Ukraine

 dazh
Posts: 13380
Full Member
 

On this topic however, you are patently wrong

No I just have a view that war is almost always the result of ruling elites who are quite happy to sacrifice the lives of normal people to further their own interests. The war in Ukraine is no different. The solution is to stop fighting and start talking. I’m not seeing much enthusiasm for that here though.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:35 pm
Posts: 30979
Full Member
 

The solution is to stop fighting and start talking. I’m not seeing much enthusiasm for that here though.

The two sides are talking. In the meantime Russia is refusing a halt to hostilities.

Point to a single poster who doesn’t want the fighting to stop.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:37 pm
Posts: 91157
Free Member
 

dazh has constantly been defecting any blame for the invasion away from Russia, time and time again

I'm not reading it that way. It looks to me like he's trying to unpick the reasons why Putin invaded rather than saying he's simply evil.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:38 pm
Posts: 16447
Full Member
 

dazh

No I just have a view that war is almost always the result of ruling elites who are quite happy to sacrifice the lives of normal people to further their own interests. The war in Ukraine is no different. The solution is to stop fighting and start talking. I’m not seeing much enthusiasm for that here though.

We all agree that this invasion is terrible and shouldn't have begun or continue. Not one poster on here from any viewpoint has said otherwise to my knowledge.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:39 pm
Posts: 5165
Free Member
 

Ukraine as a state isn’t perfect, Ukraine as a civil society isn’t perfect and there are lots of elements in it that I find distasteful.
However, in this case you have to ask if this has any bearing on the cause of this war. The excuses that Putin has made for invading Ukraine are palpably false. That is why ‘Russia’ is in the wrong in this case. Ukraine doesn’t have to be a nation of proletarian saints & Russia a state of deranged megalomaniacs for one side to be ‘right’ and the other ‘wrong’. Not absolutely, morally saintly right, but none the less to be the side we should support despite all their blemishes.
I agree though that it’s a war and propaganda is certainly flying about as it tends to do in times like these.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:41 pm
Posts: 16447
Full Member
 

molgrips

I’m not reading it that way. It looks to me like he’s trying to unpick the reasons why Putin invaded rather than saying he’s simply evil.

I respect your viewpoint and agree there is more to this that Putin being simply evil.

It's more about his perceived or invented enemies he's created to satisfy whatever serial need he has to invade countries. Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine.

Whether that list increases only he knows.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:44 pm
Posts: 5165
Free Member
 

No I just have a view that war is almost always the result of ruling elites who are quite happy to sacrifice the lives of normal people to further their own interests

as I alluded to above: You have an ideology with certain views of what war is. Therefore as this is a war, it’s pretty obvious you will see this conflict in a certain way. I would argue that you are choosing to view reality in such a way as to ensure it conforms to your beliefs.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:46 pm
Posts: 5698
Full Member
 

The solution is to stop fighting and start talking. I’m not seeing much enthusiasm for that here though.

I posted a link to a Reuters report a couple of pages ago, that there were some positive signs from both sides out of the latest talks.  I don't think there is a single person on this thread who wouldn't welcome a ceasefire and dialogue.  The sub text of your post is that people on here are somehow enjoying this.  Now that is offensive.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:47 pm
Posts: 34448
Full Member
 

Whether that list increases only he knows.

The Finns are getting very nervous

And rightly so

Whatever NATO does or doesn't do, Putin won't stop at Ukraine

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/vladimir-putin-wants-to-regain-finland-for-russia-adviser-says-9224273.html


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:57 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13380
Full Member
 

The sub text of your post is that people on here are somehow enjoying this.

I never said that either. I don’t think anyone’s enjoying it, but I see plenty of evidence that people are being sucked into the sort of propaganda which sustains and escalates war.

If you boil it down to the schoolyard you have people who take sides and hype up the differences and amplify the aggression, and you have people who stand in the middle desperately trying to tell the rest that it’s not worth it. I’m not apologising for being the latter.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 10:57 pm
Posts: 8086
Free Member
 

BBC reports that China now involved in supplying weapons to Russia. Although arguably they were involved a month ago when Xi asked Putin if he wouldn't mind delaying his little genocide for a few days because he was enjoying the skiing.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:09 pm
Posts: 30979
Full Member
 

If you boil it down to the schoolyard

Now who’s oversimplifying?


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:13 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13380
Full Member
 

Didn’t you recently say how people should take the forum too seriously.

Very true and I still stand by it. Trouble is I’ve been labelled as a Putin apologist for voicing an anti-war viewpoint, and have been reported and banned when I tried to call out (admittedly a bit too personal which I’m not doing any more) those who in my view were getting a little over excited.

I’m sticking to the issues from now on but I’m not going to be misrepresented or bullied into keeping quiet. As I said to the mods, if this thread can’t tolerate alternative anti-war (which is where I’m coming from) views it should be deleted and all discussion on Ukraine banned.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:14 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13380
Full Member
 

Now who’s oversimplifying?

At least it’s not making stuff up that other people didn’t say 😉


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:16 pm
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

I think this sticker on the back window of the car gives an important insight into Russian nationalism.

https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1503077176190644225


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:18 pm
Posts: 30979
Full Member
 

for voicing an anti-war viewpoint

Perhaps everyone else here wants the war to stop, and never wanted it to start, and doesn’t want it to escalate. If you keep that in mind when you post, rather than talking about people in this thread (even if generally rather than naming them) as if they are pro-war, you’ll find a lot of agreement.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:19 pm
Posts: 33029
Full Member
 

 I see plenty of evidence that people are being sucked into the sort of propaganda which sustains and escalates war.

Pretty sure Putin is not being whipped into a murderous fury because of what he's reading on this thread.

Sorry if this war doesn't fit with your Citizen Smith world view, but twisting facts won't make it fit either.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:22 pm
Posts: 16447
Full Member
 

dazh

I’m sticking to the issues from now on but I’m not going to be misrepresented or bullied into keeping quiet.

Ok, no hidden agenda in anything I'm saying here.

I totally agree, you've said nothing that warrants hitting the report button in our exchanges tonight. Not even close.

dazh

As I said to the mods, if this thread can’t tolerate alternative anti-war (which is where I’m coming from) views it should be deleted

There is only one point we disagree on in this thread and we've discussed that at large. Other than that we agree on pretty much everything from what I've seen in your posts. That's what I want to reinforce here.

My thinking:

War is utterly futile and ultimately both sides are diminished by it. The after shocks can lead to conflicts that can go on for decades or even centuries. Utterly futile.

War is instigated by the powerful but the cheque is always picked up by the little people that are pawns in their "games". The powerful rarely feel the impact or the tragedy.

All efforts should be made to resolve the conflict in ukraine. I wake every day hoping that I read of progress in the talks between Ukraine and Russia.

I don't doubt for a second you anti war credentials and I completely agree with them.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:30 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13380
Full Member
 

Pretty sure Putin is not being whipped into a murderous fury because of what he’s reading on this thread.

Of course not, but war has a way of polarising opinion and encouraging the darker side of human nature. It’s very easy to get sucked in to the adversarial nature of it and it poisons everything else. This thread is a good example IMO.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:31 pm
Posts: 30979
Full Member
 

^^^^ All that that Poop said.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:32 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13380
Full Member
 

War is utterly futile and ultimately both sides are diminished by it. The after shocks can lead to conflicts that can go on for decades or even centuries. Utterly futile.

War is instigated by the powerful but the cheque is always picked up by the little people that are pawns in their “games”. The powerful rarely feel the impact or the tragedy.

Totally agree. This is the singular point where I’m coming from.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:36 pm
Posts: 3231
Full Member
 

BBC reports that China now involved in supplying weapons to Russia

Link? All I can find anywhere is that Russia asked for them.


 
Posted : 13/03/2022 11:57 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13380
Full Member
 

Incidentally I just watched the Winter On Fire doc on Netflix. As Kelvin (I think) rightly said in an earlier post I’d normally be the first to defend revolutionary action, and I still do as long as it’s largely peaceful.

I need to watch again and do some more reading but my first reaction is that like many revolutions they get co-opted by powerful interests which dilute or replace what the people who were rising up actually wanted (eg Egypt and the Arab spring). The 2014 revolution doesn’t seem to be any different in that regard. The main difference is they were rising up against a military super power with a megalomaniac leader with wafer thin support from the west.

Probably not a popular opinion but the more I see and read about Ukraine the more I think the west has completely misled them and sold them out.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:06 am
Posts: 30979
Full Member
 

Is the problem that the “west” hasn’t supported them enough? Or shouldn’t have supported them at all? Probably too glib a question actually, sorry. Doing more or doing less would still have left Ukraine in an awful position.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:17 am
Posts: 16447
Full Member
 

bikesandboots
Full Member

BBC reports that China now involved in supplying weapons to Russia

Yeah, that's a big potential development of true. The Americans seem to still be sharing intelligence openly as they have done through this.

Link? All I can find anywhere is that Russia asked for them.

China thus far has said nothing or "I have not heard of that" depending upon the source.

It puts China in a bind as they are publicly staying neutral whilst supporting Russia domestically via social media and statements.

They are walking a tightrope and its fair to say that Putin either intentionally or in error misrepresented the complexity of the invasion to them.

It'll be interesting to see what they do.

It's also interesting in regard to Russia if they did indeed ask. It again hints at a military simply not prepared for such a campaign and hence the draconian use of artillery and rockets etc.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:27 am
Posts: 15692
Free Member
 

War is instigated by the powerful but the cheque is always picked up by the little people that are pawns in their “games”. The powerful rarely feel the impact or the tragedy.

There's no dispute, the question is why?

Why do the powerful feel the need to instigate wars?

Or are all wars started by powerful madmen without logical reason?


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:38 am
Posts: 9057
Free Member
 

What happens if...?
China says no. Is that really Putin's last chance? Can he continue the invasion without their help? Will he have to withdraw or will he escalate to non-conventional weapons, chemical maybe? Or are the Chinese weapons just nice to have but not essential and they can carry on without? How would China 'siding' with the West be seen by Russia and by NATO?
China says yes. We appear to have Russia and China lined up against NATO and the one person who might be able to talk Putin down taking his side. We also appear to have Putin beholden to Xi.
.
.
I suspect they won't want to get involved. Let Russia and NATO argue it out amongst themselves, talk Putin down from his nuclear high horse (will he consult Xi prior to doing anything of that scale?) and then swoop in and buy all the Russian companies for peanuts as soon as the stock market reopens again.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:45 am
Posts: 9057
Free Member
 

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=DytBlcScGNk

Why do the powerful feel the need to instigate wars?

Or are all wars started by powerful madmen without logical reason?

This guy gives a good talk.
It's one long monologue to camera but he is surprisingly entertaining. He's an archaeologist but also studies behavioural evolution. This video is about war and human nature and some theories about why we might do it


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:56 am
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

My guess at what is happening here is that the US is trying to pre-empt this. This has been a constant pattern - they would release intelligence reports to the media about Russian invasion plans, false-flag attacks, etc. in order to disrupt those plans. The message it sends to Russia and China is that the US knows what is happening and isn't going to sit back and pretend that it isn't, and that China might be sanctioned if it doesn't back off support. It gives China the opportunity to back out of it and claim that it was just US intelligence agencies making false accusations.

The development comes as White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan plans to travel to Rome on Monday to meet with his Chinese counterpart, Yang Jiechi.

“We are communicating directly, privately to Beijing, that there will absolutely be consequences for large-scale sanctions, evasion efforts or support to Russia to backfill them,” Sullivan told CNN.

A spokesman for the Chinese Embassy in Washington, Liu Pengyu, said he was not aware of any such request for assistance. “I’ve never heard of that,” he said in an email to The Washington Post.

https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1503097129526509570


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 1:03 am
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

This is why Ukrainians believe that fighting is preferable to surrender.

https://twitter.com/IKoshiw/status/1503049053210300417


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 1:10 am
Posts: 7266
Full Member
 

I think this is a push back against resistance. Blow 1 tank up, fine but the other 6 tanks take ypu out.
Then the tankers mates take revenge on the next village as they saw their friends burn.
Unless you force that battle group into retreat then this scenario might happen.
Catch 22. I just hope that the invaders keep on getting hit hard enough to demoralise them, wear out their equipment and run out of fuel and ammo.
Not happening yet though as the advance is slow and steady and, i have a feeling, planned. I suspect areas controlled are being made safe so the Russian army does not get hit from the rear.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 6:55 am
Posts: 34937
Full Member
 

I think this is a push back against resistance.

It was standard USSR doctrine, and now it's standard Russian Fed doctrine. Deliberate targeting of civilians in battle areas creates casualties, denies use of houses and creates panic and physiological terror, ultimately refugees,  and gives your enemy other things to have to deal with other than fighting and is intended to cause quicker surrender.  The propaganda that denies it's use alongside the absolute routine use of it is also part of the same tactic.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 7:07 am
Posts: 34937
Full Member
 

Remember Putin arresting his top FSB chiefs a week or so?

It turns out that the FSB were given billions to ferment regime change in Ukraine before the war, they were meant to recruit likely Ukrainian pro-Russian organisations and anti Zelensky groups ready to make sure Ukrainian would "welcome" the Russian troops, turns out the FSB bosses did none of that work, and just trousered the money instead.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 7:28 am
Posts: 15692
Free Member
 

Deliberate targeting of civilians in battle areas creates casualties, denies use of houses and creates panic and physiological terror, ultimately refugees, and gives your enemy other things to have to deal with other than fighting and is intended to cause quicker surrender.

Sounds very much like US tactics in North Vietnam and Cambodia. What other reason could there be for using B52s to deliberately carpet bomb concentrated civilian areas with no military significance?


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 7:29 am
Posts: 7787
Free Member
 

It's every armies tactic, injure and maim. A dead soldier is dead an injured on takes others to carry him, treat him, move him, feed him etc all of that is personnel, time and kit being diverted.
Do it to civilians and you also scare them into wanting nothing to do with the defending force because they don't want to bring more down on themselves.
(It is abhorrent but a harsh reality.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 7:34 am
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

The Russian brutality is quite likely intended to lure NATO into intervening. The Russian public don't see Ukraine as an enemy, hence Russian media are apparently barely even reporting that there's a war on. NATO is seen as an existential threat. If Putin can lure NATO into combat, then it's a popular war and opposition will melt away.

https://twitter.com/RadioFreeTom/status/1503254448944070656

Putin needs that because his war has been an utter disaster and his military can't sustain an extended war.
https://twitter.com/dandrezner/status/1503105766168969225

If a pro-Kremlin pollster is saying that only 70% of Russian support the war after a couple of weeks of fighting and Russian media only showing good news about it, it's hard to see how there will be support for a war that lasts months or years and results in tens of thousands of Russian deaths. Putin needs NATO to get involved to shore up public support.
https://twitter.com/DrRadchenko/status/1503246906369130497


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 7:47 am
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

Monumental FP decision for China; do they throw Russia under the bus to maintain good relations with the West or do they throw in their lot with Russia and try to set up their own anti-Western bloc?

https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1503277618598236163


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 7:56 am
Posts: 34448
Full Member
 

The same tactics were used in Chechenya

The fact that there are Chechen troops fighting for Putin who have a horrendous record with civilian deaths there bodes ill.

But Russian casualties will have an effect at home, 6000 deaths, maybe 3 times that injured and 1000s captured, at some point public will learn of it and that will say opinion.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 8:02 am
Posts: 28592
Free Member
 

Monumental FP decision for China;

Right now they are probably in a position to quietly negotiate a 'blind eye' to their South China Seas activities as well as enjoy the favour of the West as a 'peacemaker', or at least a 'war-ender' in practical terms. And a greatly-diminished Russia could be taken advantage of as well.

Or do they back Putin, who could be gone in months?


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 8:05 am
Posts: 34937
Full Member
 

Sounds very much like US tactics in North Vietnam and Cambodia.

Yes, exactly so. I imagine it'll be as successful in the long term as well.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 8:29 am
Posts: 3537
Full Member
 

Re the targeting civilians, it's the quickest and most (brutally & cruelly) efficient way to achieve your intended outcome. Deliberately targeting the population will break the will to fight on all levels a lot quicker than fighting against a motivated & trained force of regular or irregular soldiers.

In the beginning numbers killed & injured strengthen resolve, then it reaches a tipping point and people just want it to stop. There's always the possibility of third parties intervening, but in this case we've done to death why that won't happen.

It also doesn't take a madman to do it, the justification is horrifically easy when you honestly believe you're in the right or that your foe is 'evil', or that it's for the greater good of your nation.

It also helps when you have little regard for the individual and only care about the whole or state; it reduces war to a very simplistic win/lose scenario. The belief at that high level is there may be those perceived as winners/losers, but on the human, individual level there are only losers. There are only ever losers when it comes to armed conflict in the modern world.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 8:32 am
Posts: 2871
Free Member
 

Saw this and thought of STW!

After an amazing two years as an infectious disease expert I am moving on! I am now an expert in no-fly zones and Eastern European affairs. Excited to make the most of this new opportunity

A bit unfair really as this thread mostly has some interesting views and some useful information from a variety of contributors.

Thankfully, the talks seem to be progressing, from the BBC:

“Russia is already beginning to talk constructively,” Podolyak said in a video online. “I think that we will achieve some results literally in a matter of days.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 9:05 am
Posts: 7128
Free Member
 

There's always trouble brewing when you try to 'ferment regime change'.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 9:10 am
Posts: 34937
Full Member
 

After an amazing two years as an infectious disease expert I am moving on! I am now an expert in no-fly zones and Eastern European affairs. Excited to make the most of this new opportunity

Oh god, it's funny 'cause it's true! two down on the four horseman, what's left Conquest and Famine?


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 9:13 am
 ctk
Posts: 1811
Free Member
 

I hope China doesn't supply Russia with weapons. I'm amazed Russia doesn't have enough!

also waiting for the rank hypocrisy of people saying China is in the wrong for selling weapons to Russia when we sell them to Saudi etc.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 9:53 am
Posts: 5698
Full Member
 

Monumental FP decision for China; do they throw Russia under the bus to maintain good relations with the West or do they throw in their lot with Russia and try to set up their own anti-Western bloc?

I thought this was a really interesting analysis of the strategic options for China:

Possible Outcomes of the Russo-Ukrainian War and China’s Choice 

I'm trying to assess it's objectivity - it's published in 'The U.S.-China Perception Monitor' which obviously has a focus on improved China/US relationships.  But the article was not not commissioned by them and the author's credentials sound legit:

'Hu Wei is the vice-chairman of the Public Policy Research Center of the Counselor’s Office of the State Council, the chairman of Shanghai Public Policy Research Association, the chairman of the Academic Committee of the Chahar Institute, a professor, and a doctoral supervisor'.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:02 am
Posts: 7930
Full Member
 

what’s left Conquest and Famine?

Sadly there is a fairly good chance of famine making an appearance due to the invasion of Ukraine. Its a major source of wheat and currently the farmers are all busy nicking tanks to be planting seeds.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:05 am
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

Deliberately targeting the population will break the will to fight on all levels a lot quicker than fighting against a motivated & trained force of regular or irregular soldiers.

Can you provide some examples of when that has happened? Germany and Japan were bombed to rubble in WW2 yet kept fighting. Japan only surrendered after the Emperor declared that it was time to give up. Even after that, fanatics broke into the Imperial Palace and tried to destroy the recordings of the Emperor's message to the nation before they could be broadcast. Stalingrad was reduced to rubble but didn't surrender. Malta too.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:07 am
Posts: 8469
Full Member
 

All major nations sell/supply weapons - its big business.

As an ex military man, I am positively Anti War. For me an ethical strong military is there to dissuade attack, not as a big stick.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:17 am
Posts: 34937
Full Member
 

Daily concise updates from a reputable source


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:19 am
Posts: 3537
Full Member
 

Probably should have added more context; when you have a liberal-ish democratically elected government with a functioning opposition.

When one bloke is running the show, unless they decide enough is enough, it's very hard for other options to be explored or even heard. Add in the levels of fanaticism seen in recent years then you're in for an even tougher time.

WW2 is oft cited in examples and counterpoint to modern wars that are equally (if not more so) fought in the media, so I avoid those comparisons; the physical act of killing may have changed a little but the dimension and depth of propaganda and the power of it has evolved exponentially. Those who have spent 100's of hours fighting in the CV/Scot Indy Ref/Brexit threads should know this. Three things that have absolutely been steered by 'facts'.

Can you provide some examples of when that has happened? Germany and Japan were bombed to rubble in WW2 yet kept fighting. Japan only surrendered after the Emperor declared that it was time to give up. Even after that, fanatics broke into the Imperial Palace and tried to destroy the recordings of the Emperor’s message to the nation before they could be broadcast. Stalingrad was reduced to rubble but didn’t surrender. Malta too.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:36 am
Posts: 3537
Full Member
 

Absolutely. Hence my 'there are only losers' comment. The human cost from this war will keep being paid for many years after this is all settled. Very doubtful that those who ordered it and enabled it will pay in the same way those at the sharp end will. As is the norm.

As an ex military man, I am positively Anti War. For me an ethical strong military is there to dissuade attack, not as a big stick.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:39 am
Posts: 5698
Full Member
 

As an ex military man, I am positively Anti War. For me an ethical strong military is there to dissuade attack, not as a big stick.

100% agree.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:43 am
Posts: 57261
Full Member
 

I think the governments latest attempt to deter refugees from coming here is monstrous

https://twitter.com/UK_News_b/status/1503016011070550017?s=20&t=U1QUrYM-b3WDx9pAOIbJew


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:44 am
Posts: 91157
Free Member
 

'A' refugee? Just one?

I'm sure he could do better than that.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:51 am
Posts: 3537
Full Member
 

The cynic in me thinks the reason UK is happy to give loads of munitions is because they're close to the end of life and need disposing of.

That's a quick and easy win to brag about, but the slightly more complex problem is people. Bunch of arses.

I think the government's latest attempt to deter refugees from coming here is monstrous


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:51 am
Posts: 16447
Full Member
 

ctk

also waiting for the rank hypocrisy of people saying China is in the wrong for selling weapons to Russia when we sell them to Saudi etc.

It's not mutually exclusive to be against both of those scenarios and I suspect most in this thread are.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:55 am
Posts: 4593
Free Member
 

The cynic in me thinks the reason UK is happy to give loads of munitions is because they’re close to the end of life and need disposing of.

The OSINT people on twitter have indeed noted that some donated weapons are near the end of their shelf life. But it's surely more sensible to donate those, which will get used, than to spend money decommissioning them and then send brand new ones?


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:56 am
Posts: 16447
Full Member
 

@binners I had to think about that!

A deterrent indeed.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:57 am
Posts: 4593
Free Member
 

also waiting for the rank hypocrisy of people saying China is in the wrong for selling weapons to Russia when we sell them to Saudi etc.

Apropos of nothing, I am suddenly reminded of this Viz classic:

Viz letter - the pope


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 10:58 am
Posts: 3537
Full Member
 

Of course, (although I'll keep my ire at the inability to get equipment to train in check), but still when that's all we have to offer and not really deal with the humanitarian crisis that once again we've helped facilitate, it grips my shit.

We can add this to the long list of human tragedies we've aided in creating through action and inaction.

The OSINT people on twitter have indeed noted that some donated weapons are near the end of their shelf life. But it’s surely more sensible to donate those, which will get used, than to spend money decommissioning them and then send brand new ones?


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:02 am
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

Very doubtful that those who ordered it and enabled it will pay in the same way those at the sharp end will.

Only one person ordered it. Vladamir Putin. Making him pay would require arresting him and convicting him of war crimes. That's very unlikely to happen. Even if he's deposed, Russia will not hand him over for trial. For Putin to pay the price, NATO would have to intervene, conquer Russia, and capture him alive. That would cost many thousands of lives even if Russia didn't use nuclear weapons. But, if NATO tried to send troops into Russia, of course Russia would use nuclear weapons.

So, of course Putin won't pay the price because nobody wants to start a nuclear war.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:10 am
Posts: 3537
Full Member
 

My comment was directed at armed conflict in general. Not just this one.

Certainly in modern times.

So, of course Putin won’t pay the price because nobody wants to start a nuclear war.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:16 am
Posts: 16447
Full Member
 

Good on them.

Ukraine: Squatters occupy Russian oligarch's London mansion


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:36 am
Posts: 34937
Full Member
 

also waiting for the rank hypocrisy of people saying China is in the wrong for selling weapons to Russia when we sell them to Saudi etc.

I have no problem with condemning our (the UK) deplorable trade in weaponry and calling it both wrong for the Chinese to sell weapons as it is for the UK or US to do so as well.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:41 am
 DrJ
Posts: 13893
Full Member
 

BBC reports that China now involved in supplying weapons to Russia

Unless the user manuals are a lot better than those I generally get on stuff made in China, they won't be much help to the Russians.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:42 am
Posts: 4223
Free Member
 

My comment was directed at armed conflict in general.

...war, uh, what indeed is it good for?

If you were in Estonia or Poland would you be surrendering now preemptively to reduce suffering/get one over on those who'd benefit from oncoming conflict?

(Brought back a memory of O level russian: я сдаюсь being a bit of early vocab.)


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:47 am
Posts: 12347
Full Member
 

The cynic in me thinks the reason UK is happy to give loads of munitions is because they’re close to the end of life and need disposing of.

Actually, supplying weapons with a limited shelf life will mean that they won't be hitting the black market if the current war finishes quickly. Ukraine is awash in weapons now. One the war is over, there will be desperate people looking to sell anything they can to survive. Also, it makes much more sense to use the oldest ones in stock first.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:48 am
Posts: 91157
Free Member
 

also waiting for the rank hypocrisy of people saying China is in the wrong for selling weapons to Russia when we sell them to Saudi etc.

Yes, it's only hypocrisy if you endorse UK sales whilst condemning China. It's perfectly possible to condemn UK arms sales even though you live here. I live here, don't have much choice these days, but I don't endorse all our government's decisions.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:48 am
 poly
Posts: 9088
Free Member
 

Good on them.

I'm not sure that some randoms taking over someone else's property as an act of "liberation" is solving anything. Whilst I'm not losing any sleep over Oligarchs property being frozen or seized by he state, presumably with appropriate Judicial oversight, and ultimately potentially even sold (especially if the proceeds benefit Ukrainians) I don't know that I'm that comfortable with people breaking in, probably trashing the place (so devaluing its proceeds) and tieing up police resources etc, is actually a great public service.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:51 am
Posts: 4223
Free Member
 

also waiting for the rank hypocrisy of people saying China is in the wrong for selling weapons to Russia when we sell them to Saudi etc.

I predict a loooong wait


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:53 am
Posts: 91157
Free Member
 

we sell them to Saudi

I bloody don't sell arms to Saudi.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 11:57 am
Posts: 33029
Full Member
 

That's the issue - all nations have a right to buy arms for their own defence,and presumably a right for other nations to sell them.

Continuing to supply weapons that are being used for "illegal" offensive purposes is the moral issue that needs addressing, imo.

I'm increasingly thinking China is key - they either back Putin and keep the war going or work to deescalate it and talk him down, and that will depend on their own long-term ambitions. Please God don't let the west turn a blind eye to Chinese territorial advances as the price of ending the Ukraine conflict though, that's kicking the can into the heavily mined long grass.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:01 pm
Posts: 17828
Full Member
 

DrJ

Unless the user manuals are a lot better than those I generally get on stuff made in China, they won’t be much help to the Russians.

As unfunny as this whole bloody thing is, this comment really brightened my day. Just imagine.

- Un-remove the thunderstick of outRagEOus redEMPti0ning from the packeting.
- Insert thunderstick of outRagEOus redEMPti0ning into the up-side whole backwards under the oncoming stream of firing buttons. DO NOT PrESS the Clicking Doom switch.
- Immediately PrESS the Doom Clicking Swithc. Not that one.
- Placing of assembly onto firm immovable surface.
- Clicking press on buttons 0 thru K, but not pressing & long hold in buttons B, D or 5.
- Look throo eyepeace (not directly into Sun) and when reddy press and hole the Clicking Doom switch. Do not hold for more than 2s, but make sure that the holding is between 4-6s continuallyous.
- thunderstick of outRagEOus redEMPti0ning will fire from backwards side air-vent-fin in clockwise direction, unless in South hemisphere. In this case follow steps 4-18 again repeat, but failing to press-slide-rotate actuator B.

We hopinh you satidfied with product. Please contact us in first instance to resolve your issue before contacting the Amazon to leaving bad feedback.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:16 pm
Posts: 5698
Full Member
 

@stumpy01 😂 Thank you! I think a brief chuckle on this relentlessly grim thread is allowed.

Also - there have been some tense and fractious exchanges on here over the last few days including a bit of a pile on to dazh.  I may have played a part in that. Apologies.  Everyone's opinion is equally valid.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:26 pm
Posts: 6938
Full Member
 

Applause for Stumpy01.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:29 pm
Posts: 2006
Free Member
 

Also, it makes much more sense to use the oldest ones in stock first.

This, same for anything that is perishable. I imagine it's how the system is set up to work.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:31 pm
 DrJ
Posts: 13893
Full Member
 

@stumpy01 🙂 🙂 🙂


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:35 pm
Posts: 7128
Free Member
 

French and US press reporting Ukrainian attacks on Ukrainian civilians.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:41 pm
Posts: 726
Full Member
 

An interesting read from the Huffpost about the possibility of Russian defeat, the West's strategy and the weakening of populists globally:

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/francis-fukuyama-russia-ukraine_n_622eb131e4b0317d0a329c20

The source publication, American Prupose, is described as moderately liberal leaning on Media Bias with highly factual reporting.


 
Posted : 14/03/2022 12:42 pm
Page 67 / 277