Posting pics is easier than ever Junkyard click Here[/url]

OK then – more modest

Possibly but that would be no fun.

get back to your pipe and slipper, it’s not for you

What’s in the pipe and can I have the other slipper?

how can you know that ? You might have been cleverer/healthier/handsomer without it

Impossible.

Drac and Druid…the charm about the post was the fact it hit a high note all over the internet…it was the first time I can recall people that have nothing to do with MTB’ing talking about STW in the pubs and new websites etc.

You are obviously too grown up for places like this.

That’s doesn’t make it funny though, to grown up hmmm not sure been here along time now.

FMB = Fat Mark’s Belly.

My parents always had drink in the house and wasn’t unknown for them pour me little but of stout.

No harm done here.

i wondered why i hadn’t seen Gordon The Gopher in a while

Hahhahah! Subtle.

right, final answer here
http://mathforum.org/dr.math/faq/faq.boy.girl.html

But it’s wrong the maths wrong, Smee said so.

I know why he’s confused I was at first but I never claimed to be right just couldn’t see why it wasn’t 50/50 1:1 50%. Then it suddenly sunk in that’s it’s the lack of specify which child that increases the odds, the same way the order the lottery numbers comes out doesn’t matter therefore increasing the odds.

What are the chances of the first one being a head? 50:50
What are the chances of the second one being a head? 50:50

If you dont know any of the results then all 4 permutations have a 25% chance of happening.

After the first result is known they have a 50% chance.

I can’t believe you don’t grasp the coin one.

Left 4 Dead is great fun play it on the PC, I had no idea it was singleplayer.

It’s always my fault, ask my Mrs!

Hold on I’ll give her a nudge.

I do but never play on it now it’s either PC or PS3, Have Guitar Hero Aerosmith for my PS3 awaiting World Tour coming.

Guinness original or the other shite?

GrahamS is close but use a shot glass and Drambuie drop the the shot glass in so it so the Drambuie slowly leaks out.

Hahahaha! Excellent.

Of course it’s not real, did you think the gorilla was really playing the drums?

I wouldn’t risk it myself but yeah front USB tend to be the same, your better plugging it in as is though it should only go in one way.

cant get the pic to upload.

You don’t upload them click forum help it’ll explain what to do.

Mine is back to a frame I’ll try and find pics of it built up.

He is apparently an engineer, but for some reason he uses a different mathematical system from the rest of humanity. I hope you’re not involved in anything critical Smee.

Guess that’s why he became a driving instructor.

Will be running them next to power leads so I take it the shield needs to be up to a decent standard?

Nah! I have a massive jumble of power leads near mine and there’s no interference.

Drac – show me where in the preceding 160 odd posts that someone has said that the odds are 2:1 in favour of there being one child of each gender.

Well Graham beat me to it but before you make wild claims I suggest your work out odds as percentages.

Awwww! Bless look he’s all confused.

There was some test done on these there was no difference to any significance between a £5 cable and all singing ones for crazy money. I use the cheap Argos ones and they do the job great.

Analogy I was given and roughly what was used on here.

If I tossed the coins, and hid them from you (one in each hand), and
said “at least one is a head”, then you would say “OK, so I know that
one is a head, doesn’t matter which one – I’ll assume it’s the one in
his left hand. So all that I don’t know is what’s in his right hand –
50/50 chance. Easy.”. But that’s not right. It’s not obviously wrong,
but it *is* wrong. You could analyse it another way:

“What’s in his left hand? Could be a head or a tail – I don’t know.
Suppose it’s a head, then there is an equal chance that his right hand
contains a head or a tail. So – *assuming* his left hand has a head,
then there we have two equally likely outcomes. Suppose his left hand
actually has a tail. Then his right hand *must* contain a head because
we know there’s at least one head. There’s a third outcome. Since the
coins were tossed fairly and randomly assigned to each hand, those
three outcomes are equally likely, and we’re back to our 1/3, 2/3
probability.

White Lion, Ambleside – Fantastic food, great portions, nice beer and don’t serve shandy drinkers.

Ok, I think that the way I’ve been approaching this has been flawed and I see where my logic has gone tits up!

Yup that’s where I was going wrong too, until I realised as the order was never discussed it still leaves the B/G G/B option open.

If you choose B/G – how can you possibly also include G/B?

It’s the lack of specifics that keep the 2 options.

Have to go into work or I’d give you analogy that helped me see why but I’d be wasting my time with you as Glupton is never wrong.

Yup Smee is Glupton.

I then ask what is the gender of your second child (if you have one)

That’s not the same question.

Last Fat Harry White

Stop! Carry on….

It ended with, Stop!

Horse Shoes, Rennington – Very friendly, piss poor decor, exceptional food, local beers. **** it think I’ll head there tonight.

? – Great beer, brew their own, best crab sandwiches in the world, gets a bit too busy in the summer.

Shhhhh! Captain.

Damn right it is the revealed a rather special pub up here that already can become full with tourists in the holidays, spoils a jolly nice summers days ride when I can’t get my crab sandwich.

God damn it I pasted the wrong bit, ok I’m for a nap.

Drac – go back to sleep.

That won’t make you right.

Drac – why a mile out?

As explained by Mike, it’s 2 coins so it’s not as simple as H/H T/H T/T

It’s

0.25 chance of getting HH
0.25 chance of getting HT
0.25 chance of getting TH
0.25 chance of getting TT

Took me all day to grasp yesterday I did get a little help from a friend also called Graham S who is rather exceptional at maths. He used various ways to explain it but it was the equation on here that made me see the answer.

Two coin tosses:

Chance at the beginning that you’ll get two of the same side coming up = 50:50.
After the first coin toss chances of you getting a matching one = 50:50.

Your a mile out there.

Pads I bought have so far been very good.

Tells us nothing of the incident or what happened.