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16.4 Million to win is being suggested, so both sides only about 16.1 million short at the moment....
Expecting some big swings both ways until we get up past 8-9 million each side then maybe a trend
ernie_lynch - Member
It's Chewwy wots dunnit
Burn Chewwy!
jambalaya - Member
Labour (Milliband, Eagle etc) blaming Tories, they just can't help themselves
Neither can you.
Neither can you.
I thought we'd given up pointing out the hypocrisy now. 🙂
Can someone translate that tweet into English?
gap closed to 6k to the leave and then jumped back to 25k to leave. 🙁
I guess our fate really lies with Birmingham and London. Hoping NI and Scotland have a good turnout.
You should see Paddy Ashdown then....much worse.
Doh!
It's going to be a remain, once Birmingham and those bloody Londoners votes are in!!!
don't think they will need that HS2 train to connect the north south divide thats going to get bigger though
The scots I don't think give a toss how it pans out as long as somehow they screw the English/CMD
Interesting 6000 votes on the Shetland isles, surely not many people live there
Me and Alex Salmond are kindred spirits. Using the betting market to predict things 😀
don't think they will need that HS2 train to connect the north south divide thats going to get bigger though
Still not seeing this as North/South at the moment, a lot of results are all over the place
Helloooooo, barmaid in the background 🙂
(beeb coverage)
Edit: interviewing pissed 18yr olds....good plan, Mr Interviewer.
^^^ do you like a girl in a hat 😉
Still not seeing this as North/South at the moment, a lot of results are all over the place
your not counting the student vote , I reckon some heavy remain there
Rumours that Soton and Pompey are on line for clear leave wins
@mike results not all over the place, all Leave or "neutral" to expectations
And not a massive N/S thing plenty of Southern leaves
your not counting the student vote , I reckon some heavy remain there
Wasn't that supposed to deliver a huge remain result in Newcastle?
I HAVE A QUESTION will Farage actually **** off if its a remain, I think on the radio he said he was going to resign?
Will they round up the leavers and say there you go ....LEAVE and send them to Australia
Wasn't that supposed to deliver a huge remain result in Newcastle?
Oh really? didn't know
Not looking good, London big remain but turnout down to weather, I think the Brummies will not be committed enough to remain to save it
Bojo for pm and sir farage, 😥
Will they round up the leavers and say there you go ....LEAVE and send them to Australia
Sorry we are full. No room for [s]immigrants[/s] intolerant pricks here
I think on the radio he said he was going to resign?
He said he would resign after the general election, and we all know what happened there.
TV are missing a trick by not making the results more like the Eurovision song contest.
"Hello London, hello London, this is Newcastle, the votes of the Geordie population are as follows..."
Sorry we are full. No room for immigrants intolerant pricks here
explains why you went to Tazmania then....backdoor entry
I assume the z is for irony?
Sorry we are full. No room for intolerant pricks here
Australia hasn't got anymore room for intolerant pricks ?
Well I knew Australia had plenty of intolerant pricks but I thought you also had plenty of space ?
Apparently we're typical here - god help us
assume
Who thought 2am could be so exciting on STW
Space yes, water no... Full mate piss off back to where you came from like...
Anyway if the leave leadership ended up down here they would probably get all confused with the customs form. Questions like how much money, what's in the bag etc.
Hartlepool 70/30 - new vote Leave leader 🙂
Basildon 69/31
"Bike Park Wales" votes Leave
Questions like how much money, what's in the bag etc.
how so
How much money None
Whats in the bags ...no drugs their in me trackies
Holy shit is basildon london
Basildon - Thats got to be a shocker!
Ooft that's huge in basildon
Basildon is shithole... it really is!
Anyway if the leave leadership ended up down here they would probably get all confused with the customs form.
Well that's weird......the UKIP leadership seems well impressed with Australia's method of handling foreigners.
I think Basildon was expected to be strong for Leave
Starting to look like the remain hopes are clinging on to the cities results.
WTF happened in Merthyr Tydfil? Do they think they're going to be rescued by a Johnson government?
Yep, I can vouch for Basildon being a shocker - no surprises on the way they voted though
I'm in two minds to make a cuppa or just start on the JD in the cupboard
Oh shit. We're leaving, aren't we? Turkeys voting for ****ing Christmas.
Bloody hell - hoping I awake from the nightmare tomorrow. Good night, all.
79% turnouts, tho.
Amazing the North voting for BoJo. Like he gives a **** about them, he just wants to be PM.
[quote=v8ninety ]Oh shit. We're leaving, aren't we? Turkeys voting for **** Christmas.
I wouldn't expect that based on anything we've seen so far - just the NE where Leave has done better than expected, those big wins for Leave are in places where UKIP MPs have got elected (or got very close). I think we need to see how London is going before drawing any conclusions at all.
All right. Steady the buffs. There's still 359 to go.
Blaenau bloody Gwent? Jesus Christ!
[quote=Mr Woppit ]Blaenau bloody Gwent? Jesus Christ!
Like Merthyr Tydfil, it's another result which isn't really surprising. To generalise, the population is fairly homogenous several generation British and with high levels of unemployment.
Not seen a single 'good' result for remain yet. Scotland seems to be relatively sensible, I suppose.
BBC ignoring the money markets...
@bongo vote Leave is not voting for Boris - its voting for leaving to EU consistent with Corbyn's long term campaigning
@v8 Scotland is only narrowly Remain
Lots of large Remain votes not yet declared - it may well be that those which we expect to vote Remain vote even more solidly with high turnout. To soon to tell.
Well off to work, wonder if I should pack the Ardbeg, feel like a may need a stiff drink later if only to get the mental image of the overjoyed leavers one handed typing away.
But there are a number who are voting to protest the current government or to "hurt" the Tories. Many in here have it as their silver lining plan.@bongo vote Leave is not voting for Boris - its voting for leaving to EU consistent with Corbyn's long term campaigning
[quote=lazybike ]BBC ignoring the money markets...
money markets are just doing a combination of reacting to what they're seeing and trying to make money out of what's happening - I'd take them as a decent indicator in the medium/long term, but sure as heck not on a minute by minute basis. Much as I hate to admit it, I'm with Wee Eck here.
Looking at the betting odds (which isn't terribly different to the money markets) I was wishing earlier that I'd placed a bet on Leave - tempted to see what I can get on Remain now.
Amazing the North voting for BoJo.
Except they haven't. Even daft working-class northerners can work that out. Although you obviously haven't.
That is some chip on your shoulder, Mr Lynch.
Indeed ernie - they've voted for Nige
edit: oh gosh I probably need to add one of these on this thread: 😉
56.2% turn out in glasgow. I'm ashamed and embarrassed
56.2% turn out in glasgow. I'm ashamed and embarrassed
Burn out from the last referendum?
edit: oh gosh I probably need to add one of these on this thread 😉
Don't do it! Live on the edge!
I put £80 on 6:1 leave. It was to be some consolation to contribute to my holiday to France if we left.
Are the scots just trying to avoid another independence vote..
That's funny, I thought it was you who were showing signs of a chip on your shoulder.
Still, at least I'm not accusing northerners of not knowing what they're voting for, eh?
@aracer...agreed, but what the market does is still newsworthy.
It will be when we are up to 12 million for one side, right now it's guess work. Though give me 10k and a fast trading platform a day I reckon there is money to be made. I can't decide if it's more or less than playing the betting exchanges though
Burn out from the last referendum
I reckon a lot up here see it as an English thing. They can't be arsed.
Oh, Ernie....don't ever change. ?
aracer - MemberIndeed ernie - they've voted for Nige
So how many MPs have UKIP got in the North of England?
Don't tell me.......the political map has completely changed since the general election last year?
VINCE Cable just claimed that Ken Clarke has said CallMeDave will not last for 10 seconds if the Leave side carries it.
Do I buy my holiday euros now???
Damn. North Warks going in hard.
Do I buy my holiday euros now???
Bought mine yesterday. Purely by luck than planning.
[quote=mikewsmith ]It will be when we are up to 12 million for one side, right now it's guess work. Though give me 10k and a fast trading platform a day I reckon there is money to be made. I can't decide if it's more or less than playing the betting exchanges though
There was an arb with the bookies for a minute - had gone by the time I'd clicked through though (and TBH I'm not sure I'm risking the arb working tonight, it's moving too fast)
Leave now solidly odds on with the bookies, though the 2/1 on Remain which was very tempting has now gone.
Do I buy my holiday euros now???
The guy I'm on shift with is doing just that, and covering any potential losses with a small bet on Remain winning between 55-60% of the vote. 22/1 on Sky Bet.
Chris Hanrettys model on Twitter suggests a 97.3% chance of Brexit.
according to BBC remain is in the lead... JUST!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/eu_referendum/results
Glasgoooooooo!
Some results starting to go against leave, Oxford and Glasgow worse than expected.
Just tried to buy euros. Every site I tried refused the sale!
Edit
Here comes the "cities effect"...
No bed for Woppit yet.
Lambeth and Wandsworth - as I suggested above that's suggesting a trend back towards Remain, both I think better for Remain than expected, and a lot of votes.
i feel sick.... butterflies in me belly.
have to work tomorrow, but don't want to wake up not knowing.
i think i'm going to have a smoke.
I was going to suggest the BBC were missing the point with Swansea suggesting it was significant that it voted to Leave when it was supposed to be Remain, but quickly rescued by noting the significance of Lambeth and Wandsworth. In a way those results are almost as significant as Newcastle, and I'm expecting the betting odds to have moved...