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UK Election!
 

UK Election!

 poly
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Peter Keller also suggests that poor performance by a Labour government could finally signal the end of the UK’s basically two-party political system, with a huge increase in support for smaller parties. A fair comment imo.

peter Keller has fallen into the trap of thinking that the Great British public have enough interest or understanding of the nuances to make a choice between multiple options.  Especially in a FPTP system it’s just too hard for those who don’t get excited by politics to do.  Major political reform is the only way that could happen but too many vested interests in the house for that to happen.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 10:47 am
pondo, jp-t853, kimbers and 5 people reacted
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In fact Peter Keller, formerly of YouGov,

Peter KellNer. If you google Peter Keller you'll get a different story altogether. 😲


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 10:47 am
silvine and silvine reacted
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Great British Energy. We will create a new publicly owned champion – Great British Energy, to give us real energy independence from foreign dictators. It will be owned by the British people, built by the British people and benefit the British people. It will invest in clean energy across our country- for example by making the UK a world leader in floating offshore wind.

How does this work with their scaled-back green energy plans? Privatised energy is not necessarily a bad thing - look at Octopus, for example, one of the "big six" but distinctly un-evil. So you invest in off-shore wind. Great. What about energy storage? Solar? There's just silence. It could be they're squashing Ed Miliband out of fear.

Nothing on aviation. Nothing on discouraging fossil-fuel use. Nothing on heat pumps. Nothing on rail electrification in the north.

Stick to tough fiscal rules with economic stability at their heart.

By giving tax cuts to the highest-paid public sector workers while re-introducing higher taxes on the private sector? Don't get me wrong, I don't overtly object to paying more tax, but I am unhappy that an arbitrary decision has been taken that I'm less useful to society than other people paid the same and should be punished financially for it.

This also implies that the current cuts and squeezing of public services are unlikely to change.

Will be Green Party again for me. This can either represent hypocrisy or a view that Labour is little more than David Cameron's Conservative Party. Up to you...


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 10:48 am
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Then given the system we have your decision is pretty straightforward, no?

Yep, I will be voting Labour but so what.  Your point was that because I am wealthy and openly critical of Starmer then I can't care about people who need the most help.  That is nonsense.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 10:49 am
pondo, dissonance, silvine and 5 people reacted
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That is nonsense.

Yes it is, which is why instead of that, I was suggesting that folks can conflate people like Thatcher with people like Starmer because it gives them a sense of moral superiority, that they can afford becasue for them; politics is a game to be played around dinner table with their friends, and never at the electric meter in the dark, or the CAB office with an appointment about debt.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 10:55 am
kimbers, kelvin, kelvin and 1 people reacted
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I've just liked both those posts. Don't argue over pointless points when you agree on so much really.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 10:56 am
pondo, MoreCashThanDash, ThePinkster and 5 people reacted
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Don’t argue over pointless

But then I'd have to get involved about why a local to us Women's Health hub is closing. And frankly that's depressing, so gobbing off on here is more attractive right now.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:00 am
kelvin and kelvin reacted
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Depressing. Argue away instead...


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:03 am
nickc and nickc reacted
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Peter KellNer. If you google Peter Keller you’ll get a different story altogether.

Apologies I think it was a predictive text issue. This is the article anyway

https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/elections/election-countdown/65522/there-will-be-no-honeymoon-for-starmer


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:04 am
nickc and nickc reacted
 FOG
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This thread is exactly why I am dreading the next six weeks. My wife has to watch every political pundit pontificating endlessly. I think the election is important but I don't have to see every pointless conjecture  thrashed over again and again. No wonder a lot of the electorate are turned off by the process


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:05 am
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Very skeptical that people will turn to smaller parties when FPTP still exists, especially in our world of polarised politics, where if you dont vote for one of the 2 main parties you are helping the other one,

far more people simply wont vote than vote for either reform, green or the lib dems


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:06 am
kelvin and kelvin reacted
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No Rwanda flights before the election

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/may/23/rwanda-flights-not-leave-before-general-election-rishi-sunak

I suspect this may be a part of the reason - not wanting to see the Rwanda policy collapse in a mess before the election


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:08 am
kelvin and kelvin reacted
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Yes it is, which is why instead of that, I was suggesting that folks can conflate people like Thatcher with people like Starmer because it gives them a sense of moral superiority

Can you remind me how many of her core policies he is undoing?


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:08 am
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Very skeptical that people will turn to smaller parties when FPTP still exists,

I probably will - what is certain Is I will not be voting labour or tory or lib dem


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:09 am
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Those who hate the Tories the most appear to be the people who most support Starmer moving the Labour Party closer to the Tories.

Huh?


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:10 am
Dark-Side, kelvin, Dark-Side and 1 people reacted
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It was Starmer who conflated himself with Thatcher and Reeves uses the rhetoric of austerity.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:10 am
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So you invest in off-shore wind. Great. What about energy storage? Solar? There’s just silence. It could be they’re squashing Ed Miliband out of fear.

It was an example. Labour's plan includes increases in energy storage, solar, hydro, and on shore wind. Not all of it is part of GBE because there's plenty of private companies chomping at the bit to scale up, and are just held back by Tory intransigence.

Nothing on aviation.

They're looking at changing APD and airspace rules to shift flights to regional airports and reduce wasteful stacking caused by congestion. Not enough on reducing air travel as a whole... far too much hope being placed in future fuels, for sure.

Nothing on discouraging fossil-fuel use.

Come again? Moving electricity generation at speed to renewables, enabling people to switch from fossil fuel transport, home heating etc. Key word there is enabling, rather than telling people what changes have to happen and leaving them to fail to make them. Guilt isn't enough, our whole national energy use needs to be changed... by government... not just be lecturing and taxing people for using what's available to them.

Nothing on heat pumps.

Decarbonisation and grid upgrade needs to come ahead of any massive consumer heat pump roll out.

Nothing on rail electrification in the north.

The long answer for you is here...


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:13 am
pondo, steveb, nickc and 3 people reacted
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Labour’s plan include increases in energy storage, solar, hydro, and on shore wind.

cite?  What energy storage?  Where is the hydro to be installed?


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:14 am
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I wasnt aware that renationalising rail, water & energy & boosting labour protections were so thatcherite/cameroonian !


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:15 am
pondo, Dark-Side, johnny and 7 people reacted
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On the plus side Farage has just said he is too busy campaigning for trump to bother with the UK.

A true patriot.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:16 am
kimbers, nickc, kimbers and 1 people reacted
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His work here is done


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:18 am
pondo and pondo reacted
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Luckily the only people saying it are centrist ideologues who demand unquestioning obedience to the glorious leader.

As opposed to the left wing idealogues who demanded unquestioning loyalty to the previous glorious leader.

Labour faction fighting and the right wing media are very capable of seeing Labour fail to oust the Tories.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:18 am
faustus, johnny, Del and 13 people reacted
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I think a whole raft of 'things aren't getting better' were behind the decision to go for the election now, and the stupid Rwanda scheme is a key one. They won't be dealing with all of the litigation, political losses and sh1t fighting of possibly getting a flight off the ground. There may be a gimic flight before the election, where they round up 3 people with no lawyers on to a flight.

Wild prediction - Labour might find a way of getting David Miliband back in a government role. Obviously not as an MP, but perhaps as Lord Miliband and Foreign secretary with all his Thunderbirds/International Rescue experience [edit - and as previously foreign secretary]? Or as some kind of high priest a-la Mandelson back in the day...David Lammy might not like the first one of course...


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:20 am
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Where is the hydro to be installed?

IIRC that's mostly devolved, as part of the "Local Power Plan"...

Why devolved? Got to take on the Nimbies, and the grid needs it to be as distributed as possible.

That's the big challenge with renewables now... upgrading the grid paired with distributing generation widely across it... and closer to where people and industry are cited... it can't all be in or near Scotland!


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:23 am
 dazh
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This thread is exactly why I am dreading the next six weeks.

You know you don't have to read it don't you? 🙂

Anyway, stories in the news this morning that some tories are trying to cancel the election by ousting Sunak and replacing him before parliament is dissolved. Christ I really hope they give that a try. It would be a fitting end to a shitshow of a parliamentary term.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:23 am
pondo, kimbers, verses and 5 people reacted
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I do not see anything in there about Hydro?  Again I ask where are you going to put more hydro?  ~We have room for a bit more micro hydro but that is small beer.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:29 am
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There may be a gimic flight before the election, where they round up 3 people with no lawyers on to a flight.

not according to lil rishi


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:30 am
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Anyway, stories in the news this morning that some tories...

The death of any administration that's outstayed its welcome is always chaos, but this lot are taking that to the extreme. I'm half expecting the incoming Lab administration to report shit smeared on the walls, food thrown about the place, torn golden wallpaper...

The "tell all" books that'll come out in the next few years are going to be interesting.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:31 am
pondo and pondo reacted
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Nothing on aviation.

Aviation emissions are 2.5% globally of CO2 and have increased by 65% globally since 2004 despite a 85% increase in flight traffic.  That's because of modern airliners being around 16-20% more efficient.  The next airliner (2035) will be 30% more efficient than the last one and that's not counting on sustainable fuels for part of that saving.  SAF is predicted to be 20% of fuel for aviation by the same 2035 timeline, so we'll be seeing around 35-40% reduction in co2 per passenger km during that period which will accelerate toward 45-55% in the 2035-2055 timeframe as older aircraft are replaced and more SAF is used.  Aviation decarbonisation is a tough nut to crack due to safety and technology maturity requirements and so takes time. The best thing governments can do is support the companies trying to make the difference and tax the people flying which is exactly what Labour are proposing.  There's little else that can be done without damaging the economy for very little gain - aviation accounts for 4.3% of global GDP and rising and that doesn't account for mobility provided.

It's worth noting that emissions per passenger km have almost halved in the last 20y, but (global) passenger numbers have more than doubled and distances have increased.   Domestic (flights originating from the UK) flight traffic in the UK is largely static and has been for almost 10 years.  That means that overall emission are dropping and will drop faster as newer aircraft come on stream.  Rolls, Airbus, FlyZero, etc are all trying desperately to make this happen faster, but it's a process.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:31 am
steveb, nickc, steveb and 1 people reacted
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I think the possibility of the Tories campaign collapsing completely is underpriced. Sunak must know he's going to lose and those around him know it too, local campaigners know it, their client press know it

More MPs stepping down, means no proper vetting of candidates to replace them, means social media not being checked and the likes of Anderson & Gullis being made to look like responsible adults!


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:33 am
nickc and nickc reacted
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Come again? Moving electricity generation at speed to renewables, enabling people to switch from fossil fuel transport, home heating etc. Key word there is enabling, rather than telling people what changes have to happen and leaving them to fail to make them.

But it's devolved to local authorities, of which exactly zero will be prepared to put the idea of wind turbines or pumped hydro in their vicinity. Off-shore sounds good but is cripplingly expensive when there's a perfectly solid foundation called The Ground.

Decarbonisation and grid upgrade needs to come ahead of any massive consumer heat pump roll out.

But if you don't do one there's little incentive to do the other regardless of the order. Nothing on EV charging provision or price controls.

Guilt isn’t enough, our whole national energy use needs to be changed… by government… not just be lecturing and taxing people for using what’s available to them.

But it isn't, though. Where's the policy that says that all new builds need to have generous solar panel provision and battery storage? What about something that says a new-build estate must have a segregated safe cycle route to the nearest town? What about dynamic road pricing?

There's nothing about cyclist safety. No word on rolling back the new anti-cycling legislation.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:33 am
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ON hydro - large scale projects require valley systems to be flooded - suitable sites are hard to see.  I cannot see any large scale hydro being built again in the UK as I do not believe we have suitable sites anywhere.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:37 am
kimbers, Flaperon, Flaperon and 1 people reacted
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More MPs stepping down, means no proper vetting of candidates to replace them, means social media not being checked and the likes of Anderson & Gullis being made to look like responsible adults!

Labour have fallen foul of this in the past... Sheffield Hallam anyone? It's a good job the other parties have been on the case preparing candidates in good time this time... leave the Tories to dig their own hole deeper with a rushed selection. I think many a Conservative Association is going to be glad to see the back of Sunak after the election... he's stuffed them with this one. Labour and others never trusted Suank with his insinuations about an Autumn election and planned for any time from May... if the Tories did trust him.... well... he won't care... he's going to be flying over the horizon and leaving them to pick up the pieces.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:37 am
kimbers and kimbers reacted
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My wife has to watch every political pundit pontificating endlessly.

You mean she chooses to. Good for her, better to have an interest in something which can affect your life, and however limited you can have an input, than showing no interest at all.

Governments always affect people's lives.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:38 am
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It's easy for me.

I believe in social democracy and the Welfare State.

Won't vote for any Party that supported Brexit.

Live in Scotland.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:39 am
tjagain, somafunk, somafunk and 1 people reacted
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upgrading the grid paired with distributing generation widely across it…

Scotland ( contrary to that labour paper) has upgraded the grid significantly to allow renewables to be fed into the grid.  No mention of the access charges that make it very difficult to generate in Scotland economically


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:39 am
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large scale projects require valley systems to be flooded

There will be very few new large scale hydro projects in the next few years, if any... instead we need many small ones. Might be different story if looking at longer term.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:42 am
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Huh?

It's called "centrism" I believe.

Denouncing Tory policies while simultaneously demanding that labour moves closer to them.

Yeah it baffles me too.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:43 am
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I cannot see any large scale hydro being built again in the UK as I do not believe we have suitable sites anywhere.

There are several pumped hydro facilities being built but would tend to agree no more large scale normal hydro. I think there would still be some sites but the damage caused would likely be politically unacceptable.

Tidal would be an alternate candidate though.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:44 am
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Agreed on all counts.

Tidal is a 10 year not 5 year thing though... and laying down new renewable energy sources FAST will be the theme of the next parliament... so won't come into play at this election at all. Long term though, we should be using it.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:45 am
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It’s easy for me.

I believe in social democracy and the Welfare State.

Won’t vote for any Party that supported Brexit.

Live in Scotland.

Greens?


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:46 am
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Got any links dissonance?  Id be fascinated to see them.  I haven't heard of any new pump storage projects ( not a dig - genuine interest)


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:48 am
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It’s called “centrism” I believe.

Look. We get it. You vote Communist. Any government the UK is prepared to elect with our winner takes all system will look "right wing" to you. We get that point.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:49 am
Dark-Side, kimbers, ChrisL and 7 people reacted
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Denouncing Tory policies while simultaneously demanding that labour moves closer to them.

this is what getting elected in a rigged system looks like


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:50 am
kimbers, ChrisL, kelvin and 3 people reacted
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I'm a pale pink wishy washy liberal ( copyright Ernie 🙂 )  I see labour as a centre right party now.


 
Posted : 23/05/2024 11:51 am
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