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Brexit 2020+

 Del
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WTF has it got to do with the SNP?


 
Posted : 06/01/2021 4:56 pm
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Cos the SNP will landslide the elections this spring and the next crisis for Boris and co is the independence referendum, so now that Brexit is done the tabloids need a new bogeyman - so start whipping up the froth now


 
Posted : 06/01/2021 7:34 pm
 Del
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hate to break it to you but brexit is very far from done and in other news i'm not sure if you've heard? there's a bit of a bug going going around.

fish really is an emotive issue isn't it?


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 12:24 am
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YGH is right tho - this will be the refrain from now on shouted louder than ever SNP baaaaaaaaad. Johnson said that if it was up to the SNP scotland would have not had a covid vaccine. tories in Scotland are attacking every day. First 7 posts on Davidsons facebook are SNP baaad. Not a single promotion of a tory policy.

the attacks are going to ramp up between now and May


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 1:13 am
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It’s depressing watching a nation very slowly come to understand the term “frictionless trade” 5 years too late…

Funny thou the actual importance of one word ‘frictionless’ in relation to ‘trade’ actually means.

Little details.

How many words in that agreement 🙂

The ‘Shatner’ vat change is a pretty lazy implementation and it does need a fallback to the vat collection being carried out this side.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 8:50 am
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Rules of Origin is a great example of a Non-Tariff Barrier (NTB).

Let's look at two bikes from one company for example:

Cotic Jeht 1
1st gen model with the frame assembled & painted in Scotland from tubing produced in Birmingham and running Hope wheels, brakes and assorted brackets. The drivetrain and suspension are imported along with other components.

Cotic Jeht 2
1st gen model with the frame assembled & painted in Scotland from tubing produced in Birmingham and running imported wheels, brakes, drivetrain, suspension and other components.

Because Cotic offer a custom build then each bike they export into the EU will have different custom codes, depending on the build. They'll though need to document each and every part etc and present them at the importation customs These are NTB's.

Also in my example I'd guess that Jeht 1 would be free of tariffs, but Jeht 2 would have tariffs added. And correspondingly different tariffs added (from zero to ?) depending on what the various costs of various components are and where they came from.

This is why they and other companies have paused their 'exports' to end-customers while they work out the actual costs, implications and get the paper work sorted.

This is why the vast majority of business folk dealing in cross-border trade supported the SM & CU. And for those of us old enough to remember it before, or who've dealt in non-EU / 'WTO' regimes, why we warned continually how it would add costs & complexity (for zero gain).


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 9:10 am
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running Hope wheels, brakes and assorted brackets

Hope wheels… where are the rims and spokes made…? And so it goes on.

it does need a fallback to the vat collection being carried out this side

That’s what the EU version is to have when it comes in July… I suppose ours does not because they need to free up customs capacity some how this year, not add still further to the demand on customs work.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 10:02 am
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This popped up last night in my news feed.

Tory MP calling for worker rights to be scrapped.

Linky


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 10:39 am
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A leading Tory credited with inspiring Brexit has urged Boris Johnson to cull a raft of EU consumer and worker protections, now the UK has the freedom to act.

Safeguards for the use of data, pay and conditions, GM foods, hedge funds, dangerous chemicals and the disposal of environmentally-damaging vehicles should all be binned, Daniel Hannan said.

“Change is coming. To succeed outside the EU, we need to be fitter, leaner and more globally engaged,” said the former MEP, who has just been made a Conservative peer.

No one can be surprised by this. It is what Brexit is for.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 10:41 am
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No one can be surprised by this. It is what Brexit is for.

Nope not surprised at all... It was repeatedly brought up and dismissed as project fear.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 10:43 am
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This reads as if it is all a big surprise…

https://www.itv.com/news/2021-01-07/debenhams-closes-online-business-in-ireland-as-50-major-uk-retailers-face-eu-tariffs

…the UK media needs to wake up. They’ve repeated the lies about what Brexit means, they aren’t innocent bystanders in this.

But it has since become clear that goods which are imported into the UK and then exported on to the EU are, in many cases, not tariff-exempt because they don’t originate in the EU or the UK.

It has been clear since an EEA type deal was ruled out by May & Corbyn. This should not be news. That it is shows just how deceitful the “news” of the past 5 years has been.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:02 pm
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And others close to Europe (not just Cotic...)...

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/07/customers-europe-hit-by-post-brexit-charges-buying-from-uk


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:06 pm
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And again, in that guardian story…

It came as a complete surprise.

It shouldn’t be a surprise. It will be to many. Depressing. This is what happen when the “facts” about Brexit are dismissed as negativity. Embrace the optimistic big lies… ignore the pessimists who think in details and practicalities.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:15 pm
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It came as a complete surprise.

I suspect the late ‘deal’ is the source of the ‘surprise’, no? (As in I thought you’d got a deal?)

But don’t disagree with your sentiment, chickens coming home to roost... when you’re out of the market, you are out of the market... surprise!


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:33 pm
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No deal wouldn’t have avoided “surprise” tariffs and charges. Without an EEA style deal, ruled out by the Brits over and over again, trade barriers were coming.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:38 pm
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Trouble is, many Leavers reading those links will be thinking, "so what, those horrible EU peeps are being hit by tarrifs why should I care".... Without realising that those people will eventually just source said items from an EU retailer instead.

Just small news item stuff at the moment but yes, chickens coming home to roost.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:43 pm
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No deal wouldn’t have avoided “surprise” tariffs and charges. Without an EEA style deal, ruled out by the Brits over and over again, trade barriers were coming.

Go on, explain to me why Cotic have stopped selling to the EU at the moment then/again*... 🤪🤪

*not really, but until the deal and tariffs were published it was a bit difficult, no?

Now it’s whudafuq?


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:44 pm
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That’s like driving into a wall. The crash isn’t a surprise… but the size of the bill for repairs is unknown ‘till you’re picking through the damage. Many people still think the repairs will be gratis. Some were once promising we’d all be better off. They’re now running the country off the back of those promises…


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:47 pm
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Ha, repairs bills are very often surprising! 🤣

Anyways, hope you guys manage to get things sorted out soon.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:52 pm
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The size of the bill is always a surprise… but you know it’s coming! (Or you should do).

It’s a moving target. There will be Jan2021, July2021, Jan2022 solutions already… and there are likely to be more once negotiations start up again. As I said in 2016… Brexit will mean changing trading rules with the rest of Europe for a decade or more… and make other countries with simpler, less shifting, cheaper costs of doing business better places to have your business than the UK. We love it here though, so moving isn’t an option.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 4:57 pm
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Found this rather funny:

Leave.EU leaves Britain after Brexit


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 6:43 pm
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^^^

Surely it should be based in Russia?

That's where all their dirty money 'entirely legitimate funding' came from anyway...


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 6:48 pm
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That Daniel Hannan thing is classic nudging from the frothing fascist wing of the Tories (or actually the frothing fascist rump?)

Get one of the nutters to float it, get it into the public consciousness a bit, then go for it a few months later.

With these bastards in charge we are looking down the barrel of poor houses and bonded labour - probably stitching luxury shoes for the top 1%....


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 6:51 pm
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That Daniel Hannan thing is classic nudging from the frothing fascist wing of the Tories (or actually the frothing fascist rump?)

TBH I read it yesterday and wondered if it was a newsthump parody 🙂

What’s that not even a week of Brexit and we’re hearing that consumer protection an workers rights should go on the bonfire.

Bit like the promises on that bus which were quickly distanced from once they’d ‘won’.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 7:15 pm
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TBH I read it yesterday and wondered if it was a newsthump parody 🙂

What’s that not even a week of Brexit and we’re hearing that consumer protection an workers rights should go on the bonfire.

Bit like the promises on that bus which were quickly distanced from once they’d ‘won’.

Well it was all a pack of lies....

Conceived by cynical crooks, voted for by the 'easily led'.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 7:35 pm
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Hannan is an arse; now trying to build a platform to peddle his objectionable 'ideas'.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 7:38 pm
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He is a tory peer and this has always been his aim. He along with others have been aiming for this deregulation for a long time and he has Johnsons ear. Its coming - have no doubts.


 
Posted : 07/01/2021 7:41 pm
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More reality kicking in.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55583244

"Tariff free does not feel like tariff free when you read the fine print," Marks & Spencer's chief executive Steve Rowe told Reuters.

"For big businesses there will be time-consuming workarounds but for a lot of others this means paying tariffs or rebasing into the EU."


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 8:00 am
 igm
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or rebasing into the EU.

Just to emphasise.

And the way the EU have structured the deal gives businesses, multinationals anyway, the time and space to plan for that I think. Look at cars as an example.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 9:36 am
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UK manufacturing is going to take a massive hit because we are a nation of assemblers of foreign sourced components.

The choices are:
Price hikes to cover tariffs (that will make you uncompetitive)
Source uk components if possible (more expensive)
Move to EU


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:05 am
 Del
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The choices are:

Price hikes to cover tariffs (that will make you uncompetitive)

Source uk components if possible (more expensive)

Move to EU

You forgot one: Don't be doing the same things as everyone else.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:08 am
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Don’t be doing the same things as everyone else

Yes exactly, this is something the UK is good at, recognising/having novel markets. Healthcare and space for example are industries which the UK could grow on. We are between 6 and 7% of the world space industry and obviously have one of the biggest healthcare sectors in the world, unique in that it is one organisation which can solely generate, use and sell data, we've seen 3 new drugs brought to regulation because of covid and 1 vaccine, all home grown.

Please don't go down the human lab rat line, all of healthcare is a big human experiment, which we all benefit from.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:28 am
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Love that last glib response about doing different things, as if that isn’t already what you need to be doing.

Anyway, the bike industry is lucky, we’re just moving “things” across new pointless borders… think of people working across borders, selling services across them… and let’s not even think about data…


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:31 am
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I love your sincere response about the bike industry finding new ways of doing things.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:39 am
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Dougie - new way? such as?

And how on earth do you export healthcare from the NHS?


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:41 am
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And how on earth do you export healthcare from the NHS?

In the form of data, the NHS is unique in that it is a single entity (as far as I know) gathering healthcare data from a population of 70 million people. The data recovered from just Covid patients alone has led to the regulation of 3 new treatments and 1 vaccine.

Is healthcare data subject to tariffs? (IDK BTW)


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:46 am
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Playing devil's advocate here (a little) you're suggesting we sell data from the NHS on how badly we've handled the pandemic? (not the NHS's fault mind!)

Bucaneering for sure!

I think other countries could just read our news headlines to get a few heads up on new drug treatment therapies.😉

Then you mention moon shots/rocket ships/ moon bases or something?


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 10:58 am
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Playing devil’s advocate here (a little) your suggesting we sell data from the NHS on how badly we’ve handled the pandemic? (not the NHS’s fault mind!)

Bucaneering for sure!

I think other countries could just had our news headlines to get a few years up on new drug treatment therapies.😉

Then you mention moon shots/rocket ships or something?

You're not playing devils advocate, you are ignoring what I said and belittling it, because it doesn't fit your narrative. I'm trying to open debate about Del's comment about doing different things.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:00 am
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Don’t be doing the same things as everyone else

The problem is that most manufacturers are well established over many decades and sell into very competitive markets. To suddenly have to change what you do is not an option.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:05 am
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we’ve seen 3 new drugs brought to regulation because of covid and 1 vaccine, all home grown.

Pharma is global. The UK chemical industry benefited from an EU-wide set of regulations around use, packaging, labeling, classification and transport.
I did 7 years in industrial chemistry, we were buying in chemicals / raw materials from all over the globe and selling the products that we made from them worldwide as well - a lot of it to university and pharma research facilities.

This idea that the UK alone came up with Covid vaccines is laughable but it all fits into the populist "Make UK Great Again" subtext of Brexit.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:07 am
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You’re not playing devils advocate, you are ignoring what I said and belittling it, because it doesn’t fit your narrative. I’m trying to open debate about Del’s comment about doing different things.

No, no.

Not belittling it. More dismissing it my friend. Theres a difference.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:12 am
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This idea that the UK alone came up with Covid vaccines is laughable but it all fits into the populist “Make UK Great Again” subtext of Brexit.

I didn't try to claim this


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:12 am
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I didn’t try to claim this

Alluded to it then? My, you are picky.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:14 am
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Alluded to it then? My, you are picky.

No I mentioned data and how the UK benefits from it. People read what they wanted to read, you mentioned moon bases for some reason.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:21 am
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@dougiedogg
Gah! Sorry mate, im deliberately and for no reason being a dick.

I should know better than to post when I'm in a poor mood.

Genuine apologies. I don't happen to agree with you but than in no way gives me the right to be such a childish arse.


 
Posted : 08/01/2021 11:23 am
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