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  • The Coronavirus Discussion Thread.
  • kelvin
    Full Member

    It’s just another brand new account trolling

    Thanks for noticing. Let’s ignore it.

    The Admiral

    Edukator
    Free Member

    The debate about masks shouldn’t be on whether they work but what grade of mask works. I fear that with Omicron the masks most of us are using most of the time aren’t good enough to prevent transmission, and the FFP2 masks that can be proven to work with Omicron really are miserable things to wear. I started a four hour Summer train journey with an FFP2 and changed it for a basic surgical mask after and hour or so. Whilst the surgical mask is a minor inconvenience the FFP2 is pretty miserable after and hour or so when it’s hot.

    akbar
    Free Member

    then you are clueless, because that article is nonsense

    It made pretty good sense to me, seemed well researched from a huge variety of studies and sources and did a very good job of comparing the different types of mask and why they might or might not be effective.

    It’s just another brand new account trolling

    No not a troll but thank you for your vote of confidence.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    Is there an endless supply of them, or just the same ones coming back with new names after a spell of the thread being too sensible for a while?

    lots of em

    Drac
    Full Member

    For mask wearing the evidence would seem to be particularly weak. I used to religiously wear a mask but was sent this article by a friend and it has changed my opinion 100%. Makes sense to me.

    Selective isn’t evidence and suggesting you test cloth mask by placing a t-shirt over steaming pan demonstrates that. That article belongs in the bin.

    akbar
    Free Member

    The UK Governments own large study into masks in schools, the one it used to justify the return of masks in the classroom, concluded that there was no statistical difference in absence rates in schools with masks vs those without.

    UK Gov Evidence Summary

    Yet more than half of children felt that wearing a mask made learning more difficult and 94% of teachers thought that face coverings made communication more difficult. Meanwhile the direct COVID-19 health risks to children and young people remains incredibly low.

    So a policy forcing children to adopt measures that show no statistical benefit, against a disease they are at minuscule risk from, and which harms their education. What are we trying to achieve with this policy again exactly?

    pondo
    Full Member

    Hi, my wife’s a teacher, so protect her for one.

    akbar
    Free Member

    Hi, my wife’s a teacher, so protect her for one.

    Protect her from what though exactly? Has she not been vaccinated? That said, most vaccinated people I know seem to have caught omicron recently. Did they all catch it from children?

    In any case, since when were children supposed to be the ones protecting the adults? Normally it is the adults who should be protecting the children. If you think it should be the other way round then that’s some pretty messed up thinking IMO.

    pondo
    Full Member

    Protect her from what though exactly

    Seriously? 🙂

    If you think it should be the other way round then that’s some pretty messed up thinking IMO.

    Oh bless.

    eddiebaby
    Free Member

    Christmas Day andBoxingDay we had 50 people an hour testing.
    Now we don’t get 50 people over 10 hours.

    Drac
    Full Member

    Interesting report.

    There is a level of statistical uncertainty around the result. The analysis is non-peer reviewed and with the current sample size, shows a non-statistical and unknown clinical significant reduction in infection in a short follow up period, including that a ‘false positive’ (i.e. finding that face coverings saw reduced absence when the finding is actually by chance) would emerge around 15% of the time; a 5% threshold is widely used to declare statistical significance in academic literature.
    Therefore, further work should be done to extend the analysis in terms of scope: for example, looking at different statistical methodologies, capturing different and longer

    trialtemptation
    Free Member

    Ah well, I semi jumped the gun…daughter tested positive before school this morning on a Lat Flow (3 days after her first vaccination), zero symptoms.

    Partner had to get a PCR as she works in ITU, she’s also Positive 😞 No symptoms.

    Myself, the boy (10, getting it from all angles now as he was a close contact at school last week from 2 people) and eldest girl (16 double vaccinated) all still showing negative on LatFlows. Feels mad that I’ll have to go to work tomorrow!

    Del
    Full Member

    akbar

    Joined January 12, 2022

    As you’ve only recently joined I’m going to assume you haven’t read the entire thread…

    Getting right down to business though eh? Even taken the time to post on a few other threads this time

    akbar
    Free Member

    Sorry not read the entire thread but have read the last few pages. Has everything already been decided or is there still room for a fresh pair of eyes?

    Anyway one thing I couldn’t see discussed, but maybe it was further back in the thread was the ‘circuit-breaker’ lockdown that many in the media, SAGE and the Labour Party called for a month ago. If it had introduced then this would have only just ended and would no doubt now be being hailed as big a success for bringing case numbers down and for having reduced the peak of admissions from the 5-10,000/day projected (based on 20-50% severity) to the 2000/day we have actually seen.

    Thank goodness we can now see clearly that the virus mostly does its own thing, often independently of any measures we try to introduce to control it. Nail in the coffin for the effectiveness of lockdown measures thankfully.

    Del
    Full Member

    just out of interest did you think the first or second lockdowns effective?

    trialtemptation
    Free Member

    Circuit breaker lockdown might have helped my Partner get to work tomorrow, as of tonight she’s not the only Nurse absent from her ITU ward which doesn’t help an already overstretched workforce.

    akbar
    Free Member

    Circuit breaker lockdown might have helped my Partner get to work tomorrow, as of tonight she’s not the only Nurse absent from her ITU ward which doesn’t help an already overstretched workforce.

    Unfortunately I guess she better get used to it I suppose when they fire all those unvaccinated NHS staff in April.

    MoreCashThanDash
    Full Member

    just out of interest did you think the first or second lockdowns effective?

    Seem to waiting for you to answer this akbar

    akbar
    Free Member

    just out of interest did you think the first or second lockdowns effective?

    Common opinion still says yes, but when you compare data from around the world, cases decreased similarly in countries or regions that did not lock down. So I would say the jury is out and perception seems to be shifting, with WHO now recommending no more lockdowns and other doctors and scientists now feeling that they can come out and say what a huge mistake it has all been. All you could say at best I suppose is that lockdowns perhaps delayed cases to a later date, extending if you like the Pandemic.

    The downside to lockdowns is the huge collateral damage that rarely gets talked about in the media or on here from what I could see. It is estimated that the mostly global lockdowns have pushed millions into poverty and widened equality (160 million according to Oxfam). We will probably find out soon that lockdowns and over the top restrictions have killed more people that Covid ever did. Here’s some food for thought from Oxfam:

    Oxfam

    kelvin
    Full Member

    …still room for a fresh pair of eyes?

    Ha ha.

    Who are you?

    Del
    Full Member

    Lol

    joat
    Full Member

    All you could say at best I suppose is that lockdowns perhaps delayed cases to a later date,

    I think we might be getting somewhere, keep at the critical thinking.

    The downside to lockdowns is the huge collateral damage that rarely gets talked about in the media or on here from what I could see. It is estimated that the mostly global lockdowns have pushed millions into poverty and widened equality (160 million according to Oxfam). We will probably find out soon that lockdowns and over the top restrictions have killed more people that Covid ever did. Here’s some food for thought from Oxfam:

    I wouldn’t waste your breath on here akbar, they’ll probably debunk that ^^ as either a lie, or a small price to pay for not catching something that mostly doesn’t kill healthy (or in fact, most) people

    I noticed on the news tonight (this may have been the case for a while, I don’t know), that rather than ‘died within 28 days of a positive test’ – which was always a bit spurious anyway, it’s now ‘died by any cause if tested positive within 28 days’.  Run over by a bus – covid.

    But keep on sucking it up

    Drac
    Full Member

    ‘died by any cause if tested positive within 28 days’. Run over by a bus – covid.

    It’s not.

    Unfortunately I guess she better get used to it I suppose when they fire all those unvaccinated NHS staff in April.

    Yup we’re losing staff daily dropping crews at a time we could really do without losing them.

    ernielynch
    Full Member

    The UK uses World Health Organisation rules to record covid deaths. Cases involving road traffic accidents is covered by the rules and where it is obvious that a road traffic accident was the cause of death it is recorded as such.

    Klunk
    Free Member

    I wouldn’t waste your breath on here akbar, they’ll probably debunk that ^^ as either a lie, or a small price to pay for not catching something that mostly doesn’t kill healthy (or in fact, most) people

    bullshit like that cost lives

    They are either younger people who did not expect to get seriously ill, or those who say they simply have not got around to it. “It stresses and it saddens a lot of the staff because it’s frustrating,” said Dr Laha, an executive on the national Intensive Care Society.

    somafunk
    Full Member

    I see we have the usual idiotic rattling of “same shit…..different day” nonsense yet again

    bullshit like that cost lives

    Eh?

    If we are talking bullshit – not one of the Nightingale units was utilised in the first (much worse) wave. Why now, when it’s clear that hospital admissions are lower?

    I’m guilty of believing stuff I read that may not be true, but so are you….

    <p class=”dcr-o5gy41″>A Nightingale field hospital is being erected in the Royal Preston car park in a sign of what is to come. One of only eight in England, the 100-bed facility will cater to the whole north-west of England and is expected to be full within weeks. The hospital’s restaurant and two sports halls are being readied as an emergency back-up.</p>

    Northwind
    Full Member

    I’ve said it a few times but the nightingales weren’t really hospitals, not in the conventional sense. They were alternatives to hospitals, for when the hospitals were full, and basically one step better than dying in the car park. A desperation measure and we came damn close to needing them.

    Think of them as lifeboats- you definitely don’t want to end up in a lifeboat, but you equally shouldn’t complain if they don’t get used.

    Think of them as lifeboats- you definitely don’t want to end up in a lifeboat, but you equally shouldn’t complain if they don’t get used.

    I sincerely hope that the Royal Preston one doesn’t become full, but somehow I don’t think it will in any case….

    reeksy
    Full Member

    Thank goodness we can now see clearly that the virus mostly does its own thing, often independently of any measures we try to introduce to control it. Nail in the coffin for the effectiveness of lockdown measures thankfully.

    but when you compare data from around the world, cases decreased similarly in countries or regions that did not lock down.

    As someone who lives in another part of the world and works for a health service where we’ve successfully managed to use lockdowns and border closures to minimise COVID infections, whilst living a life largely unaffected by the changes until the vast majority of the population are vaccinated I can confirm that you are not just wrong, but somewhat delusional. Seriously barking.

    Drac
    Full Member

    If we are talking bullshit – not one of the Nightingale units was utilised in the first (much worse) wave.

    Yup that’s bullshit alright. 3 were used thankfully the others weren’t needed thanks to well, lockdown.

    batfink
    Free Member

    How’s it going up there Reeksy?

    Got any RAT tests you can send me? Lol

    oldnpastit
    Full Member

    TheArtistFormerlyKnownAsSTR
    Full Member
    I noticed on the news tonight (this may have been the case for a while, I don’t know), that rather than ‘died within 28 days of a positive test’ – which was always a bit spurious anyway, it’s now ‘died by any cause if tested positive within 28 days’. Run over by a bus – covid.

    But keep on sucking it up

    Two numbers are reported – died following a +ve covid test, and died with covid as cause of death on death certificate. These two numbers have always been quite close.

    Looking on the Gov site today (which you can also do if you want) the first of those is 152k, and the second is 174k.

    So in fact your “Run over by a bus” numbers are actually slightly *lower* than the “recorded by a medical professional on a death certificate” numbers.

    I’m sure this point has been made multiple times on this thread over the months.

    reeksy
    Full Member

    Ha ha @batfink – it’s a bit eery. Lots of staff being redeployed. Our incident commanders are feeling confident (or at least telling us) that we can manage the projected increases that are on their way.

    … we’ve got separate testing sites for staff so i’ve access to RAT tests if i need 🙂

    Cougar
    Full Member

    they’ll probably debunk that

    You do know what “debunk” means, right?

    I know we may disagree from time to time but you can’t actually be that stupid that you’re railing against concepts like “proof”, right?

    Right? Tell me I’ve missed something here.

    You do know what “debunk” means, right?

    Sorry, should have put ‘try and’ in there

    Do you not think at all (just one little bit), that the whole reaction to Covid and the outlying consequenses of lockdowns et al have had a massive negative impact on society? An impact that isn’t wholly justified?

    batfink
    Free Member

    Our incident commanders are feeling confident (or at least telling us) that we can manage the projected increases that are on their way.

    That’s good news.

    We were on holiday last week and missed our kids daycare center closing due to multiple cases and “close-contacts” – fortunately I took our last few RATs up to the beach house we were staying at and was able to test us all (negative). What followed were an interesting 48 hours whereby the advice from the government changed 3 times….. swinging from “you are a close contact, isolate for 7 days and do 3 tests in that time” to “don’t do anything unless you are symptomatic – and even then, there is no requirement to do a test – just stay away from school/daycare whilst you have symptoms”. It was very strange – goodness knows what’s going to happen when the schools go back at the end of the month.

    To say that NSW has lost confidence in it’s state government is something of an understatement.

    Edit: I know it’s no laughing matter, but I admit to chuckling when I saw that Victoria have just declared a “code brown”

    ernielynch
    Full Member

    An impact that isn’t wholly justified?

    It is widely accepted that lockdowns throughout the world have saved millions of lives, which is of course the reason there was pretty much universal agreement on the need for lockdowns.

    Was it wholly justified? I guess the answer depends on how much you value human life. Not everyone values human life to the same extent.

    reeksy
    Full Member

    I saw that and figured there will be Code Brown memes being prepared throughout the nation.

    Presumably the codes are national (why I would do that I don’t know everything else seems to be different!), we all carry the emergency procedure code list on us at all times and i think it’s the first time i’ve ever looked at it!

    Deadliest day so far … It’s certainly going to be an interesting few weeks. Just crossing fingers that the next variant isn’t going to really stuff things up.

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