You could have a "stuckdown" shock. Caused by a combination of a soft seal compound used by Fox for some manufacturers, and temperatures low enough to let the main seal contract allowing the pressure in the pos and neg chambers to equalise.
An air sleeve service will rectify this and if you rotate the seal when doing it, it'll give you extended life out of the original seals. but the best course of action is to buy a new seal kit for about £15 – £20 which will be made from a harder compound and stop it happening again.
If the Stumpy has a 165 x 38mm shock fitted as standard, a 200 x 50mm shock won't fit, or work very well. And that's not even accounting for the shock's comression and rebound tuning. Spesh get specific valving for their suspension geometry.
New seals will be cheaper and better if the bike has the correct shock fitted in the 1st instance.
Please excuse a double post, some tech problems with my machine.