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[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

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Richard Harrington, the business minister, Alistair Burt, a minister in the foreign office, and health minister Steve Brine resigned their posts to rebel against the government and vote for the Letwin plan.

From Buzzfeed who I assume had somebody watching the lobby


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:28 pm
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The 15 new rebels are:

Brine
Burt
Collins
Costa
Green
Harrington
Jo Johnson
Lefroy
Masterton
Mitchell
Morgan
Neill
Newton
Pawsey
Spelman

Letwin Rebels

Shame that the last one was defeated


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:34 pm
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Apparently 3 ministers gone

Good. More people need to step down and say what needs saying. Shadows as well. Eventually whips may have to be dropped so that all MPs can act in what they think is in the interest of people outside politics.

https://twitter.com/richard4watford/status/1110302682835759106?s=21


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:36 pm
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Government in toys/pram separation study - this is going to have to go to a full no confidence I feel which puts Peoples Vote as the tie breaker


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:41 pm
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I suppose at this point the government votes down its own motion?


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:42 pm
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Tries to.


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:44 pm
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that was always the plan if it went wrong #KillSwitch


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:44 pm
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what is the main motion that the Letwin amendment pertains to / is there a chance that could be defeated (which then defeats the Letwin amendment too, as it's only part of the whole?)


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:44 pm
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It's a neutral motion as far as I know - just there to be amended.

I'm also liking the raw BBC Parliament feed - no Andrew Neil


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:45 pm
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That Letwin amendment passed by around 52:48 in Round figures. 😀


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:46 pm
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strong and stable


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:47 pm
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ORDER!!! Coming soon


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:48 pm
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Carried by 27, well done JC for turning up now to talk about busses


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:50 pm
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Shouty mob.


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:52 pm
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Shouty mob of snowflakes.


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:56 pm
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The super-knobs from the ERG that were invited to Chequers to have smoke blown up their arses are referring to themselves jolly-japingly as the “Grand Wizards.”

But it’s all just informal and a bit of a giggle.


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:56 pm
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Well Speaker will be waiting for the Opp to get his uplift to the Lords 🙂


 
Posted : 25/03/2019 11:56 pm
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Point of Order

I'm unclear now whether the member for Chelsea was or wasn't a good whip

I'm pretty clear however that the current crop can't be any good as they had 30 voting against it.

ORRRDDDEEERRRR!!


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 12:04 am
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https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1110316791161647105

warnings


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 12:08 am
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The governments response is simply deluded, calling for realism????

May has mishandled this pretty much from the start, MPs have tried to take control, because May & the cabinet have no freaking clue how to make it work.

They are morons


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 12:10 am
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Carried by 27, well done JC for turning up now to talk about busses

Mr Speaker, I would like to congratulate the house for taking control.

The government’s approach has been an abject failure and this house must now find a solution.

So I pay tribute to [Oliver Letwin and Hilary Benn] and others, who have worked to achieve tonight’s result.

The government must take this process seriously. We do not know what the house will decide on Wednesday. But I know there are many members of this house who have been working for alternative solutions, and we must debate those to find a consensus.

And this house must also consider whether any deal should be put to the people for a confirmatory vote.

Where this government has failed, this house must, and I believe will, succeed.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 12:17 am
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Richard Harrington was the only Tory MP i’ve Heard talking any sense in about 3 years. He’s hardly been shy of voicing his opinion that Brexit is madness and the idea of No Deal is total insanity.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 12:27 am
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Well, everyday this somehow goes from mental to utterly deranged.

How does the bar for crazy just keep being raised with each passing day?

I mean, this has gone more weird than I could have possibly imagined on the day we voted out!


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 12:51 am
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As I understand it, the argument about parliament taking control of the business agenda on Wednesday is that it sets a dangerous precedent. A few made noises / points of order to this effect last night.

Isn't it rather that precisely because the government hasn't allowed debate to happen, hasn't engaged properly with the others that this became almost inevitable?

That's the environment we're in; couple that to the point that they gave away a majority in an ill conceived election, and the blame for this 'tumultuous' event lies in one place only.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 7:47 am
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Isn’t it rather that precisely because the government hasn’t allowed debate to happen, hasn’t engaged properly with the others that this became almost inevitable?

100%
In normal circumstances a government would have fallen by this stage.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 8:12 am
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I'm wondering if the first item on the order paper will be to create a backdoor where parliament can seize control more easily in future, just for the shits and giggles.

More seriously it has been suggested they may create the potential to extend the debate for as long as necessary to discuss options properly.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 8:23 am
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What is the most likely worse case scenario?

I’m assuming no deal is pretty much dead.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 8:49 am
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I’m assuming no deal is pretty much dead.

I thought it was still the default come 12th April?


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 8:53 am
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In the same way that the default for you is that you can't travel abroad once your passport hits its expiry date… only happens if you decide not to renew it.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:08 am
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In the same way that the default for you is that you can’t travel abroad once your passport hits its expiry date… only happens if you decide not to renew it.

If only it were that simple. Renewing a passport is a well established procedure. To make the analogy accurate, I would have to be trying to create a passport office and invent procedures that would work for millions of people, all with a couple of weeks. All the while a bunch of people are insting the old passports work just fine so why bother renewing, while another bunch of pepople would be insisting that we didn't really need passports any way.

The most likely outcome is the passport doesn't get renewed.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:23 am
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I’m assuming no deal is pretty much dead.

One of the Maybots endlessly repeated statements is actually true and actually means something: "nothing has changed"

For all this shenanigans going on, the default position is that if this chaos isn't sorted within the next 2 weeks, we crash out with no deal.

Newsnight was interesting last night. It said that at the emergency cabinet meeting yesterday, the future of the country wasn't really discussed, everything was couched in reference to the survival of the Tory party. Thats the only priority. Everything else is incidental to May.

And as the ERG know only too well, and had confirmed to them on Sunday at Chequers, that means keeping them sweet. So if she has to deliver the No Deal they yearn for, to keep them onside, don't delude yourself for a second that she won't deliver it.

Every single thing they've demanded for over two years now, has been delivered to them, gift-wrapped by Theresa May.

I can't see anything else other than No Deal. May just moved the date back a few weeks, but the maths never changed. The country is still being held hostage by a tiny bunch of noisy lunatics who will never ever be placated.

This was exactly the reason Richard Harrington (a rare sane Tory) gave for resigning yesterday. Because a tiny minority of the truly unhinged are conducting (in his words) an 'economic experiment' with the countries future, and being indulged in doing so by a powerless and craven PM


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:25 am
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If only it were that simple.

The procedure for stopping a no deal Brexit on the 12th April is set out… either ask for another extension, or unilaterally recind A50 notification. Legislation then needs changing to reflect the new date (or the pause/stop). Our membership of the EU only expires with "No Deal" if we don't take the steps required. A choice not to 'renew' is a choice.

The most likely outcome is the passport doesn’t get renewed.

Maybe, but that would be the choice of our parliamentarians. No wriggling off the hook for them if that's where we go next… it's on them.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:28 am
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It is total confusion, while the headlines are that parliament has taken control, I just don't see it that way, all parliament can do is vote down Government proposals. Anything else is just window dressing, Government still has to adopt any alternative proposals voted on in order to make it policy, and they are showing absolutely no willingness to do so, in fact the government central cabal is just digging trenches to try and force through their already rejected policy.

I have seen nothing that suggests parliament can force alternatives onto a government who are willfully ignoring any and every other option.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:31 am
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technically I think you are right.....everything parliament can do is advisory (I'm sure I've seen that word used somewhere else) and can be ignored if the Government so desire.

But to ignore parliament at this stage, and with this much at stake and with such a swell of parliamentary and public opinion growing against it, to do so - I might be naive but I can't see it. This bus careering towards the cliff edge with a manic May at the wheel - someone has their hand on the brake even at this late stage.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:41 am
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I can’t see anything else other than No Deal.

Agree with binners.

<goes to lie down for a bit>


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:49 am
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In agreement with Binners as well, we're simply living through the death rattle of the current sitting parliament. They know the ship is sinking and with it many of their jobs and they don't know what to do about it.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:53 am
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This bus careering towards the cliff edge with a manic May at the wheel – someone has their hand on the brake even at this late stage.

What I've found quite eye-opening is the absence of any brakes. There are effectively no restrictions on the executive if they don't wan there to be. At this stage it looks like she can do what the hell she likes

People are talking about parliament 'taking back control', but its done nothing of the sort. They can have all the votes and table all the amendments in the world, and May can simply ignore each and every one of them. I see nothing in recent history, given her ludicrously dictatorial, authoritarian, tin-eared attitude to suggest she gives a monkeys what anyone thinks other than the usual headbangers

I can't be the only one now realising I didn't really have a clue about the manifest problems with what I'd always been told was a democracy. What is going on at the moment looks more like some tin-pot dictatorship to me


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:58 am
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I agree too (must...not... let... faint glimmer of hope... start.. to... surface...)


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 9:59 am
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@binners - within the normal running of parliament I'd agree with you but May could only do that for so long then there's a distinct possibility that there are enough dissatisfied backbench Tories that Corbyn would table a vote of no confidence and bring down the government.

The POTUS is often called "the most powerful man in the world" but the US constitution places deliberate checks and balances on his power, ironically because of autocratic British power, whereas the UK prime minister has much more say in how the country is governed.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 10:05 am
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One thing this shitshow has demonstrated more than anything is our need for a proper written constitution. It seems like everyones just making this up as they go along based on what somebody once did a few hundred years ago.

I've been genuinely shocked at how little can be done to stop an intransigent and autocratic PM just doing what the hell they like


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 10:10 am
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A bit too late to edit my last post. This is copied from the BBC "live" page:

Former director of legislative affairs at Downing Street, Nikki da Costa, says there are two ways a general election could happen.

Firstly, two thirds of MPs would have to vote for a general election. She suggests that because Labour and the SNP would be likely to support this, a fresh election would be approved.

Alternatively, she explains, the government could lose a vote of no confidence.

"There would then be fourteen days in which the government could try to regain the confidence of the House.

"If that doesn't work and no one else can command a majority, then you would head towards a general election."


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 10:22 am
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Every bloody time I get my hopes up STW reality kicks them down.

May saying no deal actively having to be voted for could foolishly be misinterpreted as no deal having to be actively voted for.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 10:26 am
 rone
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One thing this shitshow has demonstrated more than anything is our need for a proper written constitution. It seems like everyones just making this up as they go along based on what somebody once did a few hundred years ago.

I’ve been genuinely shocked at how little can be done to stop an intransigent and autocratic PM just doing what the hell they

Isn't this just the by product of Parliament being split / tiny majority.

If May had the courage just to go with one side, there would've been less of a Parliamentary crisis. Plenty of hate and problems for sure but at least we would have not walked the line for the last two years.

In fact, in lots of ways it's less to do with being autocratic and more to do with trying to please everyone.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 10:37 am
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She is not trying to please everyone. If she was it would have been cross party from the start and the softest of soft brexits.

Mays aims are ( in order of priority)
1) stop the tory party splitting
2) Keep the tory party in power
3) Stay on as PM.

Thats it. that is all she is interested in.


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 10:40 am
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What on earth do you mean @rone?

Which "side" could she have got behind that more than half of MPs would be backing at this point?


 
Posted : 26/03/2019 10:41 am
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