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[Closed] So what would happen if we left europe?

 xcgb
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[#5152640]

Cant see it ever happening, but would the outcome be generally positive or negative in the forums opinion?

What about the europeans working here and the brits working abroad too?

Any opinions!?


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:19 pm
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I help develop European space programmes. I'd lose my living, as would many of the thousands of Brits working in this thriving industry.

I'd move to Germany or Italy.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:24 pm
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Not much would change. We might have to spend a few minutes longer at Immigration.

Ten years ago 30% of the UK's exports went to Europe; now that's fallen to 15% or less. We are exporting much more to Russia, the Far East, the Middle East and Africa. The Russians really like us because we aren't corrupt yet we don't ask too many awkward questions.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:25 pm
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Germany would, released from trying to stop us tutting loudly, feel no need for further restraint and would immediately invade Spain. Actually they already own it. They would just pack up their X5's and go to their holiday homes en masse

The French wouldn't notice for about a year until they realised that there had been no fish deliveries as the HMS Boris Johnson had sunk the entire French fleet off Dover

The Southern European economy would collapse as deliveries of Donner meat from Turkey are refused permission to be trafficed through Europe.

The British inner cities, deprived of their staple diet, erupts into rioting the like of which the country has never witnessed!

And that just for starters


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:25 pm
 xcgb
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Oooh I hadn't considered the donner implications!

we could placate with chicken kebabs with chilli sauace though?


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:27 pm
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Must admit I'm surprised how little we export to the EU, especially now.

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/elmr/economic-review/december-2012/sty-exports-overtake.html

[img] [/img]

I'd have to use my French passport when travelling to Europe if the UK left ๐Ÿ™‚


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:30 pm
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Don't misread that graph. I think that it is showing the change in trade volumes not the breakdown. Trade with the EU still represents approx 50% of all UK trade. At least that was the case at end 2012 and as bad as Europe is now, it's not that bad!!


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:39 pm
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I help develop European space programmes. I'd lose my living, as would many of the thousands of Brits working in this thriving industry.

I'm assuming the OP meant the EU, rather than the continent or any other organisations. In which case it might interest you to know that Switzerland and Norway are full members of ESA.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:39 pm
 br
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On the whole for average folk, not a lot would be different.

At an individual level, it'll depend.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:40 pm
 xcgb
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I'm assuming the OP meant the EU, rather than the continent or any other organisations. In which case it might interest you to know that Switzerland and Norway are full members of ESA.

Yes the EU tis indeed wot i meant

Ta


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:44 pm
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I'm assuming the OP meant the EU, rather than the continent or any other organisations. In which case it might interest you to know that Switzerland and Norway are full members of ESA.

not sure what you're trying to get at there, but EU and ESA are 2 entirely different organisations, and if UK quit the EU, it'd probably remain an ESA member (be mental to leave imho). Plus much of the space industry is not ESA anyway, but commercial, although several of the missions are increasingly becoming an EU thing rather than ESA, which potentially would impact on the UK part of European aerospace companies winning contracts.

On the whole though... UK would lose vote on EU directives, might be able to be involved in discussions, but would still need to abide by many/most directives (this is the case for Switzerland). UK might be able to undo some legislation, much of which probably won't exactly be of the highest priority (EU working time directive?).

Currency? well UK is out of Euro and EMU, so will gain exactly the same control it already has. Except of course in 10-20 years time, when someone decides it makes sense for the United (Disunited?) Kingdom to re-join EU, when it'd then be compelled to join the Euro (which will still exist) since that's a compulsory part of the treaty ๐Ÿ˜‰

But it'll save a few bob on membership fees, and MEP expenses, in excahnge for no votes on laws it'd have to generally comply with anyway. Money that will then be called upon for bail outs as part of its commitments as member of the IMF ๐Ÿ˜‰


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 4:53 pm
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In which case it might interest you to know that Switzerland and Norway are full members of ESA

And Canada is an associate member. But most of my work is for the EU; ESA do have a supervisory role though.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:01 pm
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Good plan, so you propose we cut the UK away from it's footings in Europe and float it somewhere else? I can see the benefits in such a plan, the weather for one, distance from the french is another!


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:05 pm
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Massive VAT savings and we'd no longer be under the illusion we're in a free trade relationship with no barriers.

Maybe we'd even be able to catch some of the fish within our limits.

Farmers might not have to set aside acres doing nothing.

We might not have to have some of the more absurd rulings handed down from Brussels.

In the long run we'd be better off, 11-15 billion for starters..


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:06 pm
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Companies from outside the EU will stop investing in UK business they currently use as a vehicle to sell goods/services into the EU. This was the veiw as per an "expert" on the money prog on bbc telly this morning with Steff.
Hopefully the status quo will exist for the next 3yrs till I retire. However if wee Eck, Nochola and their cronies do happen to pull the wool over Scottish eyes it may happen whether the UK leaves or not!!


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:11 pm
 br
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[i]Massive VAT savings and we'd no longer be under the illusion we're in a free trade relationship with no barriers.

Maybe we'd even be able to catch some of the fish within our limits.

Farmers might not have to set aside acres doing nothing.

We might not have to have some of the more absurd rulings handed down from Brussels.

In the long run we'd be better off, 11-15 billion for starters..
[/i]

VAT is set by the member country, so that'll stay the same.

Over-fishing is a global problem, and so are crap controls.

Set-aside isn't a EU policy, but a UK one.

Its the interpretation of the rules that's absurd.

And, 11-15bn - is that a made-up number.

I'm neither pro nor anti Europe - but have spent a lot of time abroad, including living there.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:16 pm
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Red tape would go through the roof when it comes to trade and employment

scientific research, one of the few areas where the UK is a genuine world leader has benefited massively from the ease with which researchers can work within different EU countries, it makes it so much easier to attract the best and brightest here, sorting out Visas for non EU students and scientists is a massive PITA


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:19 pm
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whitegoodman - Member
We might not have to have some of the more absurd rulings handed down from Brussels.

For example?


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:20 pm
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Nothing much in the short term. Long term might see more trade and migration with brazil, china, india, russia and africa.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:20 pm
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We could go back to having really bent bananas, but stripy T-shirts would cost loads more. Garlic would be the same price as gold. Olive oil would cost more than Finish Line Pro. I wouldn't have to eat calamari; I could coat some rubber bands in flour and fish urine instead. Stella Artois would go up, and Watneys Red Barrel might make a comeback.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:25 pm
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No one has the slightest idea. ๐Ÿ˜‰


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:27 pm
 MSP
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Well like Switzerland and Norway, import duty would have to be paid on imports to Europe, that would reduce competitiveness of international companies based in the UK as a base for the EU. The government would offset that with other tax breaks for corporations, and the taxable burden would increase on normal workers.

The EU will sign the trade agreement with the US, and the UK will be sat on the outside licking the windows.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:40 pm
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Well like Switzerland and Norway, import duty would have to be paid on imports to Europe

How much import duty is paid on exports from Norway and Switzerland to the EU?

Over-fishing is a global problem, and so are crap controls.

Boats from other countries fishing in UK waters isn't a global problem.

VAT is set by the member country

Well apart from the EU setting a minimum level that is.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:49 pm
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I'd expect the UK would remain EEA? which I assume means free trade, no duty, etc.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:51 pm
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How much import duty is paid on exports from Norway and Switzerland to the EU?

dunno but Norway is an incredibly expensive place to buy anything, shopping for fruit n veg probably 2-3 times more expensive than the uk , branded clothing etc, was even more

I also imagine canyon, rosebikes etc would go up quite a bit for us


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 5:57 pm
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yep, cos the GBP will be devalued further.

edit: but UK doesn't need to quit EU for that. It's already done this before.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 6:28 pm
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No one has the slightest idea.

This is probably the truest post so far.


 
Posted : 13/05/2013 6:31 pm
 xcgb
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I wouldn't have to eat calamari; I could coat some rubber bands in flour and fish urine instead.

Oh I dunno this rings pretty true to me! ๐Ÿ™‚


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:04 am
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So what would happen if we left europe?
Ooooh, if they towed us south we'd be much warmer ! I'd like that 8)


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:07 am
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No one has the slightest idea.

This is probably the truest post so far.

I'm imaging the Monty Python sketch with the dramatic voiceover, as the tense music builds....

"All of a sudden.... [b]NOTHING HAPPENED!!![/b]"

I'd imagine it'd be a massive anti-climax for all those who've spent their entire political careers banging on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on about it


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:12 am
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And for some folk on forums who do the same thing I'd imagine.


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:15 am
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No one has the slightest idea.
This is probably the truest post so far.

I disagree

ignoring the tedious xenophobic rhetoric about curvy bananas and abu qatada

I think it would be pretty easy to get some reasonable ideas

how would it affect your industry?
as stated above I believe it would making recruiting the best scientists from europe harder

anyone else


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:18 am
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how would it affect your industry?
as stated above I believe it would making recruiting the best scientists from europe harder

anyone else

I presume we could still apply for EU funding for our research given that Switzerland does? If we couldn't that would be a giant kick in the baws, would decimate many research groups.


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:26 am
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On a selfish note werent the 7stanes built with EU funding too!!!!

cant see the UK government putting that level of investment into leisure cycling


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:30 am
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Yeah, but Scotland will be independent soon. They'd still get EU funding ๐Ÿ˜‰


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:31 am
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would like to see the demographic of ukip voters, im really hoping they arent a majority of pensioners sitting at home reading the Daily Mail and looking to **** up the prospects for future generations...


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:35 am
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We'd probably do very well freed of the shackles of the EU.


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:38 am
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I'd imagine it'd be a massive anti-climax for all those who've spent their entire political careers banging on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on about it

that's basically what it is.

650 or so members of parliament have their careers as their first interest, and that of the people which they were elected to represent and the country as a whole way down the list.

Media pretty much CGAS either, in general. Major news and scandals sells newspapers and makes big headlines on 10-o'clock news. Not UK just chugging along as normal. Big media corps would be more than happy for a quit, cos it'd sell papers, even if it ultimately would be negative for the industry. Eventually another massive story will come along.

I just say... name 1 single EU directive that Cameron would reverse. Then name 1 single EU directive that Miliband would undo. Sod it... name even one bit of EU legislation that UKIP would want to undo!


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:43 am
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No one has the slightest idea.
This is probably the truest post so far.
I disagree

Fair point. What I should have said is "most people don't have a clue" which is why leaving such a complicated question up to a referendum of the British electorate would be a crazy idea. ๐Ÿ™‚


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:53 am
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Sod it... name even one bit of EU legislation that UKIP would want to undo!

That's a trick question. All of them.


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:54 am
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So what you're advocating, DeadlyDarcy, is the abolition of democracy?


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:56 am
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To be fair, I don't pay all these taxes to sustain a political system that can then turn around ask idiots like me what I think?


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 9:58 am
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Dictatorship ftw.
Nasty Korea has the right idea ๐Ÿ˜‰


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 10:06 am
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Fair point. What I should have said is "most people don't have a clue" which is why leaving such a complicated question up to a referendum of the British electorate would be a crazy idea

Thankfully we have the powerful prediction of economists and politicians to lead us to clarity on this issue guided only by the steady hand of a [ right wing and nationalistic despite being foreign owned ] free press

Democracy in the capitalist system...it is just fantastic

Once we vote to leave then we can get on to the real issue of blaming the unemployed and the ill for all our problems rather than just foreigners and europeans.


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 10:07 am
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@binners still on top form I see !

There would be lots of big negatives if we left the EU, a lot of employment and foreign investment (eg Japanese car plants) is totally dependent upon us being members. Economically the world is becoming increasingly dominated by a number of large economies US, China, India - do we really think that standing isolated as a country of 60m is going to be an advantage in todays and tomorrows world?

I saw Obama suggested yesterday that perhaps the UK should leave the EU, be very careful, a weakened EU is to the advantage of the US.

Even the Tories are trying to fudge the issue by targeting 2017 as the date for a referendum, ie long enough into to the future so they hope the anti-EU mood softens.


 
Posted : 14/05/2013 10:08 am
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