Forum menu
statisticians or ga...
 

[Closed] statisticians or gamblers - help required

Posts: 0
Free Member
Topic starter
 
[#923575]

I have been sitting here working since 9am without a cuppa. what are the odds of DHL arriving to deliver a v important parcel when i dash to the shop (2 mins total) for a pint of milk and packet of digestives? driver left birmingham at 8.15am. I'm near stafford. parcel is 4kg. Its urgently required, but so is a mug of tea and a sit down with a handful of biscuits. what is crucial cut off time for just sodding it and making a dash for the shop?


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:01 pm
Posts: 23336
Free Member
 

he's sat round the corner waiting for you to go out.


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:02 pm
Posts: 813
Full Member
 

What Jambo said (its a game they play )


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:05 pm
Posts: 251
Full Member
 

there's already a 'while you were out' card on your doormat so you're fine to go any time.


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:05 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

There's no risk...

He's already forged your signature and made of with the nicely weighty parcel.

I imagine he'll be very disappointed to find some parts for a pedal bike when he opens it.


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:11 pm
Posts: 4736
Full Member
 

If it's 100% that DHL are coming, and let's say they will arrive before 5pm, then the chance of them coming in any 2 minute period is going up as you get closer to 5pm, so go now!
(but don't blame me if you miss them.)


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:12 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
Topic starter
 

i might scope out the road a bit. shop is straight line of sight from the driveway. i could make a dash in the car.

its not bike bits, much more important than that. bugger


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:18 pm
Posts: 25943
Full Member
 

Long gone; he'd made it all the way to the south coast by 12.00 🙂


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:22 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

its not bike bits, much more important than that.

So you're wasting our time with a completely fictional scenario?


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:33 pm
Posts: 10747
Full Member
 

Don't be timid - raise the stakes...

...by going for a crap.

Works every time for me.


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 1:39 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
Topic starter
 

i risked the crap, then he turned up, i explained my milk agony, he said he'd have left the package in the porch anyway! £1500 worth of 'stuff' which needed a signature....


 
Posted : 05/10/2009 2:08 pm