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  • Random mortality pondering
  • Mister-P
    Free Member

    If one million people were born on the same day in UK how many would live to be 1 year old, then to 2 years old and so on and how old would the last survivor live to?

    bearnecessities
    Full Member

    Depends what day they were born. If it’s a Thursday, all of them to 102.

    ChubbyBlokeInLycra
    Free Member

    With a touch of extrapolation, you should find the answer in here
    Just look for mortality rates

    scaredypants
    Full Member

    Rough, and not quite what you asked, but then I’m lazy …
    (taken from the ONS pages as linked by chubby up there, funnily enough)
    During one week this year, if you died, these are the percentage chances of you being dead by thye time you’d reached a particular age band:


    deaths by scaredypants, on Flickr

    scaredypants
    Full Member

    Soz, this is probably better. Chance of dying or being already dead on reaching each year of age (last 3 are 90-95, 96-100 and 100+)
    UK, predicted for 2014


    deaths2 by scaredypants, on Flickr

    totalshell
    Full Member

    sorry.. i dont believe that half of them will be alive at 86.. look around how many 86 year olds do you see..

    scaredypants
    Full Member

    from elsewhere on ONS:

    Table 1: Average Life Spans in Years, 2010
    England and Wales
    Age in Years Males Females
    Life expectancy at birth 79 83
    Median age at death 82 85
    Modal age at death 85 89

    plumslikerocks
    Free Member

    Funny you mention this. It hit me like a sledgehammer this morning that if I match my Dads life expectancy I have 15 years remaining. I’m 36 this year FFS. Better keep getting those miles in and clean up my diet!

    scotroutes
    Full Member

    How many 86 year olds will you see in 86 years time? 😆 These figures are only going one way unless we adopt a different belief system

Viewing 9 posts - 1 through 9 (of 9 total)

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