What’s that in the sky over there?

I think it will hit Fishguard.

I think it will hit Fishguard.

If that happens, the damage could run into hundreds

NASA said the chance a piece of UARS debris will strike a person is about one in 3,200

those aren not very remote odds. That is if they’ve calculated correctly based on expected path, time, and human massing based on time….

The debris will mostly likely fall into an ocean or land in an uninhabited region of Earth.

There’s nothing like a bland reassuring statement like this to make me feel at ease.

If I stick to major urban areas there’s absolutely nothing to worry about.

Hopefully Cardiff. It’s a shithole anyway.

It’d be quite funny if it hit someone’s satellite dish 😆

Cressers. In a moment of galactic irony

[video]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RBc46h3e7r8[/video]

Did Essex CC put a call into NASA – co-ordinates for Dale Farm perchance…. ?

I thought Fishguard was a deodorant for prostitutes?

If that falls in my back garden i’ll be annoyed. I’m building a shed tomorrow!

don’t touch it mind it might be hot.

don’t touch it mind it might be hot.

If I had a pound, etc.

If it fell on Dale Farm they’d know what it weighed before it had cooled

NASA said the chance a piece of UARS debris will strike a person is about one in 3,200

that’s pretty short odds.

millions of people buy lottery tickets that are running on odds over 4000 times that figure to win. Maybe one of them will get ‘lucky’?

I’ve got a mate who’s rock n roll excesses could easily rival the combined efforts of the stones, grateful dead, black sabbath and happy mondays.. (or whichever hard living rockstars spring to mind when you think of rock n roll excess)

we were discussing the miracle of his longevity at the weekend and decided that he will likely be despatched by a meteor strike.. I’m gonna get down to the local bookies and put a fiver on this being his last week among us..

Hopefully it’ll land on Melksham. Instant urban renewal, and a perfect opportunity to make a vast improvement to what left.

Interesting choice

NASA said the chance a piece of UARS debris will strike a person is about one in 3,200

those aren not very remote odds. That is if they’ve calculated correctly based on expected path, time, and human massing based on time….

that’s pretty short odds.

millions of people buy lottery tickets that are running on odds over 4000 times that figure to win. Maybe one of them will get ‘lucky’?

Erm…. They’re not the odds we each have of being hit. They’re the odds of a person somewhere in the world being hit.
The odds you and I have of being hit are roughly (1/3,200)/6,700,000,000 = 1/21,440,000,000,000

The Flying Ox: so you mean it’s not actually going to hit one out of every 3,240 people? Damn.

I suspect it might have been more of a headline if it was going to wipe out 2,149,158 people 😀

I reckon it’s heading straight for oldgit….

😉

Get Dravid to catch it..

Ooop’s

wwaswas – Member
NASA said the chance a piece of UARS debris will strike a person is about one in 3,200

that’s pretty short odds.

millions of people buy lottery tickets that are running on odds over 4000 times that figure to win. Maybe one of them will get ‘lucky’?

Indeed, I say the same thing about death due to air travel which is more likely than winning the lottery. Every time I get on a plane a cold hand points at me from the sky and a booming voice says “It could be you”.

So according to risk assessment the satellite has loads of titanium expected to survive re-entry (see http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/585584main_UARS_Status.pdf). If a 60kg lump of titanium landed in my back garden is my property?
Could I start milling parts without NASA demanding their broken toy back?

I seem to remember that there is some international salvage law about aircraft that stops you from doing this. Is it in the Warsaw Convention?

Well, according to the Finders Keepers Law of 1984, you very well may. I’d be more interested in suing NASA for bombing my property.

Finders Keepers Law of 1984

Ah yes but in my memory this was written in about 1976, was it revised in 1984? Did they take out the “losers weepers” clause?

The Flying Ox: so you mean it’s not actually going to hit one out of every 3,240 people? Damn.

I suspect it might have been more of a headline if it was going to wipe out 2,149,158 people

😆

The debris will mostly likely fall into an ocean or land in an uninhabited region of Earth.

If you don’t know where it’s going to land, that’s a pretty safe standard statement.