Pentagon Pizza Index increased massively overnight. Something's afoot https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pentagon_pizza_theory
I don't find it surprising if the next "regime change" is Iran considering Iran is the last thorn in the Middle East. Internally, Iran has a lot of problems (5 large families controlling) in their admin. i.e. some with close tie to the power base are better off/better equipped than the others. I also foresee that any action taken against Iran will come from Israel as they have people on the ground to gather intelligence and information.
Protests still happening
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mbrovlf7zc24
Still a long way to go before it topples but the regime are obviously worried
https://bsky.app/profile/chadbourn.bsky.social/post/3mbrtb7toe22i
fascinating interview here
https://www.radiofarda.com/a/michael-rubin-and-iran-anti-government-landscape/33641538.html
who knew Michael Jackson stopped the last Iranian uprising!?
(Google translate is your friend)
I know it might be funny but try not to use too many gifs too often, coz you are going to spoil the thread.
I think a better phrase is "Iran is the last standing opposing nation in the middle east ..." (thorn in the side?)
(note: I love gif but I might get ban using them. LOL!)
I think a better phrase is "Iran is the last standing opposing nation in the middle east ..." (thorn in the side?)
you might think it is better but it's pretty meaningless - opposing who, who is everyone else fully onboard with ?
It's also an attempt to paint the IRGC with more legitimacy than they deserve
I was looking at military flights over the North Sea and then zoomed out and spotted a Global Hawk looping around UAE and Straits of Hormuz.
it's pretty meaningless - opposing who, who is everyone else fully onboard with ?
Exactly. It's a ridiculous thing to say because the region is full of competing groups. None of them are really friends of the U.S., but many want support from the U.S. because they are opposed to Iran. Beyond the "enemy of my enemy" motivation, they all have their own agendas that only align with the U.S. in that they oppose Iran.
America has issued a nofly notice over Iran
https://bsky.app/profile/chadbourn.bsky.social/post/3mbwocfgnqk2i
Internet is cut off for the country but still some images coming out
. https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mbwqzxcnuc2f
The last time there was a revolution in Iran, a western backed tyrant was replaced with just another tyrannical leadership.
The worry now with the state of geopolitics that if they succeed in ridding themselves of these tyrants they could end up with another US backed tyrant.
If the opportunity is there to rid themselves of the current leaders, the people have to strike now, but I wish this could have happened 2 years ago.
Israel seems to have been notably quiet so far, im not sure whether they think it's a case of better the devil you know...
Are the Mullers mullered?
Are the Mullers mullered?
Hopefully but that said these protests are apparently still smaller than the 2023 ones. The government are unfortunately pretty good at controlling dissent. Guess it depends how accurate or not that bluesky message is. If the government is fracturing then that improves the chances.
Not sure the Shahs son trying to get involved is a great sign for getting rid of a authoritarian government. His family doesnt exactly have the best history.
Israel seems to have been notably quiet so far, im not sure whether they think it's a case of better the devil you know...
Never interrupt your enemy when they are destroying themselves.
Hopefully but that said these protests are apparently still smaller than the 2023 ones. The government are unfortunately pretty good at controlling dissent. Guess it depends how accurate or not that bluesky message is. If the government is fracturing then that improves the chances.
Ive not taken anything from social media at face value for quite some time now. There's just so much blatant dis/misinformation out there generated by everything from individuals, to state actors, billionaires and AI that it's increasingly meaningless to buy into anything early on.
Israel seems to have been notably quiet so far, im not sure whether they think it's a case of better the devil you know...
I can't imagine how Israel getting involved wouldn't give the Iranian leadership a thing to rally people against.
Maybe an "onside" Iran gives Isreal less leverage to keep the west turning a blind eye to their even worse human rights record.
I have a feeling that this time is the one, - we’ll see.
I have a feeling that this time is the one, - we’ll see.
Iran’s supreme leader signals harsher crackdown as protest movement swells | Iran | The Guardian
Guardian reporting that the Iranian leadership is promising a crackdown but it looks from outside like they've completely lost control so I'm not sure how that'll work?
Looking at the protest sites they seem to show some patterns, I wonder why.
I wonder if the young population is also easily persuaded.
The question is whether if they order the revolutionary guard to go in and arrest/kill the protesters they will.
At the moment they seem to be loyal to the regime, theres also not any opposition party or leader as such
The question is whether if they order the revolutionary guard to go in and arrest/kill the protesters they will.
I don't think that will happen because they will walk straight into the trap if they start shooting or killing. Better to spray the protestors with water cannon.
Looking at the protest sites they seem to show some patterns, I wonder why.
Yes, it's weird isn't it. People protesting where there are towns but not where there is harsh desert.
