[Closed] Place your bets, who will be next Prime Minister?

I think TM will win a confidence vote so will carry on as PM.

It'll be Terresa May.
Who else would actually want the job at this time and would have enough support?

Jeff

I suspect they will call the confidence vote in her and she will win it as all the rest of the candidates tossing into their hats right now are hated by the majority of mps.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/19/the-race-to-replace-theresa-may-the-likely-candidates

Absolutely terrifying that the choice appears to be out of this mob.

If says a lot that of those I’d pick Amber Rudd every day of the week, despite her recent achievements of killing the renewable energy industry and Windrush.

Tragic times

Kier Stamer. Not sure they will last long enough to.mail the members.

She'll stay as others have suggested, what other chinless twonk wants to put there name as the face of any brexit deal?

It was a hospital pass no matter the outcome, she'd be viewed as the face of a bad brexit deal/no-deal . Not really had much opportunity to do anything else as such a large task taken all their time.

Snap election after the brexit vote was the wrong call to lose majority.

Its official

Yep 1922 Committee have confirmed no confidence vote triggered.

Ballot at 6 pm tonight. SKY news.

Kier Stamer. Not sure they will last long enough to.mail the members

He seems to be one of the few politicians recently who actually seems ok. In fact, he's possibly the only one!

Sturgeon as the "unity" candidate? Hated equally by all the English parties? 😉

Kier Stamer.

Are the Tories crazy enough to consider Boris, Mogg, Hunt or Rabb?

It won’t happen. No one wants the Brexit job. They’ll let her carry on then make her the fall girl in a year’s time, when someone else has had time to analyse the outcome and prepare a plan to make The UK happy again.

TM, she'll win the vote I reckon.

I might move the 4 euros I had left from holiday to somewhere a little safer 😉

Going to happen very soon

Are you guessing or clutching at straws? There has already been overwhelming support for her, the last couple of weeks have proven not a single person has been backed to challenge her position and the required 49 signatures via the 1922 committee never realised .. despite all the raging who-harr buy the likes of lyingblouard and some other faceless halfwits in the Conservative party.

So, I guess this thread is open to wild card entries so I’m nominating.....

The bigger question is the next vote

Might want to put the wireless on bikebouy

She'll win at a canter. Won't even bother ringing around, I'd imagine.

Last gasp of the Brexiteer MPs. The likes of JRM and Bojo have been comprehensively outmaneouvered.

What Kryton said unless someone's feeling brave enough to revoke Article 50.

Last gasp of the Brexiteer MPs. The likes of JRM and Bojo have been comprehensively outmaneouvered.

Just a pity Cameron couldn't have done that three years ago.

what other chinless twonk wants to put there name as the face of any brexit deal?

Several have been lining up. Boris Johnson has even been on a diet and had a haircut to try and improve his chances. Amber Rudd is in the running and a couple others as well.
That said I think the chances are she will survive.

It won’t happen. No one wants the Brexit job. They’ll let her carry on then make her the fall girl in a year’s time, when someone else has had time to analyse the outcome and prepare a plan to make The UK happy again

This is my instinct too. No-one wants their name on the Brexit mess, Rees-Mogg has no interest in leadership and I'm not sure BoJo will get the support.

So yes, Keir Starmer.

May, the Brexiteers have got 46 letters, but they don’t have the numbers to finish the job. This is their last roll of the dice.

JRM and Bojo have been comprehensively outmaneouvered

Man, I hope so. Are we any closer to seeing their heads on pikes outside parliament ?
That'd make my christmas

I think may will win. Even if it by the slimmest of margins she will cling onto power.

I wonder if some may supporters put letters in to force the vote and end the speculation.

Let's not forget it was every single leave voter who caused this shambles. If you hear a leave voter moaning about this today you might remind them of this 😄

Youhave to remember the peculiarities of a tory leadership cntst.
One candidate - appointed in the commons
2 - vote amongst the membership
More than 2 - the MPs vote on the candidates to whittle it down to the final two to be voted on by the membership

Now the MPs hate Johnson and Gove and know Mogg would never be elected. So what the ERG have to do is make sure one of their candidates is the final two and hope that they can tickle the tummies of the membership - highly likely.

However the MPs will manoeuvre to make sure none of the ERG types get into the final two so expect 2 Candidates that are not ERG style nuts.

So I expect that the not so lunatic tories will conspire and manoeuvre to keep one of the ergs out of the final two. Probably by putting forward two reasonable candidates.

Javid is too brown BTW for a tory leader.

So yes, Keir Starmer.

Kier Stamer

Good choice apart from the fact that he is in the wrong party...

Man, I hope so. Are we any closer to seeing their heads on pikes outside parliament ?
That’d make my christmas

Oh, please, please, please, please, please!!!!!

what an absolute disaster, a weak opposition party and what seems a weaker tory party.
brexit was always going to be a daft idea short term.

anyone who thinks we have any power against europe to negotiate what ever we ask is deluded,
why they didnt setup a cross collaboration working party to get people on side i will never know..

i'm a remain'er but i want a stable economy and certainty, and so i just wish the deal was voted through, i don't want to have to vote again. just bloody get on with it, a word springs out to me "Satisfice"..
I then Googled the definition to double check. yes it definately works for me

"decide on and pursue a course of action that will satisfy the minimum requirements necessary to achieve a particular goal."

Good choice apart from the fact that he is in the wrong party…

You are making the assumption that this is the only process that will be going on. What is the chance of the government standing if she clings on by 10-20 votes?

She will win. The reality is there isnt anyone from team brexit who wants to take over. There have been a number of opportunities since the referendum for a brexiteer to become leader but none of them have actually done anything.

mike - 100%

Shamelessly stolen from Twitter:
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Last gasp of the Brexiteer MPs. The likes of JRM and Bojo have been comprehensively outmaneouvered.

This.

She'll win because nobody else wants the job. (She may not want to, of course.)

There's no majority for any deal that's likely to be agreed. There's no majority for 'No deal'. So we're remaining.

Keir Starmer isn't an approved Momentum candidate so he won't ever lead the Labour Party. (Although he's an RGS Old Boy so I hope he does.)

My Political predictions are *always* wrong.

Let’s not forget it was every single leave voter who caused this shambles.

I would go further back and blame the Tories for arrogantly thinking they couldn't lose the referendum, and framing the referendum poorly as a result.

tory leadership cntst.

Reported for swear filter avoidance.

So I expect that the not so lunatic tories will conspire and manoeuvre to keep one of the ergs out of the final two. Probably by putting forward two reasonable candidates.

We're not at a contest yet. She needs to lose this confidence vote tonight, which she won't.

I'm torn because a full leadership contest of 6-8 weeks would probably lead to the rescinding of A50, or at least a significant extension if the EU are prepared to humour us for a bit longer.

But the risk of the likes of Rudd, Bojo etc as leader is too apocalyptic to risk, I feel.

I would go further back and blame the Tories for arrogantly thinking they couldn’t lose the referendum, and framing the referendum poorly as a result.

That's democracy. You do what you have to do to try to win votes and if you think you're going to lose you really can promise anything. Cameron couldn't possibly have predicted a Brexiteer Leader of the Labour Party at that stage. Plus the Liberals made the same mistake in 2010. And Vince Cable called for a Referendum in 2007. It was a very common ploy to win votes at the time.

Nobody called him out on it at the time. Hindsight is 20/20.

She’ll win because nobody else wants the job.

This isnt true. They are still lining up for it especially Boris.
God knows why.

Looking at that Guardian list of potentials, my vote would go to the MILF, sorry I mean Penny Mordaunt.

In a statement in Downing Street, Mrs May said: "I will contest that vote with everything I have got."

So, she’ll resign about four o’clock this afternoon then?

He seems to be one of the few politicians recently who actually seems ok. In fact, he’s possibly the only one!

There are loads of MPs that are okay. You really don't see that many of the 600 of TV/radio, the ones that are invited are invited for a reason...

It'll be May again. If May doesn't come through it could be Give. Either way it's time for a Scottish exit.

Either way it’s time for a Scottish exit.

Sexit?

These dim witted half witts are playing games with mine and my childrens future, and yours.Putin is getting his way, destabilising the UK and the EU. Mark my words, he will be marching into the Ukraine in the next few months and no-one will bat an eyelid. Along as the masses have their next reality show to watch the world slides towards oblivion. Don your yellow jackets, and lets put a stop to this.Buggered if I know how though.