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With the general election coming up, I was wondering if there's a website out there that shows the voting history by county/area by general elections.
Wikipedia shows the most recent data, but I'm yet to find more history than this.
I'm interested to see how tactic voting could affect my county.
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html
use
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/newseatlookup.html
Cheers for that.
Eye opener! No chance of any other party winning in my area.
Winning party has won for years and years with a huge majority.
Can't say I'm surprised given the area I'm in.
99% chance of them winning again according to that site.
I grew up in the South Lakes, the constituency, now called "Westmorland and Lonsdale" was solid Conservative, the preceding constituency "Westmorland" had been Tory since the mid 1800s. The sitting MP, Michael Jopling, was the Minister for Agriculture which says a lot about the make up of the area. In 2005 the seat was won by the Lib-Dems with Tim Farron becoming the MP, he's now one of the few MPs to have an absolute majority with 51.5% of the votes cast.
I'm quite happy with my political knowledge and who I want to support. I just wanted to find the voting history of the ward. Tactical voting won't work in my area, so I shall stick by my guns.
[quote=Stoner > http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html
use
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/newseatlookup.html
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woo. 96% chance of CON hold...
Eek! 97% chance of Con hold for our constituency
woo. 96% chance of CON hold...
98% here. Welcome to the Cotswolds, where the local time is 1956.
Here the conservatives only won by 27 votes in 2015, yet they are still predicting there is a likelyhood of 65% they will win again.
Eek! 97% chance of Con hold for our constituency
Are you Skipton/Ripon Bob? It's actually 100% if so, as the local Libdems, who polled quite respectably up to the 2015 disaster, have decided not to stand as part of a shabby deal with the Greens to focus on Harrogate.
That's my tactical vote up in smoke.
Yes I am. And I know what you mean about the deal.
89% Con Hold probability.
That's a CON-LAB flip-flop marginal.
Bob Marshall-Andrews the Labour rebel used to hold that seat. Now Labour are doing so well they're predicting 58% CON, 17% LAB, 17% UKIP.
last time out, CON stole that seat back from the Tory to UKIP defector.
Interesting site, though.
Now off to see what they predict the HoC might look like if their predictions are right.