Share Trading
 

[Closed] Share Trading

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I think Merkal has the funds to really screw us over.Just a thought.

The only people who seem determined to screw us over are the hard Brexiteers. Everyone else is just looking at us thinking WTF are you doing?


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 6:41 pm
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Merkal will want to set an example of us.You leave the German empire and this is what happens to you.She's got the financial fire power,we haven't.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 6:52 pm
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Merkal will want to set an example of us.

Do you really believe that or did you read it in the Express?

Brexit benefits no one bar a few billionaires who hope a weakened UK will be more easily bought.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 6:57 pm
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Strange then how well the stock markets and the European economy have done since last June.If only the rich benefit how come come so many on here have gained since last June?I would take a look at the unemployment drops since then as well.The only person with Daily Mail style fixed thinking is you.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 7:10 pm
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If only the rich benefit how come come so many on here have gained since last June?

If you actually bothered to look at the markets, we're in a 10 year long Bull market....

Nothing amazing has happened post Brexit to stocks and shares, although lots of UK people are up 15% in GBP due to devaluation, which isn't really up at all as the £ is just worth 15% less.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 7:14 pm
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When and if we leave the EU things then may become more difficult for us.World capitalism won't be affected.Its just like throwing a baked bean at a charging rhinoceros.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 7:15 pm
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How come your bull market hasn't come to a juddering halt with your billionaires Brexit.In fact its reached it's highest point ever.According to your logic it should have brought us to our knees.The very opposite has occurred.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 7:18 pm
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This is what I would recommend, if you are considering buying company stocks:

- Only buy in an industry/ commodity that you understand and holds some interest for you.
- Look around you and see what you think are good or popular products, what is everyone using/ talking about.
- Read up on future industries e.g. solar, genetics, robotics, 3d printing etc.
- Make a list of say 6 companies you are interested in and admire and also that YOU have confidence in. Add these to a share 'watch list' on your phone. This will also give you access to news relative to each company. Spend a small bit of time each day reading this news so you become more familiar with the companies and watch the share prices. Watch these companies for a while before you buy. There is nothing wrong with buying in at high level prices if you have confidence in the company and feel business will expand sending the price up further.
- I buy and hold long term. I sometimes sell a few if the price goes up a good deal.
- Understand that seemingly unrelated events can affect share prices, this to me is the scariest bit.

The thought of using a 'fund manager' gives me the heebie jeebies. You be your own fund manager. A fund manager is only there to make money from your money.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 7:19 pm
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Also, no-one has mentioned dividends - I'd certainly suggest looking at quality companies which pay out a dividend. Don't just go for the companies with the biggest payout though.

I hold a mixture of solid mostly UK blue-chip dividend stocks, various funds with exposure to UK, Europe, US, India etc.

Also I do a bit on in-and-out trading, looking to buy stocks showing weakness and make a quick buck on the bounce. I wouldn't recommend this for a beginner though.


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 7:36 pm
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surfer,Anthony Bolton had many years of success,until he didnt.

Yep, investing in the market has risks.

A fund manager is only there to make money from your money.

Well. err yes, but you have to decide if you can choose the stocks they do. If you can then good luck but there is a cost to buying them. Lots of poor fund managers but some good ones. You pays yer money....


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 8:22 pm
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@andykirk that all sounds like the kind of approach I favour, and have already been doing. Could you clarify:

Make a list of say 6 companies you are interested in and admire and also that YOU have confidence in. Add these to a share 'watch list' on your phone. This will also give you access to news relative to each company. Spend a small bit of time each day reading this news so you become more familiar with the companies and watch the share prices. Watch these companies for a while before you buy. There is nothing wrong with buying in at high level prices if you have confidence in the company and feel business will expand sending the price up further.

Do you mean a 'fantasy' share trading app, or just keep an eye on news, stock price etc? If there is an app that consolidates it all that would be great.

@surfer

Also I do a bit on in-and-out trading, looking to buy stocks showing weakness and make a quick buck on the bounce. I wouldn't recommend this for a beginner though.

I've thought about this, but I think the level of attention needed must be difficult to achieve when you're at work, etc?


 
Posted : 08/08/2017 10:18 pm
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darranps - No I just mean a stock app on your phone. I use an Android one called 'Stocks' which is free. The logo is a green background with a jagged white graph with a straight line underneath. You pick the stocks you want to watch and add to your list and it then links to latest news for each stock. I don't know if it offers paper 'fantasy' trading. I have never done this as I am too [s]stupid[/s] hardcore. Of course when you do paper trading you will probably make loads, as soon as you change it for money you will lose. I think spending time getting familiar with the companies is more important to be honest, you will only be distracted by fantasy gains/ losses. And let's face it actually buying stock is a piece of cake. There is no black art to it, unlike say suspension setup. If you are going to buy and hold long term then paper trading is pretty pointless anyway. Good luck. And buy Apple.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 12:09 am
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Ian Cowie has a good column in the Sunday Times Money section, which details his share dealing that week. He's managing his own 'Forever Fund' as his pension.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 11:44 am
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Anyone here dabble in NASDAQ stocks?

I have:
3d Systems
Netflix
Apple
Google
FireEye
Illumina
Paypal

Would be keen to hear any views/ postulating....


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 12:13 pm
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Timely thread, I've just been putting some of my 4yo's JISA into the Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF (VWRL) (based on advice in [url= http://singletrackworld.com/forum/topic/financial-advice-child-savings-accountbondtrust-thing ]this thread[/url] four months ago).

It all felt a bit:

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 1:10 pm
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Anyone here dabble in NASDAQ stocks?

Only contained in funds.
Interestingly, I hold two tech funds, Polar Capital Global Tech , which has gained 117% over 3 years , and Henderson Global Tech which has gained 99% over the same period. A Nasdaq tracker, iShares Global tech, IXN, has gained just 55% over the same period. This is heavily weighted towards the FANGS, while the polar Capital has a max holding of just 4% in Facebook and 3% in the other usual suspects.
Not meant to be a top trumps game, just random fund holdings against a random tracker...


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 1:15 pm
 ctk
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HL shows the top ten holdings of each fund so you could just pick some of them from various funds and miss out on the fees.

I found myself watching share prices too much and thought it better to just leave it in the hands of someone else. If you've got the time then go for it!


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 1:58 pm
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Graham,I wouldn't just invest in trackers if I was you.
Reuben,you've got alot of duplication in those plays,I think you should diversify a bit.I think you should also have a look at the P/E ratios of those big tech stocks.Eye wateringly high with little or no yield.A little bit like 1999,which was followed by a three year bear market.When prices have gone up alot and fallen alot some caution is needed.All the best,Neil.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 2:00 pm
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ctk,studies show individual retail investors do not have a great record in holding individual stocks.If you must own the fangs I suggest you hold it through Scottish Mortgage.That also contains the Chinese equivalents as a bit of a hedge .


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 2:06 pm
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I heard the other day Warren Buffett has sold out some positions to create a 100bn USD cash pile. Sounds to me like he feels the markets topped out and awaits a downturn.

Tbh some of my stocks have had a stellar run this year and are looking a bit overvalued...ulvr for one. I 've been thinking of selling a few.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 2:28 pm
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Graham,I wouldn't just invest in trackers if I was you.

We're looking for an investment that we can make a regular payment (say ~£100 a month) that'll give a decent return after ~14 years so we have something to match her sisters Child Trust Fund.

I have zero financial/shares knowledge. That Vanguard ETF was just what was recommended on the previous thread. I'd welcome other ideas.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 3:37 pm
 IHN
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We're looking for an investment that we can make a regular payment (say ~£100 a month) that'll give a decent return after ~14 years so we have something to match her sisters Child Trust Fund.

I have zero financial/shares knowledge. That Vanguard ETF was just what was recommended on the previous thread. I'd welcome other ideas.

Do what you're doing.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 3:40 pm
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Reuben,you've got alot of duplication in those plays,I think you should diversify a bit.I think you should also have a look at the P/E ratios of those big tech stocks.Eye wateringly high with little or no yield.

I know, but try finding a Global Tech fund that doesn't hold them. The point I was making is that the polar fund has a lot less weihghting towards the big boys and more emphasis on interesting smaller cap companies, while trackers, by necessity, are overweight in the FANGS. Not a good place to be.
They're not my only holdings. Just 2 funds of about 20...


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 4:43 pm
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:-)Fairy snuff.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 6:03 pm
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Graham S-Not sure its a good idea to invest in things you don't understand.How will you react if your money goes down 50% in a short period.
IHN-Why should Graham keep doing what's he's doing.H,e's already told us he doesn't know what he's doing!


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 6:11 pm
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Do you think Graham and others would be entering the market if it wasn't at record highs?There's a reason why Warren Buffet piles in during record lows.Its to build up a good margin of safety.Bravery in a bear market and a large pile of cash are how to make a killing in the stock market.In fact the stock market is one of the few areas in life where people buy high and sell low.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 6:16 pm
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.In fact the stock market is one of the few areas in life where people buy high and sell low.[/quote
Including tracker fund managers


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 7:19 pm
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Graham S-Not sure its a good idea to invest in things you don't understand.How will you react if your money goes down 50% in a short period.

Well like I said it's a 14 year investment of monthly deposits. I expect it'll fall and rise a fair bit over that time but if it's down then my next monthly deposit just buys more doesn't it?

I expect, barring complete global economic collapse, that it'll still make more than a savings account over that time.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 8:26 pm
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Monkeys spot on, sadly the mkt has record inflows when at all time highs, and record outflows post crash....i know q intelligent people who have lost loads. I suspect the mktg has something to do with it, those charts with selective start and end points showing big returns.

Fwiw im following warren buffet and may sit on a pile of cash.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 8:48 pm
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[quote=GrahamS said]
Well like I said it's a 14 year investment of monthly deposits. I expect it'll fall and rise a fair bit over that time but if it's down then my next monthly deposit just buys more doesn't it?
I expect, barring complete global economic collapse, that it'll still make more than a savings account over that time.

With such a long term investment you're following the right approach IMO.

Buffet himself has specified that his fortune should be invested in a Vanguard tracker once he's gone 🙂

https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/01/06/warren-buffetts-15-minute-retirement-plan.aspx


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 9:02 pm
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Strange he didn't practice it in life whilst becoming the richest guy on earth.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 10:41 pm
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Avoid anyone who claims to make sense of the current environment.

The official policy of central bank stealing from savers has deliberately mispriced risk in order, wait for it, to make people take on more of it. It's beyond parody.

If you think you are smart enough to make rational investments in a rigged and artificial market, then good luck to you.


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 10:56 pm
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Avoid anyone who claims to make sense of the current environment.

The official policy of central bank stealing from savers has deliberately mispriced risk in order, wait for it, to make people take on more of it. It's beyond parody.

If you think you are smart enough to make rational investments in a rigged and artificial market, then good luck to you.

+1


 
Posted : 10/08/2017 11:33 pm
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Strange he didn't practice it in life whilst becoming the richest guy on earth.

Well I suspect Mrs Buffet's talents lie elsewhere.

Interesting sustained drop in the Dow and FTSE over the past few days - have we seen the top? (I personally don't think so).


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 9:29 am
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The official policy of central bank stealing from savers

Odd choice of language. To steal implies that savers already had something which was then taken away. However, with low interest rates they never had the gains to be taken, nor are they fundamentally entitled to them....


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 9:45 am
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Central banks merely rely on fancy terminology to hide what they are doing - a massive, hidden transfer from savers to debtors - one reason not to beat up the elderly (despite their pro Brexshit stance!)

In so doing, they are deliberately stealing from the returns that savers should be/would be making in non-distorted markets to cover their past mistakes

This is centrally planned theft - that they get away with it suggests that (1) people simply do not understand what is going and (2) we have forgotten that high levels of debt are the very thing that caused the crisis and continue to depress growth

The market is officially rigged - we have no reference rate to measure investment returns accurately and little visibility of what will happen as this reference rate is finally allowed to be re-established

In the meantime, caveat emptor....


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:09 am
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Teamhurtmore, I try and avoid tin-foil hat conspiracy theories, but in this, I am inclined to agree. Encouraging debt is such a cornerstone of public policy now: help to buy, massive increase in the diversity and size of student loan products, unregulated car finance market... I can't figure out what the endgame is though.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:13 am
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In fact the stock market is one of the few areas in life where people buy high and sell low.

That is one of the reasons I invest a large part of my "portfolio" in Fundsmith, it is as much about Terry Smiths attitude as anything. Basically dont try to predict the market as its impossible. Just select companies "that have already won" the gains are smaller but you are buying into established brands who have proved their ability to ride out turbulent times. They have solid management teams in place etc and they are largely based around repeat purchase items. Once you have bought dont sell! Funds haemorrhage money through buying and selling stocks and fund fees. The latter is lowish with Fundsmith when done through a platform (III) and Smith buys and holds rather than trying to latch onto the next big thing.

Lots of funds outperform Fundsmith (and its not for me to convince anyone) but my investments are for 10-15 years plus so I am happy to make steady gains without the heart attack ups and downs that can go with trying to make quick gains.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:21 am
 IHN
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Graham S-Not sure its a good idea to invest in things you don't understand.How will you react if your money goes down 50% in a short period.

As he's said, he's in for the long term, and understands that short-term fluctuations will happen

IHN-Why should Graham keep doing what's he's doing. He's already told us he doesn't know what he's doing!

For exactly that reason; he's not an 'active' investor, he's not got the time or knowledge to research more detailed investment strategies and to amend the strategy as time and market conditions progress. He wants to put a regular amount in, forget about it and come back in fifteen years' time and see a reasonable return.

A low-cost tracker, like the one he's in, is perfect for this.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:28 am
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In so doing, they are deliberately stealing from the returns that savers should be/would be making in non-distorted markets to cover their past mistakes

It's still not stealing as a) the interest wasn't already theirs and then taken and b) there is no fundamental entitlement to it.

And the alternative is far more unpleasant, without QE and dropping interest rates, we'd have had a much deeper recession, higher unemployment, etc. As it is we got away very lightly from the 2007/8 crash...


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:29 am
 IHN
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Just select companies "that have already won" the gains are smaller but you are buying into established brands who have proved their ability to ride out turbulent times. They have solid management teams in place etc and they are largely based around repeat purchase items. Once you have bought dont sell! Funds haemorrhage money through buying and selling stocks and fund fees. The latter is lowish with Fundsmith when done through a platform (III) and Smith buys and holds rather than trying to latch onto the next big thing.

Lots of funds outperform Fundsmith (and its not for me to convince anyone) but my investments are for 10-15 years plus so I am happy to make steady gains without the heart attack ups and downs that can go with trying to make quick gains.

That's really interesting surfer, given our earlier discussions. You could change the word 'Fundsmith' in that quote for 'FTSE100 Tracker' and the same principles would pretty much apply.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:35 am
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You could change the word 'Fundsmith' in that quote for 'FTSE100 Tracker' and the same principles would pretty much apply.

I didnt say they didnt I questioned your comments about managed funds. I dont have time to reread the thread but you infered Trackers provided better long term returns than managed funds. I argued that is not true of all funds and your remarks were too sweeping. I also asked what tracker funds had returned the same as Fundsmith over the last 5 years? You also hinted that the FTSE will certainly grow which I challenged. It may not, it may fall but like all of these things it depends on your timeframe, its almost all "timing" in the end.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:44 am
 IHN
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Trackers [b]generally[/b] provided better long term returns than [b]most[/b] managed funds.

Important caveats (which I think I made, and if I didn't I should have), as it's all gambling... It's just a bigger gamble picking a managed fund that will out-perform the market.

I also asked what tracker funds had returned the same as Fundsmith over the last 5 years?

I can't find one. However, 5 years is not long term, 15-20 years is long term.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:51 am
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Fundsmith has only been around for 5 years. 5 years is a reasonable timeframe. The scope of your argument is meaningless, "generally", "most"....


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 10:57 am
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I've been investing in active funds since starting work 20 years ago and generally buy and hold however I do identify poor performing ones from time to time to sell then to invest elsewhere. A tip here is to sell in the morning as you should get the current price rather than tomorrow's price - do when the market has fallen that morning and can be worth a few quid - I just sold 3 UK ones a few days ago as I saw the FTSE starting to fall. I am now buying in emerging markets to spread my risk away from the UK/EU/US where most my investments are.

BTW, I use Interactive Investor as a low cost platform for larger portfolios and also use the this is money portfolio tracker as easy to see performance over time of all funds in one quick hit so identify the bad ones. I also have a tracker in there so I can see how I'm doing compared to that.

Oh and Woodford's Equity Income fund performance is dire over the last 12 months!

https://www.trustnet.com/Factsheets/Factsheet.aspx?fundCode=KEFAZ


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 11:10 am
 IHN
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The scope of your argument is meaningless, "generally", "most"....

It's really not, but I may be expressing it poorly.

We have to talk in terms of 'generally' and 'most', because none of this is a certainty. However, most managed funds do not beat the index:

[img] [/img]

That's taken from this article, where Jack Bogle, founder of Vanguard, explains it better than I do:

http://time.com/money/3956351/jack-bogle-index-fund/

I think a key point of this though, as in GrahamS's example above, is the to differentiate the type of investor. Active investors, who enjoy and have the time to read around the financial press, investigate market trends, reassess investment strategies etc. can, sure, select managed funds that they think will do well and move in and out of them if they start to go stale. There are obviously a few of those on this thread, and I'm not going to tell them what they should and shouldn't do.

However, there are many more investors who are passive; they'll pick some funds and forget about them. These people are better off (generally) in a low-cost tracker and gaining the index increase over time.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 11:24 am
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That's, no doubt,what people with trackers in the Japanese markets thought in 1989.Look what happened next.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 11:51 am
 IHN
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Like I said:

We have to talk in terms of 'generally' and 'most', because none of this is a certainty.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 11:54 am
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Mudshark-Just because the the FTSE had a bad patch you sold three funds.This makes no sense to me at all.The FTSE is always rising and falling.If your picks were good to start with why sell?How are you going to deal with the extreme volatility of emerging market investments?Sell every time there's a few difficult periods?Your going to be paying alot in charges.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 11:59 am
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IHN,the large influx of rookie investors into ETFs,how do you think they'll react when prices fall by 40/50%?


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 12:04 pm
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Mudshark-Just because the the FTSE had a bad patch you sold three funds.This makes no sense to me at all.

I had already identified them as poor performers, just like to time my selling.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 12:07 pm
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It is stealing and investors are entitled to an appropriate level of return for taking on risk. This has been artificially taken away/stolen from them. More stupidly, this is also forcing them to taken in mis-priced risk. That is ultimate folly that always ends in tears.

CB pretend that they found a golden bullet, They didn't. They found smokes and mirrors. The eventual tapering will expose juts how naked they are/are not. We shall see. As I said - caveat emptor


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 12:12 pm
 IHN
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IHN, the large influx of rookie investors into ETFs,how do you think they'll react when prices fall by 40/50%?

Some will panic and take their money out, which is generally (that word again) the wrong thing to do. However, the people that do this would very likely have done the same if they were in a managed fund and the market was falling.

Some, the savvier ones, will ride it out if they can, knowing that markets fluctuate.

The remainder, the truly passive investors that I think are the majority, will do nothing, the same as they would do if they were in an under-performing managed fund, because they won't even know about it. This defacto inaction is actually the right thing to be doing.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 1:24 pm
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gillain tett in today's FT is worth a read


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 1:30 pm
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As is Miles Johnson in last weekends FT money, on the subject of fiddling...


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 3:39 pm
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The last 5 years is not a reasonable period to judge a fund.Quiet the opposite I should thought


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 4:36 pm
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The last 5 years is not a reasonable period to judge a fund.Quiet the opposite I should thought

OK, I will just take my gains and leave the "judging" to others.

As I said earlier timing is everything. You could track the ftse over a 10 year period and lose money if you invested in 99 and sold in 2009. Over the 2 decades from 96 to 2016 you would have averaged around 70% per decade by reinvesting gains. I have made 100% in 5 yrs if I cash in now. Well run funds outperform a passive tracker.


 
Posted : 11/08/2017 5:39 pm
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Your confusing luck with skill surfer


 
Posted : 12/08/2017 2:53 pm
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I am sure Terry Smith appreciates your expertise Monkey. He has been extremely "lucky" but hey, what does he know!


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 4:45 pm
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That five years is a short and unrepresentative period for stock markets.Especially the last five years.If there's a 50% correction will you stick or twist surfer.Waves go up as well as down you know.


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 4:50 pm
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That five years is a short and unrepresentative period for stock markets

Good advice. Thats why I invested in a fund whose average company was established in 1901, and has survived two world wars and the Great Depression. Or is that still not a good enough pedigree for you Monkey?


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 4:59 pm
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With Fundsmith your chasing heat following the herd.Herds can and do change direction.Usually in a violent manner


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 8:30 pm
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With Fundsmith your chasing heat following the herd.Herds can and do change direction.Usually in a violent manner

Now your just incoherent, Is this the kind of bluster that justifies the big bucks?.


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 9:08 pm
 5lab
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the way I look at the funds vs individual shares vs trackers is that the average fund\individual investor does (assuming they are trading in publicly held shares) as well as a tracker, minus the costs, which are typically higher (they seem to average around 1% pa, whether you select yourself and actively trade (obviously that depends how much etc) or choose an active fund).

So - if you picked 1000 funds or shares (assuming they're into publicly traded stock), and split your money between them evenly, you'd end up with slightly (1%) less cash than if you'd bunged it all into a tracker.

The trouble with funds doing really well (like FS is for now), is that some other fund is doing equally badly on the other side. I'm not great at [s]predicting the future[/s] picking a fund, and for a fairly substancial chunk of my money, I don't really want to gamble on that decision, so I prefer trackers

Where this gets wooly is if the fund is trading in currency markets, non-public stocks (ie private equity) etc, then they might have access to increases that the average joe can't get in a tracker.

it's also worth noting that whilst the FTSE is at an all time nominal high, it is around 40% lower than it's inflation adjusted-all time high (and, if measured in dollars, a whole load lower than that again). It could collapse tomorrow, but I'd argue it could just as equally keep rising for another 10 years


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 9:45 pm
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Take a look at Bitocoin up 5% Today and about 95% this month.

https://www.bitstamp.net/


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 9:55 pm
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With Fundsmith your chasing heat following the herd.Herds can and do change direction.Usually in a violent manner

Anyone who knows anything about Terry Smith, who afterall wrote the seminal work "Accounting for Growth", knows the one thing he is not, is part of the herd, always has been an independent thinker.


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 10:05 pm
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Mudshark-Just because the the FTSE had a bad patch you sold three funds.This makes no sense to me at all.The FTSE is always rising and falling.If your picks were good to start with why sell?How are you going to deal with the extreme volatility of emerging market investments?Sell every time there's a few difficult periods?Your going to be paying alot in charges.

It's worth pointing out, if the OP is still reading, that funds, generally, don't incurr dealing costs; no stamp duty, no spread (unless you're into weird shit), No platform dealing fees (with HL and CS, maybe others)and no fund entry and exit fees if bought through online platforms. iWeb will charge you a fiver to buy or sell but won't levy a holding charge. Active funds have never been cheaper, and apparently they're now taking business back from the passives...

https://www.ft.com/content/7f9b5cd6-7d00-11e7-ab01-a13271d1ee9c


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 10:31 pm
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monkeyc: if these funds are such deathtraps, what [i]would[/i] you recommend someone in my position does then? (financially naive, looking to put away ~£100 a month for the next ~14 years to build up a little trust fund for my daughter)


 
Posted : 14/08/2017 11:22 pm
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The trouble with funds doing really well (like FS is for now), is that some other fund is doing equally badly on the other side.

What! Its not a zero sum game you know!

monkeyc: if these funds are such deathtraps, what would you recommend someone in my position does then? (financially naive, looking to put away ~£100 a month for the next ~14 years to build up a little trust fund for my daughter)

Well I know what I have been doing for the last 5 years and in spite of making satisfactory (if unspectacular) gains over that period it would appear I am doing it wrong!

There are a number of things that have opened up this type of trading, 1 is the Internet which allows investors to exit the market "quite" quickly if they want to and 2 is availability of dealing platforms which allow easy access to these type of funds and share dealing.


 
Posted : 15/08/2017 7:28 am
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Just looking at my stocks now and some days some win, some lose. Next week sentiment changes and last weeks losers are todays winners.

Staying diversified averages out all this, the bottom line seems to be fairly static.

Q tempted to go the tracker route pot correction.


 
Posted : 15/08/2017 9:18 am
 5lab
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What! Its not a zero sum game you know!

compared to a tracker, surely it is? Care to explain why otherwise?

To simplify things : If I have a tracker tracking the ftse 100, with an equal share on each company (ie 1% of the company's value), which rises by 5% a year and you have invested in a fund which is only invested in 2% of each of the 'good' 50 companies in the ftse 100, so it rises by 15% a year, someone else, somewhere has shares in the 'bad' 50 companies, so will be losing 5% a year. You can't have a company, or a share in a company with no owner


 
Posted : 15/08/2017 9:39 am
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With Fundsmith your chasing heat following the herd.Herds can and do change direction.Usually in a violent manner

The corollary is Neil Woodford who refused to follow the heat and invest in tech stocks, and thus weathered the 2001 tech crash better than most funds....


 
Posted : 15/08/2017 9:43 am
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Dont mean to be rude 5lab but either you dont understand how a fund works or I am misunderstanding you.

The trouble with funds doing really well (like FS is for now), is that some other fund is doing equally badly on the other side.

A fund is a basket of shares, say 20 shares. Every one of those share could rise or consequently every one could fall. Typically some rise/fall more than others etc based on a million criteria. Hopefully the net effect is that "my" fund rises consistently and I make a profit. That doesnt mean any other funds or shares have fallen to provide my gain.


 
Posted : 15/08/2017 9:49 am
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Yep, with a 10 year bull run virtually every fund is showing a gain.....


 
Posted : 15/08/2017 9:52 am
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I've been running a app, that lets me "play" with a virtual £25,000. and since August, i've increased this to £29,000. I virtually bought shares in companies all over the globe, Hong Kong and america mainly. Could someone tell me if that £4000 profit would actually get eaten up by lots of charges and commissions if i were to do this in real life?

I'm looking at the shares ISA scheme, does that allow for buying foreign shares?


 
Posted : 09/11/2017 12:14 pm
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It depends where the 4k came from, it could be say 1k in dividends in which case it would simply ne credited to your account with no deductions for buying or selling.

If you had actually bought 25k worth of stock, say 10 x 2.5k trades and held for 3 months, you would have paid for 10 buys at say 100 gbp, stamp duty at 0.5%, so afurther 125 gbp, so c 250 in initial charges.

Not a bad return, smart money is on the timing of banking your returns, they can disappear as soon as they appear.


 
Posted : 09/11/2017 12:21 pm
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[i]If you had actually bought 25k worth of stock, say 10 x 2.5k trades and held for 3 months, you would have paid for 10 buys at say 100 gbp, stamp duty at 0.5%, so afurther 125 gbp, so c 250 in initial charges."[/i]

not sure i follow, if stamp duty is 0.5% then 0.5% of 25,000 would be £125? where does the other 125 come from?

the 4k is purely from stock price increases, no dividends.. presuming i get the price its says, am i right there is a sell and buy price?


 
Posted : 09/11/2017 12:26 pm
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10 buys will cost you c 100 to 125gbp, plus the stamp duty at 125, so 250 is your total set up cost.

So no divis, shame i like divis, your 4k is also tax free, or up to 11.5k as thats your cgt allowance. Divis are only taxed at 7% though, over your 2k allowance.


 
Posted : 09/11/2017 12:29 pm
 5lab
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A fund is a basket of shares, say 20 shares. Every one of those share could rise or consequently every one could fall. Typically some rise/fall more than others etc based on a million criteria. Hopefully the net effect is that "my" fund rises consistently and I make a profit. That doesnt mean any other funds or shares have fallen to provide my gain.

missed this first time round

lets say your fund has 1 share each in the best 50 companies in the ftse 100, and over a 1 year period they rise in value by 100%. You're nice and happy. all good.

If, over the same period in time, the ftse 100 rises by 50%, you've beaten the index soundly.

but for that to happen, the 50 companies that you didn't have a share in rose by an average of 0% - nothing at all. Someone has to own these shares - its not possible that all the 'good' shares are owned and all the 'bad' ones aren't - so for every fund/investment that is in the 50 'good' companies, there's a fund/investment in the 50 'bad' companies making no money at all.

at the same time, a tracker has a share in every company - the good ones and the bad ones. The rate of return is half as good as the 'good' fund, but only half as bad as the 'bad' fund. At the same time, the management costs are way less - 1/2% instead of 3% on a managed fund.

this is why there is a zero sum game, compared to the average index. if the index isn't rising over a period of a year, the average fund/share won't rise either. If the index does rise over a period, the average fund/share will rise by the same amount. If you happen to pick a good fund/share, that's great, you're ahead of the game, but it appears that this is mostly luck - and therefore you're not better off picking a fund instead of picking an index tracker - however you're worse off as the trading costs are higher.


 
Posted : 09/11/2017 12:32 pm
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Thats a fair point, 1 other thing to bear in mimd is volatility. I bought a share in feb 17 for 1.40, its now 1.40, so no capital gain if i had held it.

However, it has cycled between 1.4 and 1.52 3x since feb so i have turned it over 3 times, 3 x say 6p each cycle as you never pick out the his and los, is 18p, so a banked gain of 18p.

There are a few similar shares.


 
Posted : 09/11/2017 12:46 pm
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