Forum search & shortcuts

EU Referendum - are...
 

[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

Posts: 12668
Free Member
 

And if I was May I would be making it clear that "We" is 30% of the population (or thereabouts) and I am not taking action based on that.

The cries of "what about democracy" would be met with the fact I am representing 70% of the country and the true will of the people.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:02 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

And people would rightly call BS


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:16 pm
Posts: 7513
Free Member
 

It seems to me that the only solution that could possibly satisfy a large proportion of the population would be to marry some token efforts to limit EU immigration, together with continuing EU membership. Corbyn appeared to be proposing the Swiss solution yesterday before he drowned himself out with stupid crap about wage limits. Honestly, that guy is a disaster.

(Yes I know that the swiss aren't in the EU, but they face essentially the same problem.)


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:18 pm
Posts: 52609
Free Member
 

"We" voted to leave the EU. Period. The reasons given included (rightly or wrongly) immigration and law making. So May is correct when she says that there is/was not such thing as a hard or soft Brexit.

As you keep saying but it's not a formality, Plan A Brexit and time to get real about the options.
Plan B bury head in the sand
Plac C have a contingency when parliament votes no


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:25 pm
Posts: 78561
Full Member
 

What does an advisory referendum have to do with "democratic process"?


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:27 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Was that a serious question cougs?

Parliament won't vote no. We are leaving the EU. Get used to the idea


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:39 pm
Posts: 52609
Free Member
 

teamhurtmore - Member
Was that a serious question cougs?

Parliament won't vote no. We are leaving the EU. Get used to the idea


THM, I'd be certain if our PM wasn't in having a second go at skipping asking parliament for some reason she doesn't share your confidence.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:44 pm
Posts: 921
Free Member
 

What does an advisory referendum have to do with "democratic process"?
I'd also argue that the democratic process means the only mandate the government has is to deliver the promises made by the winning "official" campaign - "hard" or "soft" definitions becoming irrelevant. So either Vote Leave's fantasy needs to be delivered in full or the whole game needs to be reconsidered.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 12:54 pm
Posts: 11605
Free Member
 

Could all those who say we have to leave please clarify the definition of 'advisory'? I could have sworn blind it was an antonym of 'binding' when I was at school.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:05 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

The government sent us all a document explaining the process. It was 100% clear

The referendum on Thursday, 23rd June is your chance to decide if we should remain in or leave the European Union.
The Government believes it is in the best interests of the UK to remain in the EU.

This is the way to protect jobs, provide security, and strengthen the UK’s economy for every family in this country – a clear path into the future, in contrast to the uncertainty of leaving.

[b]This is your decision. The Government will implement what you decide.[/b]

Which bit of "the Gov will implement what you decide" is difficult to understand?

Ditto, "this is your decision." If people couldnt be bother to vote or didn't try to understand the implications then more fool them. (With the obvious caveat, that we are a society were taking individual responsibility is a declining concept.)

May was badly advised in the RP for sure. She should also stop fannying around and put the bill before Parliament. Obviously she will now wait for the CJ decision, but that should not have been necessary.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:10 pm
Posts: 17294
Full Member
 

The 35 million promise makes any result void.

You can't be voted in on a blatant lie and then say you didn't mean it.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:12 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

It took 5 minutes to google that 35(0) million was a lie

if people were fooled by that, then that is there problem


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:13 pm
Posts: 921
Free Member
 

Which bit of "the Gov will implement what you decide" is difficult to understand?
Being a bit unnecessarily rude there THM. It is because I do understand what we decided that I link the official campaigns to the mandate.

We have a referendum. There are official campaigns for each side. The one that wins has a mandate for delivery. That is what we decided so that's what the Government has to deliver. Not anything else.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:17 pm
Posts: 11605
Free Member
 

No, its everyone's problem.

And whatever was said it was still, legally, an advisory referendum.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:18 pm
 br
Posts: 18125
Free Member
 

[i]Which bit of "the Gov will implement what you decide" is difficult to understand?[/I]

Seems easy enough, so why haven't they done it yet then...


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:22 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

GEDA City wants something for nothing. Services are tariff free, the issue is whether EU would block financial advice accross EU border. If that was the case it's trivial to arrange a fronting organisation or staff up a local sales office. Of course the businesses don't want to pay for any of that as right now they get it all for free paid for by the taxpayer.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:22 pm
Posts: 78561
Full Member
 

Which bit of "the Gov will implement what you decide" is difficult to understand?

The bit where they didn't have the authority to make that claim. Y'know, as has been discussed subsequently in the highest courts in the country for the last six months.

A change to the law has to be decided with an act of parliament, an individual government cannot do this alone. It was ever thus.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:26 pm
Posts: 18596
Free Member
 

The demographic that voted resoundingly out often don't own a computer, THM, and rely on the papers for news and opinion.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:27 pm
Posts: 17294
Full Member
 

It was plastered all over my village on phone boxes , bill boards why would anyone think it wasn't a blatant lie.
When I asked my mp he still sticks by it.
Why should we believe the bit about leaving the EU?


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:30 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Cougs, the only question that the courts had/have to discuss was the issue over royal prerogative versus Act of Parliament. They were very clear that there role was not to consider Brexshit itself.

But that does not relate to the simple question - the government was very clear in stating that it would implement the decision - it is not rude to ask which bit of this is difficult to understand. "Which bit do you not understand", would have been less polite!

b r - they are in the process of doing it and we have a deadline. At the moment, they are waiting for the Court opinion but dear old Theresa is claiming that we are still on track for deadline and Jezza promised (*) that he would not obstruct the vote yesterday

* admittedly he does change his mind on important issues on a rather rapid basis

The one that wins has a mandate for delivery.

Untrue

That is what we decided so that's what the Government has to deliver. Not anything else.

True. We agree.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:39 pm
Posts: 7513
Free Member
 

I think we can all agree that the Cameron govt reneged on its promise, he resigned the day after the vote, remember. We've got a new govt, though of course the Tories were elected on the explicit promise to keep us in the single market.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:40 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

No it wasnt

They did argue in favour of the single market (with some dodgy logic) but the opening line in the 2015 manifesto was about the fact that people had been ignored in europe and that they would have their say in a referendum.

That has been honoured.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:48 pm
Posts: 7513
Free Member
 

No, the manifesto explicitly promised to protect our position in the single market.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:49 pm
Posts: 921
Free Member
 

Untrue

Disagree.

These one line responses without supporting basis are easy, aren't they.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:52 pm
 br
Posts: 18125
Free Member
 

[i]b r - they are in the process of doing it and we have a deadline. At the moment, they are waiting for the Court opinion[/I]

But if she'd just put a bill in front of the Commons (and Lords) she wouldn't have had a High Court case at all, so I call BS.

She knows in her head & heart that it's the wrong thing to do, but she knows 'politically' that if she doesn't do it she (and probably the Tories) will be toast - so she's doing it for that reason, so when the country is stuffed just remember that we didn't have to do this...


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:53 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Our plan of action:

We will let you decide whether to stay in or leave the EU

We will legislate in the first session of the next Parliament for an in-out referendum to be held on Britain’s membership of the EU before the end of 2017. We will negotiate a new settlement for Britain in the EU. And then we will ask the British people whether they want to stay in on this basis, or leave

We will honour the result of the referendum, whatever the outcome

Seems pretty clear to me

on the single market, they did say this

But there is much more to do? The EU is too bureaucratic and too undemocratic? It interferes too much in our daily lives, and the scale of migration triggered by new members joining in recent years has had a real impact on local communities? We are clear about what we want from Europe? We say: [b]yes to the Single Market[/b]? Yes to turbo- charging free trade? Yes to working together where we are stronger together than alone? Yes to a family of nation states, all part of a European Union – but whose interests, crucially, are guaranteed whether inside the Euro or out? No to ‘ever closer union.’ No to a constant flow of power to Brussels? No to unnecessary interference? And no, of course, to the Euro, to participation in Eurozone bail-outs or notions like a European Army?


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 1:57 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

But if she'd just put a bill in front of the Commons (and Lords) she wouldn't have had a High Court case at all, so I call BS.

Indeed, she got caught with her leather pants down there

She knows in her head & heart that it's the wrong thing to do,

True

but she knows 'politically' that if she doesn't do it she (and probably the Tories) will be toast - so she's doing it for that reason, so when the country is stuffed just remember that we didn't have to do this...

Yes, we did. They were elected on the promise to have a vote and to implement the result whatever the outcome. Its not there fault. Its the bloody Brexshiteers and those who voted to leave.

She/the Gov cant be blamed for delivering what they promised but they can be blamed if the screw the process up.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:01 pm
Posts: 7513
Free Member
 

"We are clear about what we want from Europe. We say: yes to the Single Market"

"We will [...] safeguard British interests in the Single Market"

Could hardly be more explicit. Glad we've got that cleared up. Hardly surprising that May is so evasive as she prepares to jettison a manifesto commitment after never even being elected as PM.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:01 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Indeed - what "we want"

Agreed, explicit and clear.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:10 pm
 igm
Posts: 11874
Full Member
 

THM - an innocent question (all the best ones are)

It appears the manifesto says have a a vote on EU in/out and also stay in the single market. Assuming the Tories weren't lying, fibbing or just telling us what they thought we wanted to hear in the hope of being elected, can you envisage a situation where a country wasn't in the EU but was in the single market?
If you can then I guess the only reading of that manifesto is that is what we voted for (obviously I didn't but Jamba did I think)

That would meet what the Brexies voted for - they can rejoice in their victory - while keeping most of the benefits of a European trading club keeping the other half of the bite happy(ish). Added bonus - Farage loses that cushy number he's been on in Brussels.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:15 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Captain. Cameron campaigned to stay in and then resigned when he failed. The Referendum changed everything on that issue. Quite simple really.

igm May said on Shophy Ridge THE Single Market IS the EU. So her and my answer is no. The EEA is a market which is not the EU

In other news the Government is considering a levy of £1000 on every EU skilled worker post Brexit, interesting idea. A start but figure is far too low. Should have Singaporean style system where every worker has to pay sufficient tax to cover all service provision fully or have private cover to do so.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:24 pm
 igm
Posts: 11874
Full Member
 

May is wrong if she said that.

Are you sure she actually said it and didn't retract it later?
It's a bit definite for her.

EDIT: EEA ok for you then? That might work. Does the four freedoms as I recall


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:25 pm
 igm
Posts: 11874
Full Member
 

Good to see you are acting as her spokesman now Jamba 😉


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:30 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

IGM - tbc, I am not defending Tory policy or their logic (which as I said early was convoluted in this area)

I do not accept the premise in your second line, but leaving that aside.

First step, we need to be clear about what we are talking about. There is a fundamental difference between "access to" and "membership of" the EU single market. Membership comes with obligations - and obligations for some bizarre reason the public are not happy with.

What we are talking about now is "access to". The four possible frameworks (ignoring the bespoke red white and blue version for a moment) have various levels of access to the single market with membership of the EEA being the closest to the status quo (but still clearly inferior). But and its a big but, that requires FoM and budgetary contributions.

It is blindingly obvious that there is tension between the Gov's desire to maintain liberalised trade with the EU while also curbing FoM and the reach of the CJEU. The next two years will determine how that tension is resolved.

Lets gets on with it.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:32 pm
Posts: 11605
Free Member
 

Lmao, so let me get this straight, we charge people to come and work in positions we, as a nation, need filled?

Well there goes the nurses, doctors, engineers, scientists, researchers, teachers...

Is it me or is this morphing into a soft version of Day Zero? Purge the intellectuals!


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:32 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

In other news the Government is considering a levy of £1000 on every EU skilled worker post Brexit, interesting idea.

Bonkers idea

IGM - I was helping a tutee prepare for some interviews yesterday. One of the best sources that I have found - quality of writing/language and info - is

The pros and cons of the different frameworks are laid out clearly. FWIW, the report downplays the idea of a bespoke Brexshit agreement. I am not sure that they are correct there.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:36 pm
 Del
Posts: 8284
Full Member
 

according to jamba and chewy the tories are unassailable right now. if she had any balls ( ha! ) May could decide to put aside the result of the [b]advisory[/b] referendum and pay only a minimal price in the the next GE.
i really do wonder what is in all this for them?


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:41 pm
Posts: 7513
Free Member
 

What's in it for them is holding the tory party together, because the brexit wing consists mostly of foaming at the mouth lunatics who wont' accept anything else, and the remain wing is prepared to make the best of a bad job and also looking forward to the opportunities to never let a crisis go to waste by wiping out employment and environmental laws, human rights and what remains of the welfare state including the NHS.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:45 pm
 igm
Posts: 11874
Full Member
 

THM - as a fully signed up champagne socialist, I suspect I disagree with you on many things, but let me pay you the compliment of pointing out that you will be worth disagreeing with when we discuss those topics.

There are a couple of others on here I would extend that compliment to.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:49 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Blimey captain, there's a future job in strategy and communication with your name all over it. The Tories are nowhere near as good at you and defining the strategy with such clarity.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:49 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

IGM, thank you, the pleasure works both ways!

I like this thread for the simple reason that you have to keep checking facts. Keeping on top of the pros and cons of the likely outcomes is q hard IME, hence my own refresher this week has been useful.

I am often dismissive of governments (!) so am always pleasantly surprised at the quality of work produced by various committees. The HoL paper that I linked was very good IMO. Not least the first two pages which are articulated so clearly. As I said to my tutee, if you can explain this as clearly as the author you will blow them away in the interview !!!


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:55 pm
Posts: 7513
Free Member
 

If corbyn had come up with that £1000 levy idea he'd have been laughed at long and hard by the press.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 2:58 pm
Posts: 17294
Full Member
 

No doubt he will be along with a proposal of £1001.


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 3:01 pm
Posts: 12668
Free Member
 

I like this thread for the simple reason that you have to keep checking facts. Keeping on top of the pros and cons of the likely outcomes is q hard IME, hence my own refresher this week has been useful.

Yes it is not easy is it. Yet you are expecting the average voter to have the ability (technical and intellectual) to work everything out for themselves even if there are official looking billboards/buses/discussions on TV debates that all tell them lies.

It took 5 minutes to google that 35(0) million was a lie

if people were fooled by that, then that is there problem


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 3:27 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

£1000 fee clarifcation. We already charge that annually for non-Eu citizens so post Brexit it makes sense for that to be lobbied on every non-British skilled worker equally as we won't be in the EU.

£350m (again)

£363m is the weekly gross contribution to the EU as per the most recent official government annual report (I forget the doc name / page reference)
It is not a fixed figure, it has been generally and steadily rising. It is dependent on a vareity of factors including estimates of the "black market" and relative strength of the UK.
Rebate is not guaranteed (frequent threats to reduce / remove it)

There are something like 30 different official EU estimations of the UK's net contribution. That strikes me as chaotic and sends a clear signal that it's a dysfunctional arrangemnet if you cannot even track the money accurately..


 
Posted : 11/01/2017 4:20 pm
Page 442 / 1714