How good a guide are bookies odds though, since they’re a mix of what they think will happen and reacting to what they’re already exposed to.

Bookies odds *only* reflect how much money they think they can make. This includes exposure to bets already placed which in turn includes the actual probability of an event, but it also is priced to attract people to actually place bets.

molgrips

Subscriber
Exit polls are done at constituency level no?

Specific seats that they repoll every year & are weighted to marginals

Just went on Radio Times website to check times of election coverage on the various channels. Took me a moment to realise that the ITV2 offering of a “Nightmare before Christmas” was a film and not an early analytical program.

So I voted on the way to my chainsaw course this morning.As I said to my neighbour who was car sharing with me, we better do it on the way, as we might end up in casualty and not be able to later on!!

I have to say, I was sorely tempted to stop on the way home to see if there had been a change of staff. When they checked for my name on the list, I couldn’t help noticing that my nephew, who shares almost the same name as me, and lives at the same address, was on the list too. No problem there. But I know he has chosen to use his vote in Huddersfield where he is studying. It is worrying to think how easy it would have been for me to pop in and grab a second slip. It really is time for electoral reform, not just the way we vote, but the mechanics of it too.

Bookies have got it wrong last few years.

Just went on Radio Times website to check times of election coverage on the various channels. Took me a moment to realise that the ITV2 offering of a “Nightmare before Christmas” was a film and not an early analytical program.

Brilliant.

Anecdotal evidence here is that I have never seen the polling station so busy.

For what it’s worth, I hear canvassing returns today have given Labour an internal projected vote share of 36.2%. Their number crunchers are saying its now 50/50 between a a hung parliament and a small Tory majority

And that is roughly what Dr Moderate has called, slightly towards Labour / hung.

Shit there’s a countdown timer on the screen. I can’t take it!

I might watch Huw, Naga and Reeta.

As predicted… pollsters did well.

Crap

Well that’s utterly depressing. I’m going to bed.

I think a lot of people are about to find out what neoliberalism really means. It’ll still be seismic, tbh.

This country is screwed, facilitated by a useless Labour leadership

Lovely stuff

There is not going to be anything lovely at all about the next 5 years. Unless you like watching people struggle.

Don’t think I need to stay up. 🙁

am in two minds about watching the results tbh. i would love it if the tories got a damn kicking,but unfortunately i have a horrible feeling they won’t 😞 i hope i am wrong though 👍

I resign from this country.

Please give me some hope that the exit polls are wrong.

Exit poll says… move to Scotland.

I wanted scottish independence, but not like this. Sorry ruk but we can’t save you from yourselves 🙁