Firstly, ISIS is:
Well trained
Well equipped
Strategically aware
Building in numbers but most importantly finance
Also building a propoganda machine (see front covers of papers about british jihadi’s
All of the above point to a bigger regional play. This is all about oil and control and Israel.
Iraq is sandwiched between two of the most powerful players (and enemies in the middle east) Iran and Saudia Arabia. One is shia and generally hates the western world (iran) and one is Sunni and gets a regular booti call from the US (Saudi). Iraq is a failed state and the only way to now control its vast oil fields is to divide the nation.
Saudi’s with the US and Israel may look at ISIS and think ‘Iraq is a problem state, the only way to control is to break it up’. ISIS will do that for them, control the middle of the country, annoy Iran and the Saudi’s with the US control the south with the puppet government.
In all of this, many people / children will die / become orphans and another humanitarian disaster. Sad 🙁