uponthedowns
Free Member
I really don’t think they’d be launching with only a 30% chance of success despite what Musk has said
Obviously Musk is unreliable, but, 30% chance of success doesn’t mean 70% chance of total failure- it might mean it doesn’t fire, or it doesn’t reach the altitude planned but lands safely, or all sorts.
Obviously I’m hoping he meant 70% chance of an earth shattering kaboom (though, in the same week they’ll deliver a Dragon to the ISS and are launching a Falcon 9 for the 7th time, with a customer payload on board, and I’m equally glad if those both work great)