Missing Malaysian Aircraft – is it possible…

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  • Missing Malaysian Aircraft – is it possible…
  • konabunny
    Member

    If the plane has been binned in the sea, it is possible that what happened will never be known, which seems astonishing in the present day.

    rossi46
    Member

    Wasn’t there an incident a few months ago involving an aircraft having a near miss with a Chinese missile test?
    Any chance they may have scored a hit this time?
    And then covered it up?

    Premier Icon aracer
    Subscriber

    No chance at all. Do you think the US pay no attention to such missile tests?

    rossi46
    Member

    Surely the US can’t know about everything that happens in the world?

    legend
    Member

    They know about this thread………..

    ^ superb!!!!

    Premier Icon aracer
    Subscriber

    rossi46 wrote:

    Surely the US can’t know about everything that happens in the world?

    No, but I should think they know all about any Chinese missile test, and any explosion of a large airliner near military facilities.

    Duffer
    Member

    I don’t understand that picture… Who’s house is that?

    Isn’t it kaesae’s house?

    lemonysam
    Member

    Isn’t it kaesae’s house?

    Are you saying that the Parcelforce man programmed him to do it?

    doh
    Member

    Pretty awful to see that woman dragged away in the news tonight and the total evasion of any actual facts by the officials is worrying in the extreme.

    Premier Icon crazy-legs
    Subscriber

    Pretty awful to see that woman dragged away in the news tonight and the total evasion of any actual facts by the officials is worrying in the extreme.

    But they don’t know anything! I can understand the frustration of the relatives but for them to expect facts when, to put it bluntly no-one has a **** clue, is not really helping the situation…

    Part of the problem is that the wild speculation has got mixed in with what very few facts there are and made even more of a mess of it.

    Premier Icon crazy-legs
    Subscriber

    BBC and others now picking apart that Chris Goodfellow’s theory…
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-echochambers-26640114

    batfink
    Member

    Part of the problem is that the wild speculation has got mixed in with what very few facts there are and made even more of a mess of it.

    I completely agree – and it’s making everyone nuts.

    The inescapable truth is that the plane to a huge, unscheduled diversion off course, without relaying any sort of message to anyone about it. There was then a later message from the copilot (“Roger that, goodnight”)

    This indicates that the pilot was either unaware, under duress or complicit.

    The above sounds very much like a hijacking to me.

    globalti
    Member

    A 24m piece of something spotted floating in the sea…. the 777 has a wingspan of 61m and the fuselage is about 6m so that would be right for a wing, wouldn’t it?

    toys19
    Member

    yeah. Bummer. It might not be, but I was/am hopeful they were all being held up in a wharehouse in Kryswazikistaniland and might come home..

    toys19
    Member

    pictures on guardian

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/20/mh370-two-possible-objects-may-have-been-found-in-australian-search-zone

    I read that apparently the search planes are getting strong radar returns on their approach to the site.

    Pictures are inconclusive innit. I’m still fantasising about the stolen plane and passengers all still living..

    toys19
    Member


    Downloaded the images to imgur to stopp hiogging the amsa server..

    toys19
    Member

    links to big images here

    24m object
    5m object

    TBh I am underwhelmed, there must be millions of lumps like this floating around the ocean, just becasue they are in the expected crash zone does not mean anything. Could be simple coincidence..

    Premier Icon molgrips
    Subscriber

    Do plane wings float, then?

    bencooper
    Member

    Yes, the number of containers alone bobbing about in the ocean is pretty amazing.

    sharkbait
    Member

    I’d have thought that a section of wing wouldn’t float [just under the surface].
    Indeed could be many things such as a yacht – 95% of them are white underneath and are quite likely to float just below the surface due to trapped air pockets.
    Still clinging on to the hope that they’ll be found on land somewhere 🙁

    Premier Icon scotroutes
    Subscriber

    molgrips wrote:

    Do plane wings float, then?

    I assume that sealed, empty fuel tanks have quite a bit of buoyancy?

    toys19
    Member

    This bit of the vertical stabiliser tailfin thingy of af447 floated..

    Premier Icon scotroutes
    Subscriber

    away wrote:

    This bit of the vertical stabiliser tailfin thingy of af447 floated..

    Covering all the bases there 😉

    toys19
    Member

    sorry I fogot “uppy sideways flappy thing”..

    Anyway here’s hoping it isn’t lumps of MH370 and they are safe(ish) hostages somewhere.

    I wonder if there is a hostage negotiation going on right now and they are just keeping it quiet as they sometimes do.

    sharkbait
    Member

    Ahhh yes, some fuel stored in the wings. 🙁

    toys19
    Member

    I dont think there is any fuel in the “tailfinverticalstabiliseruppyflappysidewaysthing” though?

    Premier Icon woody2000
    Subscriber

    I reckon it was/is a whale

    Premier Icon kimbers
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    toys19 – Member

    I wonder if there is a hostage negotiation going on right now and they are just keeping it quiet as they sometimes do.

    as nice as that might be I think its very unlikely

    for one thing it would require a lot of people to keep quiet about it, not least the kidnappers

    assuming that the satelite data is accurate I think the bottom of the southern arc is by far most likely ultimate destination of the plane

    if it had headed in pretty much any other direction it wouldve been picked up by radar somewhere, especially in the northern arc over some of the most fought over parts of the world

    dirtyrider
    Member

    the released satellite images are a bit bollocks, im sure they have satellites that could count the hairs on your head

    toys19
    Member

    if it had headed in pretty much any other direction it wouldve been picked up by radar somewhere, especially in the northern arc over some of the most fought over parts of the world

    Given all the chat about radar holes and piss poor organisation/transnationalcomms I do not think this assumption is true.

    Premier Icon kimbers
    Subscriber

    I am certainly no expert but im willing to bet that the chinese pay more attention than the malaysians to what flys overhead
    and that the americans and russians keep a keen eye over the ‘Stans
    also the last estimated location based on fuel and the satelite ping put it within a 1000km of Bagram airbase

    toys19
    Member

    I’m no expert either, but I dunno if it is a total as you think..

    Premier Icon jam bo
    Subscriber

    the released satellite images are a bit bollocks, im sure they have satellites that could count the hairs on your head

    they do, but there isn’t a great deal of point in stationing them over the southern oceans…

    Premier Icon aracer
    Subscriber

    away wrote:

    I dont think there is any fuel in the “tailfinverticalstabiliseruppyflappysidewaysthing” though?

    No, but it’s still a hollow section with a fair amount of volume, presumably reasonably well sealed as you want the air to flow around it, not through it. Oh and good call on “tailfin” – that is at least a far better and more specific term than “tail”.

    Regarding the wing tanks, it’s surprising just how big they are – I had a bit of involvement with conversion of some VC10s to tankers and I remember once one of the workers had to be hauled out of a wing tank as he’d been overcome by fumes – he was working completely inside the tank. Not only that, but on this set of conversions they weren’t bothering to put in fuselage tanks as they didn’t make that much difference to the fuel carrying capacity.

    toys19
    Member

    No, but it’s still a hollow section with a fair amount of volume, presumably reasonably well sealed as you want the air to flow around it, not through it.

    Yup, I don’t need convincing that these thigns will float.. There are other septics though..

    maxtorque
    Member

    Generally wings themselves don’t float unlike other smaller hollow sections. This is because the “wing spar” runs across each wing into the “cross spar” central section of the fuselage and into and across the other wing. This part is immensely strong, because it carries the whole of the planes mass (static + Dynamic), and if you have an impact big enough to rip the wings from the fuselage, the main spar tends to get “peeled” out of the wing sections, which results in massive internal damage to the fuel tanks, and hence generally a lack of buoyancy.

    Of course, an impact at a certain speed and angle could foreseably just perfectly snap one wing off intact, but generally (in planes the size of the 777) doesn’t happen like that. It also needs to be enough of an impact to break the shear pins that hold the engines onto the wings otherwise their mass will sink the wing.

    There is also a huge difference in impact profiles between the 3 main possible impact vectors.

    1) high speed vertical dive (>6000ft/min) (pilot suicide. loss of control etc) Nose first, doing >400Kts KIAS = unlikely to be any big parts left

    2) high speed “pancake” inpact (>4000ft/min) (like AF447, entered from a high altitude upset into a fully developed stall) = again, only really small bits left, bits like Vert Stabiliser survive because they are on the top side of the aircraft)

    3) Relatively gentle and controlled ditching into sea (~1000ft/min)(Ethiopian 961) = a few big bits left, but even then the main fuselage breaks up

    4) Perfect controlled ditching (MH370 into Hudson) A much smaller plane, into flat calm water, with a high experienced glider pilot at the controls. Proves you can do it, but shows how difficult it is to do without causing massive airframe damage.

    Any which way, at this time, this, and pretty much everything we “know” about the loss of this 777 is just speculation……

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