Which weather service do you believe??
Isn’t it all based on the same data but interpreted differently?
I know everyone wants to know “will it rain tomorrow”, but if theres say, 80% chance of rain for 2 hours at 10am, and 30% the rest of the time, is that a rainy symbol or not? I think thats where the services differ. (its could be rainy or sunny all day and the prediction would still be accurate btw).Posted 4 years agoToastyMember
Ugh Sunday, 14 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
I’m going with the BBC, they say no rain on Saturday.Posted 4 years agomolgripsSubscriber
BBC for me, seems bang on. But then I look at more than just the rain or sun icons on the main page. They’ve recently changed the way they choose that icon based on the day’s weather, and I’m not sure it’s for the best.
It used to be that they’d put a raindrop on if there was a chance of rain at some point during the day, now they seem to indicate the dominant weather for the whole day. So if there’s a shower forecast but it’s mostly sunny they still put a sun symbol on, but if it rains that day people will think ‘why didn’t they say rain’. Well they did if you looked carefully enough.
If you don’t dig a little deeper when reading weatherforecasts you will ALWAYS be disappointed – fact. BBC use Met Office data and they are one of the best in the world.
The only thing I check is the Buzz section of theweatheroutlook.com. He talks about how the forecast is made and how things are shaping up. Very informative.Posted 4 years agowordnumbMember
BBC seems the most wildly changeable to me, which isn’t to say it’s either more or less accurate than others, it just looks bad when a forecast is entirely different when you check it again an hour later.
But then I only care what the weather’s doing when I need to turn up somewhere undrenched and without dripping mud. Which isn’t often.Posted 4 years agoCountZeroMember
WeatherPro for me, their data comes from Meteogroup, who are based in Germany.
They all adjust/manipulate the weather data they get any way. Some will over predict rain, some give unadulterated rain forecast but lower temps. Depends.
Most ‘accurate ‘ data comes from Gov sources, they tend to be where most of the original data comes from.
Eh? The Met Office is part of the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills, whereas Meteogroup are a private global operation. The Met Office have stopped giving long-range forecasts because they’ve been notoriously inaccurate.Posted 4 years ago
I trust WeatherPro, mainly because whatever modelling they use, they tend to be consistently more accurate than the BBC, and by definition the Met Office, and have been since I started using their app five or so years ago; having satellite and radar views means you can clearly see what the weather is actually doing.
I’ve just started using an app called SkyMotion, which centers itself on your actual street, in fact to your postcode, and has a lovely simple interface. It’s free, but you get adverts, or pay a small amount without them.
Been using it for less than 24 hours, so time will tell accuracy wise.
Looks nice, and dead easy to read, so worth looking at.
On Android, as well as iOS, too.pictonroadSubscriber
I’ve been to Met Office training, It’s interesting how they actually forecast and what all that computing power does.
Current feeds come in globally, thousands and thousands of them. In the UK we’re a tiny landmass a lot of them are from bouys out a sea. All this data, humidity, wind speed, temp etc are streamed into the computers. This is then compared to historic info, ie. on this day X years ago the weather at bouy Y was the same as it is today and this was the outcome. All this data of historic trends is crunched in giant computers and used to predict the upcoming weather. It takes an absurd amount of processing just to keep on top of feeds in the UK.
Once the algorithms are run the ‘forecast’ is interpreted by humans, problem is, all it can give is likely indications of future weather conditions based on recorded data, this has to then be turned into a picture on a screen, (30% chance of rain, what do you forecast?)
As soon as one run is finished, the feeds update and another run begins, each time the forecast is updated and is a tiny tiny bit more accurate because the base data is more up to date.
Interestingly they still have hundreds of weather people on the ground filling in records to improve the service, a number of which are still posting in the cards they’ve been filling in for 50 years recording the weather in their gardens. They had rooms of the things a few years ago!
A fascinating day, as to which to believe, go with the BBC, they’re never wrong….Posted 4 years agostucolMember
Metcheck tend to be accurate as to the type/time of weather but in the Glasgow area they always forecast 2-3 degrees below the actual temp.
They are best for spectacular data errors though. Winter days when i head out on the bike with every item of clothing i own on, as the forecast is for -237 degrees c !
That has happened a few times (The day before tomorrow obviously influenced them).Posted 4 years ago
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