- EU Referendum – are you in or out?
So… in seats traditionally a Tory/Labour battle ground, where other parties have had little to no presence in the past, it’s still received wisdom that people will return to the big two when it comes to an actual vote, rather than answering polling questions …
Bridlington North (East Riding of Yorkshire) result:
LDEM: 42.7% (+42.7)
CON: 26.6% (-44.5)
YORK: 11.4% (+11.4)
UKIP: 6.4% (+6.4)
LAB: 4.4% (-24.5)
IND (Dixon): 4.1% (+4.1)
IND (Robson): 2.5% (+2.5)
IND (Milns): 1.9% (+1.9)
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) July 11, 2019
By all means argue that Brexit policy isn’t a factor… but only if you genuinely believe that, please.Posted 6 days ago
Meanwhile, our shiny new MEPs are off to a glorious start.
Posted 6 days ago
We are behind all our fisherman and the restoration of sovereignty over our waters. 200 miles of exclusion zone with any foreign fishing vessel given the same treatment as the Belgrano! Well done June. We are 110% behind you and will ensure you give ‘em hell on committee. https://t.co/HqdgHTPM5W
— Robert Rowland (@RowlandBrexitSE) July 10, 2019dissonanceSubscriber
Meanwhile, our shiny new MEPs are off to a glorious start.
On the one hand she has already attended as many meetings as Farage managed over several years.Posted 6 days ago
On the other hand looks like she did sod all of any use there.
I like the idea of some poor sod halfway up the Seine quietly fishing suddenly having a submarine torpedo them. Not sure its overly practical though.
He does seem a proper man of the people though. Guess he is trying to make a name for himself.
It’s only a local ward, so not that informative, but it is interesting that in the kind of strongly traditionally Conservative area, where the “if you don’t vote Labour, you’ll get Conservative” narrative can be strongest, things can pan out this way. I think “staying away” was a big part of the result here… the turnout was low… but fear that may well be so in a general election as well… plenty of people thinking “none of them” currently.Posted 6 days ago
That’s the thing though, yes small wards up for grabs through attrition.. But are showing interestingly large swings to remain parties .. Peterborough was another interesting one.. Widely thought to be a home run for the brexit party, labour just about snatched it from the tories.
Both staunch leave areas previously..
The lib dems seem to be attracting a lot more remainers than the brexit party are attracting leavers.
Labour and Conservativea are losing ground in both scenarios in staunch leave areas.
A GE would be impossible to predict.. There are not 2 main parties any more, there are 3. Possibly 4 if the brexit party manage to field a decent number of candidates, but that will mostly dilute the tory vote.
We might see a truly hung parliament with 33/33/33. Or 25/25/25/25 %Posted 5 days ago
Well the dems and Greens have forged an alliance along with other fringe remain parties to not field candidates in areas the others are likely to win. There was a Welsh one (brecon?) where the greens stepped aside to allow a lib dem victory rather than dilute the remain vote.
I can’t see tragic grandad going along with that. He’s far to authoritarian..Posted 5 days ago
Labour really need shot of him.binnersSubscriber
Well worth a read from the New Statesman
The analysis won’t come as any great surprise to anyone, but the context is interestingPosted 3 days agoSpeederSubscriber
I now hope labour stay a leave party as we don’t want the remain vote split.
Carry on grandad.
In some ways worst case scenario is Labour changing tack at this late stage having not put forward any convincing arguments for remain to keep their core support on side but seeing that they’ve lost traction, switching to remain and both alienating any their core leave leaning labour supporters and diluting the core remain vote that have already gone to LibDem/Green.Posted 3 days agoathgrayMember
I notice that Mogg has asked
“Who needs the EU?”
following Englands world cup victory yesterday, despite having an Irish captain.Posted 3 days ago
I can’t fathom how the future success of our finance, service and manufacturing sectors can be correlated with Ben Stokes ability to smash a boundary through deep cover.teethgrinderSubscriber
It gets better. Even as there’s the prospect of the Tories self-destructing, Labour (or at least one of them) come to the rescue:
Posted 2 days ago
The Labour MP Sarah Champion has told the BBC’s Politics Live (not to be confused with the original) that if necessary she would accept no-deal and that she cannot be sure how she would vote on a no confidence motion, the BBC’s Andrew Alexander reports.binnersSubscriber
Dear god! Looking at her voting record, she repeatedly voted against Mays deal “as it didn’t provide enough protection for workers and the environment” but now she backs No Deal.
Nothing like a consistent position, eh? Anyone would think that the average MP has no actual understanding of the subject and they’re all just making up as they go alongPosted 2 days ago
NEW: EU sources insist that rules that mean smoked kipper producers in the Isle of Man must use "plastic ice pillow" when sending to UK, as made famous by Boris Johnson, are BRITISH rules and not Brussels' rules. 1/
— James Crisp (@JamesCrisp6) July 18, 2019
Tempted to drag up the pasty stuff again… to remind us that nothing has changed in three years. Donkeys.Posted 7 hours agosomafunkSubscriber
After listening to James O’brian on LBC this morning attempt to converse with a 70yr old brexiteer i now realise why people voted for Brexit, apparently the EU banned the use of newspapers to wrap up fish n’ chips and she doesn’t like the fact that they do not taste/smell the same anymore, and the nice man from weatherspoons wrote in his magazine that he is buying his drink from somewhere else.
Well that’s me convinced……….brexit all the way now…..
Bloody experts trying to confuse us with facts yet again.
PS – on a more serious note how can we hold these **** idiots to account for their actions short of firing them into the **** sun?Posted 6 hours ago
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