Why is Froome less likely to win the Giro followd by the tour compared to the tour followed by the vuelta as this year?
One reason may be timing and planning. Froome has had a few goes now at Tour and Vuelta double and he’s only cracked it once (though should really have been 2 if it wasn’t for that one calamitous stage). He has a well mapped out season that gets him in the right shape for both. He now has to shift all that. Everything starts earlier, preparatory races will be different. Will it all work like it did this year?
And it’s the Giro. You not only need to have great legs, a great team, great form, great planning to win two GT. You also have to be lucky, and luck seems to play a bigger part in the Giro than the other two GT.
Experience counts for a lot too. He’s only ridden the Giro twice, last time back in 2010. No idea how he did but wikipedia says DSQ, missed a time cut probably?
And he’s a year older.