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[Closed] 2019 General Election

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> sigh <

Vote Labour. Please don’t let the most blinkered supporters put you off. You can see that Labour have problems amongst their ranks that are yet to be dealt with properly, and also that having another Labour MP is immeasurably better for everyone in the UK than another Conservative MP.

Vote Labour. Stop the Tories.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 12:12 pm
 rone
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https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1199279263440154626?s=20

Tipping point? One off Poll?

Need the positivity.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 12:20 pm
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It’ll narrow still further in the next few weeks. I had hoped the launch of the Labour manifesto would have moved the dial further than it has though (it did in 2017); harder for Labour to surprise this time, I suppose.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 12:29 pm
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Id like to think the momentum was with Labour & some labour leavers started to have doubts about a Johnson government rone, but too many people seem to buy the myth that Johnson well get brexit sorted in a few months


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 12:31 pm
 dazh
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referring to antisemitism as something other than a “real issue” is pretty cold and hard.

For christ's sake leave it. Misrepresenting what people say about AS feeds the hysteria. That's how every witch-hunt in history happened, and there was always someone somewhere who benefitted from it. You can either take part in it and be part of the mob, or not.

Need the positivity.

We didn't do this one yesterday. Yes labour should always be ahead in Wales, and by more than this, but the significant bit is the change in sentiment. Things could be turning...

https://twitter.com/ITVWales/status/1199009679826964480?s=20


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 12:38 pm
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V8, TJ.

This is what I object to

Its as I siad. The isrealis and their apologists are aghast that there is a prospect of a government in the UK that will hold isreal to account for its vile actions

If you'd have said The Isreali Govt and left it there I'd have been totally fine. But you didn't say that you said the Isrealis (the entire country and people) and it's apologists...This is the divided loyalty trope.

The criticism today was from Ephraim Mirvis, a British citizen and Rabbi. and by this statement has ignored the obvious fact that the "Israelis" are not a homogenous group and indeed have sharply diverse political views. But, TJ is happy to lump Mirvis in as a mouth-peice of the "Israelis" and label him "An apologist"

I don't particularly feel the need to apologise, I think TJ probably needs to reflect on typing too fast. I don't think TJ is anti Semitic, but I'd be pleased if he reflected on this more  Let's call it an example of Hanlon's Razor


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 12:59 pm
 rone
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t’ll narrow still further in the next few weeks. I had hoped the launch of the Labour manifesto would have moved the dial further than it has though (it did in 2017); harder for Labour to surprise this time, I suppose.

Inertia. Maybe it will ramp up.

That poll is one of the tricky ones that tends to reflect Tory goodness.

Interestingly here in Brexitlaw (Bassetlaw) we don't appear to have a campaigning Tory PPC. Now if you know anything about Bassetlaw (Lord John Mann of Brexitville previously) we are supposed to be heading towards Tory. But there is no one on the campaign trail.

(Actually Brendan Clark-Smith is listed but still haven't seen him campaigning.)

I for the life of me can't figure out what's gone on with the Tory PPC. I see Brendan Clarke-Smith listed but nothing from him.

I'm going to a mini question time debate soon with all the candidates apart from the Tory PPC listed!


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 1:03 pm
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Anyone hear Lord Justice Dyson on 5Live just now?
Formerly head of appeal court and member of supreme court.
Damning of Johnson regarding honesty and integrity.
Nicely skewered Sir.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 1:04 pm
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Tipping point? One off Poll?

There was an ICM poll yesterday too...


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 1:07 pm
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Let’s call it an example of Hanlon’s Razor

On both of your parts, then; your sloppy inference of antisemitism was as bad if not worse than TJ’s lack of clarity between the terms of ‘Israel’ and ‘Government of Israel’. If he’d conflated ‘Israel’ with ‘Jewish’ you’d have had more of a point, but he didn’t.

Anyway, agreed, let’s move on.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 1:10 pm
 rone
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There was an ICM poll yesterday too…

yeah saw that last night. Good.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 1:16 pm
 rone
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https://www.thearticle.com/peter-kellner-some-of-the-most-startling-polling-numbers-i-have-ever-seen

Yuk.

Maybe flawed because it's all based on a yougov extraction. Dunno.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 1:47 pm
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If Johnson can be denied his majority, it might be surprising just who is prepared to support Labour forming a government instead (with a different leader) and holding an EU referendum…

https://twitter.com/cornishskipper/status/1199314021649960961?s=21

We might end up with ALL the NI MPs, of all parties, doing what needs doing to kill Johnson’s Brexit approach.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:13 pm
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Yuk.

Agreed. Something can be done about it though…

https://twitter.com/thatginamiller/status/1198969985508532225?s=21


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:15 pm
 dazh
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Kelvin if you’re hoping labour will jettison Corbyn at the behest of the DUP then give up now. Labour members would rather be in opposition than kowtow to the racist fanatics in the DUP, and they’d be right in doing so.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:18 pm
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> sigh <

Labour might be in a position to form a government, with a different leader. If they choose opposition instead… well… 🤷🏻‍♂️ If the votes of MPs from 7 different parties are required to move the UK away from Johnson’s Brexit, it will require a very different way of doing things in Westminster.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:23 pm
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Ideological purity, comrade. It trumps everything. It certainly trumps being in power.

We might end up with ALL the NI MPs, of all parties, doing what needs doing to kill Johnson’s Brexit approach.

Have a think about what it is Johnson has achieved. He's united all the political parties in NI in opposition to something. His crappy 'deal'. Really you have to take your hat off to him. That truly unprecedented


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:36 pm
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Labour might be in a position to form a government, with a different leader. If they choose opposition instead… well…

The DUP will give over if it comes to that I'm sure, without Corbyn having to step down.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:40 pm
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He’s united all the political parties in NI in opposition to something. His crappy ‘deal’.

And still we have England jogging along… tally ho… ignoring that we are forcing a deeply unpopular risky massive change on both NI and Scotland…

If Johnson gets his majority, I dread to think how much he can turn people outside England against “Westminster” over a five year term.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:41 pm
 dazh
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Ideological purity, comrade. It trumps everything. It certainly trumps being in power.

FFS binners and kelvin, are you really suggesting that the labour party should sell out their principles to people who are essentially hard right, religious fundamentalist racist fanatics, just for a taste of power? On the one hand you criticise them for supposedly being anti-semitic, now you want them to cosy up to the most fanatically bigoted people in parliament just to get in power? Get a grip on yourselves.

And if they did, I can guarantee that they'd lose tens, if not hundreds of thousands of members, not to mention the votes of people like myself. If the DUP want to support a labour govt then that's up to them, but labour should not under any circumstance change their policies or their leadership in order to ensure it.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:46 pm
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Daz - I believe the word you're looking for is 'compromise'. Or horse trading. Call it what you like. Its the reality of our political system now majorities look like (thankfully) being a thing of the past.

Grandads track record suggests he won't even compromise with those in his own party, but outside the bunker, so its a non-starter

If Johnson gets his majority, I dread to think how much he can turn people outside England against “Westminster” over a five year term

The union won't survive a 5 year Tory term of them pursuing their hard Brexit.

The problem is how that manifests it self. In Northern Ireland this type of thing has had a tendency to get a bit shooty


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:46 pm
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now you want them to cosy up to the most fanatically bigoted people in parliament just to get in power?

Cosy up? No. Ask them to support a closer relationship with Europe to reduce border issues… and then put that to the people in a referendum? Yes.

Labour don’t want Scottish Independence. And shouldn’t have to in order to work with the SNP to stop Johnson’s Brexit.

Labour don’t want the backwards social policies of DUP. And shouldn’t have to in order to work with the DUP to stop Johnson’s Brexit.

Labour don’t want the LibDems particular balance of state and private provision of services. And shouldn’t have to in order to work with the LibDems to stop Johnson’s Brexit.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:48 pm
 dazh
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I believe the word you’re looking for is ‘compromise’.

You can't compromise with the devil. There are lines you can't cross, and this is one of them. It would be selling out, plain and simple, and any claims labour had to holding the higher moral ground and being guided by fundamental principles of fairness and equality would go with it.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:54 pm
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Labour members would rather be in opposition than kowtow to the racist fanatics in the DUP, and they’d be right in doing so.

They might not call a leadership election but Corbyn himself might resign. It would be hard for him to stay leader if it led to a Johnson government, knowing how bad that would be for almost everyone.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 2:57 pm
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NO SURRENDER!!!... erm... comrade?

null

🙂


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 3:04 pm
 dazh
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but Corbyn himself might resign

And what then? Do the DUP get to vet the new candidate list? If the DUP want Corbyn to resign if he can't form a government, the best thing they can do is keep their mouths shut. In any case, the May govt is a case study in why you wouldn't want to be a govt propped up by the DUP. Strategically it's way more trouble than it's worth. Far better to let Boris get on with his impossible brexit and suffer another few years of defeat and deflation in advance of a new election, which wouldn't be far away.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 3:05 pm
 MSP
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FFS binners and kelvin, are you really suggesting that the labour party should sell out their principles to people who are essentially hard right, religious fundamentalist racist fanatics, just for a taste of power?

Well you have changed you tune now, you have absolutely no qualms with them selling out their principles to get behind brexit (which is the biggest far right driven political moment we have ever had in the UK). But on far more minor points you preach no compromise even in crushing defeat. It is about time you took a look at yourself, and the contradictory nonsense you have been posting for the past few years.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 3:14 pm
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Yeah, Daz! You bloody anarcho-communist!

😛


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 3:36 pm
 dazh
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you have absolutely no qualms with them selling out their principles to get behind brexit

Rubbish, the fact there was a democratic vote and labour are a primarily a democratic party says all you need to know. Different thread though so take it there.

and the contradictory nonsense

Only if you only see the world through the lens of brexit. Problem is brexit is not the overriding driver of everything going on today, it's a sympton of other things. Again, for the other thread.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 3:47 pm
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Problem is brexit is not the overriding driver of everything going on today

its the reason we are having an election

its the reason that traditional party loyalty has been thrown in the air

its also a financial & political black hole, that ensures whoever wins the GE will have no domestic policy for the next 5-10 years while we wrestle with its complexities


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 3:50 pm
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I am amazed at the number of people who believe that Brexit will be "done" by the 31st January under the Nazis - sorry, I mean Tories.

I'm also very confused as to why people will happily vote for a party that's done nothing but tell weapons grade lies since BJ was elected to lead it.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:05 pm
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yep Ivan Rogers/ Peter Foster break down of where Johnson's deal takes us after he wins

https://twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/1199250350089351168


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:08 pm
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Predictable phase 2 of the Tory campaign kicking off…

1) Get Brexit Done
2) Cost of Corbyn
3) Dunno, something about coalitions, or something nakedly anti-Scottish… we’ll see…


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:18 pm
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Remember that the ERG degenerates would be happy to share a land border with an EU member state...

...think of all of the substandard tat that can be flogged via a leaky border.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:20 pm
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4) Release Election Manifesto with no actual policies in it

The Get Brexit Done thing is because Take Back Control worked so well. They've sussed out that a big chunk of the population have the attention span of a goldfish and are so distracted by social media and bullshit that they can only 'think' in three word slogans on a Facebook meme

Who needs policies when you've got a snappy catchphrase?


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:21 pm
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Offt

https://twitter.com/TerryReintke/status/1199280140058025984


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:26 pm
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The Brexit Party bunch are not known for their integrity, suitability for office or collective intellect.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:31 pm
 rone
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its the reason we are having an election

Can't completely disagree but it's also about something so much bigger. Swathes of people unhappy about something they think is the fault of immigrants - but have been sold a pup about the way the society works.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 4:48 pm
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They've been offered easy answers to complex problems, that handily came with a convenient group to scapegoat


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 5:00 pm
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I do wonder that the recent labour surge (OK, 2 polls showing a small narrowing of tory lead) has much to do with new voters, im assuming they are less likely to be captured by pollsters anyway

but

There have been 3,191,193 applications to register to vote in those 28 days, an average of 114,000 per day
That figure is 38% higher than the 2,315,893 applications to register in a similar period in the 2017 election, which equated to an average of 68,000 registrations per day
Of the applications made since the election was called in 2019, 2,125,064 applications (67% of the total) have been made by people aged 34 or under

and as younger voters are much more likely to vote labour/libdem/remain that may hurt the tories on polling day (or conceivably split remain vote further!)

Tories won popular vote last election by just 750,000 votes

so potentially giving labour a net boost of 1.5million votes

*of course FPTP & BXP/Tory pact very much skews all this & and is set against 2:1 swing of leavers to tory vs remainers to labour

Ultimately big surge in younger voters is hopefully giving Tories some squeaky bum time


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 5:22 pm
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I’m also very confused as to why people will happily vote for a party that’s done nothing but tell weapons grade lies since BJ was elected to lead it.

Just listen to the people who get interviewed in the street. A good example from an item on yesterdays news "I don't trust Boris at all but I like him so will vote for him anyway"

As Churchill said "The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter"


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 5:24 pm
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and as younger voters are much more likely to vote labour/libdem/remain that may hurt the tories on polling day (or conceivably split remain vote further!)

Still amazed that 25% of 18-24 vote Tory. What sort of messed up childhood have they had to be so uncaring at that age.


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 5:26 pm
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has anyone ever on here actually taken part on one of these polls?


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 5:26 pm
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They’ve been offered easy answers to complex problems, that handily came with a convenient group to scapegoat

...and won't they be pissed off if we leave and it doesn't solve all their problems?


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 5:31 pm
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jam bo

Subscriber
has anyone ever on here actually taken part on one of these polls?

Im a member of survation & yougov! I was also phone polled by one of them last GE

was reading somewhere that polling organisations are usually skewed to the right tho as older people simply more politically engaged


 
Posted : 26/11/2019 5:38 pm
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