Numbers to show how in the end, it'll still be the taxpayer involved - but a whole host of costs will have also been created (and profits made):
Grabbed from the Indy.
Question: on average how much would someone have to earn per year to pay back their loan (predicted to be £33,879 for a 3 year course or £11,293 per year) after 30 years?
Answer: their average salary would have to be between £38,000-40,000 per year over the 30 year period.
If on average you earned £1,750 per month (£21,000 per year) you would pay £0 per month (£0 per year), so it wouldn't be repaid in 30 years (at this rate it would never be repaid).
If on average you earned £2,083 per month (£25,000 per year) you would pay £30 per month (£360 per year), so it wouldn't be repaid in 30 years (at this rate it would take 94 years to repay). After 30 years the graduate would have paid off £10,800 or about 32% of their loan.
If on average you earned £2,500 per month (£30,000 per year) you would pay £68 per month (£816 per year), so it wouldn't be repaid in 30 years (at this rate it would take 41.5 years to repay). After 30 years the graduate would have paid off £24,480 or about 72% of their loan.
If on average you earned £3,333 per month (£40,000 per year) you would pay £143 per month (£1,716 per year), so it would be repaid in under 20 years.
If on average you earned £4,167 per month (£50,000 per year) you would pay £218 per month (£2,616 per year), so it would be repaid in under 13 years.
If on average you earned £5,000 per month (£60,000 per year) you would pay £293 per month (£3,516 per year), so it would be repaid in under 10 years.
Question: if only 25% of students are going to be able to pay back their entire student loan then who is going to have to pay the outstanding loans for the 75% who won't earn enough to pay it back?
Answer: the taxpayer.
Question: how much will the taxpayer have to pay?
Answer: if there are 481,854 students, then 361,390 (75%) won't pay back their loans. If none of them contribute to their loan the cost to the taxpayer will be £12,243,531,810 (£12 billion). If they all earn £25,000 per year the cost to the taxpayer will be £8,325,601,631 (£8 billion). If they all earn £30,000 per year the cost to the taxpayer will be £3,428,188,907 (£3 billion).
Thus the taxpayer will have to pay between £3-12 billion per year to make up the shortfall.
And this is all in 'todays' money.
BR - if yor children are only living with their grandparents for a part of the year then I am not sure the rules will be being followed.
What? Aren't you Scots allowed to leave the country, ever? From what I've seen, according to the 'rules' the eligibility is that you've lived in Scotland for the last three years, not that you are a Scot. I wonder how many 'Scots' are doing the same as I'm suggesting?