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Leffeboy those lads will have some serious hearing problems after that. I guess their worries are way beyond tinnitus.


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 9:08 am
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https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1570529438013739010?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1570529438013739010%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=

Im not sure I’ve heard much from the French team investigating the claims at Bucha?


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 9:40 am
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Advancing UKR troops have found a mass grave in Izium. 440 mostly civilian population buried there, many with injuries consistent with military attacks. The causes will need to be properly investigated

Russia is also preventing the UN and Red Cross from accessing UKR PoWs, access that the UN thinks will evidence torture and general ill-treatment


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 9:53 am
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Ursula Von der Leyen discussing EU sanctions (which include UK) said, "It needed a certain amount of time for them to unfold their impact, and this is visible now"

Germany has increased pressure by taking control of Rosneft Deutschland and SEFE (Gazprom Germania). This gives Germany control of its fourth largest oil refinery. Perhaps they can now begin to contribute a little more to the Ukrainian cause? https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/ukraine-support-tracker


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:10 am
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This gives Germany control of its fourth largest oil refinery. Perhaps they can now begin to contribute a little more to the Ukrainian cause?

As pointed out b4 they are the 3rd biggest donor of weapons, biggest donor of medical aid & have taken over a million refugees ...


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:21 am
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Leffeboy those lads will have some serious hearing problems after that.

I'm guessing they already do and that's why they are not wearing protection


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:32 am
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As pointed out b4 they are the 3rd biggest donor of weapons, biggest donor of medical aid & have taken over a million refugees

True, they are the 3rd biggest donor...but it is a very distant 3rd. Less than half what the UK have delivered, and less than Poland with regards to military aid. A pretty poor showing considering the size of their economy


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:37 am
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As pointed out b4 they are the 3rd biggest donor of weapons, biggest donor of medical aid & have taken over a million refugees …

Compare Kiel Uni figures for various countries https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/ukraine-support-trackerGerman y's total commitment ranks 13, which is poor for a country that ranks 4 for GDP
Poland has taken 3.5 million refugees (more than half the total) and ranks 22 for GDP
Germany has hidden behind promises that it's only just starting to fulfill and, in the words of my last headteacher, must try harder

X with shermer


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:43 am
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That bar graph has been posted a couple of times I think, but isn't Germany a big contributor to the "EU Institutions"?


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 11:33 am
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I'm guessing the chart shows the EU as a whole as well as each country separately?


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 11:45 am
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China letting Putin know who’s boss.

Russia definitely is playing second fiddle to China now


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 11:47 am
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From that chart

Includes bilateral commitments to Ukraine. Does not include private donations, support for refugees outside of Ukraine, and aid by international organizations. Commitments by EU Institutions include Commission and Council, MFA, EPF and EIB funds and can also be added to individual EU countries. Financial commitments that are made explicitly for military and weapons purchases are counted as military aid.


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 11:50 am
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https://twitter.com/mjluxmoore/status/1570732420063981571?t=iqXWQMRtJu1na7RseA8ljA&s=19

They're calling them 'bomb attacks', so I'm guessing someone locally planted the bomb rather than firing a long range missile or artillery shell?


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 2:26 pm
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Germany found 50 Dingo armoured vehicles, two more Mars MLRS and 40 Marder IFVs down the back of the sofa yesterday. On Monday they couldn't possibly spare any at all
The Marders will go to Greece (largest contributor to NATO by GDP) who will supply 40 of their Soviet BMPs to Ukraine, the rest will go to UKR directly


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 2:53 pm
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Reuters have picked up the Izium mass grave story

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-mass-grave-found-izium-where-russians-ousted-days-ago-2022-09-15/

rope around their necks and hands tied


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 3:00 pm
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How is all the backfilling accounted for in those bar graphs linked to? When Germany and others supply third countries, freeing up older and more easily integrated stock that then goes on to Ukraine... is that included in the figures for the third country, or the country that is doing the donating rather than swapping?


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 3:00 pm
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@kelvin I think that the whole contribution-thing is largely impenetrable to the casual observer, it would probably take a university project, similar to the Yale School of Management sanctions tracker.
There are numerous funds, e.g. the European Peace Facility (EPF), and other mechanisms such as your example
I'd be grateful to be proved wrong and be pointed to a one-stop site


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 3:43 pm
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This is significant

https://twitter.com/felix_light/status/1570776934459772929?t=Gk-wE6yMHC9BPwiiJdXEFA&s=19

India is one of the great military powers in Asia. Modri was not mincing his words here, which apparently unusual for his diplomatic style, and India has for a long time had a military partnership with Russia- maybe this is an indicator of a shift in their relations?


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 6:18 pm
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That is indeed a big deal, India get a pretty huge chunk of their military equipment from Russia.

With Russia's previously iron grip over the central Asian stans melting away as their military reputation has evaporated you have to wonder whether or not India sees an opportunity to supplant Russia as the patron of some of these resource rich territories.

If so, this may their first move in a more confrontational relationship with Russia moving forward.

If they don't get their skates on then China certainly will be more than happy to get in there first.


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 6:32 pm
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Exactly. I agree India most likely recognises China as it's main rival for local socio-geographic influence now, and Russia's clumsy and self-defeating invasion has dropped them down to somewhere near the bottom of their list of potentially useful allies


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 7:12 pm
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Indeed that is a change of wind from India...


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 7:33 pm
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*gentle whistling in the background *


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 9:05 pm
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'the future's in the air'


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 9:26 pm
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Did you hear Putin's pathetic, (but entirely predictable) public response though. We'll yeah, we want to bring it to a close as fast as possible, but the Ukrainians won't negotiate.

Modi is quite the diplomat* managing not to call him a prick and just walk out.

*I'm sure there's a lot else, less polite many would call him.


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 9:33 pm
 Mat
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Taaaaake meeee to the magic of the moment on a glory night…

I take it you’ve listened to the wind of change podcast? (Guy investigates whether winds of change was a CIA soft power operation)


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 9:51 pm
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(Guy investigates whether winds of change was a CIA soft power operation)

LOL! I wonder what he thinks of Status Quo..

Francis and Rick, enemies of the people hahaha


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:11 pm
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https://twitter.com/DarthPutinKGB/status/1570850469437931521?t=Ooyc4emsPHl4ACmejI2qvA&s=19

I'm enjoying this


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:55 pm
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Retweet button smashed


 
Posted : 16/09/2022 10:58 pm
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The Inside Russia guy has a long video about perceptions of the last week or so from inside Russia itself. I do not know how legit this guy is.


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 7:52 am
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Russia is increasing its military presence in Mali through The Wagner Group and seem to be filling a void left by French troops, Mali's former colonial rulers.
As with their other African interests this is about the control of natural resources


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 8:26 am
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Russia has said that satellites could be legitimate targets in the war in Ukraine, "Quasi-civilian
infrastructure may become a legitimate target for retaliation"

This will cause a problem for western governments because retaliation will involve weapons way above the current self-defence threshold


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 8:32 am
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Let's cross that bridge when we come to it. Starlink for example is massively redundant.


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 9:50 am
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They’ve been threatening Starlink pretty much from day 1. I think that’s really just bluster for the domestic and Tankie audience.


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 9:53 am
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At some point the Russian objective changed from acquiring territory to acquiring fridges

https://twitter.com/loogunda/status/1570891176546570240?s=19


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:30 am
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Well, it's all going on now. In the last hour or so, multiple reports on twitter saying that the Ukrainians have entered Lyman. Fierce fighting by all accounts, but seems to be only a matter of time. The fact that ISW has reported the Russians shelling Lyman further backs up reports of Ukrainian gains in this area.

This helped by the fact that the Ukrainians have a bridgehead East of the Oskil River in Kupyansk, which means they can advance South East towards the major logistics hub of Svatove and simultaneously South to Lyman, rolling up any Russian positions East of the Oskil on the way. Things looking very, very bad for Russia now as the route from Belgorod through Svatove is one of the core supply routes into Luhansk for the Russians. This from ISW

Ukrainian forces captured all of Kupyansk City on September 16, continuing offensive operations east of the Oskil River. Russian milbloggers initially reported that Ukrainian forces captured eastern Kupyansk before claiming that Russian forces repelled Ukrainian advances.[11] Geolocated footage confirms that Ukrainian forces established positions on the east bank of the Oskil River in Kupyansk, however.[12] Russian forces will likely struggle to hold positions in eastern Kharkiv Oblast and in northern Luhansk Oblast as Ukrainian forces establish more positions on the east bank of the Oskil River, the line at which Ukrainian forces had halted on September 11. ISW has previously assessed on September 13 that Russian forces are likely too weak to prevent further Ukrainian advances along the entire Oskil River if Ukrainian forces choose to resume offensive operations.[13] Luhansk People’s Republic (LNR) People’s Militia sources additionally claimed that Ukrainian forces struck Nyzhnia Duvanka (20km north of Svatove, Luhansk Oblast) with HIMARS.[14]


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 10:35 pm
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Let’s cross that bridge when we come to it. Starlink for example is massively redundant.

The redundancy wouldnt be an issue as opposed to the space debris which would likely result. Be rather inconvenient if we get to much debris flying around.


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 10:49 pm
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It just doesn't look like Russia has enough manpower and/or equipment to hold two fronts, whereas Ukraine has and can. Getting my armchair general pants on it seems to me that Ukraine has enough resources to both pin the useful bits of the Russian army in Kherson, on the wrong side of the Dnipro river, and also make useful gains in the north east. Which boggles my mind a bit to be honest! How on earth have they managed to outnumber the Russians?! I guess they are fully mobilised while Russia is relying on contractors and prisoners?!


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:00 pm
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A firefight in Kherson.  Speculation on Twitter that it's either 'blue on blue' Russians shooting at each other, a fight with UKr partisans, or it's staged.  The Russians are calling it a counter terrorist operation.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1571210067860459525?t=tebNL38F-uuvKk1pMJ0xZA&s=19


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:20 pm
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Nah
Ukr has more tanks now than before Russia invaded.
The Russian army leg it and dont disable their weapon systems.
The uka are already trained on type, so they just paint a yellow cross on the side and crack on.
Where as the rua have hundreds less tanks than they started out with, so its easier for the ukr to outgun and out manoeuvre the rua.


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:22 pm
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Be rather inconvenient if we get to much debris flying around.

Off Topic Science Fact

While there are about 2,000 active satellites orbiting Earth at the moment, there are also 3,000 dead ones littering space. What's more, there are around 34,000 pieces of space junk bigger than 10 centimetres in size and millions of smaller pieces that could nonetheless prove disastrous if they hit something else.

https://www.nhm.ac.uk/discover/what-is-space-junk-and-why-is-it-a-problem.html


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:35 pm
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Useful daily updates here:


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:37 pm
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A firefight in Kherson

That's crazy!


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:39 pm
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A bit more footage here:

https://twitter.com/HugoBor73884636/status/1571252683943591937?t=6OT6stGXh36DNFTWIHJOtw&s=19


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:41 pm
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Pro Ukrainian sources are claiming thats staged, but could eaily be wanting to hide partisans getting caught.


 
Posted : 17/09/2022 11:43 pm
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