MegaSack DRAW - This year's winner is user - rgwb
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So everyone hates Froome, because of an unresolved AAF. But, if there hadn't been a leak, nobody would have known, and I assume there would have been no uproar. Assuming AAFs do happen, and they normally stay secret, how many other riders might there be, right now, with unresolved tests?
Anyone know how common they are? And how long they normally take to clear? Is Froome one really a rarity, or do riders get them left right and centre?
About 1.5% of all WADA tests report an AAF. Thats more common than I thought. In which case, Froome is probably not as uncommon as I would have assumed, and I'll make a bet that there are other TdF riders with them outstanding. Wonder if TdF organisers should ask all riders with outstanding AAFs to voluntary no race.
"A total of 4,822 AAFs were discovered from 300,565 samples last year." from... https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1057115/increase-in-adverse-analytical-findings-reported-by-wada-in-2016-testing-report
If it's true that 1.5% of tests (NB your wording is tests not riders) are positive, then making some assumptions (10 tests per rider per year, 200 TdF riders undergoing this testing regime, adverse tests are normally distributed amongst all tests), that's a huge number of riders who will be affected.
200 riders x 10 tests A year x 1.5% = 30 adverse tests in the TdF per year. Do we therefore assume that 1 in 6 riders have an AAF hanging over them?
What percentage of those AAFs go on to result in bans?
@SlowOldMan: As it turns out, not Froome's particular one.
I find it interesting that the Froome data was leaked, for whatever reason, but in general the secrecy for these tests remains incredibly tight.