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  • Le Tour 2017 – Speculation, predictions, spoilers, etc.
  • mrblobby
    Free Member

    At 3 weeks out it’s entirely possible he came to CdD half gubbed at the end of a training block and all he has to do now is rest/taper.

    Normally I’d assume this, though it would be a change to previous years when he’s been flying at the Dauphine.

    I’d say so, last year was solid with a couple of problems and mistakes along with the motorbike on the climb. He was in there till the end and looks stronger this year.

    Re Porte in 2016 TdF, BMC really messed up when he lost about 2 minutes on stage 2 with a late mechanical and the rest of his team at the front stage hunting for GVA. He never looked in the race for the win after that. They need to be all in for Porte if he’s going to win it. Be interesting to see if he can prove the 3 week doubters wrong.

    slowpuncheur
    Free Member

    Froome has had very little race time this year. I wonder after the last two Tours (where is has started like a house on fire and held on in the third week) whether he is taking a different approach this year and trying to get to Stage 1 still slightly undercooked. Apart from Les Planche Des Belle Filles, the first week won’t really see a GC shake up. It’ll be won and lost in the Pyrenees in the 3rd week and I think Porte might just be running on fumes by then.

    Superficial
    Free Member

    Looks like it’s all going to be about stage 17 and 18 then. Those are some meaty climbs inc a summit finish on Izoard to sort out the GC.

    CaptainFlashheart
    Free Member

    Superficial – Member
    Looks like it’s all going to be about stage 17 and 18 then. Those are some meaty climbs inc a summit finish on Izoard to sort out the GC.

    Ahem…..

    17/18 look like a right ding dong couple of days! Final selection on the Izoard?

    POSTED 1 WEEK AGO #

    🙂

    slowpuncheur
    Free Member

    I reckon it could come down to Stages 17 and 18 personally. 😀

    Superficial
    Free Member

    I reckon it could come down to Stages 17 and 18 personally.

    Ahem…

    Superficial – Member
    Looks like it’s all going to be about stage 17 and 18 then. Those are some meaty climbs inc a summit finish on Izoard to sort out the GC.

    😀

    CaptainFlashheart
    Free Member

    😀

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    Be nice if it was but could be mostly over by about stage 13. They could do with an ITT after 12 and before the next load of mountains to mix things up.

    Actually stage 13 could be a really interesting one, only 100k but all up or down.

    beej
    Full Member

    Stage 18 you say? Ah, that’ll be the stage I’ll be camped out on Izoard for. Women’s race that day too, must make sure we don’t go too high as they don’t ride all the way up.

    So – anyone else planning on watching at the roadside? What stages? I went to a couple of Vuelta stages last year but this’ll be my first TdF visit.

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    Porte on cycling news…

    “Aru has gone up the road and then no one else is going to ride. There’s only so long that you can sit there and gamble for the race. I was there to try and win and I had to chase. It didn’t quite work out but I think that I can hold my head high,” Porte said. “I didn’t crack under pressure and I did a good last climb. I think you’ve got to take some positives out of the negative style of racing.”

    I don’t know what he’s complaining about really, if you’re in the leaders jersey you’ve got the most to lose. Everyone’s going to try and isolate you, sit back and let you chase and then attack when you’re done. That’s just the way it is if you’re leading the race.

    So – anyone else planning on watching at the roadside?

    No 🙁

    dragon
    Free Member

    He should be more bummed about the fact that the BMC team were nowhere and he was isolated very early on. Also his crap descending skills meant that Kwiatkowski from Sky passed him on the descent and then caught up with Froome’s group to pull for Froome. Complaining about others is pathetic and it’s pretty clear he a weak character, so unless he can sort that out as Cadel Evans did, then I don’t see him threatening for the win in the TDF.

    lunge
    Full Member

    Also his crap descending skills meant that Kwiatkowski from Sky passed him on the descent

    Whilst Porte is not brilliant going downhill, Kwiatkowski is brilliant, pretty much anyone would get done by him if he’s attacking.

    matts
    Free Member

    Normally I’d assume this, though it would be a change to previous years when he’s been flying at the Dauphine.

    I was going to say the same as slowpuncheur – The last few years seen Froome flying up the first mountain, grabbing a lead, consolidating in the TT, and the holding on to it in the final days. Given Porte looks very strong in the TTs this year, and the mountains are more spread out, are they hoping Froome will be fresher for the final week this time, and not peaking in the build-up.

    Or maybe his training hasn’t gone well.

    I vaguely remember seeing a video of Ben Swift winter training in his sitting room sealed up and turned into a mild vacuum chamber to mimic higher altitude.

    Normally you want to sleep at altitude and train at sea level. This means you can perform maximal training efforts down at sea level, and get altitude adaptation at night. This is the reason everyone has gravitated to training on Tiede – 2200m at Hotel Parador and 40k down to the beach.

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    Complaining about others is pathetic and it’s pretty clear he a weak character, so unless he can sort that out as Cadel Evans did, then I don’t see him threatening for the win in the TDF.

    Remember well the reformed Cadel’s race saving effort towing a line of riders up the mountain. The old Cadel would have had a strop about that and probably lost the race.

    Porte also needs to go watch the Giro and see how Dumoulin conducted himself.

    Klunk
    Free Member

    Porte also needs to go watch the Giro and see how Dumoulin conducted himself.

    he’ll get to see it first hand when Tom takes yellow on stage 1 😉

    atlaz
    Free Member

    Not sure whether Tom is riding the tour. He’s gone from the Giro to the Hammer to the Tour de Suisse. Seems a lot on the race programme rather than trying just to peak. That said, it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that the ASO are paying Sunweb a heap of cash to get him there, he gets yellow, hangs onto it for a few days then goes back to Holland for a few beers and a well deserved rest.

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    That said, it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that the ASO are paying Sunweb a heap of cash to get him there, he gets yellow, hangs onto it for a few days then goes back to Holland for a few beers and a well deserved rest.

    I guess it’s a trade off. It’s a chance for a few days in yellow, always good for a team. But then it’s one man less in a team that’s likely to be overstretched supporting both Degenklob or Mathews in the sprints and Barguil for GC (not that I’m guessing the latter is likely to get much support based on his likely chances.)

    mogrim
    Full Member

    Be interesting to see how Froome does when he’s clean, he’s unlikely to risk as many TUEs this year now he’s been rumbled. Not that I care about drug use in sport, I just find Sky’s holier-than-thou attitude to be particularly irritating.

    So Porte FTW, and Bertie to blow things up and make it fun.

    anagallis_arvensis
    Full Member

    Dont mention drugs the locals get all upity

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    Dont mention drugs the locals get all upity

    🙄

    Do we need to start a TDF doping thread? 😉

    scaredypants
    Full Member

    I guess it’s a trade off. It’s a chance for a few days in yellow, always good for a team. But then it’s one man less in a team that’s likely to be overstretched supporting both Degenklob or Mathews in the sprints and Barguil for GC

    <Beware, noob thinking below this point>:

    Yeah, weird – I thought they’d said he would ride it. Assuming he isn’t going for the win (he’s certainly got an odd way of preparing for it if he is), then I suppose he can just smash the TT and then domestique his way around, maybe leading out the train from 5-10km out on the sprint stages and still easily being sunweb’s best mountain domestique while recovering a bit in comparison to what he’s done recently

    Trouble is, seems to me that if he’s in yellow after the TT* they may feel obliged to defend it (and there’s not much opportunity to lose it unless a sprinter does a good TT and then gets a couple of finish bonuses)

    *(14km – power race really, will he be favourite anyway ?)

    slowpuncheur
    Free Member

    Deggy is riding for Trek now not Sunwebgiantskillshimano

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    Deggy is riding for Trek now not Sunwebgiantskillshimano

    It was late! I’d originally written Kittel 😳

    14km – power race really, will he be favourite anyway ?

    Goes best on longer rolling TT. Would suit a bigger more powerful rider.

    mikewsmith
    Free Member

    So more mind games or honesty to lift some pressure off himself?

    When asked by Cyclingnews if he now had the psychological edge over Porte, after halting his momentum ahead of July, Froome played a straight bat at first before – and for the first time this year – stating his opinion that the BMC rider was the favourite for the Tour de France.

    “I don’t think so,” he said when asked about holding the edge over Porte mentally. “I’d still say that Richie was far and above the strongest man in the race. He did get caught out tactically, his team did get caught out tactically today, but I still say that he’s the favourite for July and the strongest rider in the peloton at the moment.”

    Were BMC Racing caught out tactically or did they lack the depth to defend Porte’s lead?

    “Good question, you’d have to ask them. I don’t know what their tactics were.”
    http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/chris-froome-richie-porte-is-the-tour-de-france-favourite/

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    14km – power race really, will he be favourite anyway ?

    Speaking of Sunweb riders, I’d not be surprised to see someone like Mathews take this. He goes well in a prologue time trial, but this one is a bit longer so who knows. He was aero testing back in feb and I’d not be surprised if it was with the TdF in mind.

    Edit…. having said that, the top 10 from Stage 1 in 2015 would suggest it’ll be one for the specialists.

    So more mind games or honesty to lift some pressure off himself?

    Probably a bit of both. Everyone’s going to be pointing the “favourite” finger at someone else right now.

    atlaz
    Free Member

    He was aero testing back in feb and I’d not be surprised if it was with the TdF in mind.

    Most likely he was at a new team, new bike and clothing part of that. He’s had a pretty quiet season with one stage of the Tour of the Basque country and a day or two ago at the Tour de Suisse. I’d imagine Sunweb, as much as the Giro win has made their season, want a bit more from Matthews than that.

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    want a bit more from Matthews than that.

    He looks in pretty good form for stage wins too over at the Tour de Suisse.

    Good write up of the Dauphine…

    The Moment The Critérium du Dauphiné Was Won

    chakaping
    Free Member

    So this is where the Dauphine thread is hiding.

    What a finale yesterday, such a great year for road racing already and now this makes it seem that the TdF may not be the snoozefest it was shaping up as.

    Slightly gutted for Porte, after that effort to drop Froome he gets beaten by the bonus. He took it well though.

    matts
    Free Member

    What a finale yesterday

    He took it well though.

    I agree it was a great finale. But a) it was Sunday – have you been asleep since then? I’m guessing yes since b) he’s taken it quite badly. 😆 😆

    chakaping
    Free Member

    My mistake, didn’t get chance to watch until yesterday and I stay off social media to avoid spoilers.

    He’s not really said anything since his post-race interviews, in which he seemed mildly narked – but the press seem to have blown that up a bit.

    Maybe not BFFs with Froome any more though.

    CaptainFlashheart
    Free Member

    I stay off social media to avoid spoilers.

    Yep. Another on the blackout until the highlights show here!

    atlaz
    Free Member

    He looks in pretty good form for stage wins too over at the Tour de Suisse.

    I was just saying that he needs to win more than an odd stage here and there in a 2nd or 3rd tier race; I’d imagine they expected either classics wins or GT stages when they handed over what I imagine was a pretty big pay packet for Sunweb.

    Porte needs to remember one thing;

    [video]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lfb3y7gBFoI[/video]

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    I’d imagine they expected either classics wins or GT stages when they handed over what I imagine was a pretty big pay packet for Sunweb.

    Had a pretty good TdF stage win last year, but that was from a break and Sagan did most of the work if I recall correctly. Won’t beat the likes of Kittel and Greipel in drag strip sprints and will need to try in the lumpier stages. His problem is likely to be Sagan who can do everything that bit better than he can. Be good to see him try and challenge Sagan for green though.

    mrblobby
    Free Member
    CaptainFlashheart
    Free Member

    Tom Dumpoulin drops out of the Tour death Suisse.

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    Route du Sud starts today.

    TiRed
    Full Member

    Whilst Froome will be doing absolutely everything for the win. I secretly think he would not be so upset if Porte were to beat him this year if he were carrying better form. They’re best friends off the bike, and if you aren’t the strongest then you’d want your mate to win, no?

    Fugsland and Porte in my team, I think this year.

    mrblobby
    Free Member

    They’re best friends off the bike, and if you aren’t the strongest then you’d want your mate to win, no?

    If he was out the picture for GC and could help Porte out then suspect he would want him to win and maybe assist (bit like the Dutch alliance on that stage of the Giro.)

    Fugsland and Porte in my team, I think this year.

    Anyone setting this up when the teams are announced? Have a feeling about Roglic for the opening stage win and yellow, seems on good form.

    nbt
    Full Member

    There’ll be a Velogames fantasy league. I’ve done the last few, I’ll do one for this if no-one else gets in first. Remember those who entered the STW Fantasy Giro will already have ranking points in the Grand Tour Series too…

Viewing 40 posts - 121 through 160 (of 257 total)

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