human.

Im sorry Daz I don’t agree.   Many people have avoided “travelling all over Europe”.  Edukator is an intelligent individual, not one I’d expect to travel and meet people in a Neanderthal need for six pints of Stella like the Sun reading British public you imply.  I’m wondering how someone who contributes so much of an understanding and knowledge to this thread decides it’s a good idea to travel all over Europe which implies many different borders, cultures and people during a pandemic.

If he did it, one assumes others might have Well, we know people are re Spanish holidays etc and surely thats very wrong in the current situation, although we know point to point travelling is probably less worse than multiple destinations.

So my question remains, please explain to me how one thinks that’s a good idea, rather than blame it on Boris.   I don’t need Boris to tell not to stick my hand in a fire, although it’s hard wired in me to keep warm, so that’s a weak argument.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 9:20 am
Posts: 33079
Full Member
 

So they’re going to ban people from meeting each other in their homes/gardens but allow them to continue going down the pub?

Last night's BBC report said that data "showed" most transmission is happening in domestic settings - the data wasn't shown or referenced.

Our local suburban/rural pubs are on strict social distancing protocols or outside only. From what I've read in the news, pubs linked to clusters seem to be town and city centres.

Looking at it objectively, I can see why closing pubs may not alter infection rates enough to be worthwhile. But, as always, lack of transparency, rubbish communication and the justified distrust of anything the government says makes it hard to take an informed decision.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 9:38 am
Posts: 27603
Free Member
 

Our local suburban/rural pubs are on strict social distancing protocols or outside only.

The one we are using for the "retirement meet-up" in 2 weeks has emailed to tell us we are sitting outside to eat if the weather is reasonable and to bring appropriate clothing, socially distanced inside only if necessary, no service at the bar, no cash payments.

please explain to me how one thinks that’s a good idea

And sorry, I should have added to my post, that maybe its because I'm a natural introvert?  Although I recognise the need to "do something different" as Groundhog Day is very mentally tiring, maybe I don't miss social interaction as much as most...?


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 9:43 am
 loum
Posts: 3624
Free Member
 

Last night’s BBC report said that data “showed” most transmission is happening in domestic settings – the data wasn’t shown or referenced.

It's a misleading use of data.

It was shown at the start that the people that you are most likely to pass covid onto are your own family in your own household. This "data" about domestic settings would still include this.

It would be a lot more useful if they could perhaps mention the next most likely settings for transmission, then we could have a clearer picture and message.

Probably avoiding it as the true message would read something like:

If you get covid, the most likely people you'll infect are your family.
If you go the pub, that's the easiest way to bring covid home.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 10:04 am
Posts: 46016
Free Member
 

maybe I don’t miss social interaction as much as most…?

We're on holiday this week, and have had a real handwring over coming here or not. But then we are masters at avoiding others where we can and have very rarely eaten out on holiday or joined any crowds. Our biggest risk was visiting a very busy Glenlivet trail centres to see our old colleagues who run it on the way up.

I suspect a holiday involving airport, big apartment blocks, pub, meals out and wandering the harbour side in the crowds is rather different from a risk perspective.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 10:13 am
Posts: 10944
Full Member
 

Cases are rising after adjusting for increased testing. This is a consequence of the unlocking. It just takes a couple of weeks to feed into the system and deaths follow. It is surprisingly slow actually.

@TiRed - my understanding is that after a reported increase in cases we should then expect to see an increase in reported hospital admissions, the patients in hospital, then patients on ventilators, then deaths. At the moment the healthcare indicators all seem to be on a very slow decline or flat even though there's been an upward trend in cases for around a month now. Could it be that we're seeing more cases in younger folk who are not progressing through the healthcare system in the same way as the earlier peak, or is it more likely that the early uptick in cases is not yet feeding into the data (I'd expect a month is long enough to show in some of those indicators, but the change will obviously be small to begin with).


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 10:19 am
Posts: 43904
Full Member
 

Could it be that we’re seeing more cases in younger folk

Nicola Sturgeon reported that most cases in Scotland are now in the 20-40 age group. Probably related to pub and other non-socially distant situations. I guess that adds a further delay to the infected-death timeline while they pass it on to their more vulnerable family. Isolation for the over 50s?


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 10:24 am
Posts: 8527
Free Member
 

Lots of talk about CV19 running into Flu and cold season, I'd imagine that the sheer amount of people who are taking the right action with regards to distancing, masks etc will mean that there shouldn't be as much transmission of seasonal illnesses?. Ditto hospital born infections, increased sterility procedures in hospitals and also - a big one for me that goes under the radar - virtually no visitors to hospital, you never ever seen folks washing hands etc when visiting, should help too.

Fingers crossed.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 10:29 am
Posts: 27603
Free Member
 

Fingers crossed.

Well, what about the opposite?   Could it be true that because we have been locked down our immune systems are  suppressed in someway by the lack of exposure to others, and potentially resurfacing at the beginning of winter means we are more susceptible to seasonal illness?


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 10:43 am
Posts: 28593
Free Member
 

It was shown at the start that the people that you are most likely to pass covid onto are your own family in your own household. This “data” about domestic settings would still include this.

Of course. Not only this, but where are we most likely to detect CV transmission? If you have a case in a household, you test that household, or further low or no symptom cases are easier to spot. If you spread it down the pub, to a load of unknowns, chances are that these cases will not be detected. So the data picks up lots of household transmission rather than transmission in other settings. Test and trace is hard, and we aren't doing it properly yet.

The danger is that you then use that data as 'proof' that transmission outside households is much less likely.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 11:04 am
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

The danger is that you then use that data as ‘proof’ that transmission outside households is much less likely.

And the BBC 10 o'clock news used that 'data' (they didn't actually refer to any data) to suggest exactly that.

Test and trace is hard, and we aren’t doing it properly yet.

Serco are doing a bang up job... (yeah, right).

And where's that contact tracing app...?

And don't forget the "isolate" part of track/trace/isolate, and the legislation needed to strengthen employee protection for those told to isolate (hmm) and financial help for companies losing staff who have been told to isolate (oh) and plans and resources to keep teaching kids away from school buildings when the tracing leads to them (ahh)...


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 11:14 am
 dazh
Posts: 13385
Full Member
Topic starter
 

Edukator is in SW France so the actions of Cummings’ govt are irrelevant

You think people aren't doing exactly the same here in the UK?

we know people are re Spanish holidays etc

And that's a good example of what I'm talking about. As you'll know I went on a spanish holiday, I would have much rather stayed at home and happily would have cancelled, but the actions of the goverrnment in removing the travel restrictions and encouraging me to go left me having to decide to go or write off £1100 that I couldn't afford to lose. The vast majority of people in that situattion would go on holiday purely to avoid the financial loss. That's a direct result of the the leadership and decisions made by government. I don't need Boris to tell me to keep my hand out of the fire, but if doing so comes with a significant financial penalty then I might decide against it, and in this case I decided the risk was acceptable in order not to lose the money.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 11:22 am
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

Not what was being asked about though, was it Dazh.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 11:25 am
Posts: 8527
Free Member
 

Well, what about the opposite? Could it be true that because we have been locked down our immune systems are suppressed in someway by the lack of exposure to others, and potentially resurfacing at the beginning of winter means we are more susceptible to seasonal illness?

Imagine you looking at it negatively? Who would have thought it?.

There's plenty evidence of how seasonal stuff is transmitted, I've never seen anything other than old wives tales regarding immune system weakening by staying in the house, have you?.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 11:43 am
Posts: 27603
Free Member
 

No I was just applying common sense based on the fact that any lockdown household might be avoiding daily exposure.  I mean, I haven't been ill since February...


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 11:45 am
Posts: 8527
Free Member
 

Which proves my point, thanks.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 11:57 am
Posts: 14529
Free Member
 

Did you get ill in February because you didn't wear a vest?


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 12:02 pm
Posts: 8527
Free Member
 

😂


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 12:05 pm
 Del
Posts: 8274
Full Member
 

As you brought it up...

write off £1100 that I couldn’t afford to lose

In what way was the money not 'gone' either way?


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 12:11 pm
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

I'd have done the same as Dazh in his situation, I think. Glad we decided at the start of the year not to book anything. A booked and paid single destination holiday... when it's do it or lose it? I think we'd have gone for that, rather than see nothing for the money.

Now, driving around Europe, staying in people's homes... would have avoided that. We cancelled visiting people in Leeds, Manchester, the Highlands, Brittany... for obvious reasons. Not stepped inside someone else's home since February. Still not seen any of the kids' grandparents this year. Apart from on zoom. Was hoping to do so this month... but I thought we'd have driven infection rates right down by now, locally, nationally, and across Europe. They're rising though (locally especially).


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 12:14 pm
Posts: 13291
Free Member
 

I would have much rather stayed at home and happily would have cancelled, but the actions of the goverrnment in removing the travel restrictions and encouraging me to go left me having to decide to go or write off £1100 that I couldn’t afford to lose. The vast majority of people in that situattion would go on holiday purely to avoid the financial loss

Relatives had waited to the very last minute hoping that the travel restrictions would come back in to force, they didn't want to go and the stories of cases rising in Europe made them scared of being trapped there and question what kind of holiday experience they would get anyway .So they bailed and have lost £4000.

If only the public had been told at the very start, go get all your Covid information, updates and news from a mountain bike forum, they could have then avoided the complete communication malfunction that was Gov.UK . But hey, all those months of restrictions (not lockdown) are really going to pay off now as we head for Winter.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 12:22 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13385
Full Member
Topic starter
 

In what way was the money not ‘gone’ either way?

If you buy something off the internet and it wasn't delivered would you write it off because the money is already 'gone', or would you expect a refund and chase the seller if they didn't provide one?


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 12:29 pm
Posts: 5182
Free Member
 

Well, what about the opposite? Could it be true that because we have been locked down our immune systems are suppressed in someway by the lack of exposure to others, and potentially resurfacing at the beginning of winter means we are more susceptible to seasonal illness?

Imagine you looking at it negatively? Who would have thought it?.

There’s plenty evidence of how seasonal stuff is transmitted, I’ve never seen anything other than old wives tales regarding immune system weakening by staying in the house, have you?

If we stay indoors most of the summer then (assuming medical science is correct) this could be a factor preventing us from getting enough vitamin D. I’ll be following my own advice based upon that: Spend more time in the garden/outdoors. Use sunscreen. Maintain social distance. Keep exercising. Being isolated indoors will usually decrease exposure to pathogens etc, but when we re-enter the fray we assumedly want our body to be in best-form for dealing with what may come? Happy as ever to be called an ‘old wife’ if someone has more reliable info (Just to be clear - I don’t know anything about lack of exposure to other people/pathogens/viruses etc vs immune-system health. Just talking about Vit D here.

This research indicates that vitamin D is involved in the activation of the T cells of the immune system. It is important to note that this is a laboratory study, and it is useful in helping researchers to understand what happens in specific immune system cells when exposed to foreign entities such as bacteria or viruses. It does not tell us how variations in vitamin D levels might affect people’s susceptibility to infection, or what the ideal level of vitamin D is for supporting immune system responses to infection.

Other studies will no doubt look into these questions. However, as with other vitamins, it is clearly important to have sufficient vitamin D to maintain a healthy body. Vitamin D forms in our skin in response to sunlight, but care should still be taken to avoid burning or over-exposure. Vitamin D is also found in foods such as oily fish, eggs, fortified margarines, some breakfast cereals and vitamin supplements.

https://www.nhs.uk/news/lifestyle-and-exercise/vitamin-d-immune-system-boost/


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 12:35 pm
Posts: 57302
Full Member
 

Well this looks like an achingly familiar scenario we've seen god knows how many times.

1. A private company is given a multi-billion pound contract to deliver a service

2. The private company completely fails to deliver said service

3. The public sector steps in to bail them out to produce something that actually works

4. Repeat...

So the Track and Trace system set up by Serco on behalf of the government appears not to be so 'world-beating' after all. Well, who'd have thunk it?

Local authority sets up test-and-trace system to plug gaps in English scheme

How many times does this sorry saga have to be repeated? All the results from all over the world showed that track and trace systems should be localised and in the hands of regional health authorities. So what do they do instead? Hand it to a private company, with an appalling track record on delivery, to set up a centralised system with no regional systems in place

Genius!


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 1:20 pm
 DrJ
Posts: 13939
Full Member
 

How many times does this sorry saga have to be repeated?

You're looking at it the wrong way - the crisis is proving to be an excellent opportunity to siphon off public money into the pockets of the Tories' pals. It's so far been a fantastic success.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 1:35 pm
Posts: 5182
Free Member
 

How many times does this sorry saga have to be repeated? All the results from all over the world showed that track and trace systems should be localised and in the hands of regional health authorities. So what do they do instead? Hand it to a private company, with an appalling track record on delivery, to set up a centralised system with no regional systems in place

Genius!

Public apathy/entitlement and disengagement from politics in general allows the ****s to do what they want. They Got Brexit Done. All the rest is gravy.

Met some 30 yr old MTBer the other day who was disappointed with his vote for this Gov. He says he did it (and voted Leave) to ‘get Britain away from politics’. You can’t make this stuff up.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 1:37 pm
Posts: 4791
Full Member
 

In what way was the money not ‘gone’ either way?

For that price I'd guess at least partly catered, therefore there will be extra cost to staying at home.

Plus, if his employer is like mine, prebooked annual leave has to be taken anyway; therefore there is a week of covid-safe fun that needs to be found in your own locale, which costs further money.

Of course, flip side, with a nice employer that lets him move his annual leave to the future, he could then have no money to pay for said future holiday.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 2:04 pm
Posts: 4791
Full Member
 

Met some 30 yr old MTBer the other day who was disappointed with his vote for this Gov. He says he did it (and voted Leave) to ‘get Britain away from politics’. You can’t make this stuff up.

You quite literally can, and combine it with a snappy 3 word slogan and some idiots will lap it up.
You would hope his age and choice of hobby would reduce the likelyhood of him being a ****in eejit, but they don't prevent it.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 2:07 pm
Posts: 8301
Free Member
 

If you buy something off the internet and it wasn’t delivered would you write it off because the money is already ‘gone’, or would you expect a refund and chase the seller if they didn’t provide one?

But given a refund was not on the table that's an irrelevant analogy. Basically you had choice of go on holiday or not go on holiday, either option cost you the same.

If you had really preferred to stay home you could have, no one forced you to go. Plenty of folks would have already made that decision since covid kicked off, myself included back in March.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 2:22 pm
Posts: 349
Free Member
 

If we stay indoors most of the summer then (assuming medical science is correct) this could be a factor preventing us from getting enough vitamin D. I’ll be following my own advice based upon that: Spend more time in the garden/outdoors. Use sunscreen.

As I understand it sunscreen means no or little vitamin D production, vitamin D comes from UVB and sunscreen blocks that.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 2:31 pm
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

Hand it to a private company, with an appalling track record on delivery, to set up a centralised system with no regional systems in place

https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1290637081564393474?s=21


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 3:15 pm
Posts: 2620
Full Member
 

Apparently according to the track and trace data collected by pubs since they re-opened, a certain Mr Michael Mouse has been going on an epic nationwide pub crawl.

Does anyone feel like being surprised?


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 3:45 pm
Posts: 4791
Full Member
 

Apparently according to the track and trace data collected by pubs since they re-opened, a certain Mr Michael Mouse has been going on an epic nationwide pub crawl.

Do you think anyone would beleive these guys?

https://www.radiotimes.com/news/film/2019-08-26/meet-the-real-life-muggles-named-harry-potter/


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 3:47 pm
Posts: 57302
Full Member
 

Fwiw, there’s been a GM system in place now for weeks (as well as the LA level systems for complex cases). GM wants the national system to hand over the cases it’s been unable to trace and has been asking for that for ages.

Andy Burnham and other council leaders have been saying for ages now that the government and their private sector 'partners' have been hoarding and withholding data. The Leicester council leader was utterly scathing about the lack of information given to them before their lockdown was brought in.

It seems that not only central government and their 'private sector partners' patently incompetent, they're also actively obstructing the 'track and trace' programmes put in place by local councils and health authorities


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 3:52 pm
Posts: 31036
Full Member
 

They don't want transparency ... if they let others have the data then they can be questioned as regards their actions ... rather than waving around vague notions about where transmissions are occurring, and having people lap them up as fact.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 3:58 pm
Posts: 14529
Free Member
 

Expect lots of nuisance phone calls after the Govt's appointed T&T company sell your info for $0.25


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 5:12 pm
Posts: 9591
Full Member
 

In Stockport the data is showing that it's the 18 - 24 age group spreading this virus. I've just spoken to a customer who has a 24 yr old son. She cannot do anything to stop him or his friends, (from going out and about, having gatherings etc) as they've 'had enough now' and think they can't catch this virus. Ironically she works at our local hospital. She wishes he could witness what is really happening. Mmmm the ignorance and stubbornness of youth!

Also the neighbours are still flouting the rules (we're in Greater Man) and having her friends and relatives round.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 5:24 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13385
Full Member
Topic starter
 

But given a refund was not on the table that’s an irrelevant analogy.

It's not, but it's irrelevant in any case. The only relevant thing is whether government policy changed people's behaviour, and in this case and many others it demonstrably incentivised us to do the activity which you think we shouldn't have done.

Anyway TP, you seem to have a big problem with me going on holiday. I would advise you spend less time worrying and judging others and more on yourself because quite frankly I don't care what you think. I weighed up all the pros and cons and am completely comfortable with the risk to both myself and others of going on holiday, especially given the official advice at the time we departed, which if you remember was 'enjoy the summer'.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 5:28 pm
Posts: 5182
Free Member
 

As I understand it sunscreen means no or little vitamin D production, vitamin D comes from UVB and sunscreen blocks that.

Good point! The sunscreen bit was more a throwaway disclaimer as I did recommend spending ‘more time outdoors’. Earlobes, etc.. 👍🏼

Thanks for that


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 6:27 pm
Posts: 4791
Full Member
 

Expect lots of nuisance phone calls after the Govt’s appointed T&T company sell your info for $0.25

Dont worry, like everyone in my age group, I dont answer unknown or withheld numbers anyway. How an actual track and tracer will get hold of me is not clear...


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 6:38 pm
Posts: 18590
Free Member
 

For those thinking I've been taking excessive risks things get a whole lot worse on Thursday. 22-year-old junior rocks up on the train fresh from Berlin and Paris with the stated intention of seeing all his old mates.

But even that pales into insignificance compared with the risks we were exposed to back in late February/March with Madame teaching in a school with Covid infected kids returning from Italian ski holidays, junior working with infected colleagues and myself skiing in a Covid hotspot. Madame is convinced we've both had it, she had some characteristic symptoms and my seasonal alergies/asthma were several steps up from usual. I've no idea, I'm sticking to what the government wherever I am tells me I can and can't do and applying what I learned in a bacti lab.

How did the holiday go Dazh? It's been great most places I've been. The last time I was in Berlin I gave up visiting many places because of the queues, this time there were more staff than tourists in the Bundestag and the precautions resembled visiting Porton Down.

We did Pau Lourdes and back on the voie verte today, never seen as many people on bikes, was great.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 7:09 pm
Posts: 14529
Free Member
 

Was Lourdes as busy as usual? Nothing quite tests your faith like a pandemic...


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 7:38 pm
Posts: 18590
Free Member
 

No, all the major pilgrimages have been cancelled. Campsite half empty, no busier than a Winter weekend. Lots of people on bikes though. 🙂

Edit: looks like it'll get busy next week though, the 15/08 events are stil on:

https://www.lourdes-france.org/pelerinage-national-fete-assomption-2020/


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 7:47 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13385
Full Member
Topic starter
 

How did the holiday go Dazh?

Holiday was very quiet and stress free. Airports were empty with no queues, and the flights half full. The port where we were staying was very quiet with most places still closed or empty. We avoided the bars and restaurants in any case just to be extra safe. The Spanish seem very vigilant with almost all of everyone wearing masks both outdoors and In. Honestly any worries I had before were unfounded and I had much less contact with others than I did here in Todmorden before we went.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 8:36 pm
Posts: 33079
Full Member
 

Not stepped inside someone else’s home since February.

I was going to say I was astonished by this, then I realised that other than my parents house - trying to stay socially distanced - throughout lockdown when I've delivered their shopping, and since it was allowed socially, neither have I. The kids have been in to their garden when dropping stuff off. MrsMC visited her parents in Sussex at the weekend for the first time since Christmas, though as a social worker she's been in quite a few houses throughout lockdown.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 8:37 pm
Posts: 8301
Free Member
 

Anyway TP, you seem to have a big problem with me going on holiday. I would advise you spend less time worrying and judging others and more on yourself because quite frankly I don’t care what you think. I weighed up all the pros and cons and am completely comfortable with the risk to both myself and others of going on holiday, especially given the official advice at the time we departed, which if you remember was ‘enjoy the summer’.

Well you clearly weren't completely comfortable with the risk otherwise you wouldn't have stated numerous times that you'd have preferred not to go.

No problem with folks going on holiday however. My issue is folks going on holiday, then whining about having to quarentine on their return when it was always a possibility that might happen.


 
Posted : 04/08/2020 8:42 pm
Page 188 / 499