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[Closed] US Election Late Nighers? Who's staying up as the results come in?

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I'm not sure who's face I'd like to punch more. Farage or Trump?!?


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:33 am
kimbers and kimbers reacted
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Europe is going the same way. Far right govts in Italy, Austria, Hungary. Far right parties on the brink of power in places like France and advancing rapidly in the UK, Germany and others. We’re just a few years behind the US, but the one thing we can guarantee is that liberal centrist parties across Europe will not learn the lessons in the same way that the Democrats have failed to.

That last bit I can agree with. The "non-right" parties have to stop offering a less extreme version of the right and start offering a proper vision of an alternative, fairer society.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:35 am
pondo and pondo reacted
 dazh
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you mean the economy that’s been outperforming every other g7 nation massively in the last three years?

See comment above. People don't care about GDP if they don't see the benefits of it. The GDP growth over the Biden administration has primarily benefitted the rich asset holding classes while working and middle class people have seen their cost of living massively impacted by inflation and stagnant wages. That's why Trump's primary economic promises were focused on the cost of living rather than GDP. He's even suggested taking control of interest rates off the Fed. Obviously no one knows if he'll deliver what he's promised but the Democrats were only offering more of the same.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:35 am
 MSP
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How many of the states are actually counted? How much is the current picture due to exit polls? I am still harbouring the hope (in desperation) that exit polls might not reflect the women's vote, they may not want to reveal they voted for Harris to anyone.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:35 am
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I'm struggling to articulate how riled I am this morning. Xxxx trump, but more importantly xxxx every one of the people who voted for him...

Especially Musk..


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:45 am
funkmasterp, donncha, cookeaa and 7 people reacted
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That’s why Trump’s primary economic promises were focused on the cost of living rather than GDP

Trump promised sweeping tax cuts.... For the very richest

And tariffs that will send inflation through the roof

I think crisshairs point about podcasts is valid, you can become an 'expert' on something by listening to a 3hr rogan podcast , it's empowering even if your new knowledge absolute nonsense


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:46 am
donncha, dukeduvet, kelvin and 3 people reacted
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7 results to go (from the front page of BBC News website)…what does that actually mean? That there are just 7 additions to the existing numbers (266 Trump and 219 Harris) or are there enough additions in those 7 things that could allow Harris to leapfrog Trump?

My understanding is with the current results the way they are those remaining states (probably just enough for Harris to win) at currently heavily in favour of Trump in the votes counted thus far.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:46 am
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Are you sure about that?

Yeah. Vance will do the same extreme right stuff Trump will do, but without the general chaos and risk of provoking China into war along with it. At least that's my "hope", such as it is.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:46 am
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7 results to go (from the front page of BBC News website)…what does that actually mean? That there are just 7 additions to the existing numbers (266 Trump and 219 Harris) or are there enough additions in those 7 things that could allow Harris to leapfrog Trump?

Is the right question.

Folk need to understand just how complicated US Elections are - in fact Farage talking to Ferrari on LBC pretty much said the same thing, to quote "they have a terrible system here..., they can't run elections that Americans can trust".

4:06 


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:52 am
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I don't thinks it's based on exit polls.  He has 266 declared wins so far with 270 needed to win.   I think it's in the bag because he won most of the swing states


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:54 am
 Olly
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my OH was explaining to me yesterday that their FPTP system is worse than ours, so when a states seats are counted, the winner takes all the seats.

back in 2000 Apparently Al Gore had more votes than Bush, but Bush won some states that had a lot of seats, so that over ruled it.

Clutching at straws perhaps, but wouldnt the whole global outlook over the past 20 years have been different, if we hadnt had Bush?

ill be interested to see how many votes this boils down to (though it looks pretty clear cut actually)

My theory is its all just media noise. Trump wasnt off the front page for his previous tenure. Constant gaffs, criticism etc. But bad news is still news. Hardly a peep with Biden. Nothing of significance either way, other than stumbling down some steps a few times.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 9:56 am
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He didn't start any wars last time and he didn't crash any economies either.

The doom mongering propaganda has already started with ironically, nothing to back it up.

No wars is a good thing, right?


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:01 am
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I don't have the numbers but apparently he is winning the popular vote as well.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:02 am
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No wars is a good thing, right?

That very much depends on how you deal with the wars that have already started.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:04 am
pondo, funkmasterp, butcher and 11 people reacted
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Yeah, seem to be 7 results left to declare and between them all there are 53 'things'...Kamala needs 51 'things' to hit the 270. I suspect it would be a phenomenal result if this all fell into place and he was pipped at the post, but it isn't looking likely.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:08 am
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Does anyone know where I can watch The View on British TV/online? It’s going to be a cracker…


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:12 am
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If Trump gives the Taliban $40billon of USA war machinery he’ll be doing twice as well as Biden did ?

Biden wasn’t some benign old granddad who escaped controversy- he was the globalists baby-sniffing war monger puppet of choice.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:13 am
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^Who's this clownshoe?


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:21 am
mattyfez, pondo, butcher and 7 people reacted
 Bazz
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Apologies if this has already been covered else where, but seeing as Trump looks the likely winner, is he allowed to stand again in 2028? I know they limit their presidents to two consecutive terms but I don't know if it's two terms in a lifetime or not.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:21 am
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Yeah. Vance will do the same extreme right stuff Trump will do, but without the general chaos

Personally I think Vance is far more dangerous than Trump, project 25 and the implications that go with it would be a scary prospect for the world. I can excuse Trump for actions based on lack of intelligence, Vance on the other hand has a brain and a plan to go with it.

Wouldn't be surprised if Vance pushes Trump out within 6-12 months.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:23 am
supernova, pondo, funkmasterp and 5 people reacted
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I think it's 2 terms in total.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:24 am
irc and irc reacted
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is he allowed to stand again in 2028?

No(t yet)


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:24 am
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Not unless he repeals the 22nd Amendment. But then I guess Obama would also be available.

I don't see him surviving the term, tbh, so it's not a relevant question.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:24 am
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If Trump gives the Taliban $40billon of USA war machinery he’ll be doing twice as well as Biden did ?

Given Trump boasted that the deal he had done with the Taliban couldnt be undone by Biden and was right I think he deserves the credit for handing them the kit.

Its only once it became apparent what a dumb idea it was that it miraculously didnt have anything to do with him.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:25 am
doris5000, squirrelking, doris5000 and 1 people reacted
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I know they limit their presidents to two consecutive terms but I don’t know if it’s two terms in a lifetime or not.

Its two terms full stop and is a constitutional amendment. So not impossible to change but hard.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:26 am
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The doom mongering propaganda has already started with ironically, nothing to back it up.

Roe vs wade


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:27 am
mashr, supernova, doris5000 and 19 people reacted
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seeing as Trump looks the likely winner, is he allowed to stand again in 2028? I know they limit their presidents to two consecutive terms but I don’t know if it’s two terms in a lifetime or not.

As numerous right wing election winners have demonstrated already, those two term limits can be changed.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:27 am
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He has a 1 in 3 chance of being dead by then.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:29 am
 MSP
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Wouldn’t be surprised if Vance pushes Trump out within 6-12 months.

Just like believing tory leaders are slaves to the headbangers is a myth, I am not so sure there is a "Machiavellian" team of geniuses behind Trump ready to take over, I think it is him and everyone just holding onto his coat tails hoping to luck out from the chaos, in fact I suspect if they were capable of that, they would be the last to be appointed to team Trump.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:29 am
supernova, mike17, J-R and 3 people reacted
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Personally I think Vance is far more dangerous than Trump, project 25 and the implications that go with it would be a scary prospect for the world. I can excuse Trump for actions based on lack of intelligence, Vance on the other hand has a brain and a plan to go with it.

I reckon they'll get to the same point, just with more chaos and much higher risk of China making a move on Taiwan, or Ukraine collapsing.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:30 am
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my OH was explaining to me yesterday that their FPTP system is worse than ours, so when a states seats are counted, the winner takes all the seats.

Electoral College votes. Except in Nebraska (I think) where they split them (Harris 1, Trump 4)

PA still hasn't declared, and in theory Harris could still take it, but it's pretty unlikely. Same with Georgia as far as I can make out.

I know they limit their presidents to two consecutive terms but I don’t know if it’s two terms in a lifetime or not

2 terms total, unless they get made president by order of succession.

Unless you have such a hold on the entire country that you can change the constitution.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:30 am
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As numerous right wing election winners have demonstrated already, those two term limits can be changed.

Complicated: they'd need to change the Constitution, and that's not an easy task. Of course, while they were at it they could remove the "born in the USA" bit, which would allow someone like Musk to run... so perhaps it's not 100% impossible.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:31 am
J-R and J-R reacted
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Unless you have such a hold on the entire country that you can change the constitution.

Or ignore it.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:32 am
pondo, onewheelgood, kelvin and 3 people reacted
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No he can't unless he changes the constitution....


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:35 am
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Wouldn’t be surprised if Vance pushes Trump out within 6-12 months.

My bet is 24 months, based on succession rules - that would give him 10 years to implement the Republic of Gilead (seems to be the goal of P2025)


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:35 am
hightensionline, pondo, butcher and 5 people reacted
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There is a fair chance that he will have both Senate and Congress as well as the presidency. And he has complete control of the supreme court. He can do what the hell he wants.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:35 am
silvine, MoreCashThanDash, kelvin and 3 people reacted
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He didn’t start any wars last time and he didn’t crash any economies either.

The doom mongering propaganda has already started with ironically, nothing to back it up.

No wars is a good thing, right?

He didn't need to, he managed to kill more Americans at home than has been lost fighting in all the wars since Vietnam.  Just remember how the man responded to a crisis he didn't know anything about and didn't really care about.  That's the man who's back in charge.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:37 am
supernova, pondo, funkmasterp and 11 people reacted
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The House is still very much in play for both parties.  Changes to the constitution require a 2/3 majority in BOTH houses.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:38 am
thols2, J-R, nuke and 3 people reacted
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They don't need to change the constitution, they only need to change the (supreme court's) interpretation of the constitution.

What is a "natural-born" citizen anyway? Wasn't Musk born naturally?


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:44 am
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I don’t have the numbers but apparently he is winning the popular vote as well.

BBC page has the vote split at the top - currently 47.3% to 51.1% in favour of the stuffed sausage.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:51 am
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He didn’t need to, he managed to kill more Americans at home than has been lost fighting in all the wars since Vietnam.  Just remember how the man responded to a crisis he didn’t know anything about and didn’t really care about.  That’s the man who’s back in charge.

I was given quite a bit of grief on here when I didn't quite manage to wish Trump well when he got a spot of covid himself and spent some time in hospital. Given what we now know about what his administration did for the covid response in the US and the potential death toll globally his election now is forecast to instigate......was I wrong? For the greater good, would a dead Trump in 2020 not have been a good thing? Hindsight and all that.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:52 am
funkmasterp, hot_fiat, funkmasterp and 1 people reacted
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What is a “natural-born” citizen anyway? Wasn’t Musk born naturally?

Born in America.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:55 am
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I was referring to term limits, but the interpretation of law must be backed up by similar rulings in international law.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 10:58 am
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International law has no bearing on US law or its constitution.


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 11:01 am
thols2, J-R, ratherbeintobago and 7 people reacted
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Wasn’t Musk born naturally?

Seems to have been assembled, badly


 
Posted : 06/11/2024 11:03 am
hightensionline, supernova, pondo and 7 people reacted
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