Funny, just the other day I was thinking how much better forecast in general seem to be than they were 20yrs ago. I can’t work out if that means they are actually better; they are less ambitious/definative therefore less wrong more often; more ambiguous in the way they display the information so it is less easy to discern right from wrong or if I/we are more mature about the way we view forecasts as exactly that not certainties.
Personally I find the reduction in use of the pressure synoptic chart in mass media forecasts and replacement with dumbed down visuals a sad thing – those of us with a least a grounding in meteorology could get a lot more out of those.