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https://twitter.com/ThreshedThought/status/1524687923676954624

Ukraine tracking Russian SIMS roaming in Ukraine.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 5:31 pm
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PED's will get you killed, that's for sure.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 5:32 pm
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Easy to fool that particular metric though, if you were on the ball.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 5:35 pm
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There doesn't seem to be a whole lot of that going around though. That requires organisation, effective leadership and a motivated, disciplined force.

What they appear to have is organised chaos, micro-management, a plethora of morale states and a bloody mindedness to ignore many of the lessons that war has taught Armies.

On the upside it means the world gets an interesting look inside war from a different lens. Not that is always a good thing.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 5:40 pm
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Yep, all you need is a lot of copies of The Sims


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 5:41 pm
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Russian river crossings going badly, heres another one

https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1524750911511302146


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 5:51 pm
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Its lokking ever more likely that Putins war will end in a crushing defeat

what will he ave left?

Im willing to be he will throw everything behind getting Trump elected as thats about all he will be able to manage

https://twitter.com/jane__bradley/status/1524647337557172225


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 5:55 pm
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What are SIMs and PEDs?


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 6:57 pm
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Apologies, acronyms are force of habit. SIM as in phone SIM card is Subscriber Identity Module.

And PED is Personal Electronic Device.

Often in most Western militaries exercises or operations will be designated PED Red/Green denoting the use/prohibition of personal devices.

Ops are usually/always PED Red.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 7:02 pm
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SIM cards (in a phone)

PED.....dunno


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 7:06 pm
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SIM as in phone SIM card is Subscriber Identity Module.

Or if you are a Russian agent pretending you have just stopped a assassination plot then its a computer game.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 7:20 pm
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Nicely played. 😂


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 7:27 pm
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Thanks!


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 8:13 pm
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The city of Severodonetsk looks to be shaping up to be the next big battle. Fair few advances from Russia in this area in the last few days…. Let’s hope Ukraine can hold it.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 8:18 pm
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^^You would think that Russia would have learnt a few lessons from the last sinking.

Obviously not.


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 11:20 pm
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Is Putin sick


 
Posted : 12/05/2022 11:43 pm
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We've been given an assignment with a Ukrainian customer. Nothing war related, just IT stuff. Crazy to think about normal shit still happening during a war in your own country - I mean, people have to work and eat, of course. And in some ways it's reassuring.

I'm thinking I won't mention it during the calls though, they probably just want to get on with normality as much as they can.


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 9:47 am
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I think I'll park this in "unverified"

https://metro.co.uk/2022/05/13/putin-suspends-top-commander-after-generals-sacked-or-arrested-16635410/

Allegedly some high level sackings/suspensions in the Russia Armed Forces. Sourced from Ukrainian links, not seen it proven anywhere.


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 10:18 am
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Allegedly some high level sackings/suspensions in the Russia Armed Forces. Sourced from Ukrainian links, not seen it proven anywhere.

Been various reports of senior people being suspended or arrested throughout the war, so possibly true.

Those that the Ukranians aren't killing, anyway


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 10:36 am
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Apparently, this guy's report has been censored which suggests that China is just waiting for it to fail before offering assistance on terms that Putin can't refuse.

https://twitter.com/MacaesBruno/status/1525025792324952064


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 10:57 am
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I think I’ll park this in “unverified"

It's in the Metro tho, so kind of medium reliable. As a source I'd put it above Twitter but below the BBC


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 10:59 am
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So the BBC is starting to report about that battalion of tanks destroyed trying to cross a river. So how big is a battalion? 30 tanks? That's got to be a bad day for them, hasn't it?


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 1:55 pm
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40 I think. That's a significant loss. In more ways than materiel.


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 2:00 pm
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^ that was reported on twitter a couple of days ago.
Apparently:

https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1524742847664173057


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 3:16 pm
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Unfortunately seems like Ru have crossed the river in other places, whether they can hold there?

They are throwing all theyve got at that region as its about all they can manage at once

https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1524605123175063552


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 3:18 pm
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I haven't commented on this thread yet, but have been reading it with horrified interest throughout.
One thing I'm beginning to wonder is, with China and Russia having border disputes and argie-bargie over Siberia, will China see a vastly weakened Russia and effectively open a second front? If so, do we see something akin to what happened after WW2 with the Nuremberg trials wrapped up fairly quickly and a rapprochement with Russia? A Marshall plan type aid package with certain requirements?


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 4:14 pm
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China see a vastly weakened Russia

You could argue that all the ex-Soviet states will see a weakened Russia.
All the states that currently buy arms may not be able to due to embargo's.
Russia's 'soft power' (if it even had such a thing) has evaporated.
Russia will struggle to buy from it's exSoviet states for years.
Anyone bordering Russia will currently be working out a) could I be next and b) what is our response to protect ourselves - and that includes keeping Russia weak.


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 4:37 pm
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If so, do we see something akin to what happened after WW2 with the Nuremberg trials wrapped up fairly quickly and a rapprochement with Russia? A Marshall plan type aid package with certain requirements?

I recall reading an article a few years ago that argued that one of the biggest mistakes in the West's handling of the collapse of the Soviet Union was that while other ex-Soviet countries received aid and engagement from the West/the US, Russia was treated with much less sympathy. It argued that this meant that Russia developed less strong ties to the West than countries like Poland and Ukraine, and helped foster the resentment towards the West that seems to bolster Putin's position in Russia.

My knowledge of this period is far too shallow to know whether this is a good take, but it would suggest that the international community would be wise to have a good idea about how to work with Russia once the current awfulness is in the past, or store up yet more trouble for the future.


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 4:54 pm
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Yeah, as distasteful as that may be for some, I do think bridges will have to be built (or rebuilt).


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 5:19 pm
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I don't think anyone will be dealing with the current regime as anything but pariahs


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 6:00 pm
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I don’t think anyone will be dealing with the current regime as anything but pariahs

Whilst I agree that "Western countries" (or rather those the US has serious influence over) will treat the current Russian regime as pariahs for at least a few years post war, I don't think that will apply to other "US-ambivalent" countries...


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 6:21 pm
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We need to remember how we ****ed up with Iraq, Libya and Syria, and see if we can find a sensible middle ground.


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 6:57 pm
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Chiman will be licking their chops at the 'deals' that Russia won't be able to refuse in the coming months/years. Can't see China fancying any sort of invasion when they've basically got them by the short and curlies anyway (and Russia still have the nukes and would probably use them if their country actually threatened).


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 7:00 pm
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This. The recent NATO strategy of creating a power vacuum then going YOLO, is effing terrible.

We need to remember how we **** up with Iraq, Libya and Syria, and see if we can find a sensible middle ground.


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 7:05 pm
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Unfortunately seems like Ru have crossed the river in other places, whether they can hold there?

But that destroyed battalion was attacked after it had crossed the river wasn't it? Unless I'm mistaken it was attempting to retreat back across the river but the pontoon bridges were destroyed. Could happen again couldn't it?


 
Posted : 13/05/2022 7:53 pm
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I know a family here originally from Afghanistan who moved to Khazakhstan then moved to the west. Nice enough people who have made a successful life here but they are backing Russia in this war. They talk about how the west - AKA America in their minds - totally destroyed their home country (forgetting the Russians were also in there for many years).
It’s interesting to come across other viewpoints on what is happening. We see things through our ‘western’ eyes and don’t always see or appreciate the deep seated distrust and hatred people have for the west (America) until you actually meet them face to face and talk (quite civilly I should add). Many countries see us as an existential threat. Having lived with western values and civilisation all my life and seeing what is happening in Ukraine in the media it is hard to fathom.


 
Posted : 14/05/2022 12:47 am
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will China see a vastly weakened Russia and effectively open a second front?

Not a military one, but China wants access to raw materials and military technology. Russia will be so desperate that they will have to take whatever deal China offers.


 
Posted : 14/05/2022 7:17 am
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A cornerstone of China's foreign policy is respecting existing territorial boundaries (Taiwan IS part of China of course, as is Ladakh....). Which makes their abject failure to condemn the current Ukrainian situation all the more craven, but vetoes any incursion into a weakened Russia.


 
Posted : 14/05/2022 8:02 am
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Many countries see us as an existential threat. 

Well, that's a fair viewpoint.

I used to work with someone, whose (long passed) grandparents were put into concentration camps by the British.

Colonialism is still in living memory.

The list of wars involving the UK that people are still alive to remember is really quite long.

And even today, one of our biggest expenditures is two pieces of naval equipment designed not for home defense but global force projection.

Still, in the case of Ukraine, very hard to see any case for Putin not being anything but a total ****.


 
Posted : 14/05/2022 8:05 am
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