That's quite a prediction - I had no idea that economics was, despite Karl Marx's assertions, so predictable. It makes you wonder why the last US administration, even though it had access to probably more Harvard trained economists than any other government in the world, was unable to predict the credit crunch and was forced to take such spectacular panic measures in response.
I try not to read too much into the tone of posts on the interweb because it's easy to misread, but I think your post was basically saying "if the experts can't predict it, why do you think you can?".
Nothing is certain, my prediction (like everyone elses) is pure speculation. That's how the markets move. I wasn't trying to assert fact, that's impossible.
USD and EUR losing value, JPY and Swiss intervention, FTSE 100 losing value.....isn't (in MY opinion) the signal the start of another recession in the UK.
It's certainly an indication that there may be trouble ahead, but I've watched pretty much every market on earth lose value a number of times, and it doesn't always mean that a recession is looming in the UK.
I'd say there's about a 50% chance i'm right