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When no one can afford petrol, maybe everyone will ride bicycles. 🙂
ive been there since last year mate.
I thought most of us were on 'company' miles, hence free to the end user 🙂
An old hippy vegan friend told me nearly twenty five years ago that people wouldn't change their driving habits until petrol reached £10 a gallon. Its getting to nearly that now with inflation. I don't see people reducing their car usage that much.
Are you allowing for wage inflation since then?
Are you allowing for wage inflation since then?
Hippy vegans don't work so irrelevant
dont be ridiculous, we'll just replace more of the rainforest and poor peoples farmland with sugar beet for biofuel
People don't really know/care how much thier "little trips down the shops" actually cost, manufactorers MPG figures and real world MPG's are often significantly different.
rich people will still drive. Poor people will tug their forelocks deferentially as the rich folk drive past, spraying the poor folk with muddy water. Lol
Or, gangs of carjackers will roam the land, and anyone with fuel will be brutally murdered for it
Ride bicycles? Don't be so ridiculous 🙂
Mad max anyone? 😉
but, there's loads and loads and loads of oil, and it's really quite cheap.
running out? - yes, but not as fast as you may think...
petrol/diesel is expensive because of tax.
Maybe everyone will be thinner and happier for riding bicycles. And normal jeans will be waterproof.
i ve certainly and deliberately reduced my mileage. specifically the travelling to football matches.. it was costing me £80pw and i had a thought.. why travel for 2 hours watch a ball been kicked around for 90 minutes then travel another two hours and pay £80 in diesel when i could sit on the sofa and watch the game for pennies..
petrol/diesel is expensive because of tax.
This
I don't see people reducing their car usage that much.
I see a few at work who've gone down to one car. Think we'll see a rise in the number of summer cycle commuters here too. And once you've done that, plenty find that commuting in winter brings its own joys 🙂
Its coming folk - we have a choice - anticipate it and prepare or wait and react.
I think theres more people riding bikes already.
Who would learn to drive if they were 20 right now?? Insurance is what 1-2k? Fuel heading towards 1.50gbp, parking 8 quid a day in most cities. Roads are still full up though! I used to love cars, though the best I could afford was an Impreza, but other than trips into the mountains, driving is 90% a miserable experience now. The "freedom" a car brings is quickly disappearing whilst the costs get higher and higher. I;d imagine if they dropped tax, the roads would just get more congested?
How much are you guys paying per litre now?
Over here in SA the price is going up by 34c/l on wednesday. We'll be paying R10.95 per litre (approx 88p)
Its coming folk - we have a choice - anticipate it and prepare or wait and react.
How on earth will the economical miracle that's an independent Scotland cope?
isn't the [strike]fag packet[/strike] carefully costed plan to derive something like 20% of income from the black gold?
Interesting Bloomberg article on oil revenue
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-24/scots-independence-cost-may-exceed-oil-money-nationalists-claim.html
there's loads and loads and loads of oil
Statistically speaking, approximately forty-odd years according to [url= http://www.worldometers.info/ ]THIS[/url] site.
Bio-fuels don't help replace some of the products we create from oil, including an awful lot used in the manufacturing process of just about anything you'd care to mention...
I had to fill up with Shell extra special Diesel or whatever it's called. £1.50 a litre. Seriously. That's a disgrace. This people is why I park my 4x4 on the yellow lines outside the school. I simply can't afford to drive further.
I am starting to think about trading down and getting shot of the "high performance" car.
Relative to many people I don't do many miles, 7-8k per annum, and only £150 per month in petrol. Petrol prices could double or more and it wouldn't really affect me, but it all seems like such a waste, and for someone as wasteful as me, that is certainly saying something about how I feel about it.
The downside, of course, is that it is not really economical to trade down, unless you take a very long term view and that is not my nature.
I can't ever imagine myself commuting by bike daily or even once a week on a regular basis. So I guess I will keep on paying whatever they decide to charge at the pumps.
The downside, of course, is that it is not really economical to trade down, unless you take a very long term view and that is not my nature.
Sounds like they've got you over a barrel.
HMMM,,, i guess we will all go back to driving one of these then... 😉 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinclair_C5
SST - Member
How much are you guys paying per litre now?Over here in SA the price is going up by 34c/l on wednesday. We'll be paying R10.95 per litre (approx 88p)
Petrol is about £1.34/litre & diesel is about £1.40/litre.....
Which is nice. 😐
Im getting diesel for about 1 euro 25 cents a litre
ahwiles - Member
but, there's loads and loads and loads of oil, and it's really quite cheap.running out? - yes, but not as fast as you may think...
petrol/diesel is expensive because of tax.
and if it was not that expensive usage would probably be higher still. The rate of increase of use would still be at 7%. The rate of increase of use of oil only dropped from 7% after a opec price hike.
7% means in just under 10 years you have doubled you rate of consumption.
but, there's loads and loads and loads of oil, and it's really quite cheap.running out? - yes, but not as fast as you may think...
petrol/diesel is expensive because of tax.
Obvious troll is obvious etc...
the sums are pretty straight forward and for many it will change behaviour. can't afford to live close to work in the city, but think you can afford 160 quid a month on fuel? that's 160 quid a month more you could put in to a mortgage right there. want to live in the sticks because you can? spend the money by all means, but personally i'd rather ride to work with my dog through the parks, than spend the same amount of time in a tin can wrestling with the rest of the muppets on the dual carriageway.
nice to have choice though, eh? 😀
I've just bought a car with a great big **** off petrol engine. Its ace, but its a short term thing to get it out of my system. Or as most people seem to be saying, nice car, are you having a midlife crisis. I'll be back to Diesel Skodas soon no doubt.
🙂
Driving a few miles to the shops or work hardly uses any petrol anyway so it's unlikely to make a difference to that pattern of usage.
People will still be too lazy. I think they'll ride horses instead, thus promoting a stable economy.
So, assuming someone manages to master nuclear fusion tomorrow, how long do you all think it'll take to build enough fusion plants to meet mankind's current energy demands?
Anyone?
I'm going to learn to drive, but only so insurance is cheaper when I can afford a car. Until then, bus/bike/train/care-share will be fine.
the minor detail that always seems to be overlooked, fertilizer,
You can run cars on electricity, you can heat water with the sun, but to produce the amount of crops we need, needs more inputs than can be obtained through old fashioned methods.
If we are not careful the crunch will be in food production.
"but, there's loads and loads and loads of oil, and it's really quite cheap.running out? - yes, but not as fast as you may think...
petrol/diesel is expensive because of tax."
Obvious troll is obvious etc...
nope, i'm serious.
it's increasingly hard to get at / process, but there's chuffing loads of the stuff.
see alberta, dakota, etc.
nope, i'm serious.see alberta, dakota, etc.
it's increasingly hard to get at / process, but there's chuffing loads of the stuff.
And what is the energy return on those resources? yes it is there but it is very expensive and environmentally very destructive to obtain. I guess it comes down to whether the natural environment matters or not?
My son is seventeen. When I was seventeen all I could think about was passing my test. (And girls). Everyone my age learned to drive and were driving within a year. Awesome! None of my sons friends are learning to drive. Not because they can't afford a car, but the insurance is so high no sane parent will pay it.
So there's a start.
Plus, I've been cycling to work pretty much every day now for two years, I'll carry on doing that, it's a big saving.
innovators have made cars that can run on compressed air for thousands of miles with NO polution, we will never see them though, oil companies buy all new technologies so we never get to see or use them and so continue to buy their ever more Expensive polutant ... Oil companies need you motorists to feeeeeed them, and feed them you will!
its your kids will suffer the most for it.
34 and still no licence, and no intention of getting one! Has always been purely a financial decision for me, don't want the cost of maintenance or petrol. Don't miss it as I've never had it.
When no one can afford petrol, maybe everyone will ride bicycles
The hauliers won't be able to afford fuel either, so won't be able to deliver those bicycles to your LBS, and the courier companies won't be able to afford the fuel to deliver it to your door 😉
Better start up a rickshaw courier company now 😉
its not the petrol in your car you have to worry about.
your food is made from petrol.
disregarding the petro-chemical fertilizers that are essential for food production these days, each calorie you consume requires 10 calories of oil to produce, and that is before transportation. now i know that there are a lot of calories in 1L of crude oil, but there are a lot of people and only so much oil.
food for thought
the minor detail that always seems to be overlooked, fertilizer,
More importantly, water... Many agricultural systems are currently running on big debts in terms of extraction from effectively non-renewable groundwater.
Peak phosphorus is also a biggy - we can't just 'make' P, but we can re-use food waste and biosolids much more effectively to keep it in the farming system.
The thing everyone also forgets is that fertilisers require energy to produce, lots of it. Where's that going to come from in a while?
nope, i'm serious
In that case, perhaps do a little reading about what constitutes a finite resource then?
Given its importance to our economy, oil is ludicrously cheap. It makes more sense to wean ourselves off it for non-essential things like transport, and save it for the important stuff where there is no substitute such as plastics. It's far too valuable to burn.
But I know the world doesn't work like that, so expect a nice big war in a couple of decades for what's left of it.
Fuel, expensive?!
I pay 1.70 something a litre. Well, my company does. But it is about 6 Dirham to the pound so that's about 28 pence. 😀
I just sold my van and aint getting another vehicle...
granted I own more bikes than i can even count (well over dozen frames at last inventory)
2 horses
2 donkeys
im painfully aware of the cost of these forms of transport as well,
price of hay these days is bonkers 😉
but my wider point is this:
there are a number of assumptions here...
1. the market for oil is governed by supply and demand (I think this is only partly true)
2. exchange rates will stay roughly the same
3. cars and the oil industry will continue to be subsidsed
these are all related issues, but fundamentally i think these are also our basic problems. the oil/auto economy is not just false economy it is a fake economy... (I fully expect flame for this comment)
that aside id like to offer a solution.
that we take the auto makers bail out packages
we buy everyone in the world a bike
and let the auto makers try and compete on a level playing field for a change
back of envelope calculations.... ive heard so many figures... in america ive heard a figure of $770 bil to the auto makers.
roughly 7bil people in the world
thats a thousand dollar bike for eveyone on the planet and then 70 bil for admin/repairs for a bit
Im not saying this would work but its a nice image 8)
@jimsmith - bugger that, CyB's crowded enough as it is without 7bn others there at the weekend!
oil companies buy all new technologies so we never get to see or use them and so continue to buy their ever more Expensive polutant
Does anyone know if there's any actual truth in this or is it urban myth? It's one of those things people have claimed for donkeys years, but then patents run out after 20 odd years, so presumably no miracle alternatives have actually ever really existed, compressed air engines included.
[url= http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Who_Killed_the_Electric_Car%3F ]myth or not[/url] this is quite an eye opener
oil companies buy all new technologies so we never get to see or use them and so continue to buy their ever more Expensive polutant
Complete pish.
OPEC can't even maintain its cartel without a couple of swing producers, so the idea of every oil company in the world acting in perfect concert to suppress these magick technologies is laughable.
innovators have made cars that can run on compressed air for thousands of miles with NO polution,
energy is required to compress the air. you have shifted the pollution; not removed it.
[img] http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRtkW-Xbgw5f9XXLQ6aq1T4X1rucLCKASlnyutUdBecmHJmIF0E6g [/img]
we'll run out of parking space before we run out of oil.....
mrmo - Member" nope, i'm serious.
see alberta, dakota, etc.
it's increasingly hard to get at / process, but there's chuffing loads of the stuff."
And what is the energy return on those resources? yes it is there but it is very expensive and environmentally very destructive to obtain. I guess it comes down to whether the natural environment matters or not?
exactly.
the price of oil now is enough to make oil sands profitable.
The website linky above suggests that we've only got 1.3trillion barrels of oil left - or about 40 years worth. That's a low estimate, but it's thereorthereabouts.
but it clearly doesn't include tar/oil sand/shale.
which we're already happy to pay for, and already happy to extract, process, and use.
the price of oil will rise - as it becomes increasingly tricky to get at, and more people want it.
so we'll find alternatives, including using less.
this process is already happening, 5 years ago i started car-sharing to work.
now lots of people do it (here anyway).
by the time we run out of oil, we won't even notice.
(does the natural environment matter? - of course it does. i expect you to lead by example, and never use your car again)
energy is required to compress the air. you have shifted the pollution; not removed it.
This is the kind of "scientific" rubbish that holds us back. Why don't we think more imaginatively?
Why don't we build housing on top of hills and workplaces at the bottom? That way, you wouldn't need to use any energy to commute into work, you could just use gravity, which is an infinitely renewable resource.
Compressed air cars have been talked about for many years. You simply can't store anything like enough energy in compressed air to make it workable even if you could compress it for free.
I really think the "evil oil companies" conspiracy theory is just nonsense.
The commercial potential of a genuine new power source or means of propulsion are just too huge to ever be suppressed.
Plus its not like the oil companies wouldn't continue to make money out of oil if we all drove cars powered by fairy dust. As others have pointed out there are lots of alternative profitable uses of oil.
Well you don't see many people walking around with good alternatives for oil fueled cars do you? Where are all these people?
Bottom of an oil well, that's where.
As the prisons are filling up and expensive to run, why don't we have community chariots pulled by criminals and poor people?
right this thing about oil companies
I have in the past worked for an NGO negotiating primarily with exxon
they are truely the biggest bastards ive ever had to speak to
closely followed by british american tobacco
have a look at what phillip morris do on exxons behalf (its pro oil PR)
@richmtb
"evil oil companies" conspiracy theory is not even conspiracy there are just too many examples to choose from. i can only assume you re either a retard, havent actually looked or trolling
in the UK the govt doesnt tell us about the subsidy it gives to the oil industry because of 'national security' (!) basically its enormous...
whats left is hard to get thus expensive and as a result more polluting
tar sands extraction and gas tech like fracking simply show we are past peak and cost will simply spiral from here until it all comes crashing down
shit they are talking about fracking under paris on french tv atm
saying it might cause 1cm of subsidence city wide but that is supposedly manageable!!! 🙄
I leave my car on the drive all week and ride to work then use the car to go out on my bike every Sunday sure there must be a contradication in there somewhere.
Reasons to ride a motor-bike -
[i]Who would learn to drive if they were 20 right now?? Insurance is what 1-2k? Fuel heading towards 1.50gbp, parking 8 quid a day in most cities. Roads are still full up though! I used to love cars, though the best I could afford was an Impreza, but other than trips into the mountains, driving is 90% a miserable experience now. The "freedom" a car brings is quickly disappearing whilst the costs get higher and higher. I;d imagine if they dropped tax, the roads would just get more congested? [/i]
Got my middle son a scooter, on the road insured, taxed and with all his riding gear for less than one years' insurance cost for my elder son. And no need for dozens of driving lessons, just a one day CBT.
And 100mpg.
When no one can afford petrol, maybe everyone will ride bicycles
I hope not.
I can't imagine what a pain in the arse my commute would be if there were dozens and dozens of other bikes around, mostly nodders, getting in the way, going too slow, wobbling along ...
"evil oil companies" conspiracy theory is not even conspiracy there are just too many examples to choose from.
Who buys this oil exactly?
Why don't we build housing on top of hills and workplaces at the bottom? That way, you wouldn't need to use any energy to commute into work, you could just use gravity, which is an infinitely renewable resource.
We could fit the cars and buildings with big magnets.
When you want to go to work, the poles of the magnets are set so they pull you there. When you want to go home, turn the magnet round so they repel.
Why bother with magnets Ian? Use all that stored energy...
Bungee cord is where its at... Twang the way home....
Good point! and it explains why the with oil companies have been secretly buying up all the rubber plantations.
I heard they were trying to buy leith hill...
I hope not.I can't imagine what a pain in the arse my commute would be if there were dozens and dozens of other bikes around, mostly nodders, getting in the way, going too slow, wobbling along ...
+1 😆
I have reduced my miles by about 150/200 a week and plan to buy a more economical vehicle but I have limited choices and a limited budget. As i live in a caravan and work in rural areas and have to go off road daily. I can't really come up with a practical solution 🙁
What kind of off road? What's your job?
I really think the "evil oil companies" conspiracy theory is just nonsense.The commercial potential of a genuine new power source or means of propulsion are just too huge to ever be suppressed.
Plus its not like the oil companies wouldn't continue to make money out of oil if we all drove cars powered by fairy dust. As others have pointed out there are lots of alternative profitable uses of oil.
+1, just doesn't add up. The internet makes it impossible to suppress information like that- Wikileaks anyone- and why wouldn't some other massive non-oil company buy up this magic technology to sell it?
@richmtb
"evil oil companies" conspiracy theory is not even conspiracy there are just too many examples to choose from. i can only assume you re either a retard, havent actually looked or trolling
I'm not suggesting big oil is the most virtuous industry industry on the face of the planet. I know deep down I'm filling my car with the tears of Iraqi children. My point is just because some dickhead in a shed (well lots of dickhead's in sheds - what's the collective known for dickheads - a forum perhaps) claims they have produced an engine that can do 1000mpg or run on toffee apples but is being suppressed by the "evil oil companies" doesn't make it true.
Serious companies like Honda are spending billions on alternative power sources for vehicles and every manufacturer is desperate to increase the fuel economy of the vehicles becuase they know it will help them sell them.
Of course it could be that I am actually a puppet of the shadow government, in the employ of Big Oil, Big Pharma, the Bilderbergs, the Iluminati and the Zionists
seosamh77 - Member
34 and still no licence, and no intention of getting one! Has always been purely a financial decision for me, don't want the cost of maintenance or petrol. Don't miss it as I've never had it.
This - Never had a car ever, never even started one and no intention of ever doing so.
The only reason I could see for getting one is for going to a trailcentre, but that's not enough to warrant one, surely?
or getting to the alps (a really big trail centre).
or just having a good old explore around this beautiful island we live on.
cars are ace.
or getting to the alps (a really big trail centre).or just having a good old explore around this beautiful island we live on.
cars are ace.
For those things, yeah. For clogging up our town centres, not so much.
Cars aren't going anywhere soon, but hopefully the role they play in our lives will change and there'll start to be a shift towards using them for the things they make sense for, rather than by default.
I've never owned a car either, and I'd like to see car share outfits becoming more prominent and changing the model away from ownership and all of the associated problems that come with that.
I've never owned a car either, and I'd like to see car share outfits becoming more prominent and changing the model away from ownership and all of the associated problems that come with that
I think we're set for shit loads of deals for renting/leasing electric and hybrid cars
folks are just put off with things like battery replacement costs etc. so I expect renting leasing to become the norm
I don't think fuel is expensive. This is coming from someone who until recently was commuting 90 miles a day. A decade ago my car did half the mpg my car does today and fuel is twice the price. No difference.
See zipcar 🙂
Personally if I had to commute by car I'd be looking for a mentally economical car right now, as it stands my fuel bill is pretty crazy for not commuting but I do live in the Cambridge area where fuel is notoriously expensive.
The website linky above suggests that we've only got 1.3trillion barrels of oil left - or about 40 years worth. That's a low estimate, but it's thereorthereabouts.
According to that website there are approximately 1283689350000 barrels left at 88000000 per day usage that is 14 587 days or ~ 40 years.
However this assumes we use the same amount of oil today as we will tomorrow. A very large proportion of the world is rapidly developing demanding more stuff, travelling more e.t.c. WE currently have a very low rate of increase of oil usage. [url= http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8563985.stm ]Here[/url] we have 1.8%, with a rising world population the chance of oil use flat lining is very low.
At 1.8% growth rate is takes 38 years for the consumption to double. So by the 39th year we will need to find twice as much per year, but of course by this point we will have used far more oil than the current estimates, which even if they doubled would not be very significant. As others have said oil is far more important to use driving.
The biggest thing the government could do to peoples use of petrol use / miles driven would be to reform the planning laws that have encouraged car use.
Out of town shopping centres and business parks, free parking and frequently requiring a trip into a town centre and then out again for access via public transport if possible at all. Poorly designed sprawling housing estates that still feel crowded.


