[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

it's all based on turnout apparently

Yes it's generally accepted that the Leavers are more motivated than the Remainers so a high turnout would indicate that both sides have voted.

Now I have always thought that the Remainers would win fairly comfortably, and after all that's the only reason why Cameron risked a referendum.

So a high turnout points to a Remain victory.

However there's a little problem here and I'm having slight doubts. It would appear that there are more people registered to vote than in normal elections - what does that mean?

It suggests that people who don't normally vote are determined to vote in this referendum. In my opinion this doesn't bode well for the Remainers as I expect that it might be an "anti-establishment/anti-status quo" vote.

But we'll see soon enough.

😆 @ DDs twitter, brilliant.

ernie_lynch - Member
It would appear that there are more people registered to vote than in normal elections - what does that mean?

Oops

Oh dear...I should have gone to bed...

hmmm...

*looks lovingly at Irish EU passport* 🙂

Niggle Farridge now "semi-conceded"... 😯

A bit churlish on the extended voting registration

Laura K's big night and she looks a little out of her depth

So which side are we all watching?

Biased 😉 Beeb here obviously!

@Lifer regional estimations based on BBC analysis

Complexity of process seen with Newcastle projection which seems quite different from actual of 50.8 / 49.2 Remain

BBC, just so glad I don't have to listen to Robert Peston

deadlydarcy - Member
*looks lovingly at Irish EU passport*

Crikey...that's big!

Off, thats gotta hurt!

sadface

2x oopps

thats better

Wow. Has the analysis got it wrong for both of those, or...

thm, finding ITV's coverage better. (I know, I know...but give it a try.)

Sunderland 61 / 39 Leave - all those Tory Scum eh ?

Bloody mackems!

all those Tory Scum eh ?

😆

there goes the pound

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I've just sworn out of my bedroom window at the rest of Sunderland

Yeah it's early days but I'm getting more convinced that higher voter registration suggests that people who don't normally vote because they they don't trust politicians ie, Westminster politicians, have voted in this referendum.

These people aren't the sort of people likely to trust EU politicians, imo.

I didn't have you sitting in front of BBG Kimbers!!!

Be long vol

Just trying ITV DD!!! Scary predictions on vol. "love" the guy talking to his mum in the background (****!)

I've just sworn out of my bedroom window at the rest of Sunderland

Sorry, I couldn't hear you down here due to the sound of Surrey stockbrokers jumping out of windows.

The beeb coverage is like 7am at an after party when the MDMA has worn off and no one really wants to talk to the best friend they just met 4 hours ago

Sky coverage is better

paulosoxo - Member
I've just sworn out of my bedroom window at the rest of Sunderland

Presumably, you're mad as hell and not going to take it any more...

Sorry, I couldn't hear you down hear due to the sound of Surrey stockbrokers jumping out of windows.

Doubtless we can find some polish or even chinese immigrants to take their places and be paid a lot less and do a far better job.

The Newcastle result is pretty marginal given how the Beeb said they thought Newcastle/Sunderland would work as a sort of demographics based barometer...

I am wondering if Scotland might be a decider as much as the postal votes, polls and predictions seem to have the Scottish as majority "remain" with more recently politically engaged and motivated younger voters, but I am not sure it's a given...

Can't help thinking the negative tone of the debate has helped turn off some people, I know a few who've said they don't understand any of the issues and were simply not going to vote, of course apathetic / confused abstentions might just hand the result to "Leave" because that's how older voters tend to lean and the elderly always turn out to vote...

Was just going to load up my travel card with Euros as the £ was climbing but it's just nose dived and everyone is dumping sterling. bugger.

Bloody Sunderland.

Looking like a good job I fixed my mortgage! 😯

@kimbers so back to where it was a week ago

I wonder who the BBC got to do the predictive modelling, my gut feel is they've got that quite wrong rather than a Leave "landslide" - certainly far too early to predict

Agh, Leave are ahead!

Pound dropping...

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Buy sterling. It'll be peaking again in half an hour...

FX volumes are probably quite low - flighty money rather than real flows, although most desks are working through the night.

Keep the faith...

(But Bllx, wanted to go to bed)

I'd suggest heading off for some kip for a few hrs, I don't think it will be clear till close on 3-4am

bad news from the the midlands up to the NW too 🙁

Can we just cut the UK along the M4 and tie us below to France with a bridge?

We'll have a high speed link to our friends in Scotland too and bypass the leave voters in the middle.

I really couldn't think about sleeping right now...

blimey...the way the bbc are talking this'll be a done deal before long.

.......aaarrrghh...

So, does this mean no more cheap wine from french supermarkets in Calais?

Looks like I picked the wrong night to quit money trading..

phew, Remain back in the lead by 19,952! This is better than a Hollywood blokbuster

It's Chewwy wots dunnit.

Can't wait to see all the leave voters moaning about the weak pound...

So, does this mean no more cheap wine from french supermarkets in Calais?

Ooh back on track

Can we just cut the UK along the M4 and tie us below to France

No thanks 😉

I really couldn't think about sleeping right now...

Should we hold han....oh wait...we've already done that.

Time to borrow the B-Ark idea
http://hitchhikers.wikia.com/wiki/Golgafrincham

@oldnlastit - wine from the supermarkets near Calais is far from cheap. For tourists. Much better quality and cheaper availabke from normal French supermarkets. Nothing changes for 2 years then we'll have to see

Can't wait to see all the leave voters moaning about the weak pound...

More from the team at Google Trends, which has been tweeting analysis of what people have been searching online.

"Did we leave the EU?" has spiked by +70%, while "Remain win" searches are up +120%.

Meanwhile, Nigel Farage was the most-searched politician throughout yesterday.

my one says 'whatever it takes'.

Swindon 55/45 Leave - BBC "as expected"

If it's out I reckon I'll lose my job.

I work for an American private health insurer that opened up a European division and set up in Scotland many years ago. We sell products across the EU on a "freedom of service " basis. If we leave the EU then from a regulatory perspective we won't be able to do business from the UK. I can see them quickly relocating operations to within the EU to continue to benefit from the free trade agreements. They won't wait for any uk negotiations.

Bugger

The BBC are always as expected.

On the plus side, it's good to see so many people actively getting involved in the [s]Tory party civil war[/s] democratic process and voting.

The odds...they be shortening 8)

11pm:

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1am:

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This margin is tiny! I know its early but blimey

Roadtrip to Broxbourne 🙂

People in Sunderland voted for first time since 1980's !

As I have been saying ordinary working class people voting Leave

I can't decide if there is more cash to be made on Forex or Betting sites...
Maybe this is the great conspiracy, results are to be released based on a set pattern to maximise the currency fluctuations and make the most profit for
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Lower turnout than expected in Scotland it seems

Glad I bought my Euros yesterday.

As I have been saying ordinary working class people voting Leave

It's a real shame for a lot of people who believed some of the free money and unicorns speeches, they will be the ones hit the most when a big employer decides to move to the EU.

So, does this mean no more cheap wine from french supermarkets in Calais?

Fit a second fuel tank to your car to fill with wine and bootleg it across the channel.

Worried about London turnout.

Let's hope too much current focus on a Beeb model in absence of hard data.

F it, time for some shut eye. Happy viewing !

So Lineker is on the Sauce this evening 🙂 I wonder how long before the BBC crew remind him not to be political 🙂 (Also checked it's a real tweet)

ITV more nimble on their feet with declarations. Bringing them in whilst the BBC are
still waffling...

Labour (Milliband, Eagle etc) blaming Tories, they just can't help themselves

Jeez, paddy Ashcroft got old!

You would expect that. Tories are more split

Jeez, paddy Ashcroft got old!

You should see Paddy Ashdown then....much worse.

Labour (Milliband, Eagle etc) blaming Tories, they just can't help themselves

Don't worry if the Leavers win the Blairites and their mates in the media will blame Corbyn.

It appears car crash actress Lindsay Lohan's Twitter has been hacked, and is now commenting on the referendum.

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