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[Closed] Well this could be interesting, hurricane ophelia

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30 years since the UK last had 'that storm'. Wonder what Michael Fish is thinking at the moment.

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 4:30 pm
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My daughter (Ophelia) arrived in May...similar levels of devastation were predicted, but she's been okay so far. Hopefully this'll be the same.

Regardless, I'm blaming Brexit.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 4:35 pm
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wet and windy in october 🙄 , nothing new there then


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 4:39 pm
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30 years since [b]the bits of the UK which go into a blind panic and make the news when the weather's not that great [/b]last had 'that storm'

FTFY

The rest of us need to put up with this sort of thing every autumn, winter and spring more or less.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 4:44 pm
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[quote=perchypanther ]
The rest of us need to put up with this sort of thing every autumn, winter and spring more or less.

yep. 22 people killed in a single storm happens all the time in the north. soft poofy southerners and their whinging...


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 4:50 pm
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It's a bit windy today, and was a bit* wet when I left work last night but that's it.

*it was actually of biblical proportions and full on rivers were flowing down the streets of Glasgow. Fortunately I was just leaving the bike shed as it started, I certainly felt refreshed after it 🙂


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 4:53 pm
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The trampoline is an eyesore anyway, I'll be glad to see the back of it.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:06 pm
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Us Soft Suvvvernrs will miss it..

So, Ya Boo Sucks.

Gert Yer Wellies Yon...


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:14 pm
 kcal
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was it 30 years ago?
Some friends suggested a MTB ride over Kinlochleven to Fort William IIRC, I declined, they had an *interesting* day out..


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:19 pm
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why is it forecast to curve to the left, when the ones near the US curve to the right?


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:30 pm
 Drac
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30 years since the bits of the UK which go into a blind panic and make the news when the weather's not that great last had 'that storm'

I know seems like just a few months ago.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:32 pm
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I think what’s really amazing is it was before the days of mobiles for most of us and internet based working from home.

I remember it well as we lived on a hill in Guildford, was woken up during the night and got to the station at 6:15 to find all the trains cancelled. Jumped in the car to drive to Morden for the underground only to be met with road blocks from fallen trees and police telling us to go back home.

These days we’d have weather warnings on our smart phones and just stay put


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:39 pm
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I remember that storm. I was sat in a small hut like school room with 30 or so of my classmates in the morning until a teacher happened to spot us and moved us into the hall. 20 mins later the hut flew past my Nans kitchen window.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:40 pm
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Better order my repalcement fence post now then eh.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:44 pm
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Tie your wheelie bins down, mate
Tie your wheelie bins down.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:47 pm
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why is it forecast to curve to the left, when the ones near the US curve to the right?

The rise of socialism in the UK.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:47 pm
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Daughter is on d of e silver next week. Lucky her!


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:48 pm
 kcal
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? blimey, we don't do DofE after start of October I think!


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:54 pm
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doris5000 - Member
why is it forecast to curve to the left, when the ones near the US curve to the right?

A gentleman's tailor would never divulge this information

@perchypanther -
30 years since the bits of the UK which go into a blind panic and make the news when the weather's not that great last had 'that storm'

That's utter bollocks. The 87J storm was actually a very dangerous storm which turned deadly for some. It caused £1.4 Billion of damage even then (imagine that indexed into today's money). That was only in the UK, it then went on bash Norway and other countries.
Recent storms in the central belt have luckily been in less populated areas and have not been as large.

These extra-tropical cyclones are notoriously difficult to predict/model as they are large, complex systems moving at varying speeds and they tend to have a multi day duration in addition to affecting many countries.

The current MetOffice method of informing the public to make them aware is a good thing. Anything to limit loss of life is clearly good and it also enables the highways agency to get their shit together and close roads and bridges in advance. Trust me you wouldn't want to be on exposed ground in a high sided vehicle when one of these buggers rolls in.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 5:54 pm
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My rudimentary knowledge of the Weather pattern is this:

The Warm air from the South (lots of warm land mass) will push the Front Up Low pressure anticlockwise, and then the Cold air from the North will suck it up (clockwise higher pressure) and drag to the left with a smaller effect of the warm air Low pressure (anticlockwise) from Europe giving it a bit of a shuv as the Front decreases in strength...

Could be rong, could be rite...


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:05 pm
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30 years since the UK last had 'that storm'

Were you not north of the border for [url= https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Bawbag ]hurricane bawbag then?[/url]


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:10 pm
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What an odd name to call a Hurricane ... 😆


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:12 pm
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? blimey, we don't do DofE after start of October I think

Toughen up, princess. 😉 I bet you stay on camp sites and all..... 😉 😉 😉

If that forecast is correct, I bet next weeks DofE is postponed.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:14 pm
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windy wilson for proper weather updates :D[url= https://twitter.com/windywilson88 ]https://twitter.com/windywilson88[/url]
[url=


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:14 pm
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In windy we trust.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:16 pm
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doris5000 - Member
why is it forecast to curve to the left, when the ones near the US curve to the right?

My understanding is because they will follow the warmest air direction that is higher up and effectively the jet stream.

Current jet stream forecasts are suggesting that it's going to go quite far south in the mid Atlantic and sweep very quickly north just west of Ireland which will bring up a very warm airstream from the tropics and we shall be verily swathed in a brief Indian summer this weekend. Or, alternatively, and as the model in the OP shows, Ophelia will want to follow the warmer air that is going northeastwards and more than likely dine out on it and becoming ever stronger. In which case, it will ve very very windy.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:42 pm
 kcal
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@matt_ Not always 😉
in fact not ever, as it's not me that goes out, my wife as helper on ASN trips.

This may be the Bronze ones though I'm not sure - maybe Silvers as well.
I'm just logistic support for getting her tent to the right spot, which may or not be a campsite !


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 6:43 pm
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That's utter bollocks. The 87J storm was actually a very dangerous storm which turned deadly for some.

The point was that, in the thirty years since, the UK has been regularly battered by storms of equal or greater ferocity.

Someone has referenced Hurricane Bawbag which was another Force 12 belter. Only made the news because Glaswegians mocked it on social media.

It wasn't even the worst storm that month. Thousands of people spent Christmas without power in the Highlands and Islands after those two and it barely made the news.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:12 pm
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Sod you lot and your scientific modelling, I’m waiting for the Daily Express to tell me what the weather will do


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:23 pm
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If it hits Scotland, it could cause thousands of pounds worth of improvements!


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:26 pm
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See you next Tuesday lol


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:26 pm
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If it hits Engerland, COBRA will hold emergency meetings and food and water handouts will be distributed by the army.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:29 pm
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matt_outandabout - Member 

30 years since the UK last had 'that storm'

Were you not north of the border for hurricane bawbag then?

That Wikipedia entry is by far tye funniest thing I've read in a long time!!


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:31 pm
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Reminds me of a sketch on I'm Sorry I'll Read That Again many years ago.
"This is my moll. Miss Ophelia Gently. She's a constant comfort to me. She has the wisdom of St Theresa, the principles of Joan of Arc, and bosoms like barrage balloons".


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:31 pm
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The problem in the "soft" south is that they don't get these storms often enough. Old trees, weak fences, shoddy building work are all ok when you're normally experiencing a light breeze,
whereas further north all that's been stripped away as it's regularly scoured.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:37 pm
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bruneep - Member
If it hits Engerland, [s]COBRA [/s] CAMRA will hold emergency meetings and [s]food and water[/s] real ale [s]handouts[/s] kegs will be distributed by the army.

Wishful thinking, but you never know


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:38 pm
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Actually hope it comes and hits us, lots of silver birches that are 30ish years old and on their last legs, save a lot of chainsaw time.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:40 pm
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That blimmin storm cost me my vw camper......it was a lovely Devon conversion that I learnt to drive in......I think it was only worth about £400 though then!

The garages next to where i used to park it fell on it....I've still got a bay window though!


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:46 pm
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matt_outandabout - Member

Were you not north of the border for hurricane bawbag then?

RIP trampoline #inourprayers


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:49 pm
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COBRA will hold emergency meetings and food and water handouts will be distributed by the army.

Isn't that what they're doing anyway but for those who are waiting for their first Universal Credit payment?


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 8:02 pm
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@perchy - that's not quite true. The Daria windstorm is the only storm since 87J that was almost of equal size, intensity and duration.
We have had lots of storms since 1987, Scotland gets many more than England, but the '87 event was different.
We have had lots of storms with high windspeeds recorded in individual locations but 87 went thru the most densely populated area for many hours and extreme winds were recorded in lots of places. The windfield was much bigger. The "footprint" of the event is very different to the storms in Scotland in the last 10 years

Edit: fwiw I agree that if someone sneezes south of Macclesfield it dominates the news for days.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 8:17 pm
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Posted : 12/10/2017 9:36 pm
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www.segmentninja.com at the ready. 😉


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:40 pm
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Interesting article about hurricanes on [url= https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wind-speed-alone-isnt-the-best-way-to-measure-a-weird-hurricane-like-matthew/ ]fivethirtyeight.com[/url]

Peak wind speed is only one metric - peak energy is also useful.

[url= https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_East_England ]South east England[/url] has a population greater than [url= https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scotland ]Scotland [/url] so some of the bias is quite understandable. If you include everything in "the south" it's quite overwhelming, although being from Kent anything north of the Medway is a strange northern country.


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:54 pm
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The whole point about news is that it's things that don't happen very often. If, by your own admission, it happens all the time in Scotland then it's not really news, so you can't complain about it not being reported. It's much less common in the South and the fact it caused billions in damage was notable.

Think about what you're asking for: "It was dead windy again in Scotland, but everyone's fine" twice a month?


 
Posted : 12/10/2017 10:34 pm
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