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[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

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Johnson has always been a serial bullshitter

Re-using the 350m lie is shameful, but the hardcore Brexies are doubling down on their lies as the promised land is turning out to be not so wonderful after all.

The utter humiliation of May should also be considered as Johnson is so blatantly positioning himself before the party conference.


 
Posted : 17/09/2017 8:46 pm
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Repeating the £350m is inexcusable and shameful. Bojo has zero credibility

Edukator, given that you post as many, if not more, false statements than Jambas on this issue, your comments re integrity, value.and insulting have as much credibility as a Bojo column. No smiley required.

Shame Jambas feels the way he does and why that wasn't dealt with.


 
Posted : 17/09/2017 10:21 pm
 Del
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Iirc Jamba also said that figure was bs, but that the number was irrelevant, even beneficial if inflated, as it kept everyone talking about it during the campaign.
Guess that's the problem with making stuff up. You have to remember it all or you get caught out.


 
Posted : 17/09/2017 10:26 pm
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Well that was true. The Brexshiteers controlled the narrative much better than we did. Sad that the core was a series of lies and that we struggled to contradict them

What a crap job we did - didn't learn from the Indy vote where even bigger BS almost won the day.

One thing jezza actually can do if his heart is in the message. Not in this case obviously


 
Posted : 17/09/2017 10:29 pm
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Well that was true. The Brexshiteers controlled the narrative much better than we did. Sad that the core was a series of lies and that we struggled to contradict them

Not really and, like with the leave campaign, saying it over and over doesn't make it true.

Remain had to sell the current deal with the few concessions that CMD had won, with a promise to try harder next time negotiations came up. Basically, here is more of the same. Even many remainers weren't hugely chuffed with what we had but it was better than not having it. There wasn't an exciting and positive case to sell because everyone thought they knew what it was.

Leave could promise what they liked, particularly Farage, Banks, et al. as they weren't even officially on the team sheet so couldn't be called to account as easily. Every time someone drew attention to the "lie", the "lie" got more air and you could debate until you are blue in the face but it was very rare to be able to refute it AND get the refutation given widespread publicity given that the major media outlets were openly leave supporting or neutral.

Bottom line is that selling dreams is easier than selling reality, particularly to many people who needed dreams more than their current reality. Sensible arguments can't make headway against alluring fantasy, particularly when, and let's be honest, most people only listen to the headlines they like the sound of and don't understand the deeper ramifications of what they are voting on because it is so very, very complex (outside my specific areas of expertise I include myself in this).

In those situations there is no controlling the narrative for remain, all the campaign could do was hope that enough people were scared of the risks.


 
Posted : 17/09/2017 11:15 pm
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Outside the EU we will have absolute flexibility to focus our trade policy where we wish. Without any shadow of a doubt import and export business with the EU will go down even with a free trade deal as we will have other free trade deals which will cut inti EU business
So, new free trade deals, removing tariffs from trade, good.

Very mischievous of Boris ahead of TM's important speech on Friday but absolutely correct to out the NHS / £ 350m back on the front page. Strong ground for Leave and he is totally correct that we can make that sort of aspirational plan. As I said before no EU budget contributions and WTO tariffs with EU gives is far more than £350m pw to play with even including keeping all existing "EU" spending in the UK
So, no free trade deal, adding new tariffs to trade, also good?


 
Posted : 17/09/2017 11:34 pm
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Just heard John Redwood saying that "we're an open and friendly country that wants good relationships with all the countries in the E.U."

Oh. So why don't we just stay in the E.U., then?


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:23 am
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/17/boris-johnson-has-revived-romantic-vision-brexit-desperately/

Like I said, doubling down on the lies


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:24 am
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So Maybot's trip to Japan went well

http://m.dw.com/en/brexit-japanese-companies-set-to-leave-london/a-40523696


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 4:05 pm
 igm
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I'm sure order/order will paint it in a positive light.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 4:39 pm
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People who want to tell us what to do objecting to people telling them what to do. Lovely.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 4:55 pm
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Has jambalaya leaving the thread distracted us from this setback?

[url= http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-oliver-robbins-quits-department-permanent-secretary-eu-talks-theresa-may-david-davis-boris-a7952756.html ]Oliver Robbins quits[/url]


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 6:09 pm
 igm
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I don't think he's quit.

I think he's still the senior civil servant on the negotiating team but now reporting to May not Davis.

Make of that what you will. I could interpret it several ways.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 6:15 pm
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I am interpreting it as 'turns out that Davis really is a first class idiot and impossible to work with'.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 6:17 pm
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So yeah maybe leaving Davis out of the loop is the best brexit news all week. 😆


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 6:18 pm
 igm
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Like I said several interpretations - that's only one of them.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 6:26 pm
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Poor old Boris. This article shows why it may be now or never for him - it's all very well being the panto twunt to get exposure and attention, but when it's your only trick and a bigger Panto-twunt like Rees Mogg appears, you're liable to fade a bit.

It's our own fault, really. We've turned politics into a cross between panto and reality TV and we are now getting the 'personalities' we deserve. The decline in average intelligence amongst the populace has many ramifications - Brexit is just the biggest foul up we've had a result. So far.

[url= https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/17/boris-johnson-foreign-secretary-tory ]https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/17/boris-johnson-foreign-secretary-tory[/url]


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 7:11 pm
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If nothing else works, then a total pig headed unwillingness to look the facts in the face will see us through....

Name that quote...


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 7:31 pm
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General Melchett.

Now give us a difficult one. 🙄


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 7:35 pm
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Oooh challenge accepted... googling only cheats thyme self -

Hit them were they ain't...


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:19 pm
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An apt one considering this thread is Brexit-related.

"Patriotism is the less refuge of a scoundrel".

Think Farage, Johnson, Rees Mogg etc.

Oh and for 'scoundrel' think '****'.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:42 pm
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The Brexit process

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:44 pm
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But the F1 car starts out as a sleek, technological wonder.

Are there any gifs of a pile of stinking shit that just degrades and gets even fouler and shittier as time goes by?


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:48 pm
 igm
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Hmmm. Names to conjure with.

Lord Bridges
Lord Price
Olly Robbins
Dominic Cummings

Make of it what you will. Strongly sturdy I'd say.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:49 pm
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Or how about this?

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:50 pm
 igm
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Slowoldman - someone will be along in a bit to suggest the front wheels chose to leave the bureaucratic nightmare of the car and are now rolling along far better than the car. "The car needs us more than we need them", the wheels cry.
I suspect they still lost that race however you cut it.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:52 pm
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The golf one works quite well.

The kid has obviously had a mare and duck-hooked a shit drive off the tee.

All he has to do is admit he's got it wrong, declare the ball unplayable and take a penalty drop.

But no, the idiot doubles down on the initial mistake and makes a total bollocks of it.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 8:54 pm
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Isn't that the 4th senior advisor that Davis has lost this year?

His look of permanent befuddlement not an act ? Thick as mince & lazy as a toad, eh.

Things have got bad when May steps in to show strength & stability!

Johnsons desperate attempt to save his reputation (& scupper May's soft? Brexit speech in Florence) was backed only by Gove Wormtongue & Rees-Mogg the Craven who's just happy there is someone he can get behind rather than do the job himself..


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 9:08 pm
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Things have got bad when May steps in to show strength & stability!

Be careful what you wish for. That senior advisor working for Maybot may be down to the fact that Maybot wants her vision of Brexit pushed through, after she gets the powers of the repeal bill and stacking the committees in her favour.

We know that the immigration report a few weeks back was prepared by personnel working in the home office and reporting directly to Maybot and bypassing the home secretary.

Maybot is a classic career politician, will keep going with her vision of Britain regardless of whether the Britsh electorate want it or not.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 10:54 pm
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our only saving grace/hope is that she probably lacks the power to do this/ is really crap at delivering.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 11:16 pm
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No saving grace. If she has successfully blocked all possible avenues to pulling back from an exit, and yet fails at properly preparing us for that exit, and smoothing our exit… and getting us a sensible new set of arrangements after we exit… no brightside. And if anyone thinks that all the long term damage that scenerio would cause is worth it, to see her party being damaged and out of office, then please think of your country before tribal politics.

Robbins move has been planned for a few weeks, as EU team keep hinting May is planning on resetting negotiations and taking control herself, they said as much when they announced the timetable changes to accommodate her.

The big question is, will May announce a plan, or movement towards something akin to being an EEA partner, or signal she's really preparing us for a real outside status followed by long trade talks to end up with something like Canada? Or will she just reaffirm the "keep everything just as it is, but tear everything up" approach laid out in the negotiating documents? I wouldn't bet against more empty platitudes showing no real awareness that someone needs to kick things into action (fast action) as soon as the German elections are done. Movement. Any movement. A direction of travel. Something is needed, and reality says that we have to start It. And it now has to be her, as she's kept everyone else (apart from DD) well away from having any say in it.


 
Posted : 18/09/2017 11:22 pm
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If anyone is still under the impression we are in control of this process they need to sit down and review the current state of play.

1. We want/need a deal, the EU is prepared to "cut its nose off to spite its face" for the greater good of the EU politically (not something we are prepared to do as we are shallow capitalists)
2. The longer this drags on the more the Tories spiral out of control, Barnier knows this will weaken the resolve of both politicians and people. He has already witnessed a significant shift (transition deal) in a very short time.
3. The EU has not been required to make a decision or present a question to the 27 for decision, this alone indicates the lack of positioning by DD and his teams ability to present such requests.
4. The UK based overseas banks/manufacturers have lost faith in the UKs ability to deliver a Brexit deal and they will ride the transition deal right over the channel/Irish sea.
5. We have lost the deal Bexiteers, we lost it about 4-6 weeks ago, the Torys know it, Farage knows it, Boris knows it hence his bollocks in the newspaper, Mark Carney knows it and you can bet your life Barnier knows it.

Anyone on here that works in or has worked in high level global sales also knows this.

DD is an idiot he thinks he is the uber sales guy, trouble is he doesn't under stand that he has **** all to sell let alone something someone wants to buy.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 12:08 am
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and the direction this is heading in is possibly Labour etc. letting them roll along until May has to present either a hard brexit option or something that looks and costs similar to what is already in place - vote of no confidence then off to the polls - that would be the astute time to debate the EU at the GE level. When the rock and hard place situation is very clear.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 1:03 am
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Apologies if we've already done this, but I just came across it. Groucho Marx and BoJo:


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 1:04 am
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The big question is, will May announce a plan, or movement towards something akin to being an EEA partner, or signal she's really preparing us for a real outside status followed by long trade talks to end up with something like Canada?

Or simply carry on with what she has said all along i.e. Attempt to negotiate a bespoke FTA deal?

Seems far more likely. EEA is an incomplete answer so hope she does better than that


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 5:58 am
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It's all going so well that "carrying on" is obviously the sensible thing to do. Can't fail, really.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 6:10 am
 igm
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As I recall, May was originally pro-single market, pro-FoM, but very heavily anti-ECJ.
I wonder if anything has really changed? I.E. would she pretty much accept any deal that kept the ECJ out of (for example) UK human rights?
And don't tell me there's been a vote and that wouldn't uphold it - that's history, and I doubt May really cares about it very much.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 6:13 am
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Id agree May isn't the kind of person that changes her settings much, though with her anti-immigrant bias at the home office, in not sure how pro FOM she is.

She needs to show leadership, the feeling on the EU side is that the Tories don't know what the fk to do, especially with demagogues like Johnson & Mogg backing them further info a corner.

While EEA looses us huge chunks of influence, im just not convinced we have the ability to get much more from the EU.

Maybot's speech in Italy this week seems like it might be something along on the line of 'EEA or nothing'.

If it has to be voted thru...., as the resurgent Chappers keeps saying there is no parliamentary majority to take us out of the single market.

Let's see what we learn from Florence & the Machine tomorrow

Though I wouldn't be surprised if it's just more empty soundbites.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 7:19 am
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Some of this is bleeding obvious, if hard brexit/two was the preferred option then we would be say at the table discussing how to disconnect, thing is that's not what DD is doing as he is trying to get them to discuss a trade deal prior to sorting out obligations - hence it's very easy to establish the UKs bargaining position - to achieve what DD wants requires a constitutional change in the EU starting with FOM, how many people think that FOM will be changed within the EU? Anyone with half a brain including DD Boris etc knows and understands that currently FOM is critical to UK business prospering. At some point the Tories will either give in on this issue or self destruct.

Boris has sensed the lost deal and is positioning himself for the self destruction option by presenting himself as the swivel eyed option - it's pathetic at best, at worst it impacts on poor people's quality of life.

People would do well to remember that the UK on a pound/euro parity is very attractive to the EU as we will pay the extra for a BMW/week in Benidorm while they get cheap stuff/holidays from us.

Seriously folks this is not complicated and it's not being run by smart peole (those people that are smart are distancing them selves from this)


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 9:01 am
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[quote=kimbers ]Id agree May isn't the kind of person that changes her settings much, though with her anti-immigrant bias at the home office, in not sure how pro FOM she is.

Anti immigrant? Based on her Home Office record she's all mouth and no trousers (and nothing subsequently has served to suggest that's an incorrect impression). If it wasn't for this awkward deadline where they'll just chuck us out with no deals agreed, I'd expect TM in charge of negotiations to result in her claiming that we were going to have our cake and eat it, but no actual change.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:13 am
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the feeling on the EU side is that the Tories don't know what the fk to do

Clearly no-one knows what the fk to do. Both major parties have painted themselves into the same corner with the "respect the referendum" bullshit when brexit is clearly insane to anyone who's though about it for more than a few seconds (excluding the swivel-eyed loons, of which there are of course quite a few).

As soon as Labour get in power it will eat them up too. There is no good brexit, there is not even a half-decent brexit.

The only half-plausible "solution" other than a full and humiliating climb-down is to create a new status of non-member who shares all the rights and responsibilities of a full member. Perhaps we could call it a pre-transition preparation. And then adjourn negotiations and quietly normalise the situation a year or two down the line when most of the brexiters are dead.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:14 am
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As soon as Labour get in power it will eat them up too.

I suspect so


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:24 am
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an extra 350m a week?

more like we will have £300m a week LESS after Brexit

IFS’s deputy director Carl Emmerson.

The Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts the outlook for the UK economy and the public finances; these forecasts have been adopted by the chancellor as the government’s own. They contain an allowance of almost £250m per week — not £350m — for funding that could in principle go to the NHS rather than the EU. But this would involve no state support for any other activities, such as subsidies for agriculture, that are at present funded in the UK by the EU.

The bigger picture is that the forecast health of the public finances was downgraded by £15bn per year — or almost £300m per week — as a direct result of the Brexit vote. Not only will we not regain control of £350m weekly as a result of Brexit, we are likely to make a net fiscal loss from it. Those are the numbers and forecasts which the government has adopted. It is perhaps surprising that members of the government are suggesting rather different figures.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:32 am
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What Boris's intervention has shown is that May has absolutely zero authority, but for reasons best known to herself is desperate to cling on to 'power' (whatever that means in this context)

So I expect her 'Big Speech' will be the same empty meaningless 'Brexit means Brexit' platitudes that had grown tiresome 12 months ago. All she's bothered about is heading off a full-on leadership challenge, before or during the Tory conference.

She's going to be disappointed on that score. The knives are already out. Its going to be a bloodbath

Once again the future of the country takes a distant second place to the internal machinations and petty rivalries within the Tory party


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:34 am
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I do hope she pulls her finger out tbh. But I don't hold out a lot of hope.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 11:03 am
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At this time no one could lead the tory party as the voews range from Boris or redwood to Ken clarke

May is not one of the most astute or skilled leaders [ or even technocrats] that we have ever had so it will all just be a desperate attempt to cling to power

TBH the shit storm ahead is her best bet as even Boris knows that to rule over this and lead us into an economic and political shit storm will lead to a one term Premiership
The are all waiting for he to be destroyed by Brexit and then they can rise from the ashes of that mess untainted. Its not her skill that is keeping her there its the iceberg ahead and she gets to hit it then they change captain.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 11:18 am
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salad_dodger - Member

Quality flounce Jamba. Just use your other log in when you feel the need to post on the forum.

Posted 1 day ago #

Oooh, [i]pleeeeease[/i] tell me Jamba has been officially outed as a multi-login troll.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 12:22 pm
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Oops wrong thread


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 12:25 pm
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ooops Ed - quick get that on the religion thread. 😀


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 12:25 pm
 mrmo
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She's going to be disappointed on that score. The knives are already out. Its going to be a bloodbath

Normally i would agree, but i don't think anyone wants the job yet, and no one wants to be the knife man. Maybe that is where Rees-Mogg comes in?

Anyone who takes the job now is screwed. Mind you if the tories don't do something drastic soon they will become a political irrelevance, average age of c75, hardly conducive to long-term survival.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 12:47 pm
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Maybe that is where Rees-Mogg comes in?

mogg absolutely pooped himself when it seemed like he might actually have a chance of leadership

far happier to sit on the backbenches and play his games


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 12:51 pm
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The only half-plausible "solution" other than a full and humiliating climb-down is to create a new status of non-member who shares all the rights and responsibilities of a full member. Perhaps we could call it a pre-transition preparation. And then adjourn negotiations and quietly normalise the situation a year or two down the line when most of the brexiters are dead.

Full and humiliating climb-down gets my vote. Followed by some sort of reckoning within the UK - probably involving the stocks and lots and lots of rancid vegetables.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 12:59 pm
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Normally I would agree, but I don't think anyone wants the job yet

Boris certainly does. Because... entitlement

But whoever is the frontrunner and instigates the coup never ends up as leader. Thats just the way the Tory's do things. This ridiculous faux-truce situation just cannot continue, and once they're all together in Manchester (we'll give them the usual stay-behind-the-police-cordon-at-all-costs 'welcome') they won't be able to help themselves. All the factions wil plot and scheme against each other until the inevitable no-confidence letter heads to the 1922 committee

... and then all hell breaks loose

I wish they'd get on with it!


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 1:00 pm
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One prominent Italian commentator captured the mood of regret this way: “To be alone in 1940 among the enemy was heroic, to be alone in 2017 among friends is absurd.”

source: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/19/theresa-may-brexit-eurosceptic-italy-europe-speech-florence


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 1:04 pm
 mrmo
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 mrmo
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And it looks like Boris is getting ready to jump before the train goes over the cliff according to the Telegraph.

Then he can emerge as he savior after the train crash.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 1:57 pm
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Guardian reckons is gossip spread by his enemies. Says ask the Times and Spectator, where he's worked.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 2:32 pm
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The only half-plausible "solution" other than a full and humiliating climb-down is to create a new status of non-member who shares all the rights and responsibilities of a full member..

What like some kind of bespoke deal ?


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 8:26 pm
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Vince Cable absolutely nailed how we arrived at this nonsense completely today

"Another disaster looms..... Brexit. The product of a fraudulent and frivolous campaign led by two groups of silly public schoolboys reliving their dormitory pillow fight

And now thanks to Boris Johnson we have been led into a full scale riot while the headteacher is hiding, barricaded in her office"

Pretty much spot on, that


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 8:51 pm
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Odd how few people voted to support his view

Poor old Vince, unloved as ever


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 8:54 pm
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Odd how few people voted to support his view

Are you Jambalaya?


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 8:56 pm
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No Andrew Marr

He was a bit put out when I mentioned this on Sunday


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 9:01 pm
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What like some kind of bespoke deal ?

Your faith in the competence of Davis & co, especially considering the limited time left, is impressive!


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 9:50 pm
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Not at all


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:00 pm
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I'm happy to let you call it a "bespoke deal" and claim you "won" so long as we have all rights and responsibilities of full EU members.

Deal?


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:02 pm
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Odd how few people voted to support his view

FPTP - most votes in most constituencies are in a 2 horse race.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:16 pm
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What like some kind of bespoke deal ?

Like we do as members.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:17 pm
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A bespoke deal means a bespoke deal.


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:36 pm
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A bespoke shafting?

May Offering a 20bn exit bill apparently, not sure that'll be enough, but it's a start !


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:38 pm
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[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 19/09/2017 10:56 pm
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Another disaster looms..... Brexit. The product of a fraudulent and frivolous campaign led by two groups of silly public schoolboys reliving their dormitory pillow fight

Poor old Vince can't get anything right - they don't have dormitories at Eton.


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 12:06 am
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What like some kind of bespoke deal ?

Just sketch out the key points of this special deal... Unless the real lunitics get in charge it will be better than the ROW who don't really talk to the EU and different to any other deal already signed. Yep a bespoke deal is inevitable.


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 1:26 am
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Best example of a bespoke deal yet 😉
[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 1:52 am
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Bespoke deal? Utterly absurd. there is no time and no expertise to negotiate one along with no chance of the EU ever accepting one. the delusions are getting worse


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 6:16 am
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20bn, that's about half the lowest figure Europeans are expecting.


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 6:17 am
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Odd that so many people are currently in the process of negotiating one. How absurd is that?


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 6:20 am
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You tell us, thm. The whole charade seems little more than a device to prop up this dysfunctional govt one day st a time.


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 6:21 am
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Well capn it's tough when one sides tactic is to avoid negotiating if possible, true

Very odd idea that this mess is propping up the government. They seem in some considerable disarray to me. You may know better though


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 6:24 am
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teamhurtmore - Member
Odd that so many people are currently in the process of negotiating one. How absurd is that?

Most of which would like to have a nice easy one already done.


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 6:51 am
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True but you have to deal with what is in front it you not what you wish was in front of you. I may have mentioned that before.


 
Posted : 20/09/2017 6:54 am
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