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STW 2017 EU in/out ...
 

[Closed] STW 2017 EU in/out referendum thread

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[#7050800]

Really looking forward to seeing Cameron and Salmond together on the same platform on this issue, it really is Better Together. Perhaps the campaign will be called "Better In than Out" 8)

2 years to go, so how long till the first opinion poll ?

I'll be voting out but expect the result to be in.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 10:49 am
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I expect the SNP to let Cameron stew in his own juice.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 10:50 am
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What and not campaign on such an important issue for Scotland 😉

The SNP made much political capital out of Labour siding with the Tories. TBH I am not sure the Tories are that unhappy with the SNP surge as it plays very much into their hands so they may not wish to do anything to weaken them


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 10:58 am
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Why would you vote out?


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:01 am
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I'll be voting IN. Only a fool thinks the EU has been bad news for us.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:02 am
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In.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:08 am
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In


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:10 am
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dbcooper +1


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:10 am
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In.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:12 am
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In. It's beyond me why people think we'd be better out.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:15 am
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In. But I'd rather we were a proper whole hearted participating IN rather than the one the fringes moaning about everything IN that we seem to be currently.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:15 am
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TTIP.

Out.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:16 am
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Note sure how any of the OUT posters can be pinning their colours to the mast yet.

The whole point of an EUref is for it to be used as a bargaining tool for renegitiation within the EU

Our German friends will buckle and the UK will get better terms.

Then you can make your decisions


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:16 am
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In


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:18 am
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I'll vote IN as I can't see any negatives of our current situation. Can an OUT voter explain their reasoning for that choice?


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:19 am
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I think the British people will follow the Scottish model;

1) Vote to remain in the Union

2) Overwhelmingly elect a separatist party at the next available opportunity.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:20 am
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Can an OUT voter explain their reasoning for that choice?

I'm pretty sure it was something to do with Romanians and podiatrists last time it came up.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:20 am
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Can I change my vote for IN, but with Greece OUT.

I'd like a return to cheap Greek holidays please! 😀


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:24 am
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In, but I'd have to give up making good use of the rights we have as EU citizens to return home to be eligible to vote.

Given that shedloads of other member states have also elected significant numbers of candidates on the basis that something needs to be reigned back a bit, I'd hope Cameron can lead the renegotiations.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:25 am
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In.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:27 am
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Why would you vote out?

EU Tax treaties not fit for purpose, huge abuse by Ireland and Luxembourg with Junker rewarded for personally diverting many billions in EU tax revenues offshore with top EU job

Stunning political cost overhead with totally unnecessary EU parliament and bureaucracy

Very clear the ultimate aim is for an EU superstate, the euro has proven that this will be an absolute disaster. EU Army 😯

EU Human Rights act not fit for purpose, we are unable to deport criminals.

Open borders, freedom of movement. We are only as secure as the weakest link and that's very weak.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:31 am
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Out. Save the net 11 or 12 billion per year we pay. Get control of our borders. Stop UK courts being second guessed by European Courts. Get control of UK waters for fishing.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:33 am
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Well, on a purely selfish level, if we left the EU my business would fold pretty much instantly. So: in.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:34 am
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[i]Stop UK courts being second guessed by European Courts[/i]

How often do you think that happens, out of interest?


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:36 am
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No point until we see implications of Grexit

We could be dealing with a very different animal

EU based on its freedom pillars - tick
EU based in common currency - cross

Debate will miss the core issues. If cameron is sensible he will go glacial on the whole issue. Tories only ever self destruct on Europe


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 11:50 am
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@mintimperial - they would be trade agreements, Germans still want to sell us cars etc

@tmh, there won't be a Greek exit as there will a further fudge, again proof the super state will be a dogs breakfast.

If Cameron is smart he will attack EU sponsored tax evasion, very hard for Merkel and Hollande etc to argue against. Add in some border controls and he's golden.

Further out reason, no VAT on food. It's inevitable the EU will pressure the UK to follow the lead of most other EU members and have no VAT exemptions. 7.5% VAT on food seems to be about the average and out 20% VAT rate is 1%-2% lower than most


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:11 pm
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As somebody who works in international trade, [b][u]IN[/u][/b]. The costs are outweighed tenfold by the fact that goods and services here have easy access to the largest free trade area in the world.

If we flounce out do you think we'll be allowed to keep that access? The central EU powers will have a distinct interest in making our lives harder to deter others from doing likewise.

Whilst we may eventually get some kind of agreement it will be neither guaranteed nor permanent, hardly the kind of thing to commit to a major investment on.

When the US and EU finally put ink to paper on the TTIP we'll be even more isolated.

It's going to be painful, very painful.

Sadly I suspect the debate will be informed more by the flag waving hysterics of the Daily Mail than carefully considered economic conclusions as these aren't nearly as much fun when it comes to writing lurid headlines.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:12 pm
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I'll be voting IN. Only a fool thinks the EU has been bad news for us.

WHEN Greece exits the EU who do you think is going to pay for the subsequent EU crash and all the quantitative easing thats already been injected and will be again?

EU is a very sick puppy. Healthy its a no-brainer to stay in. This way and the way it expanded taking in alot of dodgy members - do you really want us to be 'in'?


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:15 pm
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In,

There are some sound, good economic reasons why the EU is good for us, but...

Let us never forget they paid for a big chunk of Bike Park Wales too!


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:16 pm
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muppetWrangler - Member
In. But I'd rather we were a proper whole hearted participating IN rather than the one the fringes moaning about everything IN that we seem to be currently.

This. And as an ex-pat in Spain I'd be an idiot to say otherwise. And I do think the UK would lose a massive amount if it decided to leave, both politically and economically.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:18 pm
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In. There are practically zero benefits to leaving.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:21 pm
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If we flounce out do you think we'll be allowed to keep that access? The central EU powers will have a distinct interest in making our lives harder to deter others from doing likewise.

The big EU countries export more to us than we export to them, the economics are stacked towards them accommodating us, it's inevitable IMO

@mogrim, people would still live and work in Europe and Europeans would still do so in the UK. We'd just have to fill in some forms first. The Spanish economy benefits from UK tourism and people buying property there. We have never been at the centre of the EU, we joined late and we stayed out of the Euro. Its run by the French and the Germans politically, always will be.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:26 pm
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Shake it all about.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:27 pm
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The SNP would like the rUK to vote to leave and Scotland to vote to remain.

The union would then be over.

How they position themselves on the referendum will be very interesting.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:35 pm
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@mogrim, people would still live and work in Europe and Europeans would still do so in the UK. We'd just have to fill in some forms first. The Spanish economy benefits from UK tourism and people buying property there. We have never been at the centre of the EU, we joined late and we stayed out of the Euro. Its run by the French and the Germans politically, always will be.

Always will be if the UK just sits there whining from the sideline. The French and (particularly) the Germans aren't that popular in the EU, they're leaders by default. There's no reason the UK couldn't also be at the head of the table.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:35 pm
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The big EU countries export more to us than we export to them, the economics are stacked towards them accommodating us, it's inevitable IMO

Three points:

A: It's not inevitable, remember the "well screw them" attitude that many in England were displaying in England last year when it looked like Scotland might leave. The political class of the central powers is likely to have a very similar attitude towards us if we go. Heads may cool in time but initially it's going to be very frosty.

B: Any trade treaty will meed to be negotiated and renewed, it is not set in concrete for the foreseeable like EU membership, if I was planning a 30 year investment (building a factory for instance) would I want to rest it's success on a treaty that is either still being negotiated or may no longer be in affect by the time the factory opens? Investment hates uncertainty and this arrangement enshrines uncertainty.

C: Whilst the UK is indeed a major EU export market, if the EU sign the TTIP free trade agreement with the US we'll be frozen out of the largest trading block in history and keeping us sweet will be somewhat of a minor detail in comparison. Especially if we continue to be a pain the in rear for the EU politically.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:41 pm
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EU Human Rights act not fit for purpose, we are unable to deport criminals.

Jesus wept, not this rubbish again.

1) There is no EU Human Rights Act.

2) Do we really have to go beyond 1) or can we just assume that the person who made the statement was apparently too distracted by Teresa May's shoes to pick up anything more from her speech than something about a cat and a murderer?


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:44 pm
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we are unable to deport criminals.

Not to mention this bit is untrue, too - the last time there was a big fuss about this it was because the criminal in question had small kids who also have rights. If he'd been single he'd have been deported without any fuss.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 12:49 pm
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@mogrim, the kids can leave with their parents or not, their/their other parent's choice

@kona if what you say is true then you can win that argument during the referendum, up till now there have been far too many examples which show otherwise.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 1:02 pm
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2 examples? Is 2 examples of human rights being upheld in cases where someone was going to be sent to be tortured when they were really, really bad people that horrific compared to the many, many, many times the Convention has been used for good in keeping families together, not overworking people, preventing people from being tortured, executed or similar?

I am staggered at the cruelty of people who think the Convention is a bad thing.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 1:09 pm
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I am staggered at the cruelty of people... .

Given the state of play this morning be prepared for a lot more cruelty over the next 5 years by the hard of thinking.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 1:37 pm
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Im going to shake it all about.. then probably go in


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 1:40 pm
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In but not because I'm a massive fan of the current EU; I just think it's better than nothing.

But this thread already shows lots of why it could go the other way- people won't vote on the realities, they'll vote on the perceptions. For every pound in your pocket there'll be a madeup story about bananas or human rights.

So I'm not going to even guess on the outcome.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 1:41 pm
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Out. I will choose.

The concept of bureaucracy should have a limit in reality of life.

🙄


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 1:42 pm
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In but not because I'm a massive fan of the current EU; I just think it's better than nothing.

Me neither but I don't think we can reform it (best option) and we would not end up with nothing, we'd get a trade agreement.


 
Posted : 08/05/2015 1:46 pm
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