There’s something I’ve wondered about. Say that, either through incompetence or because it’s what Dominic Cummings wants, the Brexit trade deal talks collapse and in January the UK ends up on no deal terms when trading with the EU.
Obviously this is probably going to have a negative effect on a great many people in the UK. And it seems equally likely that this would give support for Scottish independence another massive boost.
However, what could happen if Scotland gained independence while the UK was in that state? If Scotland joined the EU then wouldn’t there have to be a hard border between Scotland and the UK, bringing with it a lot of disruption to Scotland’s main trading partner? Would the main alternative involve negotiating a deal with the UK and not joining the EU, leaving Scotland more closely tied to the UK than many would like, and still isolated from the EU?
It’s no surprise that a failed Brexit trade deal is going to be an all round shit show but I would like to understand how it would interact with the issue of Scottish independence.