I recently changed from a job with DB to one with DC, and am thinking about switching as well. I’ve run some numbers, but am happy to be challenged on my assumptions and understanding.
Current annual value: about 2K
Age 37, Retirement 67, wife same age, 2 kids
Transfer value 35X, or 70K
Rate of return, net of fees 4.5%
Inflation 1.5%
If I transfer, at 4.5% for 30 years, the pot will be worth 209K. If I leave it, the DB will grow with inflation to 2.5K/yr, or about 210 quid a month. If I draw down my 209K at 2.5K, even assuming no growth in value past retirement, it will last 83 years. If I want to draw down over 30 years, again assuming no growth, I can take 7K a year.
I understand there’s still a bit of risk with with DC over DC, but the investment would have to lose a LOT of value to erase the potential gains. I no longer have the in-work benefits from the DB plan. I do have both private and workplace life insurance.
Why should I remain in the DB plan? I understand that advisers are very risk-aversive, likely due to litigation.